Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - in defence of

2006-06-22 Thread Mike Weaver
Mission accomplished!

Mike Redler wrote:

Agh!!

Now ya did it. I got that stupid music from the Heineken Light 
commercial ringing in my head.

Don't you wish your girlfriend was a freak like me...


Mike Weaver wrote:
  

Oh, you just like the Freak part pf Freakonmics!

Michael Redler wrote:

  


Doug wrote: I do agree with you that most present day economists are 
in an extreme state of denial regarding their relationship to moral 
issues.

I would agree that there is a detachment but, I'm not sure that it's 
denial. I mean, denial is a defense mechanism, right? Have they become 
defensive or do they see a close attachment to moral issues as a leash 
which keeps their research within current moral boundaries.

I want to be careful not to make blanket statements because some 
economists may depend on moral issues because it's within the scope of 
their research. Those who don't include those issues (IMO) have grown 
accustomed to certain methods and have created their own obstacles in 
reaching their objective.

Personally, I'm equally interested in the public reaction to 
economists research. I think the degree by which people interpret 
research as a call to action is a measure of how our culture submits 
to fear and hatred.
 
...my $.02
 
 
Mike
 
  

[snip]

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Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - in defence of

2006-06-21 Thread Mike Weaver
Oh, you just like the Freak part pf Freakonmics!

Michael Redler wrote:


 Doug wrote: I do agree with you that most present day economists are 
 in an extreme state of denial regarding their relationship to moral 
 issues.

 I would agree that there is a detachment but, I'm not sure that it's 
 denial. I mean, denial is a defense mechanism, right? Have they become 
 defensive or do they see a close attachment to moral issues as a leash 
 which keeps their research within current moral boundaries.

 I want to be careful not to make blanket statements because some 
 economists may depend on moral issues because it's within the scope of 
 their research. Those who don't include those issues (IMO) have grown 
 accustomed to certain methods and have created their own obstacles in 
 reaching their objective.

 Personally, I'm equally interested in the public reaction to 
 economists research. I think the degree by which people interpret 
 research as a call to action is a measure of how our culture submits 
 to fear and hatred.
  
 ...my $.02
  
  
 Mike
  

 */Doug Turner [EMAIL PROTECTED]/* wrote:

 Hi Robert

 I'm afraid that I have to disagree your general dismissal of Levitt 
 Dubner's book Freakonomics. Not all of the book was particularly
 gripping
 but I thought the book provided ammunition for both the
 conservative and
 liberal camps. The correlation between legalize abortion in the US
 and the
 dramatic decline in some crime rates was controlled for other
 factors such
 as increased police budgets, stiffer penalties, altered policing
 methods,
 etc. yet Levitt was still able to attribute a large majority of the
 diminished crime rate to legalized abortion. For me, the argument
 clincher
 was that several states legalized abortion before Roe vs. Wade and
 those
 states had crime rates fall before the rest of the country. The
 author even
 stated that legalize abortion was clearly not the direct cause of
 a decline
 in the crime rate. Rather Levitt proposed that perhaps children
 who were
 not rejected at birth by their parents are more likely behave in a
 socially
 condoned manner.

 Nor was all of the research in the book based strictly on
 correlational
 analysis. The section dealing with drug dealers who live with
 their mothers
 was based on evidence obtained from some sociological fieldwork that
 recovered a detailed set of accounting books and records used by a
 MBA grad
 turned drug kingpin.

 I do agree with you that most present day economists are in an
 extreme state
 of denial regarding their relationship to moral issues. That doesn't
 necessarily mean that the analytical tools they have developed
 over the
 years cannot be used for good. The burgeoning fields of ecological
 and true
 cost economics are two examples of the application of the statistical
 economic tools being used to address some of the issues that
 concern many
 people on this list. I just hope that they hurry up and spread the
 word a
 little faster, actually a lot faster. You may want to check out
 this link
 as a place to start
 http://adbusters.org/metas/eco/truecosteconomics/economists.html

 Doug

 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of robert and
 benita rabello
 Sent: June 20, 2006 12:38 AM
 To: biofuel@sustainablelists.org
 Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics


 Darryl McMahon wrote:

 There is an oblique reference to this in the archives. I have just
 finished reading the book, and recommend that people put it on their
 reading lists. (No time like the present to get on your public
 library's waiting list.)
 
