Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread Newmedia
Felix:
 
 What has happened through financialization is not the rise of
 machines, or some creation of intelligent forms of agency beyond
 human comprehension.
 
Who said any of this is beyond comprehension?  If you choose to not  even 
try to understand something, for your own reasons of *dogma* (such as  
SCOT), the initial reasons for which have long been forgotten, then what does  
that tell us about forms of agency?
 
It is the machines that are *spying* on us -- not humans.  It is the  
machines that are taking our jobs -- not humans (now that wage arbitrage is  
declining).
 
As George Dyson illustrates in his Turing's Cathedral: The Origins of the  
Digital Universe, something *qualitatively* different has been invented.
 
Why is that so difficult to grasp?
 
Mark Stahlman
Brooklyn NY





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Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread Felix Stalder
OK. It's the machines. You convinced me. Now, what?

Felix



On 09/29/2013 02:34 PM, newme...@aol.com wrote:
 It is the machines that are *spying* on us -- not humans.  It is the  
 machines that are taking our jobs -- not humans (now that wage arbitrage is 
  
 declining).
  





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Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread mp

On 29/09/13 14:34, newme...@aol.com wrote:
 It is the machines that are *spying* on us -- not humans.  It is the  
 machines that are taking our jobs -- not humans (now that wage arbitrage is 
  
 declining).

So if we switch them off, all associated problems go away?

 As George Dyson illustrates in his Turing's Cathedral: The Origins of the  
 Digital Universe, something *qualitatively* different has been invented.

Qualitatively different  than/from what, exactly?

 Why is that so difficult to grasp?

Perhaps because it is qualitatively different?

m




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Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread Armin Medosch


On 09/30/2013 01:12 PM, Felix Stalder wrote:

OK. It's the machines. You convinced me. Now, what?

Felix


silent chuckle ...

I wanted to throw in my 2pence already a while ago. Last year I had
the opportunity of investigating the matter journalistically, through
a series of interviews, and I was lucky to find a couple of insiders
who would talk.

In principle, it is important to differentiate between different forms
of algorithmic trading. There are on one hand, large investment banks
and hedge funds who hold large portfolios of different types of stocks
and equities; they also need fast computers and fast lines, but just
because they need to keep track of lots of different positions and
their relations to each other - together with news and lots of other
things happening in real time;

those are the companies who employ Quants, people with high level
mathematical and/or theoretical physics knowledge to design the
software and the 'products' traded, but the trading itself is not
really high-frequency, the final decisions are still made by humans
and there are a number of trades a day or even more, but nothing
approaching nano-second stuff.

High Frequency Trading is a special case of algo-trading and that
really is a world of its own; according to one insider, the big
investment banks and hedge funds are not really good at it at all,
because it is based on a different mentality - very much a kind of
nerd / hacker type mentality - so that mostly new companies are doing
it who follow this special mindset. the algorithms used are relatively
simple, you don't ned the brain of a quant to write one, but it has
to be very reliable; the strategies applied are aiming at very low
risk as opposed to the risky 'over the counter' deals of hedge funds;
software base is mostly Linux and open source and the entry level
for firms relatively low; my source claimed that HFT was actually a
'democratization' of speculation, because in a few years everybody
would be able to do it.

I was also surprised to learn about conditions in this industry. You 
could say that this was a kind of Fordism of financialism, where you 
have very few analysts but many coders and data base maintainers; they 
are all employed with 38 hours jobs, lots of holidays and on the job 
training and, while salaries are higher than almost everywhere else, 
they are very much lower than totally out of poportion bankers' boni.


This just confirms that there is a general tendency in society to 
mystify the workings of machines, whereby the commodity fetishism 
applied to machines just conceals the real mechanisms of social power as 
carried out by people, corporations, powerful interest groups. HFT is 
not that bete noir of banking as what it has been protrayed by some. If 
it is a good thing I dont know and have serious doubts about the 
'democratization'.


