Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-25 Thread Michael Perelman

Charles and Rakesh, this dialogue is going nowhere.  Can you take it
offlist?

On Fri, Jan 25, 2002 at 03:47:39PM -0500, Charles Brown wrote:
 Re: reform and rev
 by Rakesh Bhandari
 24 January 2002 18:09 UTC  
 
 
 
 CB: I am not familiar with Pashakunis' liquidation specifics,
 although I believe it was after the Bolsheviks were dissolved into
 the CPSU.
 
 How convenient that you are not familiar with the history of the
 Soviet Union that you have defended on email lists for six years!
 
 If it were isolated event, no.
 
 ^^^
 
 CB: This seems to reply to my asking you whether Pashakunis' death was a major event 
in Soviet history.  Nonetheless, the particulars of Pashakunis' death are not 
ciritical knowledge for understanding Soviet history. I am familiar with the 
intrigues, murders, etc. within the CPSU in the 30's etc. , and their role in Soviet 
history.  If you want to discuss that ok.  
 
 Put is this way,  I don't think it is likely that Pashakunis was murdered because he 
had some good Marxist theory of jurisprudence, and Stalin wanted to cover up the 
good  theory and put forth a bad theory of Marxist jurisprudence. Does that speak 
to what you are getting at ? 
 
 Anti-Sovietism and Soviet baiting may make you feel good, and self-righteous but it 
doesn't make good argumentation.
 
 
 
 
 
 CB: The workers' are not the main owners of private property in 
 capitalism. Nonetheless, what do you think is the important 
 contribution in Pashakunis' writing ?
 
 Pashukanis seems to me to have demonstrated that legal relations  do 
 have some objective basis in the relations of exchange. He overstates 
 the case, and he does not understand the connection to production.
 
 
 
 CB: Yes, and this point is Marxist jurisprudence 101
 
 
 
 
 
 But drawing from Roger Cotterrell, I wrote on LBO a long time ago:
 
 Especially interesting, though I think incorrect, is his critique of 
 Pashukanis's reduction of the autonomous Kantian subject to the 
 codified illusion of the juridical subject (a dramatis personae) who 
 since she presumably can freely dispose of whatever she happens to 
 own can and should be bound by the contracts into which she enters.
 
 That is, legal reasoning cannot conceive of a contractual 
 relationship except as a formally free agreement of wills. The fact 
 that the actual freedom to negotiate is often non existent in 
 contractual situations (in particular of course for the working 
 class) does not allow us to dismiss this fundamental legal principle 
 as irrelevant mystification because it is through this assumption, in 
 defined circumstances, of free agreement that the general 
 justification for making contractual terms binding is found and the 
 binding obligations arising from the contracts are fixed in a 
 predictable manner according to general principles. As soon as the 
 idea of compulsory 'contract' is introduced--that is, as Pashukanis 
 notes, agreement which the parties are compelled to make in 
 furtherance of a plan imposing obligations on both or all of them--it 
 becomes extremely difficult to fix, through contractual rules, the 
 limits of their reciprocal obligations.
 
 ^^
 
 CB: Yes, but this is more how I would discuss contracts in bourgeois jurisprudence.  
Most employers and employees don't have equal bargaining power, meeting of the minds 
is a fiction, contracts of adhesion,  etc. But this way of discussing it seems devoid 
of a specifically Marxist approach
 
 
 
 
 What would be grounds for murder ?
 
 
 I am against capital punishment.
 
 rb
 
 
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-25 Thread Rakesh Bhandari



Put is this way,  I don't think it is likely that Pashakunis was 
murdered because he had some good Marxist theory of jurisprudence, 
and Stalin wanted to cover up the good  theory and put forth a 
bad theory of Marxist jurisprudence. Does that speak to what you 
are getting at ?

In part. The murder could well have also been somewhat arbitrary so 
as to terrorize the population as well.




CB: Yes, and this point is Marxist jurisprudence 101

The point I made was not Marxist jurisprudence 101. In fact I made no 
point. I only indicated what the points of criticism may be.





CB: Yes, but this is more how I would discuss contracts in bourgeois 
jurisprudence.  Most employers and employees don't have equal 
bargaining power, meeting of the minds is a fiction, contracts of 
adhesion,  etc. But this way of discussing it seems devoid of a 
specifically Marxist approach

Yes the free suject of contract theory is a fiction but it is a 
fiction the origins of which has to explained and that the law may 
not be able to do without; and it is a fiction that may undergird the 
law in general, not simply the law of contracts. The compatability of 
law and socialism thus became a topic of investigation.
And for raising such questions, Pashakunis was murdered.

RB




Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-22 Thread miyachi

on 1/22/02 06:44 AM, Michael Perelman at [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 The Paris Commune caused a flurry of interest in Marx -- especially by
 mainstream economists.
 
 On Mon, Jan 21, 2002 at 10:13:37AM -0800, Rakesh Bhandari wrote:
 
 
 CB: The difference between Marx and others is the Russian, Chinese
 and other  socialist revolutions.  We are studying Marx because of
 the Bolsheviks and the Russian Rev.
 
 Please Charles speak for yourself.
 
 For one thing, I do not think Marx developed a theory of the transfer
 of value in and through the world market that gives expression to
 revolutionary aspirations of national revolts in which peasants,
 petty bourgeoisie and the proletariat have been engaged. The Cuban
 revolution was not waged against a pure advanced capitalism by a pure
 proletariat of the sorts imagined by Marx in his theoretical work.
 This has erroneously led some Marxists to dismiss outright such
 revolutions (say the Cuban and Sandinista revolutions) as nationalist
 reaction and to ridicule first world supporters of them as third
 worldists, but to combat this view one has to in fact go beyond
 Marx's theory of a pure capitalism (no trade, only two classes, etc)
 to show that without protection in the real world market weaker
 national capitals are as a result of the tranfer of value in
 circulation subject to devaluation and endemic crisis, which in turn
 lead to financial/debt crises. Some orthodox Marxists would dismiss
 this kind of theory of dependency because it is circulationist, but
 it is in fact a development of Marx's theory of production price in
 the third volume of Capital.
 
 The reason why so many Marxists have difficulty in understanding the
 progressive thrust of many third world revolutions has been that they
 only study Marx, and do not beyond him. Two people who have tried to
 go beyond Marx here are Guglielmo Carchedi and  Enrique Dussel from
 whose latest book (edited by the way by Fred Moseley) I draw in the
 above.
 
