Re: UN resolutions and Desert Fox (98) and Sept 96attacks on Iraq

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi
Re: UN resolutions and Desert Fox (98) and Sept
96attacks on Iraq

Read what John Pilger said back in Aug. 2000.
According to Boutros Boutros-Ghali, not even the
no-fly zones are authorized by the original
resolutions, let alone using them as a means to
bomb Iraq.  


Labour Party to increase military spending;
bombing of Iraq criticized. John Pilger

August 7, 2000

All governments are liars, wrote the great
American muckraker I F Stone, and nothing they
say should be believed. He exaggerated, although
not by much. The lies of new Labour appear more
grandiose than those of its Tory predecessors in
government, only because of the illusions it is
allowed to promote. For example, under headlines
announcing a revolution, Gordon Brown was said
to hand out the historic sum of [pound]43bn.
The truth was the opposite: new Labour's spending
on public services will be considerably less than
in all but three years of Tory governments since
1979. Under this government, the divisions
between the healthy and sick, rich and poor, have
grown as never before.

However, as the Prime Minister noted in his
famous leaked memo, new Labour will stand up
for Britain. There is some truth in this, if you
regard the war industry as Britain. Military
spending is to rise for the first time since the
end of the cold war. That is to say, the one,
true commitment of new Labour is the acquisition,
manufacture and selling of the means of killing
and maiming, and the pursuit of policies that, by
other means, have a similar effect. Here, the
attendant lies are spectacular.

On the BBC's Today programme recently, the
Foreign Office minister Peter Hain gave his
personal assurance that new Labour had never sold
arms to any government that used them for
internal repression. At last month's Farnborough
arms fair, weapons and all manner of war
equipment were on offer to Pakistan, Indonesia,
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Turkey and other countries
for which there is a voluminous record of
internal repression. Such is the scale of the
repression, and so corrupt is the medieval regime
in Saudi Arabia, that the report of the National
Audit Office into the multibillion-pound British
arms deal known as Al Yammamah remains suppressed
by this government, largely at the urging of the
Foreign Office, of which Hain is one of the most
enthusiastic mouthpieces in memory. 

Apart from an occasional Amnesty report, the
Foreign Office has largely succeeded in keeping
the facts about the Saudi regime out of the
British media. In the same way, the export of
handguns that are banned in this country and the
use o f cluster bombs -- landmines in all but
name -- have been minimised as issues of
international criminality, along with the
targeting of civilians in Iraq and former
Yugoslavia.

As I have told the House on many occasions,
said Hain on 2 May, we are not conducting a
bombing campaign against Iraq... The Royal Air
Force, together with the US, bombs Iraq almost
every day. Since December 1998, the Ministry of
Defence has admitted dropping 780 tonnes of bombs
on a 

country with which Britain is not at war. During
the same period, the United States has conducted
24,000 combat missions over southern Iraq alone,
mostly in populated areas. In one five-month
period, 41 per cent of casualties were civilians:
farmers, fishermen, shepherds, their children and
their sheep -- 

the circumstances of their killing were
documented by the United Nations Security Sector.
Now consider Hain's statement that no bombing
campaign exists. In truth, it is the longest such
campaign since the Second World War.

Our actions are entirely lawful, wrote Hain in
a now notorious letter drafted by the Iraq desk
at the Foreign Office. In fact, the bombing has
no basis in international law. To be absolutely
sure about this, I took the trouble to ask Dr
Boutros Boutros-Ghali, who was secretary-general
of the UN when the US and Britain set up the
so-called no-fly zones, in which they dictate
whose aircraft can fly. The Security council
never approved or in any way ratified these
zones, he said. Does that make them illegal? I
asked. Yes, he replied. Although minuscule
compared with the US adventure in Iraq, the RAF
bombing costs the British taxpayer [pound]63m a
year. That, incidentally, is the figure new 

Labour clawed back from single mothers in
benefits. Hain seems to want to make his name on
the great suffering of Iraq, as well he might. He
has signed along letter to MPs and constituents
that is almost entirely untrue. For example, it
says that there is no credible research data
linking the use of depleted uranium (DU) with the
sevenfold increase in cancer in southern Iraq.

Since 1943, when the atomic bomb was being
developed, there has been an abundance of
documented evidence that DU destroys lung tissue
and leads to cancer. The UK Atomic Energy
Authority quoted a theoretical 500,000 potential
deaths in the region following the Gulf war if
only a fraction of DU dust was inhaled. It is ten
years on 

Re: Re: Polluted Air Increases medical expenses:ken hanly

2002-11-15 Thread ken hanly
My son is an economist who works for the Sask government and tries to
determine costs to Saskatchewan of the Kyoto agreement. His take on the
Liberals is that they think the overall political impact of signing on to
Kyoto is positive. It will not be a case of Martin paying the bill.
The targets simply will not be met insofar as they create any serious
economic disruption. What is the cost of not meeting them? Bombing by Bush!
So some environmentalists will howl. The government can point out that it is
the protector of jobs economic growth etc.

Cheers, Ken Hanly
- Original Message -
From: Hari Kumar [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: pen-l [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, November 13, 2002 4:46 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:32177] Re: Polluted Air Increases medical expenses:ken hanly


 Ken:
 Thanks.
 Have any economists done an analysis on the societal benefits resulting
 from reduction of emissions etc.? Given the barrage of stuff from the
 anti-Kyoto-ists in Canada - it might be useful grist.
 PS: What do you think the Chretien push on Kyotot is all about? Leave
 Martin with the bill?
 H





An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman

Gore is coming out for single payer; Bush is talking about privatizing
government jobs.  Could the Dems be ready to be a real opposition party?

Are the Greens partially responsible for the Dems giving signs of moving
to the left?
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Bill Lear
On Friday, November 15, 2002 at 06:55:45 (-0800) Michael Perelman writes:

Gore is coming out for single payer; Bush is talking about privatizing
government jobs.  Could the Dems be ready to be a real opposition party?

Are the Greens partially responsible for the Dems giving signs of moving
to the left?

Not if you follow the admirable Thomas Ferguson's line of reasoning
and follow the money.  To the extent that there is conflict among
elite sectors of society, that will be reflected in party opposition.
The sectors of the economy that are coalescing behind the Democrats
couldn't support too much of a lurch leftward (meaning, back toward
the center).  My guess is that single payer is going to be nuanced
--- meaning costs will be socialized, gains privatized, lots of
loopholes, etc.


Bill




RE: Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:32253] Re: An opposition party





Frankly, I can't see Gore pulling a Bullworth, i.e., having a mid-life crisis and then returning to his New-Deal liberal roots. (I'm not talking about the rap part of the flick.) Remember that he was -- and likely is -- a leader of the Democratic Leadership Conference, one of the organizations that pushed hard to make the Dems into GOP Lite. 


Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




 -Original Message-
 From: Bill Lear [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
 Sent: Friday, November 15, 2002 8:09 AM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [PEN-L:32253] Re: An opposition party
 
 
 On Friday, November 15, 2002 at 06:55:45 (-0800) Michael 
 Perelman writes:
 
 Gore is coming out for single payer; Bush is talking about 
 privatizing
 government jobs. Could the Dems be ready to be a real 
 opposition party?
 
 Are the Greens partially responsible for the Dems giving 
 signs of moving
 to the left?
 
