Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-06 Thread Chris Peterson
Hi José-

There's no doubt that the vast majority of meteors last at most a few 
seconds. But there is a class of fireballs which are usually seen in the 
early evening, produced by low eccentricity prograde bodies. When these 
bodies enter at a shallow angle, they can produce fireballs that are 
seen for a good fraction of a minute, or even longer. Fireballs like 
this, while rare, are still more common than reentering space junk 
(especially large junk like the recent rocket body). So while it's 
certainly true that reentering space junk is slow compared with the 
average meteor, it isn't much slower than the average shallow fireball 
witnessed over a wide area.

I think it would be very unusual for space junk to be seen for much 
longer than a minute by any one observer (although a three minute path 
is certainly possible, as it is also for a natural meteor). A piece of 
debris with a three minute incandescent path will be quite high, and not 
experiencing very high drag forces. It will have a path length of about 
1200 km. That is too long for a single observer to see the entire thing. 
It may burn for three minutes, but few are in a position to see all of 
it.

When I saw the video for the Colorado event, I immediately thought 
reentry. The low speed was certainly a part of this, but the primary 
indicator for me was the exact nature of the breakup. Even very fragile 
meteoroids don't show the same degree of fragmentation this did. That's 
not surprising, considering that any meteoroid is likely to be much more 
homogeneous than a 10 meter long collection of sheet metal, pipes, nuts 
and bolts! It was breaking into hundreds, maybe thousands of individual 
fragments- something I've never seen in any natural fireball caught on 
video.

Chris

*
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


- Original Message - 
From: Jose Campos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Saturday, January 06, 2007 3:29 AM
Subject: [meteorite-list] Fw: Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in 
Colorado


 Hi Chris,

 When I say more than a few seconds for fireballs, I do mean less 
 than a
 minute, as IN COMPARISSON  to man made space debris; Of course, there 
 are
 fireballs that last some 30s or so - I have seen a few of them - the 
 one
 that you claim to have lasted 45s is most unsual, but certainly it is
 possible to last this long.
 Yes, the minimum speed for a meteor is about 11 km/s - that's way 
 these
 are called slow meteors, - but by far, the vast majority of meteors
 we see, are much faster, namely in the early morning sky.

 Luminous trails produced by man made space junk, are notoriously, 
 SLOW
 moving objects - as compared to the average meteor.
 The time duration of their visibility is on ther order of a minute at
 least, more often 2 or 3 minutes - not only  seconds (in this 
 instance, by
 seconds, I mean less than 1 min.).  Most visual observers, with some
 experience, would say that the event seen in the sky in Colorado on 
 the
 4th of this month, was made not by meteors, but by space debris - even
 from a video such as the one shown, running at its normal speed.
 José Campos
 PS- Good night to all, on that side of the word - here in Portugal its 
 now
 01h15 AM.

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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-06 Thread Jose Campos
Hi Chris,

Thanks for your e-mail. I fully agree with what you say.
The updated ground path of the re-entering debris of the 2nd satage of the 
russian Soyuz SL-4 rocket on your site is most interesting.
as well as, the video and the picture of this event caught by the camera at 
Claudbait Observatory.. May I suggest that on the map of the ground path you 
also plot the position of the  Observatory? All the best for 2007.
José Campos

- Original Message - 
From: Chris Peterson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Saturday, January 06, 2007 4:03 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado


Hi José-

There's no doubt that the vast majority of meteors last at most a few
seconds. But there is a class of fireballs which are usually seen in the
early evening, produced by low eccentricity prograde bodies. When these
bodies enter at a shallow angle, they can produce fireballs that are
seen for a good fraction of a minute, or even longer. Fireballs like
this, while rare, are still more common than reentering space junk
(especially large junk like the recent rocket body). So while it's
certainly true that reentering space junk is slow compared with the
average meteor, it isn't much slower than the average shallow fireball
witnessed over a wide area.

I think it would be very unusual for space junk to be seen for much
longer than a minute by any one observer (although a three minute path
is certainly possible, as it is also for a natural meteor). A piece of
debris with a three minute incandescent path will be quite high, and not
experiencing very high drag forces. It will have a path length of about
1200 km. That is too long for a single observer to see the entire thing.
It may burn for three minutes, but few are in a position to see all of
it.

When I saw the video for the Colorado event, I immediately thought
reentry. The low speed was certainly a part of this, but the primary
indicator for me was the exact nature of the breakup. Even very fragile
meteoroids don't show the same degree of fragmentation this did. That's
not surprising, considering that any meteoroid is likely to be much more
homogeneous than a 10 meter long collection of sheet metal, pipes, nuts
and bolts! It was breaking into hundreds, maybe thousands of individual
fragments- something I've never seen in any natural fireball caught on
video.