 Second, it is patently absurd to say that Marx was not studied before
 the revolutions that you mention and imply that people would have
 ceased studying Marx if not for those revolutions.
 
 Rakesh
 
 Towards An Unknown Marx: A Commentary on the Manuscripts of 1861-63
 (Routledge Studies in the History of Economics, Volume 34) by Fred
 Moseley, Yolanda Angulo (Translator), Enrique D. Dussel
 
MIYACHI TATSUO
Psychiatric Department
Komaki municipal hospital
JAPAN

 arguments about relationship between reform and revolution are prosperous.
But I think previous revolutions we experienced was political, not social.
In other words, for Marx(Critical Notes on the Article
The King of Prussia and Social Reform.
By a Prussian)


It is entirely false that social need produces political understanding.
Indeed, it is nearer the truth to say that political understanding is
produced by social well-being. Political understanding is something
spiritual, that is given to him that hath, to the man who is already sitting
on velvet. Our Prussian should take note of what M. Michael Chevalier, a
French economist, has to say on the subject:

In 1789, when the bourgeoisie rose in rebellion the only thing lacking to
its freedom was the right to participate in the government of the country.
Emancipation meant the removal of the control of public affairs, the high
civic, military, and religious functions from the hands of the privileged
classes who had a monopoly of these functions. Wealthy and enlightened,
self-sufficient and able to manage their own affairs, they wished to evade
the clutches of arbitrary rule.

We have already demonstrated to our Prussian how inadequate political
understanding is to the task of discovering the source of social need. One
last word on his view of the matter. The more developed and the more
comprehensive is the political understanding of a nation, the more the
proletariat will squander its energies -- at least in the initial stages of
the movement -- in senseless, futile uprisings that will be drowned in
blood. Because it thinks in political terms, it regards the will as the
cause of all evils and force and the overthrow of a particular form of the
state as the universal remedy. Proof: the first outbreaks of the French
proletariat. [8] The workers in Lyons imagined their goals were entirely
political, they saw themselves purely as soldiers of the republic, while in
reality they were the soldiers of socialism. Thus their political
understanding obscured the roots of their social misery, it falsified their
insight into their real goal, their political understanding deceived their
social instincts. 

But if the Prussian expects understanding to be the result of misery, why
does he identify suppression in blood with suppression in
incomprehension? If misery is a means whereby to produce understanding,
then a bloody slaughter must be a very extreme means to an end. The
Prussian would have to argue that suppression in a welter of blood will
stifle 

Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-22 Thread Alan Cibils

At  1/21/2002, Rakesh wrote:

The reason why so many Marxists have difficulty in understanding the 
progressive thrust of many third world revolutions has been that they only 
study Marx, and do not beyond him. Two people who have tried to go beyond 
Marx here are Guglielmo Carchedi and  Enrique Dussel from whose latest 
book (edited by the way by Fred Moseley) I draw in the above.

I fully agree with the need for progressives to go beyond the study of 
Marx. Personally, I find the Spanish Revolution to be the most inspiring of 
the radical revolutions of the 20th century. With all their mistakes and 
shortcomings, I find that the Spanish anarchists showed what a really 
progressive, radically democratic, socialist society could look like. They 
too were inspired by the Paris Commune. It never ceases to amaze me how 
little the traditional left (Marxist in all its flavours) knows about this 
revolution. (Perhaps it shouldn't amaze me, since the Spanish Revolutiont 
was snuffed out by, among others, the Stalinists. Also, Lenin and Trotsky 
actively persecuted anarchists and others to the left of the bolsheviks.) 
However, it is interesting and refreshing that many of those who are on the 
front lines of the antiglobalization struggles today are well aware of this 
history and take a far more eclectic approach to revolution and social 
change, not limiting themselves to one particular left ideology.

Alan 


_
Do You Yahoo!?
Get your free @yahoo.com address at http://mail.yahoo.com




Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-21 Thread Michael Perelman

The Paris Commune caused a flurry of interest in Marx -- especially by
mainstream economists.

On Mon, Jan 21, 2002 at 10:13:37AM -0800, Rakesh Bhandari wrote:
 
 
 CB: The difference between Marx and others is the Russian, Chinese 
 and other  socialist revolutions.  We are studying Marx because of 
 the Bolsheviks and the Russian Rev.
 
 Please Charles speak for yourself.
 
 For one thing, I do not think Marx developed a theory of the transfer 
 of value in and through the world market that gives expression to 
 revolutionary aspirations of national revolts in which peasants, 
 petty bourgeoisie and the proletariat have been engaged. The Cuban 
 revolution was not waged against a pure advanced capitalism by a pure 
 proletariat of the sorts imagined by Marx in his theoretical work. 
 This has erroneously led some Marxists to dismiss outright such 
 revolutions (say the Cuban and Sandinista revolutions) as nationalist 
 reaction and to ridicule first world supporters of them as third 
 worldists, but to combat this view one has to in fact go beyond 
 Marx's theory of a pure capitalism (no trade, only two classes, etc) 
 to show that without protection in the real world market weaker 
 national capitals are as a result of the tranfer of value in 
 circulation subject to devaluation and endemic crisis, which in turn 
 lead to financial/debt crises. Some orthodox Marxists would dismiss 
 this kind of theory of dependency because it is circulationist, but 
 it is in fact a development of Marx's theory of production price in 
 the third volume of Capital.
 
 The reason why so many Marxists have difficulty in understanding the 
 progressive thrust of many third world revolutions has been that they 
 only study Marx, and do not beyond him. Two people who have tried to 
 go beyond Marx here are Guglielmo Carchedi and  Enrique Dussel from 
 whose latest book (edited by the way by Fred Moseley) I draw in the 
 above.
 
 Second, it is patently absurd to say that Marx was not studied before 
 the revolutions that you mention and imply that people would have 
 ceased studying Marx if not for those revolutions.
 
 Rakesh
 
 Towards An Unknown Marx: A Commentary on the Manuscripts of 1861-63 
 (Routledge Studies in the History of Economics, Volume 34) by Fred 
 Moseley, Yolanda Angulo (Translator), Enrique D. Dussel
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-19 Thread Rakesh Bhandari

Rakesh Bhandari wrote:

(2) what happens if in running deficits, the US sucks up global 
capital, raises interest rates, and visits catastrophe on poorer 
nations? is this possible?

You're assuming that deficits drive up interest rates. There's no 
simple relation between deficits and interest rates. If deficits 
rise because of a weak economy - either passively, because of lower 
revenues, or actively, as a policy choice - then government credit 
demand could be offset by weaker private credit demand.