 Not if you follow the admirable Thomas Ferguson's line of reasoning
 and follow the money. To the extent that there is conflict among
 elite sectors of society, that will be reflected in party opposition.
 The sectors of the economy that are coalescing behind the Democrats
 couldn't support too much of a lurch leftward (meaning, back toward
 the center). My guess is that single payer is going to be nuanced
 --- meaning costs will be socialized, gains privatized, lots of
 loopholes, etc.
 
 
 Bill
 
 





Re: Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman
Both Jim and Bill have dashed my hopes, but a Bullworth conversion would
certainly be a hoot.
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Re: Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:32255] Re: Re: An opposition party





it would be interesting to see Gore actually having rhythm. 



Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




 -Original Message-
 From: Michael Perelman [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
 Sent: Friday, November 15, 2002 8:13 AM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [PEN-L:32255] Re: Re: An opposition party
 
 
 Both Jim and Bill have dashed my hopes, but a Bullworth 
 conversion would
 certainly be a hoot.
 -- 
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 Chico, CA 95929
 
 Tel. 530-898-5321
 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 





Re: RE: Re: Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman

Actually, when he speaks to Black audiences, he does get a very good
cadence and sounds quite impressive -- if you forget the source of the
words.

On Fri, Nov 15, 2002 at 08:14:08AM -0800, Devine, James wrote:
 it would be interesting to see Gore actually having rhythm. 
 
 
 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine
 
 
 
  -Original Message-
  From: Michael Perelman [mailto:michael;ecst.csuchico.edu]
  Sent: Friday, November 15, 2002 8:13 AM
  To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Subject: [PEN-L:32255] Re: Re: An opposition party
  
  
  Both Jim and Bill have dashed my hopes, but a Bullworth 
  conversion would
  certainly be a hoot.
  -- 
  Michael Perelman
  Economics Department
  California State University
  Chico, CA 95929
  
  Tel. 530-898-5321
  E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  
  

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Theory/my conclusion

2002-11-15 Thread Waistline2
"But the perfecting of machinery is making human labor superfluous. If the introduction and increase of machinery means the displacement of millions of manual by a few machine-workers, improvement in machinery means the displacement of more and more of the machine-workers themselves. It means, in the last instance, the production of a number of available wage workers in excess of the average needs of capital, the formation of a complete industrial reserve army, as I called it in 1845, available at the times when industry is working at high pressure, to be cast out upon the street when the inevitable crash comes, a constant dead weight upon the limbs of the working-class in its struggle for existence with capital, a regulator for keeping of wages down to the low level that suits the interests of capital. 

"Thus it comes about, to quote Marx, that machinery becomes the most powerful weapon in the war of capital against the working-class; that the instruments of labor constantly tear the means of subsistence out of the hands of the laborer; that they very product of the worker is turned into an instrument for his subjugation. 

"Thus it comes about that the economizing of the instruments of labor becomes at the same time, from the outset, the most reckless waste of labor-power, and robbery based upon the normal conditions under which labor functions; that machinery, 

'the most powerful instrument for shortening labor time, becomes the most unfailing means for placing every moment of the laborer's time and that of his family at the disposal of the capitalist for the purpose of expanding the value of his capital.' (Capital, English edition,)
 
(End of quote: Engels Socialism: Utopia and Scientific)



The theoretical proposition that we have arrived at a new phase - juncture, in history comes straight from the horse's mouth. It was to the lot of Frederick Engels to discover the historic trajectory of the law of value back in 1845. It was to the lot of Karl Marx to unravel the law system of value - commodity production. Karl Marx read Engel's "Condition of the Working Class in England" and said, 

"Damn, who is this guy. We arrived at the same conclusion from different avenues." Marx actually relays this story in the Preface to his Contribution to a Critique of Political Economy. 

Engel's calls machinery and its technological advance labor wasting devices and not labor saving devices. Labor cannot be "saved" as such, only stored in the form of dead labor - machinery, whose activation by living labor excites the production process to life. Society has passed from the stage of creating a reserved army of labor to destruction of the working class as a class. This process unfolds uneven, yet millions have today been pushed outside the sphere, wherein the sell and purchase of labor power takes place.

Emancipation of a class means its destruction as an economic category, not spiritual or ideological enlightenment. 

The advance of computerization and the current stage in robotics are new qualitative ingredients injected into the production process, which makes the reform of the industrial system impossible. Thus begins the leap to a new mode of production and with this transition the demand for a new doctrine to advance theoretical Marxism becomes urgent. 

The computer and advanced robotics is the gravedigger of the bourgeoisie as a class. 

Picture that. Heck I grew up thinking that the working class as a class was the gravedigger! What a difference a day - or rather doctrine, makes!


Melvin P. 



Argentina defaults on loan repayment

2002-11-15 Thread Sabri Oncu
Are there any Argentines here who can comment on this? Sabri

++

Financial Times

Argentina defaults on loan repayment
By Alan Beattie in Washington
November 15 2002 0:29

The Argentine government on Thursday took the extraordinary step
of defaulting on a loan repayment to the World Bank, in a sign of
its intense frustration over negotiations with the bank's sister
institution, the International Monetary Fund.

The decision not to make a due payment of $805m places Argentina
in the company of countries such as Iraq, Zimbabwe and Liberia in
defaulting on loans from international institutions.

It makes Argentina ineligible for any new lending from the bank
or reductions in interest rates on outstanding loans.
Disbursements from existing loans, around $2bn of which has yet
to be paid, will also be stopped if the country does not pay
within 30 days.

Alfredo Atanasof, chief of the cabinet, said: The country's
level of reserves prevents it from paying the total of the quotas
that expire today. An interest payment of $79m would be made, he
said.

The World Bank confirmed it had received a partial payment. The
World Bank welcomes statements from government officials that
Argentina remains committed to rectifying the situation as soon
as possible.

Economists said the decision showed Argentina's determination to
raise the stakes in negotiations with the IMF.

The government wants to have its $13bn debt to the fund rolled
over until the end of next year.

The IMF said on Thursday that it would allow Argentina to defer
its next loan repayment, due on November 22.






Argentina's Default

2002-11-15 Thread Sabri Oncu
Hanging by a thread

Nov 15th 2002
From The Economist Global Agenda


Argentina’s decision to default on its loan payments to the World
Bank will worsen the country’s economic predicament. And it will
not make it easier for the government to reach a deal with the
International Monetary Fund


MOST people expected Argentina to blink first. For weeks, the
government of President Eduardo Duhalde had been threatening to
default on the $805m payment to the World Bank due on Thursday
November 14th. The threat was explicitly aimed at persuading the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) to agree to a new programme for
Argentina which would unlock new IMF money for the beleaguered
economy. But the IMF, exasperated by Argentina’s failure to
deliver economic reforms, refused to play ball. Argentina in turn
decided it had nothing to lose by trying to force the issue.

So the economy minister, Roberto Lavagna, went in person to the
World Bank headquarters in Washington to deliver the news that
his government would only pay $79.2m, the interest element of the
loan repayment due. Back in Buenos Aires, Mr Duhalde confirmed
that the government was still negotiating with the IMF and would
meet its obligations as soon as a deal was sealed.

This is a high-risk strategy for a country still reeling from the
catastrophic economic collapse it experienced at the turn of the
year. Argentina has now, in effect, cut itself off from its last
source of outside financing. The government defaulted on its
debts to the private sector last December—at around $140 billion,
that made it the biggest default in history. IMF disbursements
have also been suspended for ten months as negotiations on a new
IMF programme have dragged on.