 

 Yes, I think I'm the one who referenced it. This is one of my
 stockbroker sister's favorite books.

 I thoroughly enjoyed the book, even learned a thing or two. I was
 aware
 of the gun-related items, but I had not previously made the crime
 rate
 drop connection in the U.S. with Roe vs. Wade.
 

 The causal relationships the author mentions are tangential, at
 best. I'm sure a correlation can be made with the drop in crime rate
 versus GDP too. In fact, I'll bet you could correlate a drop in crime
 rate with the introduction of Viagra . . .

 Nice piece of de-spinning work. So many more subjects need more such
 treatment.
 
 

 It's a great book for NeoCons.

  From the epilogue:
 But the fact of the matter is that /Freakonomics/-style thinking
 simply doesn't traffic in morality. As we suggested near the
 beginning
 of this book, if morality represents an ideal world, then economics
 represents the actual world.
 
 

 If only we had reliable numbers . . . If only we could tabulate how
 much

Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics

2006-06-21 Thread robert and benita rabello




Darryl McMahon wrote:

  Actually, I've done some x-y correlation research in my day, and while 
it's been a while, the text of the book rings true with my experience. 
It strikes me that Levitt has done a reasonable job of substantiating 
his conclusions, as much as anyone can in the social sciences where 
running conscious control populations can be tricky.  However, he's done 
a pretty good job of finding reasonable controls for comparisons from 
data typically collected for other purposes.
  


 I'm not ready to concede the point to you. The argument presented
in the book didn't seem convincing to me because there are too many
other factors that influence crime rates. Others have also questioned
Mr. Levitt's analysis. For instance:

http://www.economist.com/finance/displayStory.cfm?story_id=5246700

 Now the following words come from Christopher Foote from the
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, but they underscore my point pretty
well:

"
"
But now economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston are taking aim
at the
statistics behind one of Mr. Levitt's most controversial chapters. Mr.
Levitt
asserts there is a link between the legalization of abortion in the
early 1970s
and the drop in crime rates in the 1990s. Christopher
Foote, a senior economist at the Boston Fed, and Christopher Goetz,
a
research assistant, say the research behind that conclusion is faulty.

"
Long before he became a best-selling author, Mr. Levitt, 38 years old,
had
established a reputation among economists as a careful researcher who
produced
first-rate statistical studies on surprising subjects. In 2003, the
American
Economic Association named him the nation's best economist under 40,
one of the
most prestigious distinctions in the field. His abortion research was
published
in 2001 in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, an academic journal. (He
was the
subject of a page-one Wall Street Journal story1 in the same year.)

"
The "Freakonomics" chapter on abortion grew out of statistical studies
Mr. Levitt and a co-author, Yale Law School Prof. John Donohue,
conducted on the
subject. The theory: Unwanted children are more likely to become
troubled
adolescents, prone to crime and drug use, than are wanted children.
When
abortion was legalized in the 1970s, a whole generation of unwanted
births were
averted, leading to a drop in crime nearly two decades later when this
phantom
generation would have come of age.

"The Boston Fed's Mr. Foote says he spotted a missing formula in the
programming of Mr. Levitt's original research. He argues the
programming
oversight made it difficult to pick up other factors that might have
influenced
crime rates during the 1980s and 1990s, like the crack wave that waxed
and waned
during that period. He also argues that in producing the research, Mr.
Levitt
should have counted arrests on a per-capita basis. Instead, he counted
overall
arrests. After he adjusted for both factors, Mr. Foote says, the
abortion effect
disappeared. [Emphasis mine.]

"
"There are no statistical grounds for believing that the hypothetical
youths who were aborted as fetuses would have been more likely to
commit crimes
had they reached maturity than the actual youths who developed from
fetuses and
carried to term," the authors assert in the report. "


Correlating cause / effect relationships is a slippery business
at best, and the biggest assumption Mr. Levitt made was that abortion
eliminated a significant percentage of unwanted babies, who would, in
turn, have become criminals because of their lack of familial love and
guidance. However, statistics concerning illegitimate births in the US
indicate a RISE after abortion was legalized. How can that correlate
with "wantedness" and result in reduced crime?

The whole exercise was mindless, in my view.