And you're also assuming that the U.S. doesn't use the borrowed 
money to buy imports from poorer countries. Considering that every 
item of clothing I'm wearing was made in a poorer country, and that 
the computer I'm typing on was assembled in Mexico - not to mention 
what we know from the trade stats - that seems wrong. Demand from 
the U.S. has stimulated the economies of Latin America and East and 
South Asia more than any interest effect.

Doug

Doug, this is a helpful answer for it implies the conditions that 
would be needed for US govt deficit policy not to visit harm outside.

1. if govt credit demand more than compensates for weakness in 
private credit demand, there could be upward pressure on global 
interest rates.
2  if the US borrows capital from abroad, it has to keep its markets open.

But aside from the abstract possibilities, I am interested in what 
actually happened with the early Reagan deficits.

The Fed did not accomodate, right? Interest rates were high, which 
helped the US finance govt deficits as a result of regressive tax 
relief and increased military budgets. And these high interest rates 
did create havoc in poorer countries, no? But of course the IMF was 
not able to rein the US in, so the burdens of adjustment were put 
disproportionately on the poorer countries on which the 
contradictions of capitalism were biting hard?

Rakesh














Re: RE: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-19 Thread Rakesh Bhandari



The argument that deficits cause high interest rates is also
theoretically and empirically questionable.  More often the causation
goes the other way--high interest rates mean higher interest payments on
the public debt which cet par mean larger deficits.

Mat, good point indeed.



The impact on poorer nations is a greater concern, not necessarily from
deficits, but in general.  The argument can be made that a weak U.S.
economy also has a negative impact on poorer nations, but the more
important point I think is to focus on what kinds of policies those
nations can use themselves to increase the living standards of its
citizens and also to protect itself from vulnerability to global
economic changes and econ developments in nations like the U.S.


but wasn't eisner right that if the US is going to finance public and 
private debt with inflows of capital, then it has to keep its markets 
open?



do you support deficit financing by the US govt to create jobs at all
times? can it ever be counter productive in effect both on a national
and global scale?

I think my answer here is that of course it *can* be counter-productive,
but that it *needn't* be counter-productive if designed right and
accompanied by complementary policies.

OK so there are no conditions under which a hypothetical Keynesian 
program would not work?

But you say otherwise below.



   But I think these are certainly
important issues to be carefully considered.  What would an argument be
that public job creation would necessarily be counter-productive (in
other words, no matter how designed, etc) under certain conditions (and
what are those conditions)?

the program in itself could be effective without the stimulus being 
effective in broader macro economic terms, no?




I think your statement below about short-term band-aids potentially
exacerbating long term problems is pretty accurate, but it is also the
case that Shaikh at least believes that fiscal and monetary policies can
have some effect, but there are limits.

And I'll have to read Shaikh to find out what he thinks they are!




There will be some
division of labor--some will concentrate only on one or the other.
Some
will do both.  Both projects are important.

I can't think of anyone on this list that believes Keynesian demand
management can eliminate the contradictions of capitalism. I don't
believe traditional Keynesian demand management can even achieve true
full employment!

Again the reasoning behind your conclusion matters.

Because, traditional Keynesian demand management 1) only looks at
aggregate proportionality and balance and not intersectoral
disproportionalities and imbalances;

your work on Adolph Lowe and the difficulties of the traverse?
You were very kind to send me a whole set of papers on lowe and 
pasinetti, and i did read most of them, and learn quite a bit.



2) does not recognize the
functionality of unemployment (and excess capacity generally) in
capitalism;

as foley says in understanding capitalism, a Kaleckian wage squeeze 
argument as to why full employment policy is not possible under 
capitalism does not seem to go far enough because it suggests that 
with wage control capitalism could achieve full employment.

For example, I think this is the implication of Doug's and Robt 
Pollin's acceptance of only the Kaleckian limit to full employment 
capitalism.


it would seem that a so called orthodox Marxian would want to reveal 
deeper obstacles to full employment capitalism.


Rakesh





Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread William S. Lear

On Thursday, January 17, 2002 at 20:30:29 (-0800) Rakesh Bhandari writes:
...
I think govts have in fact already found that running deficits the 
size that would be needed to achieve full employment would only yield 
retrenchment in private investment; govts thus find that limiting 
deficits and containing the run up in debt are important to 
maintaining private investment--that is, fiscal prudence gives 
confidence that taxes and interest rates will remain under control 
over the projected future and the state will thus not bite into 
profits the prospects for which are not strong.

I don't think this scenario really applies in a downturn.  In an
upswing, when the private engine of accumulation is ticking along,
perhaps.

The limits of the mixed economy have in fact already been reached, 
including now in Japan.

This could be, or not.  Difficult to tell, isn't it?

I do emphatically agree on the importance of the theory of fictitious 
capital as you are developing it here. In particular, I agree that 
the way out of recessions ultimately depends upon the slaughter of 
capital values, not higher prices and strong consumption in the first 
instance.

James Galbraith and Tom Ferguson have a paper looking wage structure
and government policy that seems to come to a different conclusion:
The American Wage Structure: 1920-1947, Research in Economic
History, Volume 19, pages 205-257 (Stamford Connecticut, 1999),
Alexander J. Field, ed.  They look at unemployment, the exchange rate,
strikes, and other variables and conclude that policy makers after
World War II managed to avoid the worst macroeconomic mistakes of the
earlier period.  Encouraged by the post-war strike wave, the spread of
Keynes' views, the beginning of the Cold War and later the war in
Korea, they maintained high levels of aggregate demand and employment
nearly consistently for 25 years, if rarely attaining 'full
employment'.  I think policy has a strong and potentially positive
role to play in quick recovery from and prevention of major
recessions.


Bill




RE: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Forstater, Mathew

Rakesh asks:

Mat,
(1) what happens if govt deficits in the pursuit of full employment 
have arresting effects on private investments; could this happen? why 
or why not?

If you are talking about some kind of crowding out then, first, I
think that many of the arguments for crowding out are theoretically
flawed and not supported by empirical evidence, and second, that
crowding out is not necessarily a 'bad' thing.  It may be that certain
public investments, social services, etc. are more desirable than having
a little more private expenditure.

(2) what happens if in running deficits, the US sucks up global 
capital, raises interest rates, and visits catastrophe on poorer 
nations? is this possible?

The argument that deficits cause high interest rates is also
theoretically and empirically questionable.  More often the causation
goes the other way--high interest rates mean higher interest payments on
the public debt which cet par mean larger deficits.

