Re: The IMF and deflation

1998-01-09 Thread Doug Henwood

Michael Perelman wrote:

Does anybody have any thoughts on the critique of the IMF by Stiglitz
and Sachs -- that the IMF is creating a deflationary economy to save the
banks?

This is speculation based on no solid information, but the World Bank funds
lots of infrastructure projects that provide contracts for lots of First
World companies, and the loss of the Asian market must be pretty painful
for the likes of Bechtel and GE. The IMF's mandate is purely financial. It
may be that this is one of those moments where the interests of finance and
industry diverge, and the WB-IMF tiff reflects that.

Doug







Re: The IMF and deflation

1998-01-09 Thread James Devine

Michael Perelman wrote:Does anybody have any thoughts on the critique of
the IMF by Stiglitz and Sachs -- that the IMF is creating a deflationary
economy to save the banks?

Rakesh asks: There is still faith in the Keynesian panacea?

Though I don't know the content of the SS critique, my guess is that they
hope that the IMF could become the world's central bank, to apply
Keynesian-style monetary policy for the world as a whole, overcoming the
barriers that internationalization put in the way of purely national
monetary policies. 

If so, that's pretty utopian to say the least. The IMF has been a
collection agency/enforcer for the banks and an international proselytizer
for the free-market gospel for so long that it's hard to imagine it
switching gears and becoming a world balance-wheel until after a world
debt-deflation depression and political crisis hits. (Sorry about the mixed
metaphors.) The US Fed didn't see itself as stabilizing the domestic
economy until after 1933 or so and even then its commitment was pretty
superficial. 

It's hard to see the IMF combining its current role with a central bank
role. As Minsky points out, it often happens that the Fed finds itself
where its "function" as the "lender of the last resort" (a central aspect
of its role as organizer and leader of the banking cartel) conflicts with
its role as monetary stabilizer of the economy (a result of its political
charter). This conflict even applies when the Fed sees its entire
macrostabilization job as that of avoiding accelerating inflation. 

One thing the Fed has that gives it a little backbone to lean toward
macrostabilization rather than being simply a shill for the banks is the
existence of a US state (and government), which can pressure it. Lacking a
world state, it's hard to see where the IMF's backbone would come from. Is
the IMF to be an agency of the US government? the OECD? the UN? what?

In addition, I should mention that monetary policy isn't as strong as in
the textbooks, but you knew that.



Coming back from seeing a large number of young economists tarting
themselves up in business suits in an effort to sell their asses to
employers (at the ASSA/AEA convention in Chicago), I see that pen-l is
discussing prostitution at extreme length and with much heat. I agree with
Michael that the topic has been mined, except for the gender dimension
(i.e., why it is usually women rather than men who are prostitutes). Is it
possible for someone to summarize the points of agreement and disagreement?
I know I couldn't do it. Good luck. 

in pen-l solidarity, 




Jim Devine  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
http://clawww.lmu.edu/1997F/ECON/jdevine.html
"Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own way and let
people talk.) 
-- K. Marx, paraphrasing Dante A.





Re: The IMF and deflation

1998-01-08 Thread Rakesh Bhandari



On Thu, 8 Jan 1998, Michael Perelman wrote:

 Does anybody have any thoughts on the critique of the IMF by Stiglitz
 and Sachs -- that the IMF is creating a deflationary economy to save the
 banks?

There is still faith in the Keynesian panacea?
Rakesh





The IMF and deflation

1998-01-08 Thread Michael Perelman

Does anybody have any thoughts on the critique of the IMF by Stiglitz
and Sachs -- that the IMF is creating a deflationary economy to save the
banks?
-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929
 
Tel. 916-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: The IMF and deflation

1998-01-08 Thread Paul Altesman

At 07:49 PM 1/8/98 -0800, Michael Perelman wrote:
Does anybody have any thoughts on the critique of the IMF by Stiglitz
and Sachs -- that the IMF is creating a deflationary economy to save the
banks?

It is hard to comment without knowing the specifics (could you provide the
citations or a summary?).  Did this emerge in Chicago?

It sounds like this is one of the periodic re-openings of the difference in
perspective between the World Bank-types and the IMF-types (Sachs and
Stiglitz being so long linked to the Bank).  The differences were open and
strong in the 70's and early 80's and were no different than the usual
Central Bank\Finance Ministry conflicts (how much primacy to low inflation
and financial concerns vs. developmentalist\industrialist real sector concerns).

Much as the differences sound intriguing, operationally I never saw much
emerge.  Partly, this is may be because the way heads were banged (by the US
et. al.) at the beginning of the Latin American debt crisis in the '80s.
There is a vague constitutional primacy given to the IMF and starting around
'83 it became near universal that the Fund Program had to be negotiated
first. Even at the intellectual level the challenges that emerged such as
Sach's and Summer's over Russia were largely kept to "inside baseball"
(although I remember it emerging a bit at the early '90's New Orleans AEA).