(Neocons)

  
Interesting perspective.  I certainly did not see it that way.  In fact, 
I would have thought NeoCons would have hated it.  I suppose anyone can 
find something they like in here, but NeoCons and the whole book, that I 
don't see.  Maybe my definition of NeoCons is off.  I tend to associate 
them with the current White House crowd (Bush II, Rove, Wolfowitz, 
Perle, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Rice, etc) and the American religious right.
  


 Those people use religion to promote a very secular agenda. To
them, economics is twisted into a scheme that increases profit.
Religion and pious-sounding talk serve to lull the masses to sleep.
They're a hawkish bunch who promote "free trade" only when it suits
them. (Don't get me started about softwood lumber!) My sister (and
most of the people in my family, for that matter) fall quite nicely
into the NeoCon camp. News that two American soldiers were recently
tortured and brutally slain in Iraq brought outraged responses from
solid, church-attending people who think that we ought to "bomb them
all to hell" for this.

 Now the reason NeoCons in my family LOVE this book, is that they
say Freakonomics lays out a persuasive case for 

Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - in defence of

2006-06-21 Thread Mike Redler
Agh!!

Now ya did it. I got that stupid music from the Heineken Light 
commercial ringing in my head.

Don't you wish your girlfriend was a freak like me...


Mike Weaver wrote:
 Oh, you just like the Freak part pf Freakonmics!

 Michael Redler wrote:

   
 Doug wrote: I do agree with you that most present day economists are 
 in an extreme state of denial regarding their relationship to moral 
 issues.

 I would agree that there is a detachment but, I'm not sure that it's 
 denial. I mean, denial is a defense mechanism, right? Have they become 
 defensive or do they see a close attachment to moral issues as a leash 
 which keeps their research within current moral boundaries.

 I want to be careful not to make blanket statements because some 
 economists may depend on moral issues because it's within the scope of 
 their research. Those who don't include those issues (IMO) have grown 
 accustomed to certain methods and have created their own obstacles in 
 reaching their objective.

 Personally, I'm equally interested in the public reaction to 
 economists research. I think the degree by which people interpret 
 research as a call to action is a measure of how our culture submits 
 to fear and hatred.
  
 ...my $.02
  
  
 Mike
  
[snip]

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Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - in defence of

2006-06-20 Thread Doug Turner
Hi Robert

I'm afraid that I have to disagree your general dismissal of Levitt 
Dubner's book Freakonomics.  Not all of the book was particularly gripping
but I thought the book provided ammunition for both the conservative and
liberal camps.  The correlation between legalize abortion in the US and the
dramatic decline in some crime rates was controlled for other factors such
as increased police budgets, stiffer penalties, altered policing methods,
etc. yet Levitt was still able to attribute a large majority of the
diminished crime rate to legalized abortion.  For me, the argument clincher
was that several states legalized abortion before Roe vs. Wade and those
states had crime rates fall before the rest of the country.  The author even
stated that legalize abortion was clearly not the direct cause of a decline
in the crime rate.  Rather Levitt proposed that perhaps children who were
not rejected at birth by their parents are more likely behave in a socially
condoned manner.

Nor was all of the research in the book based strictly on correlational
analysis.  The section dealing with drug dealers who live with their mothers
was based on evidence obtained from some sociological fieldwork that
recovered a detailed set of accounting books and records used by a MBA grad
turned drug kingpin.

I do agree with you that most present day economists are in an extreme state
of denial regarding their relationship to moral issues.  That doesn't
necessarily mean that the analytical tools they have developed over the
years cannot be used for good.  The burgeoning fields of ecological and true
cost economics are two examples of the application of the statistical
economic tools being used to address some of the issues that concern many
people on this list.  I just hope that they hurry up and spread the word a
little faster, actually a lot faster.  You may want to check out this link
as a place to start
http://adbusters.org/metas/eco/truecosteconomics/economists.html

Doug

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of robert and
benita rabello
Sent: June 20, 2006 12:38 AM
To: biofuel@sustainablelists.org
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics


Darryl McMahon wrote:

There is an oblique reference to this in the archives.  I have just
finished reading the book, and recommend that people put it on their
reading lists.  (No time like the present to get on your public
library's waiting list.)



Yes, I think I'm the one who referenced it.  This is one of my
stockbroker sister's favorite books.