The impact on poorer nations is a greater concern, not necessarily from
deficits, but in general.  The argument can be made that a weak U.S.
economy also has a negative impact on poorer nations, but the more
important point I think is to focus on what kinds of policies those
nations can use themselves to increase the living standards of its
citizens and also to protect itself from vulnerability to global
economic changes and econ developments in nations like the U.S.

do you support deficit financing by the US govt to create jobs at all 
times? can it ever be counter productive in effect both on a national 
and global scale?

I think my answer here is that of course it *can* be counter-productive,
but that it *needn't* be counter-productive if designed right and
accompanied by complementary policies.  But I think these are certainly
important issues to be carefully considered.  What would an argument be
that public job creation would necessarily be counter-productive (in
other words, no matter how designed, etc) under certain conditions (and
what are those conditions)?


Of course, there can be a problem that we spend all our time
supporting
the safety net instead of throwing over capitalism.  But there can
equally be the problem that we spend all the time thinking about
throwing over capitalism instead of making sure there is a safety net.

This is not the problem that Mattick and presumably Shaikh are 
getting at, right?

Right.

So there needs to be the short term reforms that make a difference
immediately and the long term solutions as well.

Will the reforms reform? Could the reforms  not only not stop but 
also exacerbate a retrenchment in private investment that the 
Keynesians want to leave in private hands?Will the reforms push 
problems elsewhere? What is Shaikh saying here?

I think your statement below about short-term band-aids potentially
exacerbating long term problems is pretty accurate, but it is also the
case that Shaikh at least believes that fiscal and monetary policies can
have some effect, but there are limits.

   There will be some
division of labor--some will concentrate only on one or the other.
Some
will do both.  Both projects are important.

I can't think of anyone on this list that believes Keynesian demand
management can eliminate the contradictions of capitalism. I don't
believe traditional Keynesian demand management can even achieve true
full employment!

Again the reasoning behind your conclusion matters.

Because, traditional Keynesian demand management 1) only looks at
aggregate proportionality and balance and not intersectoral
disproportionalities and imbalances; 2) does not recognize the
functionality of unemployment (and excess capacity generally) in
capitalism; 3) does not recognize or downplays technological and
structural unemployment.  There are more problems but these are the ones
that I would emphasize off the top of my head.

snip

gotta run, try to finish later. But Sidney Coontz is one of the people
was thinking of. Thanks!  These are very important issues you are
raising and I find this discussion extremely helpful.

Mat




Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Michael Perelman

In my new book, The Pathology of the U.S. Economy Revisited, I tried to make
the case that this success rested, in part, on prior conditions: a new
capital stock coming out of the Great Depression and World War II, the
destruction of competing economies, and a very favorable debt structure.

William S. Lear wrote:


 James Galbraith and Tom Ferguson have a paper looking wage structure
 and government policy that seems to come to a different conclusion:
 The American Wage Structure: 1920-1947, Research in Economic
 History, Volume 19, pages 205-257 (Stamford Connecticut, 1999),
 Alexander J. Field, ed.  They look at unemployment, the exchange rate,
 strikes, and other variables and conclude that policy makers after
 World War II managed to avoid the worst macroeconomic mistakes of the
 earlier period.  Encouraged by the post-war strike wave, the spread of
 Keynes' views, the beginning of the Cold War and later the war in
 Korea, they maintained high levels of aggregate demand and employment
 nearly consistently for 25 years, if rarely attaining 'full
 employment'.  I think policy has a strong and potentially positive
 role to play in quick recovery from and prevention of major
 recessions.

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Doug Henwood

Rakesh Bhandari wrote:

(2) what happens if in running deficits, the US sucks up global 
capital, raises interest rates, and visits catastrophe on poorer 
nations? is this possible?

You're assuming that deficits drive up interest rates. There's no 
simple relation between deficits and interest rates. If deficits rise 
because of a weak economy - either passively, because of lower 
revenues, or actively, as a policy choice - then government credit 
demand could be offset by weaker private credit demand.

And you're also assuming that the U.S. doesn't use the borrowed money 
to buy imports from poorer countries. Considering that every item of 
clothing I'm wearing was made in a poorer country, and that the 
computer I'm typing on was assembled in Mexico - not to mention what 
we know from the trade stats - that seems wrong. Demand from the U.S. 
has stimulated the economies of Latin America and East and South Asia 
more than any interest effect.

Doug




RE: Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Devine, James

 (2) what happens if in running deficits, the US sucks up global 
 capital, raises interest rates, and visits catastrophe on poorer 
 nations? is this possible?

Doug answers: 
 You're assuming that deficits drive up interest rates. There's no 
 simple relation between deficits and interest rates. If deficits rise 
 because of a weak economy - either passively, because of lower 
 revenues, or actively, as a policy choice - then government credit 
 demand could be offset by weaker private credit demand.

also, the private sector can run large deficits -- as it has in recent years
-- which can have the effect (ceteris paribus) of driving up interest rates
and sucking in funds from overseas.

JD 




RE: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Devine, James

Michael Perelman writes:In my new book, The Pathology of the U.S. Economy
Revisited, I tried to make the case that this success rested, in part, on
prior conditions: a new capital stock coming out of the Great Depression and
World War II, the destruction of competing economies, and a very favorable
debt structure.

Michael, this is very similar to Brenner's analysis. 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine

 




Re: Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Michael Perelman

Also, interest rates are a very, very weak determinant of investment.

On Fri, Jan 18, 2002 at 12:02:21PM -0500, Doug Henwood wrote:
 Rakesh Bhandari wrote:
 
 (2) what happens if in running deficits, the US sucks up global 
 capital, raises interest rates, and visits catastrophe on poorer 
 nations? is this possible?
 
 You're assuming that deficits drive up interest rates. There's no 
 simple relation between deficits and interest rates. If deficits rise 
 because of a weak economy - either passively, because of lower 
 revenues, or actively, as a policy choice - then government credit 
 demand could be offset by weaker private credit demand.
 
 And you're also assuming that the U.S. doesn't use the borrowed money 
 to buy imports from poorer countries. Considering that every item of 
 clothing I'm wearing was made in a poorer country, and that the 
 computer I'm typing on was assembled in Mexico - not to mention what 
 we know from the trade stats - that seems wrong. Demand from the U.S. 
 has stimulated the economies of Latin America and East and South Asia 
 more than any interest effect.
 