Well, yes, maybe there are 'epistemological spaces' in those nano-second 
trades that are inaccessible to humans, but so-what? There are probably 
also inaccessible epsitemological spaces in the vast amount of data 
collected by NSA and others (something that Virilio suggested in Vision 
Machines).


The point is that while we can fret about 'inhuman' thought structures 
philosophically, precious life-time and energy is NOT spent on 
uncovering or countering the doings of those less than 1 % who ruin the 
planet for all, as Brian pointed out.


there is a philosophical aspect to that discourse on umans/non-humans 
that has someting to to with Virilio, Latour and Barad which I would 
love to elaborate on more now, but unfortunately I have some other work 
to do today in order to 'earn a living' as the saying goes


best
Armin





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Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread Joe Raimondo
Doug Rushkoff has spoken of the architecture of Lower Manhattan coming to
resemble that of a microprocessor. The gates keep becoming more tightly
packed; for every meter you move closer to the Valhalla (old Verizon co-lo
facility at 375 Pearl st.), you are one nanosecond closer to perfect
insight.  Or so they think.


On Mon, Sep 30, 2013 at 9:07 AM, Armin Medosch ar...@easynet.co.uk wrote:

 On 09/30/2013 01:12 PM, Felix Stalder wrote:

 OK. It's the machines. You convinced me. Now, what?

 Felix


 silent chuckle ...

 I wanted to throw in my 2pence already a while ago. Last year I had
 the opportunity of investigating the matter journalistically, through
 a series of interviews, and I was lucky to find a couple of insiders
 who would talk.
 ...


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Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread Chad Scoville
Thx 2 Armin for an elegant summation on the range of eletronic trading sytems 
and methodologies. A lot of very excellent posts to this thread.

To Brian's point on the relative applicability of this financial approach, I 
think by looking at total volumes across all asset classes, perhaps specfically 
CME Globex, its quite apparent from that data that the levels are continuing to 
increase.

But still, here the present condition is that transactions conducted on a scale 
impenetrable to the human gaze and manageable only through highly sophisticated 
automation. And the scale accounts for a significant percentage of overall 
global gdp in terms of notional value. It is a fact that movements occur in the 
single-digit microseconds and capital is accrued proportional to sytem and 
transport latency.

The level of automation is rudimentary at this stage; it is problematic that 
from a computational perspective, machines don't quite have the neural 
complexity to rationalize around all deviations and hence their adaptability is 
limited. But I know neural-networking research is becoming apart of this field 
for advanced QR [you can see job positings requesting this skill specifically].

But isn't this expected? Couldn't we all see this coming? The continual 
derivitization of value to now where it is a function of precision timekeeping 
- the event becomes zero-point, completely disappearing?

My view is that it will continue, and I'm surprised that we don't as of yet 
off-world, satellite-based dark venues. I do see the financial world as a 
second-tier, breakway civilization.

And what about real-time-bidding advertising networks? A deeper extrapolation 
of value not relegate to the act of seeing / gaze, but rather the 
potentialization of the gaze? And how will the machines leverage that space?

But his could be the 'ghettoization' of finance - a reversal effect of 
something taken to an ultimate extreme - whereas it's balkanization becomes 
abstracted to it's own extinction allowing for a new and perhaps more slow lane 
approach to resource allocation.

Interesting subjects to discuss indeed.

/chadscoville
/www.riftrouter.cx


-Original Message-
From: Armin Medosch [mailto:ar...@easynet.co.uk]
Sent: Monday, September 30, 2013 09:07 AM
To: 'a moderated mailing list for net criticism'
Subject: Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see
 ...