I thoroughly enjoyed the book, even learned a thing or two.  I was aware
of the gun-related items, but I had not previously made the crime rate
drop connection in the U.S. with Roe vs. Wade.


The causal relationships the author mentions are tangential, at
best.  I'm sure a correlation can be made with the drop in crime rate
versus GDP too.  In fact, I'll bet you could correlate a drop in crime
rate with the introduction of Viagra . . .

Nice piece of de-spinning work.  So many more subjects need more such
treatment.



It's a great book for NeoCons.

 From the epilogue:
But the fact of the matter is that iFreakonomics/i-style thinking
simply doesn't traffic in morality.  As we suggested near the beginning
of this book, if morality represents an ideal world, then economics
represents the actual world.



If only we had reliable numbers . . .  If only we could tabulate how
much it REALLY costs to rape the environment, destroy human life and
elevate the welfare of the wealthy over the welfare of the poor.  At its
core, morality IS economics, but the paradigm is upside down.

The most likely result of having read this book is a simple one: you
may find yourself asking a lot of questions.  Many of them will lead to
nothing.  But some will produce answers that are interesting, even
surprising.



Or entirely stupid.  Take your pick!

Sorry Darryl, but I'm simply NOT impressed . . .


robert luis rabello
The Edge of Justice
Adventure for Your Mind
http://www.newadventure.ca

Ranger Supercharger Project Page
http://www.members.shaw.ca/rabello/


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messages):
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Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - in defence of

2006-06-20 Thread Michael Redler
Doug wrote: "I do agree with you that most present day economists are in an extreme state of denial regarding their relationship to moral issues."I would agree that there is a detachment but, I'm not sure that it's denial. I mean, denial is a defense mechanism, right?Have they become defensive or do they see a close attachment tomoral issues as a leash which keeps their research withincurrent moral boundaries.I want to be careful not to make blanket statements because some economists may depend on moral issues because it's within the scope of their research. Those who don't include those issues (IMO) have grown accustomed tocertain methods and havecreated their own obstacles in reaching their objective.Personally, I'mequally interested in the public reaction to economists research. I think the degree by which peopleinterpret research as a call to action is a measure of howour culture submits to
 fear and hatred....my $.02  MikeDoug Turner [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Hi RobertI'm afraid that I have to disagree your general dismissal of Levitt Dubner's book Freakonomics. Not all of the book was particularly grippingbut I thought the book provided ammunition for both the conservative andliberal camps. The correlation between legalize abortion in the US and thedramatic decline in some crime rates was controlled for other factors suchas increased police budgets, stiffer penalties, altered policing methods,etc. yet Levitt was still able to attribute a large majority of thediminished crime rate to legalized abortion. For me, the argument clincherwas that several states legalized
 abortion before Roe vs. Wade and thosestates had crime rates fall before the rest of the country. The author evenstated that legalize abortion was clearly not the direct cause of a declinein the crime rate. Rather Levitt proposed that perhaps children who werenot rejected at birth by their parents are more likely behave in a sociallycondoned manner.Nor was all of the research in the book based strictly on correlationalanalysis. The section dealing with drug dealers who live with their motherswas based on evidence obtained from some sociological fieldwork thatrecovered a detailed set of accounting books and records used by a MBA gradturned drug kingpin.I do agree with you that most present day economists are in an extreme stateof denial regarding their relationship to moral issues. That doesn'tnecessarily mean that the analytical tools they have developed over theyears cannot be used for good. The burgeoning
 fields of ecological and truecost economics are two examples of the application of the statisticaleconomic tools being used to address some of the issues that concern manypeople on this list. I just hope that they hurry up and spread the word alittle faster, actually a lot faster. You may want to check out this linkas a place to starthttp://adbusters.org/metas/eco/truecosteconomics/economists.htmlDoug-Original Message-From: [EMAIL PROTECTED][mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of robert andbenita rabelloSent: June 20, 2006 12:38 AMTo: biofuel@sustainablelists.orgSubject: Re: [Biofuel] FreakonomicsDarryl McMahon wrote:There is an oblique reference to this in the archives. I have justfinished reading the book, and recommend that people put it on theirreading lists. (No time like the present to get on your publiclibrary's
 waiting list.)Yes, I think I'm the one who referenced it. This is one of mystockbroker sister's favorite books.I thoroughly enjoyed the book, even learned a thing or two. I was awareof the gun-related items, but I had not previously made the crime ratedrop connection in the U.S. with Roe vs. Wade.The causal relationships the author mentions are tangential, atbest. I'm sure a correlation can be made with the drop in crime rateversus GDP too. In fact, I'll bet you could correlate a drop in crimerate with the introduction of Viagra . . .Nice piece of de-spinning work. So many more subjects need more suchtreatment.It's a great book for NeoCons. From the epilogue:"But the fact of the matter is that Freakonomics-style thinkingsimply doesn't traffic in morality. As we suggested near the beginningof this book, if
 morality represents an ideal world, then economicsrepresents the actual world.If only we had reliable numbers . . . If only we could tabulate howmuch it REALLY costs to rape the environment, destroy human life andelevate the welfare of the wealthy over the welfare of the poor. At itscore, morality IS economics, but the paradigm is upside down."The most likely result of having read this book is a simple one: youmay find yourself asking a lot of questions. Many of them will lead tonothing. But some will produce answers that are interesting, evensurprising."Or entirely stupid. Take your pick!Sorry Darryl, but I'm simply NOT impressed . . .robert luis rabello"The Edge of Justice"Adventure for Your Mindhttp://www.newadventure.ca___
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Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - in defence of

