Re: [Marxism] Brexit and Labour Party crisis in twitterdom

2016-06-28 Thread ioannis aposperites via Marxism

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On 28/06/2016 07:12 μμ, jamie pitman via Marxism wrote:

the UK is currently an anarchy with nobody leading government or the opposition.


if this is not an opportunity for the left (whether it is Callinicos' or 
Lynch's or any other's organisation) then, there is no such a thing as 
un oppotunity for the left


JA
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Re: [Marxism] Brexit and Labour Party crisis in twitterdom

2016-06-28 Thread jamie pitman via Marxism
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So the Labour Party held the no confidence vote in Jeremy Corbyn today. 172 MPs 
voted to say they had no confidence in their leader and 40 voted to support him.

This means the coup has successfully deepened and widened and what started in 
the Blairite camps has spread through the centre and soft left MPs who had 
previously sided with Jezza.

This all means that a leadership election is inevitable – the *crucial* 
question in the short term is whether Corbyn is automatically placed on any new 
ballot (the opposition argue that this is not the case. If it isn’t then he’s 
unlikely to get the numbers needed to put him there. He’ll go and so will tens 
of thousands of new members).

If he is automatically on the ballot however, then there’s nothing to suggest 
that he still doesn’t enjoy overwhelming support from the membership and won’t 
be returned as leader. 

Even so, the scale of opposition (81%) makes the smooth running of the party 
impossible; this is obviously no small problem.

More importantly, Corbyn’s wider popularity is still untested (sort of - he has 
consistently abysmal approval ratings but defied expectations in local 
elections twice this year - if he hadn’t then this coup would have happened a 
lot earlier). This is a *real* problem although I feel slightly dirty to admit 
it as the plotters are using it as the pretext for their coup. It is a real 
problem though because there is likely to be a snap general election before 
Christmas designed to give Cameron’s successor the mandate they’ll obviously 
need considering the UK is currently an anarchy with nobody leading government 
or the opposition. 

So another consequence of Brexit is that Corbynism is likely to be given its 
ultimate test way before anybody envisaged. I’m afraid I don’t believe Corbyn 
can win a GE (I’d obviously love him too but that’s not the point). I’ll 
continue to support him and go to any more demo’s as needed but I think the 
smart move would be to try and reunite Labour by offering Jeremy to step down 
but only if he’s replaced with McDonnell - preferably uncontested - but even if 
not, McDonnell would receive the same thumping mandate as Corbyn. This is 
unlikely to appease the rebels however, as McDonnell is Corbyn’s closest ally 
and from precisely the same political mould. My reason for suggesting it is 
simply that I think McDonnell is genuinely electable and the media would have 
little time to compile/ compose the sort of character assassination against him 
as they already have Corbyn.

Corbyn has just refused to resign (which is the response everybody expected).



Sent from Mail for Windows 10

From: Gary MacLennan
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[Marxism] Brexit and Labour Party crisis in twitterdom

2016-06-27 Thread Gary MacLennan via Marxism
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Hi Jamie

thank you for posting a reply.  It's great to get acknowledgment. As for
how many were there at the rally it is impossible for me to even guess.
But one report had the police saying 10, 000 and I have never in all my
protesting days which now stretch over half a century seen the police
exagggerate about the  number of protesters.

Be that as it may,  it is clear that political time  in the UK  has escaped
the clutches of chronological time. No one is sure at all of what will
happen.