If the World Bank loan isn’t repaid within 30 days of the due
date, no new loans will be forthcoming and there can be no
interest-rate reductions on existing loans; if the government
remains in default for 60 days, all disbursements of existing
loans will stop as well. Since the World Bank money has been
aimed at mitigating the worst effects of Argentina's economic
crisis, the default has potentially unpleasant consequences for
the country's poorest citizens.

Poverty has increased sharply in Argentina. By the end of this
year, the IMF reckons the economy will have shrunk by about 20%
over a four-year period. Unemployment has soared during the long
recession that eventually made the country’s currency peg—fixed
at parity with the American dollar—unsustainable. Instead of
accepting the advice of many economists (and, in private, many
governments) that the peg should be abandoned, the then
government in Buenos Aires stubbornly stuck to the ten-year-old
peg.

The crisis that unfolded in December 2001 was far worse than
anyone had predicted. As the economy crashed, so did the banking
system, and the government. Economic chaos was followed by
political chaos. Mr Duhalde is the fourth man to hold the office
since Fernando de la Rua was ousted last December. By bringing
forward the presidential elections to next March, Mr Duhalde in
effect put himself in charge of a caretaker administration. That
hasn’t helped him stop the political infighting that has hindered
economic reform.

It's reform that the IMF wants to see before it will put new
money on the table. The Fund was heavily criticised in some
quarters for providing Argentina with a new $8 billion loan in
August last year without demanding an end to the currency peg.
Those involved with that decision defend it on the basis that it
is difficult to advise a government to abandon a policy which has
widespread popular support—as the currency peg did—and to refuse
new money when a government proposes an economic programme which,
in principle, appears sustainable.

The critics remain unconvinced by that explanation, though, and
the IMF has certainly taken a much tougher line this year,
wanting clear evidence that promises of reform are credible.
Senior Fund staff have privately expressed exasperation at
Argentina’s reluctance to accept the need to put its economic
house in order. Some of that frustration spilled over in public
on November 15th, when Horst Köhler, the IMF's head, said that
even in a crisis, taking responsibility for oneself is
unavoidable.

On the face of it, defaulting on its World Bank loan makes
Argentina’s negotiations with the IMF far more difficult. Some
observers doubt a deal is possible this side of the elections:
the IMF, they suspect, no longer trusts the current government
enough and doubts its ability to deliver on any promises it does
make.

And yet the Fund’s response to the default announcement was
intriguing. It did not comment directly on Argentina’s decision.
Instead, a statement said that progress had been made in the
latest round of negotiations between Argentina and the IMF, but
that further issues needed to be resolved. It also referred to
the need to seek political consensus for what had already been
agreed.

High stakes for Lavagna and 

Re: Re: Re: economy in novels

2002-11-15 Thread Mohammad Maljoo
Also, see . Bruna Ingrao, “Economic Life in Ninteenth-Century Novels: What 
Economists might Learn from Literature,” in Guido Erreygers (ed.), 
_Economics and Interdisciplinary Exchange_ (London and New York:
Routledge, 2001).

Mohammad Maljoo







From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [PEN-L:32216] Re: Re: economy in novels
Date: Thu, 14 Nov 2002 09:35:15 -0800

Stephen Hymer's Monthly Review article on Robinson Crusoe is an excellent
example of using novels to teach economics.
--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]



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Re: economy in novels

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Hoover
A student wants to read some novels to compare the views on capitalism they portray. 
Any suggestions? (something more contemporary than, say, Dickens' Hard Times). 
Post-WWII or thereabouts. Thanks, Mat

jack conroy's 'the disinherited',  meridel lesuer's 'the girl' (both depression 
era)...   michael hoover




Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Hoover
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 11/13/02 02:59PM 
Doug Henwood wrote:
 The U.S. is under the control of a frightening gang of lunatics
hellbent on war with a good bit of the world. Why are Toni Negri and The Nation 
magazine such urgent enemies?

They aren't -- but this is a maillist, not the political bureau of a
mass revolutionary party, or even the steering committee of a mass reform party.
Carrol


theorizing configurations of global and local requires new multidimensional strategies 
ranging from macro to micro in order to intervene in wide range of contemporary and 
future struggles, max weber meet thomas hobbes...   michael hoover




Re: Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray

- Original Message -
From: Michael Hoover [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, November 15, 2002 11:26 AM
Subject: [PEN-L:32263] Re: Negri explains the multitude


  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 11/13/02 02:59PM 
 Doug Henwood wrote:
  The U.S. is under the control of a frightening gang of lunatics
 hellbent on war with a good bit of the world. Why are Toni Negri and The
Nation magazine such urgent enemies?

 They aren't -- but this is a maillist, not the political bureau of a
 mass revolutionary party, or even the steering committee of a mass reform
party.
 Carrol
 

 theorizing configurations of global and local requires new
multidimensional strategies ranging from macro to micro in order to
intervene in wide range of contemporary and future struggles, max weber meet
thomas hobbes...   michael hoover

===

And Benoit Mandelbrot...

Ian




Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Chris Burford
At 15/11/02 11:55 -0800, you wrote:

   but this is a maillist, not the political bureau of a
 mass revolutionary party, or even the steering committee of a mass reform
party.
 Carrol
 

 theorizing configurations of global and local requires new
multidimensional strategies ranging from macro to micro in order to
intervene in wide range of contemporary and future struggles, max weber meet
thomas hobbes...   michael hoover

===

And Benoit Mandelbrot...

Ian



These comments are not as whimsical as they might seem. At the risk of 
inviting a whole number of people to disagree, including perhaps Ian and 
Michael H, let me try amplifying them in the way that makes sense to me.

Yes there is not a single line or programme, but struggles at both the 
local level and the global level can enhance democracy for working people, 
and restrict the power of capital. The struggle for concrete demoncratic 
rights for working people is a major feature of the struggle for socialism.

 Making transparent the social nature of productive relations, and 
removing the mystification of money, prepares the ground for the ownership 
and control of the means of production for working people.

The multitude was a negative term for Spinoza, but Hardt and Negri use it 
in a positive sense to mean the masses of working people., and to infuse 
some revolutionary enthusiasm, and lightness of being at the expense of 
clearly defining the target of the fight and emphasising class struggle. 
But in the sense that the expropriation of capital will be by the billions 
of working people whose creative energies, capital represents, that is a 
relevant fundamental contradiction in the world today.

Yes Mandelbrot, and other champions of chaos theory, remind us that the 
stabilities of the world may conceal the possibility of sudden 
instabilities, or phase changes. These seem impossible for much of the 
time, and at other times need only a relatively slight push to flip the 
whole system into a different phase state. More dully called dynamical 
systems theory, together with complexity theory, it provides a scientific 
structure that in consistent with dialectical principles of qualitative 
change sometimes leading to quantitative changes.

Basically it is about whether you believe the economic system is 
essentially a social system, although privately owned, and whether you 
believe in the cooperative powers of human beings eventually to get on top 
of it, even though there may be no one party line.

Chris Burford

London









Re: economy in novels

2002-11-15 Thread Tom Walker
Oh, I almost forgot to mention Walter Brierley's The Sandwichman, 1937. I
recommended this one before in reply to a Pen-l thread a couple of years ago
on Workplace Literature. So I'll just recycle my 2 1/2 year old message:

Louis Proyect wrote or quoted:

Marx warned that, in a capitalist system, the worker becomes a
commodity, and indeed, the most despised of commodities. Saunders'
correction is that the worker becomes an advertisement, and, indeed, the
most wretchedly inarticulate of advertisements. . . 

