Re: [biofuel] Global Warming Alarmists Are the Ones Filled with Hot Air

2004-02-12 Thread murdoch

On Fri, 13 Feb 2004 01:36:49 +0900, you wrote:

Hi MM

Much agree with what you say about the CFC-Ozone issue, and I think 
it has come up here before.

Thanks for going over the other info.  I will have to review it at a
later time.  

On the CFC-Ozone issue, I have a followup comment.  

I think we activists may not be emphasizing this issue enough.
Sometimes the system works sort of the way it's supposed-to.  It is
often said (pointed out) that negative news and such are often fodder
for coverage and conversation, but it is sometimes not deemed as
newsworthy or conversation-worthy when something works out the way
it's supposed to (non-negative news).  

Maybe this is a case of that sort of situation?  If so, we activists
might want to make a point of discussing or covering the ongoing
apparent-partial-success-story of CFC-prohibition.  It would have been
newsworthy, no doubt, if thousands or millions or billions of people
started coming down with Skin Cancer at unprecedented rates.  But that
isn't happening... at least probably not as much as it would have
happened had we not banned CFCs.  We acted to try to prevent a
disaster by modifying our collective global behaviour, and we, as a
team effort covering many decades and country borders and much
individual sacrifice of time and effort, seem to have accomplished
something.  

I think it's worth pointing out, discussing, taking lessons from this,
valuing it, taking pride in it.  

Now, I think we can use that to change the tone and approach of some
of these global warming discussions.

MM



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Re: [biofuel] Global Warming Alarmists Are the Ones Filled with Hot Air

2004-02-11 Thread murdoch

x-charset ISO-8859-1
If you stopped reading there—as most of the knee-jerk,
junk scientists do—you’d be terribly misled. 

NASA has been monitoring the temperature of the lower
layers of the atmosphere since 1979. Since this
encompasses the same “last 20 years” of the National
Academy of Sciences’ report of a “particularly strong”
warming trend, certainly balloon measurements in the
atmosphere should support this postulate. 

What the data shows is not warming but cooling: 

I found this essay no more useful than most others.  Probably a little
less useful, because the author starts off with this skepticism as to
the cold spell in the Northeast and whether this can be held
consistent with the emergence of any sort of global warming.  For
years, if not decades, I've heard that Global Warming theory predicts
a temporary localized cooling in some areas including North America,
and an increase in extreme weather events.  I don't know if the
modelers have been correct in these definitions of a global warming
model, nor if those events are coming true, but the it's cold so
global warming can't be happening argument doesn't seem to be
sufficiently aware of basic theory.

What I want to say is this:

Many of us in this and other discussion groups have a strong interest
in Earth Science if for no other reason than we find it darn
fascinating.  But I've come to this partial working-idea on Global
Warming, that even if I consider myself to be a decent (if
often-wrong) armchair science-follower, I think global warming
questions are tough ones, and the haughty what this shows
overly-confident conclusions of this fellow amateur are not wortwhile.
They fail to show proper respect for the difficulty of the questions,
and the apparent preponderance of opinion of serious disinterested
(politically) scientists who just want to try and help themselves and
us understand what's really happening to the Earth, its climate, etc.
To try and understand such matters in a serious way is to have respect
for the complexity of the matter, in my view.

I've been thinking about the fact that we seldom if ever see much
mention of the great CFC-Ozone debate that took place, and the fact
that there *was* a cooperative global action that has taken place to
try to correct this disputed (by some, at the time and perhaps now)
problem.  Could we have afforded to wait any longer?  Not in my view,
and evidently not in the view of enough other people so that we took
action.

Has the action taken proven to have been useful?  So far as I know.  I
think the hope is that, over the years, we'll continue to see evidence
come in that we did the right thing.  But I just don't hear that many
folks claiming that they would have preferred that we do nothing, or
that they would have preferred that we all ignore the serious
scientists who did indicate they thought a problem might arise and
listen only to the serious scientists who thought that a problem
mightn't arise.

Now, the CFC-Ozone problem seemed a bit easier to predict and identify
and nail down and try to do something about it.  The assertions of
CO2-linked and other-chemical-linked Global warming seem harder to
implement a precautionary principle process if only because of the
relatively greater (seeming) complexity and attendant uncertainty that
we may associate with complexity.

But I've just been meaning to point out that the Ozone-CFC actions,
however imperfect, seem to have worked out a little.  Why aren't they
regarded as more of a precedent-setting baby-step... helping us have
confidence that if we take specific actions to remediate-in-advance
with respect to Global Warming, we might well turn out to thank
ourselves that we did the right thing?