Chris

*
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


- Original Message - 
From: Jose Campos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Saturday, January 06, 2007 3:29 AM
Subject: [meteorite-list] Fw: Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in
Colorado


 Hi Chris,

 When I say more than a few seconds for fireballs, I do mean less
 than a
 minute, as IN COMPARISSON  to man made space debris; Of course, there
 are
 fireballs that last some 30s or so - I have seen a few of them - the
 one
 that you claim to have lasted 45s is most unsual, but certainly it is
 possible to last this long.
 Yes, the minimum speed for a meteor is about 11 km/s - that's way
 these
 are called slow meteors, - but by far, the vast majority of meteors
 we see, are much faster, namely in the early morning sky.

 Luminous trails produced by man made space junk, are notoriously,
 SLOW
 moving objects - as compared to the average meteor.
 The time duration of their visibility is on ther order of a minute at
 least, more often 2 or 3 minutes - not only  seconds (in this
 instance, by
 seconds, I mean less than 1 min.).  Most visual observers, with some
 experience, would say that the event seen in the sky in Colorado on
 the
 4th of this month, was made not by meteors, but by space debris - even
 from a video such as the one shown, running at its normal speed.
 José Campos
 PS- Good night to all, on that side of the word - here in Portugal its
 now
 01h15 AM.

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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-06 Thread Chris Peterson
Hi José-

The allsky network cameras are shown on the map as little orange beacons 
(14 of them). Right above the word Colorado, west of Colorado Springs, 
there are two cameras that are very close together. Cloudbait is the 
northernmost one.

Chris

*
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


- Original Message - 
From: Jose Campos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Chris Peterson [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Meteorite List 
meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Saturday, January 06, 2007 4:25 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in 
Colorado


Hi Chris,

Thanks for your e-mail. I fully agree with what you say.
The updated ground path of the re-entering debris of the 2nd satage of 
the
russian Soyuz SL-4 rocket on your site is most interesting.
as well as, the video and the picture of this event caught by the camera 
at
Claudbait Observatory.. May I suggest that on the map of the ground path 
you
also plot the position of the  Observatory? All the best for 2007.
José Campos

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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-05 Thread Jose Campos
Hi Gary,

By space debris, I meant several  pieces of a MAN MADE spacecraft, 
desintegrating thru the Earth's atmosphere.
Sorry about the confusion.
As regarding time, a meteor's visibility  lasts only a few seconds, whereas 
for man made space debris, as it travells at  a much slower speed, it's 
burning trail  becomes visible  for a few minutes. The video shown on CNN is 
quite spectacular.
I have seen a similar event, some 20 yrs ago (?), at night, over the Indian 
Ocean, when I was walking with friends on the beac front in Durban, South 
Africa. This event was seen by many people. The next day, it was reported on 
south african newspapers and TV.

The visibility of a  meteor, even a -14 mag  fireball, (that is as bright as 
the full moon),  will not last longer than a few seconds, at most.
José Campos

- Original Message - 
From: Gary K. Foote [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Friday, January 05, 2007 12:02 AM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado


I'm confused by your post.  What do you mean by 'space debris'?  If the time 
was too
short for space debris and it was also not a meteoroid then what are you 
suggesting?

Befuddled Gary

On 4 Jan 2007 at 23:21, Jose Campos wrote:

 Hi List,

 I fully agree with Marco Langbroek's comments. It was no meteor.
 The article written by Laura Bailey (Jan 4 2007) for THE COLORADOAN,
 mentions that onlookers reported that it could be seen for about 30 
 seconds.
 That is too short a time for space debris, unless if it was seen at a low
 altitude in relation to the horizon, or if it was due to some partial sky
 obstruction (clouds, trees, buildings). Usually, this kind of display 
 lasts
 for some 2 to 3 minutes or even slightly longer..
 José Campos

 - Original Message - 
 From: Marco Langbroek [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
 Sent: Thursday, January 04, 2007 5:32 PM
 Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado


  Dear Ron and List,
  Thank you Ron and all of the posters on this fall.
  This is a case where people had better have their
  geiger counters along. As Ron and others may have
  found out it may contain some radioactive material.
  Best, Dirk Ross..Tokyo
 
  Not likely you need a geiger counter. It is a normal Soyuz rocket stage.
 
  Place, track and time closely coincide with the predicted re-entry of a
  stage of
  the Soyuz rocket (06-063B, #29679) used to launch the French COROT space
  telescope on December 27th from Baikonur. The sighting is only a few
  minutes
  later than the nominal predicted decay time, and at the correct 
  geographic
  location and direction of movement from the last know orbit for this
  object.
 
  The slow movement on the video (assuming the video was real speed)
  corroborates
  it was this decay rather than a meteor.
 