I would like to here and now start a cult for a 1937 book by Walter
Brierley titled, The Sandwichman. Actually, I'd like to start a cult for
about 25 pages in the book, from 201 to 226, wherein the unemployed
protagonist, Arthur Gardner, temporarily works at two 'jobs'. The first
assignment is as the sandwichman of the book's title, advertising a sale
at a furniture store. The second is as an adult education night school
lecturer, presenting a series of six lectures on drama, one on
pre-Shakespearean, one -- or two, perhaps -- on Shakespeare, then
Restoration and the Romantic comedy in one, then two on the moderns.

As a sandwichman for the furniture store, Arthur wears a sign that
proclaims: SALE! SALE! SALE! LATHAM'S! LATHAM'S! LATHAMS!. His lectures,
in Fritchburn, a little village about half-way between Pirley and
Leawood, are advertised by an paper stuck to a bus-stop hoarding
announcing Arthur's name in large capitals and the subject of
that evening's lecture.

Arthur manages to delude himself into believing that hawking culture as
if it were furniture is somehow more 'respectible' than hawking furniture,
but other than the delusion, the former comes off as a more profound
humiliation than the former.


Tom Walker
604 255 4812




new radio stuff

2002-11-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Just posted to my radio archive 
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Radio.html, my November 14 
show, featuring:

* Ruy Teixeira, public opinion expert at The Century Foundation and 
co-author of The Emerging Democratic Majority on why that majority 
failed to emerge on November 5
* Bonnie Brower, of The City Project, on the dire budget situation in 
New York City

Already on the site: interviews with Christopher Hitchens (on Orwell 
and his new bellicose self); Noam Chomsky, Tariq Ali, Cynthia Enloe 
(on the coming war with Iraq); Linda Peeno (former HMO medical 
director, on how she denied care to increase profits); Joseph 
Stiglitz (on his time with the Clinton administration and the World 
Bank, ending with his suggestion that maybe it's time to shut the 
IMF); Judith Levine (on kids and sex); Robert Brenner (on the bubble 
and the bust); Greg Palast (on the Florida election scandals and 
other things); and Gore Vidal; y mucho mucho mas!

Doug



Re: new radio stuff

2002-11-15 Thread Bill Lear
On Friday, November 15, 2002 at 16:35:44 (-0500) Doug Henwood writes:
...
Already on the site: interviews with Christopher Hitchens (on Orwell 
and his new bellicose self); ...

I don't have the appropriate hardware to listen to these, though I'd
like to.  How was Hitchens?


Bill




Re: Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray

- Original Message -
From: Chris Burford [EMAIL PROTECTED]

   theorizing configurations of global and local requires new
 multidimensional strategies ranging from macro to micro in order to
 intervene in wide range of contemporary and future struggles, max weber
meet
 thomas hobbes...   michael hoover
 
 ===
 
 And Benoit Mandelbrot...
 
 Ian


 These comments are not as whimsical as they might seem. At the risk of
 inviting a whole number of people to disagree, including perhaps Ian and
 Michael H, let me try amplifying them in the way that makes sense to me.

 Yes there is not a single line or programme, but struggles at both the
 local level and the global level can enhance democracy for working people,
 and restrict the power of capital. The struggle for concrete demoncratic
 rights for working people is a major feature of the struggle for
socialism.

   Making transparent the social nature of productive relations, and
 removing the mystification of money, prepares the ground for the ownership
 and control of the means of production for working people.

 The multitude was a negative term for Spinoza, but Hardt and Negri use it
 in a positive sense to mean the masses of working people., and to infuse
 some revolutionary enthusiasm, and lightness of being at the expense of
 clearly defining the target of the fight and emphasising class struggle.
 But in the sense that the expropriation of capital will be by the billions
 of working people whose creative energies, capital represents, that is a
 relevant fundamental contradiction in the world today.

 Yes Mandelbrot, and other champions of chaos theory, remind us that the
 stabilities of the world may conceal the possibility of sudden
 instabilities, or phase changes. These seem impossible for much of the
 time, and at other times need only a relatively slight push to flip the
 whole system into a different phase state. More dully called dynamical
 systems theory, together with complexity theory, it provides a scientific
 structure that in consistent with dialectical principles of qualitative
 change sometimes leading to quantitative changes.

 Basically it is about whether you believe the economic system is
 essentially a social system, although privately owned, and whether you
 believe in the cooperative powers of human beings eventually to get on top
 of it, even though there may be no one party line.

 Chris Burford

 London

===

For the sake of possibly providing an example of some concreteness, the link
is to an essay which conjoins Sartre's and LeFebvre's notions of
counterfinality [law of unintended consequences meets the fallacy of
composition] with computational complexity theory and fractal geometry to
redescribe Bologna, Italy. I think in an indirect way it represents the kind
of localized intellectual environment that Negri is working in. That is to
say, the vocabularies and idioms of some Italian intellectuals are
influencing *him* to a greater or lesser extent than one can get simply from
reading his latest work; while Negri may be writing for a [virtually] global
audience, his writing participates in a specific environment of ideas
communicated with his [possible] colleagues.

http://www-gap.dcs.st-and.ac.uk/~history/Mathematicians/Mandelbrot.html

Ian





Re: Re: new radio stuff

2002-11-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Bill Lear wrote:


On Friday, November 15, 2002 at 16:35:44 (-0500) Doug Henwood writes:

...
Already on the site: interviews with Christopher Hitchens (on Orwell
and his new bellicose self); ...


I don't have the appropriate hardware to listen to these, though I'd
like to.  How was Hitchens?


Polite, evasive, and bellicose. And he closed with a coughing fit.

Doug




Re: Re: Re: outsourcing the State

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray
[here's the AFGE press release...]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
November 14, 2002
 Contact: Diane S. Witiak
(202) 639-6419


AFGE STATEMENT ON OMB RELEASE OF DRAFT PUBLIC-PRIVATE COMPETITION PROCESS

(Washington, D.C.)-AFGE believes contractors and their allies in the Bush
Administration have insisted on rewriting the OMB Circular A-76, which
governs the public-private competition process, because it doesn't allow
contractors to take federal employee jobs often enough or fast enough.

Bush Administration officials are at war with reliable and experienced
rank-and-file federal employees; they are systematically conspiring to bust
their unions, gut their civil service protections, and hand over their jobs
to politically well-connected contractors. AFGE approaches the Bush
Administration's rewrite of OMB Circular A-76 with considerable skepticism.
However, until experts both inside and outside of AFGE have had an
opportunity to carefully review the rewrite, we will reserve judgment.

During AFGE's review of the new process, it will keep these ten important
considerations in mind:

1. Does it ensure the government-wide establishment of a reliable and
comprehensive system to track the cost, size, and responsibilities of the
massive federal contractor workforce, which some observers have estimated to
be twice the size of the federal workforce, both generally as well as for
specific contracts?

2. Does it eliminate the pernicious practice of contracting out work
performed by federal employees without public-private competition, whether
direct conversions promoted by the infamous Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) quotas or the Army's Third Wave wholesale privatization initiative?

3. Does it protect the interests of taxpayers by ensuring that any use of
the controversial and subjective best value approach is limited to a
genuine pilot project that would allow for a careful and objective review of
the results?

4. Does it ensure that taxpayers will receive the level of services they
need at the lowest possible prices, or will it allow agency managers to
charge taxpayers for unneeded bells and whistles? Given that the
revolving door problem-senior officials awarding contracts to firms for
which they intend to work once their federal careers are over-will be
significantly exacerbated by the introduction of any subjective best value
process, what steps does the rewrite take with respect to eliminating
conflicts of interest?