2006-06-20 Thread Doug Turner



Hi 
Mike,

 Yes, you are right. I should not have accused most 
economists of being in denial. I needed to be clearer. What really 
bugs meare those economists in the public eyewho make normative, 
positivistic statements about things that are really subjective matters of 
opinion. Both Keynesians andConservatives do so but I find the 
neoconsparticularly reticent to acknowledge that their anti-government 
faith/beliefprovides the theoretical underpinnings to most of their 
positions. I take issue withthose economists whoportray 
themselves as completely scientific and objective.Economists 
mustmake assumptions about the fundamental nature of human 
existence. A favourite example is the assumption that human beings are 
ration. There are clearlymany examples of when this is not true 
onat both the individual and societal levels. Nevertheless the 
assumption of rationalityremain generally accepted. Such assumptions 
cannot help but be biased by personal values yet they claim to be 
objective.
 If you are interested, a few years ago George Soros 
wrote an article called "The Capitalist Threat" in Harpers that touches on some 
of these issues. I recently re-read the article and was struck by the 
continued relevance of much of his argument.
 I should be clear that not all economists ignore these 
issues. It just seems that the ones who have a voice seem to gloss over 
the significant problems that exist within the field. Personally, I think 
that you are right about the public reaction to some economic research. I 
also feel that in many cases the public prefers to hear that there is a simple 
fix for incredibly complex problems. I'm just not 
certainthatthose pulling the levers recognise thatthe simple 
solutions may get them elected but they rarely solve the 
problems.
 Anyway, that's my $0.02. Now it's time to jump down 
from this soapbox.

 
Doug


  -Original Message-From: 
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
  [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]On Behalf Of Michael 
  RedlerSent: June 20, 2006 11:52 AMTo: 
  biofuel@sustainablelists.orgSubject: Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics - 
  in defence of
  Doug wrote: "I do agree with you 
  that most present day economists are in an extreme state of denial regarding 
  their relationship to moral issues."I would agree that there is a 
  detachment but, I'm not sure that it's denial. I mean, denial is a defense 
  mechanism, right?Have they become defensive or do they see a close 
  attachment tomoral issues as a leash which keeps their research 
  withincurrent moral boundaries.I want to be careful not to make 
  blanket statements because some economists may depend on moral issues because 
  it's within the scope of their research. Those who don't include those issues 
  (IMO) have grown accustomed tocertain methods and havecreated 
  their own obstacles in reaching their objective.Personally, 
  I'mequally interested in the public reaction to economists research. I 
  think the degree by which peopleinterpret research as a call to action 
  is a measure of howour culture submits to fear and hatred.
  