  - Marco
 
  -
  Dr Marco Langbroek
  Dutch Meteor Society (DMS)
 
  e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  website: http://www.dmsweb.org
  priv. website: http://home.wanadoo.nl/marco.langbroek
  -
 
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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-05 Thread Chris Peterson
Hi José-

Fireballs can certainly be visible for more than a few seconds. This
one: http://www.cloudbait.com/science/fireball20061001.html was visible
for at least 45 seconds. I've recorded several others that were at least
15 seconds long. People under the central part of the Peekskill path saw
it for about 30 seconds. The Grand Teton fireball was about 30 seconds.
Tagish Lake produced a fireball at least 15 seconds long.

Reentering space debris is not necessarily traveling at a much lower
speed than natural meteors. An object decaying from low Earth orbit
(which would seem to describe all space junk) has a speed of about 8
km/s, and a slow meteor has a speed of about 11 km/s. Of course, most
meteors will be faster (up to 71 km/s), but the famous slow fireballs
have very similar characteristics to decaying space junk- low speed and
shallow entry angles- and may similarly be seen for many seconds.

Chris

*
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


- Original Message - 
From: Jose Campos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Meteorite List 
meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Friday, January 05, 2007 3:46 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in 
Colorado


Hi Gary,

By space debris, I meant several  pieces of a MAN MADE spacecraft,
desintegrating thru the Earth's atmosphere.
Sorry about the confusion.
As regarding time, a meteor's visibility  lasts only a few seconds, 
whereas
for man made space debris, as it travells at  a much slower speed, it's
burning trail  becomes visible  for a few minutes. The video shown on 
CNN is
quite spectacular.
I have seen a similar event, some 20 yrs ago (?), at night, over the 
Indian
Ocean, when I was walking with friends on the beac front in Durban, 
South
Africa. This event was seen by many people. The next day, it was 
reported on
south african newspapers and TV.

The visibility of a  meteor, even a -14 mag  fireball, (that is as 
bright as
the full moon),  will not last longer than a few seconds, at most.
José Campos

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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-05 Thread GeoZay

The visibility of a  meteor, even a -14 mag   fireball, (that is as bright 
as 
the full moon),  will not last longer  than a few seconds, at most.
This is correct for most meteors. However, some will last a  bit longerup 
into the tens of seconds. The longest lasting one that I'm  aware of is the 
Great Fireball of 1972 over Wyoming and Montana. This one lasted  about 106 
seconds. I'm trying to recall the longest duration that I've  personally 
observed 
while recording meteor data in the 1990's. I seem to vaguely  recall a 
duration of between 10 and 15 seconds. 
George Zay





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[meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-04 Thread Jose Campos
Hi List,

I fully agree with Marco Langbroek's comments. It was no meteor.
The article written by Laura Bailey (Jan 4 2007) for THE COLORADOAN, 
mentions that onlookers reported that it could be seen for about 30 seconds. 
That is too short a time for space debris, unless if it was seen at a low 
altitude in relation to the horizon, or if it was due to some partial sky 
obstruction (clouds, trees, buildings). Usually, this kind of display lasts 
for some 2 to 3 minutes or even slightly longer..
José Campos

- Original Message - 
From: Marco Langbroek [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Thursday, January 04, 2007 5:32 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado


 Dear Ron and List,
 Thank you Ron and all of the posters on this fall.
 This is a case where people had better have their
 geiger counters along. As Ron and others may have
 found out it may contain some radioactive material.
 Best, Dirk Ross..Tokyo

 Not likely you need a geiger counter. It is a normal Soyuz rocket stage.

 Place, track and time closely coincide with the predicted re-entry of a 
 stage of
 the Soyuz rocket (06-063B, #29679) used to launch the French COROT space
 telescope on December 27th from Baikonur. The sighting is only a few 
 minutes
 later than the nominal predicted decay time, and at the correct geographic
 location and direction of movement from the last know orbit for this 
 object.

 The slow movement on the video (assuming the video was real speed) 
 corroborates
 it was this decay rather than a meteor.

 - Marco

 -
 Dr Marco Langbroek
 Dutch Meteor Society (DMS)

 e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 website: http://www.dmsweb.org
 priv. website: http://home.wanadoo.nl/marco.langbroek
 -

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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-04 Thread Gary K. Foote
I'm confused by your post.  What do you mean by 'space debris'?  If the time 
was too 
short for space debris and it was also not a meteoroid then what are you 
suggesting?