-more-
5. Is it being introduced as part of a broader effort to ensure that federal
employees and their union representatives have the same legal standing
currently enjoyed by contractors?

6. Does it reduce the impact of wages and benefits on award decisions, so
that privatization no longer results in significantly reduced living
standards for those who do government work?

7. Does it ensure that agencies will finally begin to subject new government
work and government work performed by contractors to real public-private
competition, as they do with respect to work performed by federal employees?

8. Does it repudiate the use of numerical or functional privatization
quotas, which are even more foolish and ill-advised when agencies are
attempting to adapt to a wholly new and unprecedented public-private
competition process?

9. Does it err on the side of caution with respect to protecting and
preserving robust in-house capabilities, especially given the
acknowledgement by Bush Administration officials that at least two major
agencies have privatized inherently governmental work?

10. Does it envision the reestablishment of real labor-management
partnerships that are necessary if in-house employees are to be given fair
chances to prevail?

Although the relentlessly pro-contractor Bush Administration's record offers
little encouragement, AFGE will carefully review the rewritten
public-private competition process to determine how it stacks up in relation
to the factors discussed above. Given the impact and complexity of this
effort, it is deeply regrettable that little more than four weeks are
allowed for affected groups to provide their comments.






Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi
For me, it isn't that Negri's post-modern
philosophy is not very interesting. I was forced
to read far worse at grad school. It isn't that
he wrote so much very badly on Spinoza. It's that
he knows crap all about the US, like so many
European 'intellectuals'. I will concede that the
Empire book is a postmodern masterpiece of
escapist fiction. But if all this is unfair, let
him come on this list and defend himself like
normal human beings have to do. 

C. Jannuzi

__
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http://webhosting.yahoo.com




Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi
It's a shame that Bush's proposal will likely
have more impact on American society, getting the
federal government even more out of the role
taken on in the Roosevelt era. I can see it now:
the federal government will be pared down to a
Republican hardcore elite of elected politicans,
appointed political hacks, and 6-8 million
zombies working for the military, intelligence
and 'homeland security'.

On a more positive note, Daschle is still calling
for the House to get its act together and
investigate 9-11.

C. Jannuzi

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http://webhosting.yahoo.com




RE: Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:32274] Re: An opposition party





 On a more positive note, Daschle is still calling
 for the House to get its act together and
 investigate 9-11.


of course, the results of such investigation are likely to lead to calls for _stronger_ (larger, more expensive) intelliegence community. More  better spooks.

Jim





Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi

--- Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  On a more positive note, Daschle is still
 calling
  for the House to get its act together and
  investigate 9-11.
 
 of course, the results of such investigation
 are likely to lead to calls for
 _stronger_ (larger, more expensive)
 intelliegence community. More  better
 spooks.
 Jim
 


I'd rather have such calls with an independent
investigation going on than the situation we have
now.

CJ

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Re: RE: Re: An opposition party

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray

- Original Message -
From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, November 15, 2002 4:43 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:32275] RE: Re: An opposition party


  On a more positive note, Daschle is still calling
  for the House to get its act together and
  investigate 9-11.

 of course, the results of such investigation are likely to lead to calls
for
 _stronger_ (larger, more expensive) intelliegence community. More 
better
 spooks.

 Jim



Replete with calls for help from academic institutions...which are already
starting...

Ian




Archetypes

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi
A year ago I said Japan gets deflation (already a
fact), and US efforts to avoid deflation would
result in stagflation.

Here are my current bets:

Deflation for Japan and Germany (saddled with a
high currency and an inability to cut interest
rates, since Japan is at 0 and Germany is locked
into a pact with inflationary, cheap currency
countries).

Stagflation for Australia and Canada because they
long ago got used to a cheap cheap currency and
must now steer their cheap dollars higher just to
avoid inflation, even as the world looks very
flat.

The US is the puzzle. Is it deflation or
stagflation. Given what I intuitively feel about
the US economy's critical mass of true
unproductivity, I'm betting stagflation.

C. Jannuzi  

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Re:Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Hari Kumar


Charles: But if all this is unfair, let him come on this list and defend
himself like normal human beings have to do.>
Comment: Charles, please do not take this amiss, but why the hell
would he? I mean while we gathered here - might get something out
of this lark on PEN - what meaning does it have? This actually comes back
to the matter of What is the real function of PEN? No scratch that!
Commander Michael: I will follow PEN!
Hari




Re: Re:Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman
The function of the list is to inform each other and to enjoy each other's
virtual company.  Of course, the list is a complete failure in the latter
respect -- since some of us don't like others.

Hari is absolutely correct that nobody needs to defend themselves or to
answer charges that are levelled here.

On Fri, Nov 15, 2002 at 08:20:40PM -0500, Hari Kumar wrote:
 Charles: But if all this is unfair, let him come on this list and
 defend himself like normal human beings have to do.
 Comment: Charles, please do not take this amiss, but why the hell would
 he? I mean while we gathered here -  might get something out of this
 lark on PEN - what meaning does it have? This actually comes back to the
 matter of What is the real function of PEN?  No scratch that!  Commander
 Michael: I will follow PEN!
 Hari

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




economics on pen-l

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman
The sh* is hitting the fan.  I think that knowledge of Bush's economics
plans will be very important in the coming months.  Some of us will be
called upon to make public statements about what is afoot.

Isn't it important that we do more to get us up to speed on such matters?

The bankruptcy bill, as Robert Manning has insisted, would have be strong
drag on the economy.  Tax cuts and privatizing employment will not have a
positive aggregate effect over and above its redistributional effects.

Also, the Repugs are trying to shift liability in a number of ways --
curtailing punative awards by electing conservative state courts,
restricting suits on vaccines, giving subsidies to terrorism insurance

 -- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: economics on pen-l

2002-11-15 Thread Eugene Coyle
Bush's FCC, according to today's Wall St. Journal, gave $16 billion 
(maybe a net $8 billion) to the wireless companies that had bid the 
money for spectrum.  The FCC citing the serious economic difficulties 
of the wireless industry, freed the carriers from obligations to pay ... 
for licenses.

	The companies freely bid for these, the government sold them the 
spectrum, and now they don't have to pay.  But the article notes that 
they still want the spectrum, only will come back later and get it cheaper.

	I've got serious economic difficulties of my own but ...

Gene Coyle

Michael Perelman wrote:
The sh* is hitting the fan.  I think that knowledge of Bush's economics
plans will be very important in the coming months.  Some of us will be
called upon to make public statements about what is afoot.

Isn't it important that we do more to get us up to speed on such matters?

The bankruptcy bill, as Robert Manning has insisted, would have be strong
drag on the economy.  Tax cuts and privatizing employment will not have a
positive aggregate effect over and above its redistributional effects.

Also, the Repugs are trying to shift liability in a number of ways --
curtailing punative awards by electing conservative state courts,
restricting suits on vaccines, giving subsidies to terrorism insurance

 -- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]






Re: Re: Theory/my conclusion

2002-11-15 Thread Waistline2
"But the perfecting of machinery is making human labor superfluous. If the introduction and increase of machinery means the displacement of millions of manual by a few machine-workers, improvement in machinery means the displacement of more and more of the machine-workers themselves. It means, in the last instance, the production of a number of available wage workers in excess of the average needs of capital, the formation of a complete industrial reserve army, as I called it in 1845, available at the times when industry is working at high pressure, to be cast out upon the street when the inevitable crash comes, a constant dead weight upon the limbs of the working-class in its struggle for existence with capital, a regulator for keeping of wages down to the low level that suits the interests of capital. 