  ...my $.02
  
  
  Mike
  
  Doug Turner 
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Hi 
RobertI'm afraid that I have to disagree your general dismissal of 
Levitt Dubner's book Freakonomics. Not all of the book was 
particularly grippingbut I thought the book provided ammunition for both 
the conservative andliberal camps. The correlation between legalize 
abortion in the US and thedramatic decline in some crime rates was 
controlled for other factors suchas increased police budgets, stiffer 
penalties, altered policing methods,etc. yet Levitt was still able to 
attribute a large majority of thediminished crime rate to legalized 
abortion. For me, the argument clincherwas that several states legalized 
abortion before Roe vs. Wade and thosestates had crime rates fall before 
the rest of the country. The author evenstated that legalize abortion 
was clearly not the direct cause of a declinein the crime rate. Rather 
Levitt proposed that perhaps children who werenot rejected at birth by 
their parents are more likely behave in a sociallycondoned 
manner.Nor was all of the research in the book based strictly on 
correlationalanalysis. The section dealing with drug dealers who live 
with their motherswas based on evidence obtained from some sociological 
fieldwork thatrecovered a detailed set of accounting books and records 
used by a MBA gradturned drug kingpin.I do agree with you that 
most present day economists are in an extreme stateof denial regarding 
their relationship to moral issues. That doesn'tnecessarily mean that 
the analytical tools they have developed over theyears cannot be used 
for good. The burgeoning fields of ecological and truecost economics are 
two examples of the application of the statisticaleconomic tools being 
used to address some of the

Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics

2006-06-20 Thread Darryl McMahon
robert and benita rabello wrote:
 Darryl McMahon wrote:
 
There is an oblique reference to this in the archives.  I have just 
finished reading the book, and recommend that people put it on their 
reading lists.  (No time like the present to get on your public 
library's waiting list.)
 
 Yes, I think I'm the one who referenced it.  This is one of my 
 stockbroker sister's favorite books.
 
I thoroughly enjoyed the book, even learned a thing or two.  I was aware 
of the gun-related items, but I had not previously made the crime rate 
drop connection in the U.S. with Roe vs. Wade. 
 
 The causal relationships the author mentions are tangential, at 
 best.  I'm sure a correlation can be made with the drop in crime rate 
 versus GDP too.  In fact, I'll bet you could correlate a drop in crime 
 rate with the introduction of Viagra . . .

Actually, I've done some x-y correlation research in my day, and while 
it's been a while, the text of the book rings true with my experience. 
It strikes me that Levitt has done a reasonable job of substantiating 
his conclusions, as much as anyone can in the social sciences where 
running conscious control populations can be tricky.  However, he's done 
a pretty good job of finding reasonable controls for comparisons from 
data typically collected for other purposes.

So you might find a correlation between Viagra and crime rates, but 
could you posit a reasonable causal relationship, and show it across 
multiple time-frames and jurisdictions while consciously controlling for 
other likely connections?  And that the reverse action leads to the 
reverse result.  If so, I'd like to see the work backing that up.

 
Nice piece of de-spinning work.  So many more subjects need more such 
treatment.
 
 It's a great book for NeoCons.

Interesting perspective.  I certainly did not see it that way.  In fact, 
I would have thought NeoCons would have hated it.  I suppose anyone can 
find something they like in here, but NeoCons and the whole book, that I 
don't see.  Maybe my definition of NeoCons is off.  I tend to associate 
them with the current White House crowd (Bush II, Rove, Wolfowitz, 
Perle, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Rice, etc) and the American religious right.

I would not expect that crowd to welcome a positive correlation between 
free choice access to abortion and a lower crime rate.

Or that for many categories of crime, harsher sentences are not a 
significant deterrent.

Perhaps the NeoCons like the example that pools are more dangerous for 
toddlers than guns.  However, it's not like Levitt is trying to 
extrapolate that result to the general population, and doing so is 
disingenuous.

 
From the epilogue:
But the fact of the matter is that iFreakonomics/i-style thinking 
simply doesn't traffic in morality.  As we suggested near the beginning 
of this book, if morality represents an ideal world, then economics 
represents the actual world.
 
 If only we had reliable numbers . . .  If only we could tabulate how 
 much it REALLY costs to rape the environment, destroy human life and 
 elevate the welfare of the wealthy over the welfare of the poor.  At its 
 core, morality IS economics, but the paradigm is upside down.