 Doug
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Michael Perelman

Similar to Brenner in many ways, yes.  We both worked on the transition to
capitalism about the same time.  Several people pointed out the similarity
between his New Left Review piece and my own work.  When I saw it, my first
thought was plagiarism.  I asked about it and he explained the pathway that he
followed, thoroughly convincingly that we were just working along similar lines.

Devine, James wrote:

 Michael Perelman writes:In my new book, The Pathology of the U.S. Economy
 Revisited, I tried to make the case that this success rested, in part, on
 prior conditions: a new capital stock coming out of the Great Depression and
 World War II, the destruction of competing economies, and a very favorable
 debt structure.

 Michael, this is very similar to Brenner's analysis.

 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine



--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread christian11

Michael wrote:

 Also, interest rates are a very, very weak determinant of investment.

Are you speaking generally? If so, do you know of any good empirical stuff that 
supports this?

Christian




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Michael Perelman

I have to run, but Robert Chirinko and Robert Eisner have done work on
this.  bye.

On Fri, Jan 18, 2002 at 12:56:20PM -0500, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Michael wrote:
 
  Also, interest rates are a very, very weak determinant of investment.
 
 Are you speaking generally? If so, do you know of any good empirical stuff that 
supports this?
 
 Christian
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Carrol Cox



Doug Henwood wrote:
 
 Carrol Cox wrote:
 
 If you don't hit it, it won't fall. Mao.
 
 I rather suspect that capitalism can be depended on periodically to tear
 itself apart -- but it can also be depended on to put itself back
 together
 
 Yup. As happened in Mao's own country over the last 20 years. What
 happened? Why didn't his revo stick?
 

Historians, after three or four or 20 more failed revolutions and 30
successful ones may be able to look back and make an intelligent guess.
Otherwise, I'm afraid your curiosity will go unquenched.

If I had to guess, I would say that the bulk of the support for the
revolution was not socialist but that aspect of it expressed in Mao's
first speech on Tenyan (w?) Square: China has stood up. There was a
socialist streak there, and I still regard Mao as a major Marxist
thinker that we can learn from if we abstract correctly, but the
essential drive was Chinese patriotism.

Carrol




Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Greg Schofield

--- Message Received ---
From: Carrol Cox [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Fri, 18 Jan 2002 19:54:53 -0600
Subject: [PEN-L:21620] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

Carrol I like your thinking here but you probably will not like my addition to it.

Carrol:
If I had to guess, I would say that the bulk of the support for the
revolution was not socialist but that aspect of it expressed in Mao's
first speech on Tenyan (w?) Square: China has stood up. There was a
socialist streak there, and I still regard Mao as a major Marxist
thinker that we can learn from if we abstract correctly, but the
essential drive was Chinese patriotism.

Not only the nature of the support but also the whole nature of what was in fact 
historically possible.


I rate the Chinese revolution a great success, but not for the socialism that it 
achieved, but for the very situation that China now finds itself (oddly enough).

My superficial understanding of the history of China does not give this important 
place a lot of choice in what needed to be done. No Chinese revolution would have been 
inconcievable, China would have developed into warring states, mass never-ending 
famine, and the people into virtual slaves of capital and the most reactionary 
landlords. 

Whatever troubles now beset it, China has stood up and a significant proportion of 
humankind have a better basis for a real future then they would have had under any 
other imagined circumstances.

In this both the mistakes of the past (recent and further back) at least take place 
within a country with a significant working class and a modern infrastructure which 
however ill developed is at least present.

The proletarianisation of China (still with a large peasant population) despite all 
that has happened is a mark of its historical success as a revolution. 

The socialist road of China could never have been and in my understand is not 
presently anything other then state-capitalism taking on a rather impossible task and 
achieving much of it. The character of the state, derived from Chinese history has 
also developed because of this.

At this point of time the very process of China standing up has exhausted the 
possiblities of its birth. The problems it is now faced with exceed the ability of 
this country to continue down the path which got it to this point in the first place. 
Where is the future of China, well to put no gloss on this questioin at all, it is in 
its integration with world capitalism where new contradictions will arise and a new 
struggles emerge.

At least China now is able to participate in this as a viable state, this would have 
been denied them if history had not taken the course it did. The Chinese revolution 
was a necessity, but if the good things about are not to be washed away altogether it 
is up to us outside China to wrought those changes that can produce a better world.

China's CP, state and society in general, does not have at this moment the resources 
to do otherwise than it is, its position is peculiar and derives from the particular 
role the state has played in the past and is quite incapable of playing any longer.

If the state and all that this presently entails collapses China will be a mess, 
however the state in order to maintain itself is also caught up in the contradictions 
of capital (from which it never was free), meanwhile the working class finds itself in 
struggle against the state and capital and is all too aware of the peculiar position 
China is in at the moment.

If international state to state relations could become more civilisied the Chinese 
state would have more room for development, if the world economy could be forced to 
encounter the world working class as an emerging power, the workers of China would 
find more room to move.

It is not that China is socialist that is the question, but how China typifies the 
condition of the world as a whole (as it should seeing one third of humanity lies 
within its borders). China is not a question which calls for any singular views on 
what should and can be done, rather it points to the criticial importance of 
internationalism as a focus of struggle and the role that states and the working class 
must play in this.

The disintegration of China (real possiblity) would make the dissolution of the USSR 
look like a minor hiccup. If one third of human kind is faced with barbarianism, the 
rest may not be too far behind. China is our barometer of world social health, and it 
is a contradictory one.


Greg Schofield
Perth Australia




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Rob Schaap

G'day Christian,
 

 Michael wrote:

  Also, interest rates are a very, very weak determinant of
 investment.

 Are you speaking generally? If so, do you know of any good empirical
 stuff that supports this?
  

Reckon pen-l has hit a very rich vein of late - gratitude to all.

Anyway, if memory serves, the cable buy-up/roll-out frenzy of the late
eighties was all done amidst seemingly sobering interest rate numbers. 
LJ Davis's *The Billionaire Shell Game* makes something of this as he
traces Malone et al's predatory path to the crunch of the early 90s (not
that all those chooks have come to a rest even now).  A romping read,
too, btw.

Cheers,
Rob.




RE: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread michael pugliese


  China and Independent Working Class Politics,  by Paul Hampton,
in the newest issue of Workers Liberty, Vol. 2, #1,  (http://www.workersliberty.org
) has a good bibliography (besides being a good look/analysis
of the contemporary PRC).
   WL, is the journal of the Alliance for Workers Liberty, one
of the constituent orgs of the Socialist Alliances in the UK.
   BTW, other pieces in this issue are of interest to the thread
that erupts now and then on catatrophism.
   Copies for $8 at Borders or your local lefty bookstore.
   And Carrol, it is Tienamen. I may be off on my spelling but,
I'm closer, I betcha! Cf. The Tienamen Papers,  edited by Andrew
Nathan.
Michael Running Dog Pugliese, Woof, Woof!