"Thus it comes about, to quote Marx, that machinery becomes the most powerful weapon in the war of capital against the working-class; that the instruments of labor constantly tear the means of subsistence out of the hands of the laborer; that they very product of the worker is turned into an instrument for his subjugation. 

"Thus it comes about that the economizing of the instruments of labor becomes at the same time, from the outset, the most reckless waste of labor-power, and robbery based upon the normal conditions under which labor functions; that machinery, 

'the most powerful instrument for shortening labor time, becomes the most unfailing means for placing every moment of the laborer's time and that of his family at the disposal of the capitalist for the purpose of expanding the value of his capital.' (Capital, English edition,)
 
(End of quote: Engels Socialism: Utopia and Scientific)



The theoretical proposition that we have arrived at a new phase - juncture, in history comes straight from the horse's mouth. It was to the lot of Frederick Engels to discover the historic trajectory of the law of value back in 1845. It was to the lot of Karl Marx to unravel the law system of value - commodity production. Karl Marx read Engel's "Condition of the Working Class in England" and said, 

"Damn, who is this guy. We arrived at the same conclusion from different avenues." Marx actually relays this story in the Preface to his Contribution to a Critique of Political Economy. 

Engel's calls machinery and its technological advance labor wasting devices and not labor saving devices. Labor cannot be "saved" as such, only stored in the form of dead labor - machinery, whose activation by living labor excites the production process to life. Society has passed from the stage of creating a reserved army of labor to destruction of the working class as a class. This process unfolds uneven, yet millions have today been pushed outside the sphere, wherein the sell and purchase of labor power takes place.

Emancipation of a class means its destruction as an economic category, not spiritual or ideological enlightenment. 

The advance of computerization and the current stage in robotics are new qualitative ingredients injected into the production process, which makes the reform of the industrial system impossible. Thus begins the leap to a new mode of production and with this transition the demand for a new doctrine to advance theoretical Marxism becomes urgent. 

The computer and advanced robotics is the gravedigger of the bourgeoisie as a class. 

Picture that. Heck I grew up thinking that the working class as a class was the gravedigger! What a difference a day - or rather doctrine, makes!


Melvin P. 



Re: Re: economics on pen-l

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman
I wish somebody would collect a compendium of this nonsense, but it
probably occurs faster than anybody could record it.


On Fri, Nov 15, 2002 at 07:01:03PM -0800, Eugene Coyle wrote:
 Bush's FCC, according to today's Wall St. Journal, gave $16 billion 
 (maybe a net $8 billion) to the wireless companies that had bid the 
 money for spectrum.  The FCC citing the serious economic difficulties 
 of the wireless industry, freed the carriers from obligations to pay ... 
 for licenses.
 
   The companies freely bid for these, the government sold them the 
 spectrum, and now they don't have to pay.  But the article notes that 
 they still want the spectrum, only will come back later and get it cheaper.
 
   I've got serious economic difficulties of my own but ...
 
 Gene Coyle
 
 Michael Perelman wrote:
  The sh* is hitting the fan.  I think that knowledge of Bush's economics
  plans will be very important in the coming months.  Some of us will be
  called upon to make public statements about what is afoot.
  
  Isn't it important that we do more to get us up to speed on such matters?
  
  The bankruptcy bill, as Robert Manning has insisted, would have be strong
  drag on the economy.  Tax cuts and privatizing employment will not have a
  positive aggregate effect over and above its redistributional effects.
  
  Also, the Repugs are trying to shift liability in a number of ways --
  curtailing punative awards by electing conservative state courts,
  restricting suits on vaccines, giving subsidies to terrorism insurance
  
   -- 
  Michael Perelman
  Economics Department
  California State University
  Chico, CA 95929
  
  Tel. 530-898-5321
  E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  
  
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




opening markets?

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray
Sweet nothings

The west's failure to open its markets could yet turn out to be a boon for
poor countries

Larry Elliott
Saturday November 16, 2002
The Guardian

The cheque's in the post. It's the oldest lie in the book, and it was told
with a straight face by the smooth talkers from Brussels and Washington when
they cajoled the developing world into launching a new round of trade talks
at the World Trade Organisation conference in Doha last November.

A year ago, the world's focus was not on Doha but on the fall of Kabul. But
after the violent clashes surrounding the 1999 WTO meeting in Seattle and
the September 11 attacks, a deal to begin enlarging the scope of global
markets through the WTO was seen as a virility symbol of multilateralism.
So, like an unfaithful millionaire caught cheating on his wife, the west
laid it on with a trowel. It begged forgiveness for its past indiscretions,
the way in which it had hoovered up all the goodies from bouts of market
opening. Yes, the Americans and the Europeans said, we know that we've
treated you shabbily. Yes, we know that you have every right to be mad. We
couldn't really complain if you gave up on us altogether. But give us one
more chance because this time - honest - it will all be different.

Poor countries were suspicious of this. Eventually, however, they were wooed
by the peace offerings: the pledges to get rid of the handouts to farmers,
to make it easier for goods from the developing world to penetrate rich
country markets, and to ensure that public health in Africa, Latin America
and Asia would take precedence over the claims of patent holders.

The message to countries such as Ethiopia, where 15 million people are now
suffering from famine, was that free trade was the way to prosperity. But
for the west, opening up markets is what chastity was to St Augustine,
highly desirable but not yet. As such, Doha was the triumph of spin over
substance, even down to the name given to the negotiations. In the past,
most rounds had been named after the place where they were launched. There
has been a Uruguay round, a Tokyo round, even in the very early days a
Torquay round. This time, to show that they really meant what they said, the
rich countries said that Doha would be the start of the development round.

Well, that was a year ago. Predictably, the reality has failed to live up to
the rhetoric. The west whispered sweet nothings in Doha, but its behaviour
has changed not one jot. Actually, that's wrong. It has changed - for the
worse. Barely was the ink dry on the Doha declaration than the backsliding
began. George Bush's farm bill and the squalid deal cooked up to perpetuate
the common agricultural policy have shown that pork barrel politics count
for more than the development needs of poor countries. The US has beefed up
the protection of its steel industry and the big guns of the pharmaceutical
industry have been lobbying hard to defend the system for protecting western
intellectual property rights established by the Uruguay round.

On agriculture, it has not just been a case of business as usual; more like
the west opening up a few new branches of Subsidies R Us. Handouts to the US
cotton industry, running at $4bn a year, have lowered the world price by
25%, causing damage to producers in West Africa. Burkina Faso and Mali are
losing more from US trade policies than they receive in aid and debt relief
combined.

The west's duplicity comes at a cost, however, and that is that the
negotiations are now in trouble. The mood at the WTO's headquarters has been
soured by the selfishness of the EU and the US; so much so that the
negotiators from Brussels and Washington realise that their own goals -
cracking open new markets for their multinationals - are at risk. An elite
group of trade ministers has been meeting in Sydney this week to assess the
progress made since Doha and to chart a course for a gather ing of all 145
WTO member states in Cancun next September, scheduled to be the halfway
point in the talks. There was talk yesterday of ensuring that developing
countries receive cheap drugs to tackle HIV/Aids, malaria and TB, but this
was a blatant short-term fix to forestall an immediate crisis.