I disagree.  I don't think morality has much of a relationship with 
economics, any more than physics.  If a meteorite strikes the earth and 
kills people, that's reality that can be explained by physics, but I 
don't ascribe any morality to the event.  Economics attempts to explain 
the actions of individuals relative to their choices in the use of 
resources.  Levitt gives a couple of cases where the economic incentives 
are in conflict with the presumed moral choice.  Which one wins depends 
on the individual.  The take-away for me is that we should be doing a 
better job of aligning incentives with morality as a society, not 
putting them in conflict to see which wins.

If we want to expend the effort, I'm sure we can get a reasonable 
estimate of how much it costs to destroy the environment, and human life 
and extracting wealth from the poor for the benefit of the rich.  (That 
may come in a later post; I'm currently reading The Weather Makers by 
Flannery; in a word-terrifying.)

I trust you feel this direction is counter to your morality; it is 
counter to mine.  So, I would not expend the effort on the accounting 
analysis.  Economics is a tool, like a shovel.  You can use a shovel to 
cultivate the garden, or stove in your neighbour's head.  The shovel has 
no inherent morality.  Economics can be used to our benefit (e.g. 
Schumacher) or our detriment (e.g. Reagan supply-side economics, and I 
would argue Friedman's monetarism - but that's another debate).  So long 
as we permit social policies to incent action that is contrary to our 
morality, it is not the fault of economics that it can explain the 
mechanism or keep score; it is our fault for permitting the policy to 
remain in effect.

The thing I hope most people take away from this 

[Biofuel] Freakonomics

2006-06-19 Thread Darryl McMahon
There is an oblique reference to this in the archives.  I have just 
finished reading the book, and recommend that people put it on their 
reading lists.  (No time like the present to get on your public 
library's waiting list.)

I thoroughly enjoyed the book, even learned a thing or two.  I was aware 
of the gun-related items, but I had not previously made the crime rate 
drop connection in the U.S. with Roe vs. Wade.  I passed the book to my 
16-year-old son.  His impression was also favourable.

Nice piece of de-spinning work.  So many more subjects need more such 
treatment.

 From the epilogue:
But the fact of the matter is that iFreakonomics/i-style thinking 
simply doesn't traffic in morality.  As we suggested near the beginning 
of this book, if morality represents an ideal world, then economics 
represents the actual world.
The most likely result of having read this book is a simple one: you 
may find yourself asking a lot of questions.  Many of them will lead to 
nothing.  But some will produce answers that are interesting, even 
surprising.

-- 
Darryl McMahon  http://www.econogics.com
It's your planet.  If you won't look after it, who will?


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Re: [Biofuel] Freakonomics

2006-06-19 Thread robert and benita rabello
Darryl McMahon wrote:

There is an oblique reference to this in the archives.  I have just 
finished reading the book, and recommend that people put it on their 
reading lists.  (No time like the present to get on your public 
library's waiting list.)
  


Yes, I think I'm the one who referenced it.  This is one of my 
stockbroker sister's favorite books.

I thoroughly enjoyed the book, even learned a thing or two.  I was aware 
of the gun-related items, but I had not previously made the crime rate 
drop connection in the U.S. with Roe vs. Wade. 


The causal relationships the author mentions are tangential, at 
best.  I'm sure a correlation can be made with the drop in crime rate 
versus GDP too.  In fact, I'll bet you could correlate a drop in crime 
rate with the introduction of Viagra . . .

Nice piece of de-spinning work.  So many more subjects need more such 
treatment.
  


It's a great book for NeoCons.

 From the epilogue:
But the fact of the matter is that iFreakonomics/i-style thinking 
simply doesn't traffic in morality.  As we suggested near the beginning 
of this book, if morality represents an ideal world, then economics 
represents the actual world.
  


If only we had reliable numbers . . .  If only we could tabulate how 
much it REALLY costs to rape the environment, destroy human life and 
elevate the welfare of the wealthy over the welfare of the poor.  At its 
core, morality IS economics, but the paradigm is upside down.

The most likely result of having read this book is a simple one: you 
may find yourself asking a lot of questions.  Many of them will lead to 
nothing.  But some will produce answers that are interesting, even 
surprising.
  


Or entirely stupid.  Take your pick!

Sorry Darryl, but I'm simply NOT impressed . . .

 
robert luis rabello
The Edge of Justice
Adventure for Your Mind
http://www.newadventure.ca

Ranger Supercharger Project Page
http://www.members.shaw.ca/rabello/


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