--- Original Message ---
From: Greg Schofield [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: 1/18/02 7:30:01 PM


--- Message Received ---
From: Carrol Cox [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Fri, 18 Jan 2002 19:54:53 -0600
Subject: [PEN-L:21620] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

Carrol I like your thinking here but you probably will not like
my addition to it.

Carrol:
If I had to guess, I would say that the bulk of the support
for the
revolution was not socialist but that aspect of it expressed
in Mao's
first speech on Tenyan (w?) Square: China has stood up. There
was a
socialist streak there, and I still regard Mao as a major Marxist
thinker that we can learn from if we abstract correctly, but
the
essential drive was Chinese patriotism.

Not only the nature of the support but also the whole nature
of what was in fact historically possible.


I rate the Chinese revolution a great success, but not for the
socialism that it achieved, but for the very situation that China
now finds itself (oddly enough).

My superficial understanding of the history of China does not
give this important place a lot of choice in what needed to be
done. No Chinese revolution would have been inconcievable, China
would have developed into warring states, mass never-ending famine,
and the people into virtual slaves of capital and the most reactionary
landlords. 

Whatever troubles now beset it, China has stood up and a significant
proportion of humankind have a better basis for a real future
then they would have had under any other imagined circumstances.

In this both the mistakes of the past (recent and further
back) at least take place within a country with a significant
working class and a modern infrastructure which however ill developed
is at least present.

The proletarianisation of China (still with a large peasant
population) despite all that has happened is a mark of its historical
success as a revolution. 

The socialist road of China could never have been and in my
understand is not presently anything other then state-capitalism
taking on a rather impossible task and achieving much of it.
The character of the state, derived from Chinese history has
also developed because of this.

At this point of time the very process of China standing up
has exhausted the possiblities of its birth. The problems it
is now faced with exceed the ability of this country to continue
down the path which got it to this point in the first place.
Where is the future of China, well to put no gloss on this questioin
at all, it is in its integration with world capitalism where
new contradictions will arise and a new struggles emerge.

At least China now is able to participate in this as a viable
state, this would have been denied them if history had not taken
the course it did. The Chinese revolution was a necessity, but
if the good things about are not to be washed away altogether
it is up to us outside China to wrought those changes that can
produce a better world.

China's CP, state and society in general, does not have at this
moment the resources to do otherwise than it is, its position
is peculiar and derives from the particular role the state has
played in the past and is quite incapable of playing any longer.

If the state and all that this presently entails collapses China
will be a mess, however the state in order to maintain itself
is also caught up in the contradictions of capital (from which
it never was free), meanwhile the working class finds itself
in struggle against the state and capital and is all too aware
of the peculiar position China is in at the moment.

If international state to state relations could become more
civilisied the Chinese state would have more room for development,
if the world economy could be forced to encounter the world working
class as an emerging power, the workers of China would find more
room to move.

It is not that China is socialist that is the question, but
how China typifies the condition of the world as a whole (as
it should seeing one third of humanity lies within its borders).
China is not a question which calls for any singular views on
what should and can be done, rather it points to the criticial
importance of internationalism as a focus of struggle and the
role that states

Re: RE: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-18 Thread Rob Schaap

G'day Running Dog 

And Carrol, it is Tienamen. I may be off on my spelling but,
 I'm closer, I betcha! Cf. The Tienamen Papers,  edited by Andrew
 Nathan.
 Michael Running Dog Pugliese, Woof, Woof!

It was always rendered Tianenman here at the time.

I still remember those poor young folk singing The Internationale to
absolutely no effect: Beijing and Washington both treating them as
counter-revolutionary aspiring cappos - and neither allowing for the
possibility that their call for democracy might be for something
represented by neither ...  a lot of dying in vain, alas.

Cheers,
Rob.
 




Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Rakesh Bhandari

I would say that keynesian demand management combined
with a good safety net, ample social insurance,

and Max I am with you on the fight to preserve and expand such programmes.



and a new
agency that would rapidly resolve business bankruptcies and
redeploy their assets, would solve the underlying problems of
the capitalist system, if I only had a brain.

Please give some details on what you have in mind. SL like bailouts? 
And what do you think the underlying problem(s) are of the capitalist 
system?




The problem here is RB is arguing with me and a corporal's guard
of others, but we're not in this thread, so he has to argue with people
who can't resist talking to him, even though they don't disagree with
him.

well now that you have been smoked out--to use the common 
parlance--please do go on.

RB




Re: RE: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Rakesh Bhandari

mat wrote:

I support anything that I think will make the lives of working people
and the poor (and the working poor!) better than it is now, including
deficit financed job creation, government spending on various social
programs, living wage, etc.  I don't believe that these things can end
the business cycle or eliminate the contradictions of capitalism.  But I
think that until we can formulate and implement a better system, it is
better to have guaranteed jobs, etc.

Mat,
(1) what happens if govt deficits in the pursuit of full employment 
have arresting effects on private investments; could this happen? why 
or why not?

(2) what happens if in running deficits, the US sucks up global 
capital, raises interest rates, and visits catastrophe on poorer 
nations? is this possible?

do you support deficit financing by the US govt to create jobs at all 
times? can it ever be counter productive in effect both on a national 
and global scale?




Of course, there can be a problem that we spend all our time supporting
the safety net instead of throwing over capitalism.  But there can
equally be the problem that we spend all the time thinking about
throwing over capitalism instead of making sure there is a safety net.

This is not the problem that Mattick and presumably Shaikh are 
getting at, right?


So there needs to be the short term reforms that make a difference
immediately and the long term solutions as well.

Will the reforms reform? Could the reforms  not only not stop but 
also exacerbate a retrenchment in private investment that the 
Keynesians want to leave in private hands?Will the reforms push 
problems elsewhere? What is Shaikh saying here?


   There will be some
division of labor--some will concentrate only on one or the other.  Some
will do both.  Both projects are important.

I can't think of anyone on this list that believes Keynesian demand
management can eliminate the contradictions of capitalism. I don't
believe traditional Keynesian demand management can even achieve true
full employment!

Again the reasoning behind your conclusion matters.