Most of the previous rounds have broken down at some point, and unless there
is some meaningful progress in the areas affecting developing countries
there is a strong possibility that the crisis for the Doha round could come
within the next six months. Countries that specialise in exporting farm
produce are especially miffed at the way the EU and the US are dumping their
excess produce on world markets. As one trade observer put it, the
ministerial meeting in Cancun could become the equivalent of a visit to
Relate for 145 trade ministers.

What are the consequences of all this? First, if it is right that opening up
markets is the key to faster development for the world's poorest countries,
the west's behaviour is both damaging and nauseatingly hypocritical.

Second, 

Re: Re: Re: economics on pen-l

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray
haven't we collected a bunch of it in the archives?




- Original Message -
From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, November 15, 2002 7:16 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:32284] Re: Re: economics on pen-l


 I wish somebody would collect a compendium of this nonsense, but it
 probably occurs faster than anybody could record it.


 On Fri, Nov 15, 2002 at 07:01:03PM -0800, Eugene Coyle wrote:
  Bush's FCC, according to today's Wall St. Journal, gave $16 billion
  (maybe a net $8 billion) to the wireless companies that had bid the
  money for spectrum.  The FCC citing the serious economic difficulties
  of the wireless industry, freed the carriers from obligations to pay ...
  for licenses.
 
  The companies freely bid for these, the government sold them the
  spectrum, and now they don't have to pay.  But the article notes that
  they still want the spectrum, only will come back later and get it
cheaper.
 
  I've got serious economic difficulties of my own but ...
 
  Gene Coyle
 
  Michael Perelman wrote:
   The sh* is hitting the fan.  I think that knowledge of Bush's
economics
   plans will be very important in the coming months.  Some of us will be
   called upon to make public statements about what is afoot.
  
   Isn't it important that we do more to get us up to speed on such
matters?
  
   The bankruptcy bill, as Robert Manning has insisted, would have be
strong
   drag on the economy.  Tax cuts and privatizing employment will not
have a
   positive aggregate effect over and above its redistributional effects.
  
   Also, the Repugs are trying to shift liability in a number of ways --
   curtailing punative awards by electing conservative state courts,
   restricting suits on vaccines, giving subsidies to terrorism insurance
   
--
   Michael Perelman
   Economics Department
   California State University
   Chico, CA 95929
  
   Tel. 530-898-5321
   E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  
  
 

 --
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 Chico, CA 95929

 Tel. 530-898-5321
 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]





the Iraqi army

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray
Iraqi army is tougher than US believes

The US claims a war against Saddam would be quick. Wrong, says analyst Toby
Dodge, the conflict could be long and bloody

Saturday November 16, 2002
The Guardian

With just two days to go before the UN weapons inspectors arrive in Baghdad,
George Bush's administration is still beating the war drum. On Thursday
night, Donald Rumsfeld, the defence secretary, confidently predicted that,
should a war erupt, the Iraqi army would soon surrender in the face of
overwhelming US force. He noted that in the first Gulf war, when allied
forces pushed Iraq out of Kuwait, ground combat had lasted only 100 hours.

I can't say if the use of force would last five days or five weeks or five
months, but it certainly isn't going to last any longer than that, he said.
It won't be a world war three.

You have always got to hope for minimum loss of life in any war, but Mr
Rumsfeld's prognosis about the speed of an Iraqi army collapse is
ideologically driven and strategically ill-informed.

In the event of an invasion, US forces will face an army that has been
thoroughly indoctrinated, with party commissars in every unit. In addition,
a ruthless system of surveillance and constant purges mean that the officer
corps has had to renounce political activity to survive. To quote President
Saddam Hussein: With our party methods, there is no chance for anyone who
disagrees with us jumping into a couple of tanks and overthrowing the
government. These methods have gone.

It is true that Iraqi resistance in the 1991 Gulf war was negligible. The
troops that surrendered in their thousands to coalition forces were badly
trained, poorly led and had often not been fed for days. The war was a
one-sided affair, with the Iraqis overwhelmed by superior weapons,
technology and air power.

However, it is often forgotten that the Iraqi leadership made no serious
attempt to defend Kuwait City. The fortifications were half-hearted and
badly planned. They were primarily designed for propaganda, to convince
coalition forces that military liberation would be too costly. Despite the
portrayal of a heroic resistance in the mother of all battles, once the
ground war began, President Saddam quickly withdrew most of the republican
guard, redeploying them around Baghdad to guard his regime. Substandard and
ill-prepared troops were left to face certain defeat.

After the Gulf war defeat, the Iraqi army was cut to less than half its
original size. The idea was to create a smaller, more disciplined force,
ideologically committed to defending the regime. For more than a decade
Washington has looked to this army for regime change. Today, the US
government still hopes a coup triggered by an invasion will save American
troops the high cost of fighting through Baghdad's streets to reach the
presidential palace.

Like Washington, President Saddam is also aware of the dangers the Iraqi
armed forces pose to his continued rule. To counter this he has staffed the
upper ranks with individuals tied to him by bonds of tribal loyalty or
personal history. Like him, most officers are Sunni Arabs, the country's
traditional ruling class. They are outnumbered by Shia Muslims and well
aware of the resentment towards them.

In addition, members of President Saddam's tribe, the Albu-Nasir, and those
hailing from his hometown, Tikrit, dominate the army and security services'
command, benefiting from regime patronage and enforcing his rule. They are
also more than aware of the anger that will be directed at them if he goes.
Because of this, those hoping for a coup may be disappointed. The regime has
created a coalition of guilt that underpins its continued rule with
corruption and great fear about what will happen when it is finally toppled.

Sanctions


In contrast to 1991, the battle this time will be not for a foreign land but
for the very survival of a regime many have spent their lives serving. An
invading US army will face 375,000 Iraqi troops and 2,200 tanks.

Analysts are right to point out that the army as a whole has suffered
greatly during more than a decade of sanctions. Beyond elite regiments,
equipment is old and badly maintained. Estimates suggest that the army is
only 50% combat effective, and regular troops may well behave as they did in
1991, fleeing the battlefield once war begins. On the other hand, President
Saddam has surrounded himself with a robust security system spreading out in
three concentric rings. The security services become more disciplined,
motivated and reliable the closer they are to the president.

The republican guard makes up the first ring of the regime's security.
Stationed on the three main roads to Baghdad, this parallel military force
totals between 50,000 and 70,000 men.

They are better paid than ordinary soldiers and much more likely to remain
loyal. Many stood by their posts during the Gulf war, losing a third of
their tanks. In the aftermath, they played the lead role in suppressing Shia
and Kurdish 

Re: economics on pen-l

2002-11-15 Thread Peter Dorman
Agreed -- let's hear more analysis of the near-term economic situation. 
I'm wondering whether foreign central banks are already financing the 
US current account deficit, in light of the weakness in US financial 
markets.  (We won't know until the numbers come out, some time from 
now.)  If so, what implications, if any, does this have for global 
political economy?  How can we explain Bushite unitaleralism and 
in-your-face hegemony in light of the increasing fragility of the US 
external position?

Moreover, if we assume that serious money is now international 
(international portfolios and their mirror-image, international 
ownership of corporations, financial institutions and tradeable funds), 
how do we think about the constraints, if any, on US economic policy? 
(It doesn't look like we have vehicles for domestic constraints at the 
moment.)  Or is US policy really reflective of a global consensus among 
the rich?

Peter

Michael Perelman wrote:

The sh* is hitting the fan.  I think that knowledge of Bush's economics
plans will be very important in the coming months.  Some of us will be
called upon to make public statements about what is afoot.