Befuddled Gary

On 4 Jan 2007 at 23:21, Jose Campos wrote:

 Hi List,
 
 I fully agree with Marco Langbroek's comments. It was no meteor.
 The article written by Laura Bailey (Jan 4 2007) for THE COLORADOAN, 
 mentions that onlookers reported that it could be seen for about 30 seconds. 
 That is too short a time for space debris, unless if it was seen at a low 
 altitude in relation to the horizon, or if it was due to some partial sky 
 obstruction (clouds, trees, buildings). Usually, this kind of display lasts 
 for some 2 to 3 minutes or even slightly longer..
 José Campos
 
 - Original Message - 
 From: Marco Langbroek [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
 Sent: Thursday, January 04, 2007 5:32 PM
 Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado
 
 
  Dear Ron and List,
  Thank you Ron and all of the posters on this fall.
  This is a case where people had better have their
  geiger counters along. As Ron and others may have
  found out it may contain some radioactive material.
  Best, Dirk Ross..Tokyo
 
  Not likely you need a geiger counter. It is a normal Soyuz rocket stage.
 
  Place, track and time closely coincide with the predicted re-entry of a 
  stage of
  the Soyuz rocket (06-063B, #29679) used to launch the French COROT space
  telescope on December 27th from Baikonur. The sighting is only a few 
  minutes
  later than the nominal predicted decay time, and at the correct geographic
  location and direction of movement from the last know orbit for this 
  object.
 
  The slow movement on the video (assuming the video was real speed) 
  corroborates
  it was this decay rather than a meteor.
 
  - Marco
 
  -
  Dr Marco Langbroek
  Dutch Meteor Society (DMS)
 
  e-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  website: http://www.dmsweb.org
  priv. website: http://home.wanadoo.nl/marco.langbroek
  -
 
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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-04 Thread Chris Peterson
Many people reported seeing the debris for over a minute. From my 
cameras, I've got an average speed of about 8 km/s, at a nearly constant 
height of 60 km. That's very consistent with space junk. I've updated my 
ground path map at 
http://www.cloudbait.com/science/fireball20070104.html to include 
witness reports (the small black squares). Not surprisingly, the vast 
majority of them were between Denver and Colorado Springs, and they were 
seeing the meteor quite low in the sky. Some reported mountains or 
clouds blocking the beginning or ending. The witnesses in western 
Colorado tended to report the event lasting a minute or longer.

Chris

*
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


- Original Message - 
From: Jose Campos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Thursday, January 04, 2007 4:21 PM
Subject: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado


Hi List,

I fully agree with Marco Langbroek's comments. It was no meteor.
The article written by Laura Bailey (Jan 4 2007) for THE COLORADOAN,
mentions that onlookers reported that it could be seen for about 30 
seconds.
That is too short a time for space debris, unless if it was seen at a 
low
altitude in relation to the horizon, or if it was due to some partial 
sky
obstruction (clouds, trees, buildings). Usually, this kind of display 
lasts
for some 2 to 3 minutes or even slightly longer..
José Campos

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Re: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado

2007-01-04 Thread Gary K. Foote
Thanks for that link Chris.  VERY informative.  I've added it to the meteorite-
dealers.com Space News page as I suspect your page on this event will last a 
lot longer 
than those in the news-sites - plus your accuracy of reporting if FAR above 
that of the 
news services.

Thank you very much,

Gary
http://www.meteorite-dealers.com

On 4 Jan 2007 at 17:18, Chris Peterson wrote:

 Many people reported seeing the debris for over a minute. From my 
 cameras, I've got an average speed of about 8 km/s, at a nearly constant 
 height of 60 km. That's very consistent with space junk. I've updated my 
 ground path map at 
 http://www.cloudbait.com/science/fireball20070104.html to include 
 witness reports (the small black squares). Not surprisingly, the vast 
 majority of them were between Denver and Colorado Springs, and they were 
 seeing the meteor quite low in the sky. Some reported mountains or 
 clouds blocking the beginning or ending. The witnesses in western 
 Colorado tended to report the event lasting a minute or longer.
 
 Chris
 
 *
 Chris L Peterson
 Cloudbait Observatory
 http://www.cloudbait.com
 
 
 - Original Message - 
 From: Jose Campos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: Meteorite List meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
 Sent: Thursday, January 04, 2007 4:21 PM
 Subject: [meteorite-list] Fw: Meteors Light Up Morning Sky in Colorado
 
 
 Hi List,
 
 I fully agree with Marco Langbroek's comments. It was no meteor.
 The article written by Laura Bailey (Jan 4 2007) for THE COLORADOAN,
 mentions that onlookers reported that it could be seen for about 30 
 seconds.
 That is too short a time for space debris, unless if it was seen at a 
 low
 altitude in relation to the horizon, or if it was due to some partial 
 sky
 obstruction (clouds, trees, buildings). Usually, this kind of display 
 lasts
 for some 2 to 3 minutes or even slightly longer..
 José Campos
 
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