I think that it is important to read and study people like Mattick.  I
consider Anwar Shaikh to be of a similar persuasion, and he had and
continues to have a huge influence on my own views.  As Shaikh has put
it, we need to identify the limits of policy intervention in capitalism
so we can get an idea of what is possible.  There are limits, though
they are not absolutely definite.


My impression is that a so called orthodox marxist thinks that reform 
policy softens the blow of short term problems only to exacerbate the 
problems in the long term.

That is, through fictitious capital the state contracts obligations 
that in the future will require further state encroachments on 
profitability at the very time that it already may already not be 
strong to sustain private investment. So that surplus value is 
sufficient for both private profitability and state taxation to meet 
past obligations, the recovery in profitability then has to be that 
much stronger, which will require an even more massive devaluation of 
capital and an even higher rate of exploitation than would have 
otherwise been needed for the restoration of the profit rate for 
private accumulation alone.

Moreover,  all this has to be endured without the state casting a 
safety net that would require more taxation and thus more 
encroachment on profitability.

Keynesianism thus creates the conditions for an even bigger blow out.

The contradictions of capitalism can only be deferred and thereby 
accentuated, not overcome. There should be no illusion otherwise.



  There is a range within which there
is some ability to affect change.  I wish I had Shaikh's syllabus handy,
because there were some other really good authors we read besides
Mattick on these issues and I can't remember who they are. But I will
try to find the cites. They are well-worth reading, studying, and
discussing.

That would be great. Thanks. Mario Cogoy? David Yaffe? Sydney Coontz? 
Geoffrey Pilling?

Rakesh




Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Ian Murray


- Original Message -
From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, January 17, 2002 5:43 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:21567] Re: reform and rev


Rakesh keeps reiterating that deficits represent a serious
threat.  I don't
agree, even though I believe that Keynesian policy runs in
the problems in
the long run.

My own preferred version of the contradiction suggests that
a different form
of fictitious capital presents a serious barrier.  I tried
to explain my case
in my book on Marx's crisis theory.  The deficit spending
tends to reduce the
competitive pressures, allowing business to maintain
excessive fictitious
capital, ultimately leading to speculative excesses (such
as the buildup of
the telecom industry) and frauds.



Hate to be a pain in the neck on this but given the
inability to 'see' -let alone predict- the future long run,
what if anything is the basis for the claim that capitalism
can't push it's problems 'out into the future' indefinitely
as long as technological-organizational innovations don't
seriously further harm ecosystems? All the material I've
seen on how workers and citizens consent to the system do
not hint at what it would take to overcome the processes by
which consent is created. A la SocDem. wasn't Przeworski
pretty damn close to the mark concerning electoral
constraints? What forms of organizing of the 'managerial
class', let alone the larger working class of which they
are a subset, would it take to have them withdraw consent
to the system? And why do I keep thinking about Derek De
Solla Price about the future of the knowledge class?

Ian




Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Michael Perelman

Ian, Marx posited that capitalism would work that way for a while, but
that the contradictions would accumulate and then , but then, it has
not yet happened, except in the USSR, China ...

On Thu, Jan 17, 2002 at 07:15:22PM -0800, Ian Murray wrote:

 
 Hate to be a pain in the neck on this but given the
 inability to 'see' -let alone predict- the future long run,
 what if anything is the basis for the claim that capitalism
 can't push it's problems 'out into the future' indefinitely
 as long as technological-organizational innovations don't
 seriously further harm ecosystems? All the material I've
 seen on how workers and citizens consent to the system do
 not hint at what it would take to overcome the processes by
 which consent is created. A la SocDem. wasn't Przeworski
 pretty damn close to the mark concerning electoral
 constraints? What forms of organizing of the 'managerial
 class', let alone the larger working class of which they
 are a subset, would it take to have them withdraw consent
 to the system? And why do I keep thinking about Derek De
 Solla Price about the future of the knowledge class?
 
 Ian
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Rakesh Bhandari

list moderator michael writes:

Rakesh keeps reiterating that deficits represent a serious threat.  I don't
agree, even though I believe that Keynesian policy runs in the problems in
the long run.

I think govts have in fact already found that running deficits the 
size that would be needed to achieve full employment would only yield 
retrenchment in private investment; govts thus find that limiting 
deficits and containing the run up in debt are important to 
maintaining private investment--that is, fiscal prudence gives 
confidence that taxes and interest rates will remain under control 
over the projected future and the state will thus not bite into 
profits the prospects for which are not strong.
The state thus finds itself unable to do much even  as the private 
economy  has been unable to generate full employment and plunges 
itself into downturns. This has already made many people expendable; 
that is in part why we continue to be haunted by bourgeois dysgenic 
fears about the black so called underclass and so called illegal 
aliens.

The limits of the mixed economy have in fact already been reached, 
including now in Japan.



My own preferred version of the contradiction suggests that a different form
of fictitious capital presents a serious barrier.  I tried to explain my case
in my book on Marx's crisis theory.  The deficit spending tends to reduce the
competitive pressures, allowing business to maintain excessive fictitious
capital, ultimately leading to speculative excesses (such as the buildup of
the telecom industry) and frauds.

I do emphatically agree on the importance of the theory of fictitious 
capital as you are developing it here. In particular, I agree that 
the way out of recessions ultimately depends upon the slaughter of 
capital values, not higher prices and strong consumption in the first 
instance.

Rakesh




Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Ian Murray


- Original Message -
From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, January 17, 2002 8:07 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:21571] Re: Re: Re: reform and rev


Ian, Marx posited that capitalism would work that way for a
while, but
that the contradictions would accumulate and then , but
then, it has
not yet happened, except in the USSR, China ...

===

Ok, but how are his claims any different from the
predictions of other economists-social forecasters? What is
it about his method of inference etc. that renders his
approach to the futurity of indeterminism and uncertainty
capable of generating more reliable predictions about the
long run?

Ian




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread michael perelman

As Jim D. mentioned, Marx's private predictions were not particularly
accurate -- they included a large dollop of hope.  Marxists generally
study Marx for his method, not for his predictions.

Ian Murray wrote:

 
 Ok, but how are his claims any different from the
 predictions of other economists-social forecasters? What is
 it about his method of inference etc. that renders his
 approach to the futurity of indeterminism and uncertainty
 capable of generating more reliable predictions about the
 long run?
 
 Ian

-- 

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929
 
Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Carrol Cox



Michael Perelman wrote:
 
 Ian, Marx posited that capitalism would work that way for a while, but
 that the contradictions would accumulate and then , but then, it has
 not yet happened, except in the USSR, China ...
 

If you don't hit it, it won't fall. Mao.