Comradely

Gary

On Tue, Jun 28, 2016 at 7:48 AM, jamie pitman via Marxism <
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu> wrote:
>
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>
> Hi Gary,
>
> I went to the protest tonight; at about 7 o’clock when I left I think it
would be more accurate to say there was more like 1,000 people there.
>
> (As I’m sure you’re aware) there’s an argument Corbyn has lost support
due to the lacklustre campaign he ran to stay in the EU. The counter
argument is that Corbyn’s reserved endorsement for remain was more in tune
with a sceptical Labour base than many of his MPs (who painted the EU as a
land of milk, honey and worker’s rights). It’s completely conceivable
Corbyn did lose some support from some of his young supporters who were
overwhelmingly in favour of remaining. But his mandate was such it is
unlikely that it has made much difference (given the lack of support the
others received). And so its also unlikely that this coup will be
successful. But I’m beyond doubtful this has translated into much public
support outside of the membership – I.e. in terms of Corbyn being able to
win a general election – and the likelihood is we may well face a snap
election this year to give Cameron’s successor a proper mandate to
negotiate Brexit and, most likely, reboot Osborne’s austerity programme.
>
> Jamie
>
> Sent from Mail for Windows 10
>
> From: Gary MacLennan via Marxism
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Re: [Marxism] Brexit and Labour Party crisis in twitterdom

2016-06-27 Thread jamie pitman via Marxism
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http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jun/27/bruising-day-ends-with-labour-in-turmoil-and-corbyn-turning-to-the-grassroots

The [possibly] crucial point is whether or not Corbyn is automatically placed 
on the ballot. I’ve heard McDonnell say they’ve checked it legally and he is. 
But if he isn’t (or at least if the other side wangles it so he isn’t) then I’m 
afraid he’s done. 

Sent from Mail for Windows 10

From: marinercarpen...@gmail.com
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Re: [Marxism] Brexit and Labour Party crisis in twitterdom

2016-06-27 Thread jamie pitman via Marxism
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Hi Gary,

I went to the protest tonight; at about 7 o’clock when I left I think it would 
be more accurate to say there was more like 1,000 people there. 

(As I’m sure you’re aware) there’s an argument Corbyn has lost support due to 
the lacklustre campaign he ran to stay in the EU. The counter argument is that 
Corbyn’s reserved endorsement for remain was more in tune with a sceptical 
Labour base than many of his MPs (who painted the EU as a land of milk, honey 
and worker’s rights). It’s completely conceivable Corbyn did lose some support 
from some of his young supporters who were overwhelmingly in favour of 
remaining. But his mandate was such it is unlikely that it has made much 
difference (given the lack of support the others received). And so its also 
unlikely that this coup will be successful. But I’m beyond doubtful this has 
translated into much public support outside of the membership – I.e. in terms 
of Corbyn being able to win a general election – and the likelihood is we may 
well face a snap election this year to give Cameron’s successor a proper 
mandate to negotiate Brexit and, most likely, reboot Osborne’s austerity 
programme.

Jamie

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From: Gary MacLennan via Marxism
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[Marxism] Brexit and Labour Party crisis in twitterdom

2016-06-27 Thread Gary MacLennan via Marxism
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I am in a remote part of Australia (again) and am following the crisis in
the Labour Party on Richard Seymour's twitter feed.  (I can picture Lou's
eyes rolling in horror)  Twitter is of course the most infuriating means of
communication yet invented. But it does convey something of the ferment of
what is happening. Compared to the comatose, zombie like state of
Australian politics, it provides like a wonderfully invigorating rush of
excitement and a by the second proof that the status quo is in danger.

I have read Richard's blog on the Verso site and as always it is very
thought provoking. But it is too early to say whether his guess is correct
and that the coup against Corbyn has been bungled.  My selection for the
anti-Corbyn candidate still remains Andy Burnham, though he has tweeted
that he will not support the coup.  If he will not stand, then the coup
could collapse.

So, the plotters against Corbyn will get their vote while thousands of his
supporters chant outside. Did the plotters underestimate Corbyn?  It would
appear so. Richard's analysis is that they want their party back
irrespective of the damage this does.  But as the coup drags on and the
plotters are forced out of the corridors and the back rooms and into the
streets, it is now clear that they will encounter real popular anger.  And
I don't think the likes of Hilary Benn or Alan Johnson will be prepared for
what will happen.


all fascinating.

comradely

Gary
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