Isn't it important that we do more to get us up to speed on such matters?

The bankruptcy bill, as Robert Manning has insisted, would have be strong
drag on the economy.  Tax cuts and privatizing employment will not have a
positive aggregate effect over and above its redistributional effects.

Also, the Repugs are trying to shift liability in a number of ways --
curtailing punative awards by electing conservative state courts,
restricting suits on vaccines, giving subsidies to terrorism insurance

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 






spying on US citizens

2002-11-15 Thread Ian Murray
[since whatever US analog of MI5 is not going to have it's core cadres
composed of those with only a high school education, this might be of some
interest for the future of academic politics in the US]


Bush Aides Consider Domestic Spy Agency
Concerns on FBI's Performance Spur Debate of Options

By Dana Priest and Dan Eggen
Washington Post Staff Writers
Saturday, November 16, 2002; Page A01


President Bush's top national security advisers have begun discussing the
creation of a new, domestic intelligence agency that would take over
responsibility for counterterrorism spying and analysis from the FBI,
according to U.S. government officials and intelligence experts.

The high-level debate reflects a widespread concern that the FBI has been
unable to transform itself from a law enforcement agency into an
intelligence-gathering unit able to detect and thwart terrorist plans in the
United States. The FBI has admitted it has not yet completed the cultural
sea change necessary to turn its agents into spies, but the creation of new
agency is firmly opposed by FBI Director Robert S. Mueller III, who has said
he believes the bureau can do the job.

On Veterans Day, top national security officials gathered for two hours to
discuss the issue in a meeting chaired by national security adviser
Condoleezza Rice. White House Chief of Staff Andrew H. Card Jr., Defense
Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, CIA Director George J. Tenet, Attorney General
John D. Ashcroft, Mueller and six others attended.

Homeland Security Director Tom Ridge was recently dispatched to London for a
briefing on the fabled MI5, an agency empowered to collect and analyze
intelligence within Britain, leaving law enforcement to the police.
Similarly, if another agency were created in the United States, it would not
replace the FBI but would have the primary role in gathering and analyzing
intelligence about Americans and foreign nationals in the United States.

Revelations of the debate come amid heightened apprehension within the U.S.
intelligence community over the possibility of large-scale terrorist strikes
against the United States or Europe.

The FBI warned law enforcement agencies Thursday night that Osama bin
Laden's terror network may be plotting spectacular attacks inside the
United States. Some intelligence officials described the threats as even
more ominous than those picked up in the weeks prior to the Sept. 11, 2001,
attacks. But the administration, citing a lack of specific information about
the time or place of any attack, did not increase the national threat alert
indicator from yellow or elevated -- a status that means there is a
significant risk of terror attacks.

The FBI warning said al Qaeda may favor spectacular attacks that meet
several criteria: high symbolic value, mass casualties, severe damage to the
U.S. economy and maximum psychological trauma, adding that the highest
priority targets were historic landmarks, the nuclear sector, aviation and
petroleum.

The alert came after the release of a new audiotape believed to be made by
bin Laden threatening the United States and its allies.

At a news conference, Rice responded to criticism from some Senate Democrats
that the war on terror was flagging and from foreign officials that the war
on Iraq would distract the administration from its unfinished battle with al
Qaeda.

Rice said that President Bush does not begin his day on Iraq; he begins his
day on the war on terrorism.

This is the central focus of this administration, she added.

U.S. officials also revealed yesterday that they had recently captured a
high-level al Qaeda member. They declined to identify him but said he is
among the top dozen al Qaeda fugitives sought by the United States. It was
not clear yesterday where the al Qaeda leader was being held.

A Bush administration spokesman, who asked not to be named, said no
conclusions were reached about a domestic intelligence agency during the
Veterans Day meeting. He said an MI5-style agency was just one option
considered. The official, and other sources knowledgeable about the issue,
said the White House first wants to launch a new Department of Homeland
Security, which would include an intelligence analysis division.

Any major change such as this would come later, government sources said.
More meetings on the subject are planned.

Some members of Congress have said they favor creating a domestic security
agency and it is likely legislative proposals will be offered during the
next Congress. We're either going to create a working, effective,
substantial domestic intelligence unit in the FBI or create a new agency,
said Sen. Richard C. Shelby (R-Ala.), ranking member of the Senate Select
Committee on Intelligence. The results are dismal to this point.

He said creating a whole new agency would be a big-ticket item from
everyone's standpoint. We have to think this out carefully.

During the Veterans Day meeting, Mueller offered the same arguments about
the FBI's 

Re: spying on US citizens

2002-11-15 Thread Michael Perelman
Maybe the Dems should run Bob Barr and Saffire next time.  Their way to
the left of the nominal Dems on intrusions of big government.
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




IMF plays down Argentina debt default

2002-11-15 Thread Sabri Oncu
Financial Times

IMF plays down Argentina debt default
By Peter Hudson in Buenos Aires and Caroline Daniel in Washington

November 16 2002

The International Monetary Fund on Friday played down the
significance of Argentina's default on debt repayments to the
World Bank, its sister institution.

A statement by Anne Krueger, the fund's first deputy managing
director, declared: We expect discussions will continue in the
coming days. It added that the fund's management would recommend
to the executive board an extension on a loan payment due on
November 22.

We are not shocked, a fund spokesperson said. We were not
operating under any deadline and we never tried to set the stage
for this week being a big decision.

Argentina paid only $79.2m against a scheduled repayment of
$805m. Although that means it is no longer eligible for fresh
loans or reduced interest rates on current debt, the bank will
continue to disburse funds for 30 days under existing agreements.

Argentina remains optimistic that it can reach a deal with the
fund. Our impression is that we moved forward a great deal on
technical issues, a senior government official said.

The Argentine Congress was in danger of undermining that
progress, however, with attempts to pass laws protecting bank
debtors from foreclosure and allowing them to use government
bonds to pay their debts. President Eduardo Duhalde took the
decision to postpone payment to the World Bank in order to force
politicians to back the accord, the official said.

Paul O'Neill, the US Treasury secretary, expressed hope for a
deal. Our position continues to be supportive of the IMF and the
Argentinians reaching an agreement that will provide for
sustainable economic growth in Argentina, and as quickly as
possible, putting that country back into a position where its
people have an opportunity to grow and be employed again.


Article at:
http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/
FullStoryc=StoryFTcid=1035873342016p=1012571727088




Re: Negri explains the multitude

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi
The point was Negri needs no defenders, he can
defend himself--if he even asserted anything
worth defending (I have my doubts). Next time
I'll try to be more direct.

CJ

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Re: economics on pen-l

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi

--- Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
 I wish somebody would collect a compendium of
 this nonsense, but it
 probably occurs faster than anybody could
 record it.
 
 
 On Fri, Nov 15, 2002 at 07:01:03PM -0800,
 Eugene Coyle wrote:
  Bush's FCC, according to today's Wall St.
 Journal, 

I thought that is just what the WSJ is for.

CJ

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Re: the Iraqi army

2002-11-15 Thread Charles Jannuzi
The US game plan will be a relatively simple one.
They take Mosul and Basra and isolate Baghdad in
the middle. Then they hope Baghdad empties out of
civilians and they encircle and bomb. They hope
as the encirclement of Baghdad tightens and
supplies run out on the Iraqi side, all but the
most elite defect or surrender. I think they
think it will be more like invading Panama than
the last Persian Gulf War.

CJ 

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