I rather suspect that capitalism can be depended on periodically to tear
itself apart -- but it can also be depended on to put itself back
together unless there is a political force that can overthrow it in at
least a few nations substantial enough to defend themselves. Unless we
really do think that History (with the uppercase H) is some sort of
divinity, we can't guarantee the appearance of such a force. We can work
for it and see what happens.

(Of course it can also destroy the environment irreparably. I don't see
any guarantee against that either.)

Carrol




Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread michael perelman



Rakesh Bhandari wrote:
 
 
 I think govts have in fact already found that running deficits the
 size that would be needed to achieve full employment would only yield
 retrenchment in private investment; 

Rakesh, I am not sure how you support the above.  Right wingers often
say the same.  Does Mattick/Grossman propose that idea?

Now, we have to make a distinction between deficit spending at the
trough and near full
employment.  near the trough, it will encourage investment -- less so
the further you come to full employment.


? govts thus find that limiting
 deficits and containing the run up in debt are important to
 maintaining private investment--that is, fiscal prudence gives
 confidence that taxes and interest rates will remain under control
 over the projected future and the state will thus not bite into
 profits the prospects for which are not strong.

This above statement sounds similar to Robert Barro.  With low capacity
utilization, companies don't care much about fixcal prudence.


 The state thus finds itself unable to do much even  as the private
 economy  has been unable to generate full employment and plunges
 itself into downturns. This has already made many people expendable;
 that is in part why we continue to be haunted by bourgeois dysgenic
 fears about the black so called underclass and so called illegal
 aliens.
 
 The limits of the mixed economy have in fact already been reached,
 including now in Japan.

I don't think that Japan qualifies as a mixed economy, but I cannot
speak with certainty.  Japan is, in my mind, relatively unique. 


 I do emphatically agree on the importance of the theory of fictitious
 capital as you are developing it here. In particular, I agree that
 the way out of recessions ultimately depends upon the slaughter of
 capital values, not higher prices and strong consumption in the first
 instance.

I believe that the slaughtering of captial values gives capital a lot
more room to maneuver than a Keynesian solution -- which I regard as a
temporary fix -- although I am not convinced that the ultimate problem
is deficit financing.
-- 

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929
 
Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Michael Perelman


Regarding what Carrol wrote, Russell Jacoby wrote about how the German
social democrats embraced crisis theory because it offered the comforting
idea that they did not have to do anything -- the economy would fall on
its own.

On Thu, Jan 17, 2002 at 10:43:58PM -0600, Carrol Cox wrote:
 
 
 Michael Perelman wrote:
  
  Ian, Marx posited that capitalism would work that way for a while, but
  that the contradictions would accumulate and then , but then, it has
  not yet happened, except in the USSR, China ...
  
 
 If you don't hit it, it won't fall. Mao.
 
 I rather suspect that capitalism can be depended on periodically to tear
 itself apart -- but it can also be depended on to put itself back
 together unless there is a political force that can overthrow it in at
 least a few nations substantial enough to defend themselves. Unless we
 really do think that History (with the uppercase H) is some sort of
 divinity, we can't guarantee the appearance of such a force. We can work
 for it and see what happens.
 
 (Of course it can also destroy the environment irreparably. I don't see
 any guarantee against that either.)
 
 Carrol
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: Re: reform and rev

2002-01-17 Thread Rakesh Bhandari

michael writes:



I believe that the slaughtering of captial values gives capital a lot
more room to maneuver than a Keynesian solution -- which I regard as a
temporary fix -- although I am not convinced that the ultimate problem
is deficit financing.

  I don't think the ultimate problem is deficit financing either!!! 
but a shortage of surplus value which explains both the slow down in 
accumulation and business hostility to the expansion of the state 
even when state demand can (as you say) relieve excess capacity 
(inventories, idle plants, idle workers) in the short run.

As fears of a slow down become dominant, there is bourgeois fear that 
the state will have to grow even more and thus exacerbate--via the 
threat of taxes and capital crowd out--the fear of continued 
declining private profitability which in turn leads to even more 
retrenchment of investment.

A higher marginal efficiency of capital then requires the state to 
rein itself it, to create extra opportunities for national capital in 
the world market, and most of all to suppress labor. For example, Bob 
Jessop the Marxist state theorist speaks of a transition from the 
Keynesian welfare to the Schumpeterian workfare state.  Which is not 
to say that even such a lean and mean state will stimulate investment 
levels consonant with full employment and general prosperity.

The business class finds that it cannot do with or without effective 
demand generated via deficit financing.

Unable to solve its own problems, a new class has to assert itself.



   I think govts have in fact already found that running deficits the
  size that would be needed to achieve full employment would only yield
  retrenchment in private investment;

Rakesh, I am not sure how you support the above.

after the failure of the Reagan deficits, European social democracy 
and now Japan's aggressive fiscal policy to stimulate strong growth, 
govts are attempting to encourage private investments by containing 
the run up of debt and thus to instill confidence in the business 
sector that the future tax burden and interest costs will be 
manageable vis a vis their profits. Krugman as a business Keynesian 
thinks that Bush has been skirting near to the edge of the 
destruction of that confidence. He's not necessarily wrong.

I am certainly not saying that such trimming is working or has worked 
to generate strong investment and full employment!




   Right wingers often
say the same.  Does Mattick/Grossman propose that idea?

Which idea? Mattick's idea was that state debt consumed capital yet 
interest and principal were owed, thus making state paper fictitious 
capital; principal and interest would thus have to come out of the 
private economy, as Sismondi long ago recognized.  Mattick did not 
disagree that the public consumption of capital could at times and 
for periods improve production and employment levels.



Now, we have to make a distinction between deficit spending at the
trough and near full
employment.  near the trough, it will encourage investment -- less so
the further you come to full employment.

Private investment never brings the economy to any where near full 
employment; the compensatory expansion of the public sector seemed to 
do little to generate a strong bout of private accumulation and 
seemed to have in fact undermined business confidence rather than 
encouraged investment overall as you are suggesting; however, the 
attempt to  trim expenditures and get budgets in order has also not 
yielded full employment investment levels either.

Mattick's point was not that anti Keynesianism would generate full 
employment and prosperity! His point was that private economy and 
mixed economy alike were not immune to the kinds of downturns that 
Marx predicted--in other words, capitalism had NOT changed and could 
not be changed via state management.



This above statement sounds similar to Robert Barro.  With low capacity
utilization, companies don't care much about fixcal prudence.

It is of course important what companies think and do as opposed to 
what Robt Barro thinks and does.



rb