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Re: nettime The secret financial market only robots can see

2013-09-30 Thread David Mandl
Hi Armin--

On Sep 30, 2013, at 9:07 AM, Armin Medosch ar...@easynet.co.uk wrote:

 In principle, it is important to differentiate between different forms
 of algorithmic trading. There are on one hand, large investment banks
 and hedge funds who hold large portfolios of different types of stocks
 and equities; they also need fast computers and fast lines, but just
 because they need to keep track of lots of different positions and
 their relations to each other - together with news and lots of other
 things happening in real time;
 
 those are the companies who employ Quants, people with high level
 mathematical and/or theoretical physics knowledge to design the
 software and the 'products' traded, but the trading itself is not
 really high-frequency, the final decisions are still made by humans
 and there are a number of trades a day or even more, but nothing
 approaching nano-second stuff.

Right, I wouldn't call this algorithmic trading at all. This is general risk 
management: How exposed am I to interest-rate movements, shifts in volatility, 
big drops in a particular industry or the market as a whole? etc. There are 
standard measures for these things, usually called the Greeks: delta, gamma, 
vega, rho.

The trading involved here can be minimal, depending on how often the desk wants 
to rebalance their portfolio to neutralize these risks. That could be once or a 
day or once an hour. But the main work and intelligence here is in the 
systems that compute these risk measures, and the people who decide what 
measures are meaningful to them. The trading doesn't have to be anything fancy. 
No algorithms needed, usually.

 High Frequency Trading is a special case of algo-trading and that
 really is a world of its own; according to one insider, the big
 investment banks and hedge funds are not really good at it at all,
 because it is based on a different mentality - very much a kind of
 nerd / hacker type mentality - so that mostly new companies are doing
 it who follow this special mindset. the algorithms used are relatively
 simple, you don't ned the brain of a quant to write one, but it has
 to be very reliable; the strategies applied are aiming at very low
 risk as opposed to the risky 'over the counter' deals of hedge funds;
 software base is mostly Linux and open source and the entry level
 for firms relatively low; my source claimed that HFT was actually a
 'democratization' of speculation, because in a few years everybody
 would be able to do it.

In my experience, the talk about open source in finance is exaggerated. All 
these systems run on Linux boxes, but that's pretty much where it ends. The 
algorithmic stuff tends to be proprietary, whether it's any good or not, and 
written in C++ or Java. There's no end of articles about how Wall St. has gone 
open-source, and I don't get it. They might use the gnu C++ compiler, or use 
cvs for source-control, but that's been going on forever. I don't think I've 
ever worked on a trading or risk-management system that wasn't proprietary. In 
fact I know someone who knows someone who used to work with a certain Russian 
programmer who was arrested and had his life more or less ruined because he was 
suspected of stealing the secret algorithmic code from the firm he was leaving 
in order to bring it to the hedge fund he was going to. Or so I've heard.

While quants aren't needed to write the trading algorithms, they definitely 
write a lot of the code that gets baked into these systems--for figuring out 
what the fair price of some esoteric derivative is, for computing the desk's 
risk (see above), etc. There's a pretty clear separation of responsibility 
between the programmers and the quants, though the former know a hell of a lot 
about the market and the latter know a lot about software. Whatever else you 
can say about them, most of these quants, at least at the top firms, seriously 
know their mathematical shit. Many, but not all, of the programmers are equally 
on top of the technology. This is pretty specialized knowledge, which is why 
good Wall St. techies are paid as finance people rather than as programmers. 
Historically, no programmer in any other industry could make anything like what 
Wall St. tech people made, though I've heard that's changing with some people 
at Google etc. At the same time, Wall St. firms are getting stingi
 er. (Yeah, things are bad all over.)

 I was also surprised to learn about conditions in this industry. You could 
 say that this was a kind of Fordism of financialism, where you have very few 
 analysts but many coders and data base maintainers; they are all employed 
 with 38 hours jobs, lots of holidays and on the job training and, while 
 salaries are higher than almost everywhere else, they are very much lower 
 than totally out of poportion bankers' boni.

See above. Certainly almost no Wall St. programmer's salary can touch a 
trader's salary, but they're still far above what other tech people make. It's