“The
lower [troposphere] data are often cited as evidence
against global warming, because they have as yet
failed to show any warming trend when averaged over
the entire Earth. The lower stratospheric data show a
significant cooling trend…In addition to the recent
cooling, large temporary warming perturbations may be
seen in the data due to two major volcanic eruptions:
El Chichon in March 1982, and Mt. Pinatubo in June
1991.”



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[biofuel] Global Warming Alarmists Are the Ones Filled with Hot Air

2004-02-10 Thread Ken Gotberg

Another journalistic point of view?

http://www.opinioneditorials.com/contributors/rummo_20040128.html

January 28, 2004

Global Warming Alarmists Are the Ones Filled with Hot
Air
 
Gregory Rummo 

The frigid temperatures that continue throughout the
Northeast and the ice storms that pushed into the Deep
South earlier this week causing mayhem and death on
the interstates failed to faze the global warming
alarmists, some of which came out of hibernation to
write letters to the editor at several newspapers
where my column on the topic ran a few weeks ago. 

One letter writer actually wrote that the colder than
usual weather was further evidence of global warming.
While my previous column was not meant to be a serious
thesis on the topic of global warming, this one is. 

What we know is that the earth’s average temperature
has warmed by about 1 degree Fahrenheit over the last
century. 
The National Academy of Sciences reports on their
website: “This warming has been particularly strong
during the last 20 years, and has been accompanied by
retreating glaciers, thinning arctic ice, rising sea
levels, lengthening of growing seasons for some, and
earlier arrival of migratory birds. In addition,
several other data support that conclusion.”

If you stopped reading there—as most of the knee-jerk,
junk scientists do—you’d be terribly misled. 

NASA has been monitoring the temperature of the lower
layers of the atmosphere since 1979. Since this
encompasses the same “last 20 years” of the National
Academy of Sciences’ report of a “particularly strong”
warming trend, certainly balloon measurements in the
atmosphere should support this postulate. 

What the data shows is not warming but cooling: “The
lower [troposphere] data are often cited as evidence
against global warming, because they have as yet
failed to show any warming trend when averaged over
the entire Earth. The lower stratospheric data show a
significant cooling trend…In addition to the recent
cooling, large temporary warming perturbations may be
seen in the data due to two major volcanic eruptions:
El Chichon in March 1982, and Mt. Pinatubo in June
1991.”

This finding is in keeping with those of Dr. S. Fred
Singer, president of the Science and Environmental
Policy Project, who points out, “a study of carbon
dioxide and temperatures over the last 11,000 years
that was analyzed in both Science and Nature in 1999
found that the increase in carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere tends to follow not precede a rise in
temperature.” 

“The bulk of the temperature rise in the 20th century
took place before 1940 while most of the carbon
dioxide emissions took place after 1940 and coincided
with a slight cooling between 1940 and 1975.”

Richard S. Lindzen, the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of
meteorology at MIT, in his testimony before a Senate
committee in 2002 agreed, stating, past climate
changes were either “uncorrelated with changes in
carbon dioxide or were characterized by temperature
changes which preceded changes in carbon dioxide
[levels] by hundreds or thousands of years.”

So what has caused the “warming” over the last century
and other warming-related phenomenon such as the
shrinking polar ice caps? To many scientists, it’s
rather obvious. 

In December 2001, a story appeared on ABC News.com.
Entitled “Red Planet Warming,” it reported that high
resolution images taken by NASA’s Mars Global Surveyor
showed that the levels of frozen water and carbon
dioxide in Mars’s polar ice caps dwindled
dramatically—by more than 10 feet over a single
Martian year (equivalent to about two earth years).
Since there aren’t any people on Mars, it’s difficult
to pin the blame for Mars’s warming on human activity
relating to the combustion of fossil fuels. 

The culprit is “solar warming”—a periodic increase in
the sun’s output of energy. That would explain why the
surface of our planet has grown warmer. And there’s
nothing we can do about it. 

Two years ago, Science published a study based on tree
ring analysis that demonstrated similarities between
increases in global temperature the last century and
the Medieval Warm Period—a period lasting from 1330 AD
to 1600 AD in which similar increases in temperature
occurred. For those of you who are world-history
challenged, that was before the invention of the
internal combustion engine and the SUV. 

Commenting on the study, Edward Cook of the
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory said, “We don't use
this as a refutation of greenhouse warming, but it
does show that there are processes within the Earth's
natural climate system that produce large changes that
might be viewed as comparable to what we have seen in
the 20th century.”

In other words, the global warming alarmists—not this
journalist—are the ones filled with hot air. 

###

Gregory J. Rummo is a syndicated columnist and the
author of The View from the Grass Roots, published
by American Book in July 2002. Visit his website where
you can read his recent columns at www.GregRummo.com.