Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to  Jones Beene's message of Wed, 17 Sep 2008 16:21:25 -0700 (PDT):
Hi,
[snip]
Over half the cost of the Volt is probably in the batteries, and if they need 
to be replaced in 4 years at $20,000 retail -- then the yearly cost of 
ownership has gone through the roof.
[snip]
I think Lithium batteries are more expensive than other types, because Lithium
is fairly scarce. If so, then it should be possible to get a significant rebate
on new batteries by trading in the old ones, which still contain the Lithium
they started out with (in one form or another).

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Michel Jullian
2008/9/18 Jones Beene [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 Michel

 but they say 150,000 miles (~10 years) in the original article posted...

 Well, here is a directly on-point and long but inconclusive thread on the
 subject:

 http://gm-volt.com/2008/03/14/volt-pricing-to-take-high-battery-warranty-cost-into-account/

Here is a more recent and more conclusive posting on the subject,
which should alleviate all worries on the subject:

http://gm-volt.com/2008/09/03/lutz-each-volt-factors-in-the-cost-of-a-battery-replacement/

...

 The PHEV makes the most sense for France of course, as opposed to the USA -
 since you have clean electric from nuclear.

True.

 Where are the French car
 countries in this? They should be on the forefront, no?

Indeed they _should_, hopefully they will be spurred by what GM is doing.

Michel



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Michel Jullian
A very good point Robin, this should make the (factored in as we now
know) replacement cost more bearable for GM.

The same argument goes for the cost of Indium etc in the definitely
complementary inexpensive CIGS photovoltaics area BTW. Talking about
which, the word goes that Nanosolar is now building a beefier 10 MW
plant not far from their first 1MW plant in Germany, see:

http://guntherportfolio.blogspot.com/

Michel

2008/9/18 Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 In reply to  Jones Beene's message of Wed, 17 Sep 2008 16:21:25 -0700 (PDT):
 Hi,
 [snip]
Over half the cost of the Volt is probably in the batteries, and if they need 
to be replaced in 4 years at $20,000 retail -- then the yearly cost of 
ownership has gone through the roof.
 [snip]
 I think Lithium batteries are more expensive than other types, because Lithium
 is fairly scarce. If so, then it should be possible to get a significant 
 rebate
 on new batteries by trading in the old ones, which still contain the Lithium
 they started out with (in one form or another).

 Regards,

 Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]





Re: [Vo]:First Open Source Phone

2008-09-18 Thread Michel Jullian
I am not sure it will be able to swallow the Apple all at once but it
looks quite nice, see:

http://fr.youtube.com/watch?v=rPIHeIRRDow

where Andy Rubin, chief of Mobile at Google, creator of Android,
demoes it to a BBC interviewer on an unmasked touch screen phone
(probably an early version of the HTC Dream).

Unfortunately it lacks the iPhone's gorgeous multitouch feature and
associated magical two-finger stretching/pinching zoom commands, so
things such as web and photo browsing may not be quite as practical.
OTOH the HTC Dream is said to feature a real keyboard sliding out from
under the screen, but I wouldn't be surprised if the iPhone's
on-screen virtual keyboard turned out to be a better experience
overall, if only because punctuation, figures and accented characters
are much easier to access.

Michel

2008/9/18 Terry Blanton [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 On a lighter note, the first Android was revealed today, sort of:

 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/connected/main.jhtml?xml=/connected/2008/09/17/dlgoogle117.xml

 Google demos Android phone at developer day

 By Claudine Beaumont
 Last Updated: 6:01am BST 17/09/2008

 Search giant Google has shown off its new Google phone operating
 system ahead of the device's official launch in New York next Tuesday.
 # Google HTC Android phone to be unveiled
 # Telegraph Digital Life homepage

 Mike Jennings, one of the development team behind the Android
 operating system, gave attendees at a Google Developer Day conference
 a glimpse of how to design software for the device.
 The Google HTC Android phone

 He created a simple game showing a blue dot bouncing around the
 phone's screen, which moved as the handset was tilted.

 Although the phone was obscured by masking tape, it is reported to
 have looked like the Dream, a handset developed by Taiwanese
 manufacturer HTC, which is expected to be the first commercially
 available mobile phone to run Android.

 Google and T-Mobile are holding a joint press conference in New York
 next Tuesday, at which they are expected to confirm the launch of the
 HTC Dream and reveal further pricing information as well as details
 about the phone's final operating system.

 more

 There's a worm in the Apple.  ;-)

 Terry





Re: [Vo]:Meltdown

2008-09-18 Thread Terry Blanton
Well, AIG stepped out of the standard insurance biness by ensuring
bond payments.  Bond failures tend to cascade.  AIG was rescued
because its failure threatened the money market, once believed to be a
safe haven.

Advice:  if you plan to invest in precious metals, invest in lead
first, then hold your metals.  Don't let your investment house hold
the metal.

Terry

On Wed, Sep 17, 2008 at 10:25 PM, R C Macaulay [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Talk about conspiracy theories.  We are watching the largest bank robbery in
 history and nobody believes it is contrived.
 AIG insured the whole mess and now takes a dive when payday comes.
 Las Vegas Gambling casinos and established insurance companies cannot lose
 money. It is simply impossible. The statistics governing both make it
 impossible. Gambling by simple percentage edge odds, and insurance firms by
 re-insurance and delaying payout for losses ONE year.
 Oh Yes! There is no way something like this could happen and be kept
 secret... hmm.. didn't I just hear this said about WT-7.
 Richard

 Takes one to know one.

 Banks lose faith in their own?

 Terry





Re: [Vo]:Re: Sagnac exp. / was gravity = pdf

2008-09-18 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


Harry Veeder wrote:

 I reviewed the sagnac experiment here:
 
 http://www.mathpages.com/rr/s2-07/2-07.htm
 
 I might be wrong about this, but doesn't any experiment, let alone
 sagnac's experiment, which yields an intereference-like effect is
 inconsistent with a ballistic theory of light?

Oh, I don't know.  That's sort of like the argument that there can't be
an aether because it would have to be really rigid to carry vibrations
at C, but it would also have to be really floppy and tenuous so that
planets can push through it without a problem, and since it can't be
both, there can't be an aether.  It's an appealing  argument, but really
all it says is that if there's an aether it's got some seriously weird
properties.

Obviously if light is a particle, it's a *weird* particle, not at all
like a tiny baseball; baseballs don't show interference effects.  But I
suppose, if we wanted to claim light is just a particle with no wave
nature, we could imagine something like this: Photons spin as they
travel, and two photons annihilate when they meet if they're oriented
appropriately.  Doesn't explain all QM effects by a long stretch but it
gets you at least part way to first base.


 
 However, as I stressed in my earlier post, the quality of being a
 particle and the property of inertia do not necessarily have to go hand
 in hand, although the term ballistic suggests they must.  Light may be a
 particle without necessarily being a ballistic particle. In that regard,
 the ballistic theory of light might be called a _naive_ particle theory
 of light.

Yes, exactly -- in fact the main feature of the ballistic theory which
causes trouble is just the muzzle velocity of the photons.  In
ordinary ballistics the observed velocity of a projectile is the muzzle
velocity, plus the velocity of the gun which fired them.  The Sagnac
experiment shows that's not quite right for photons.


 
 Harry
 



Re: [Vo]:First Open Source Phone

2008-09-18 Thread Terry Blanton
You think not?

Based on market cap of over $4,000,000,000 this year for downloaded
ringtones alone, I think an OS phone will consume the Apple tree.  :-)

Here is a gander at the ice which floats above the water:

http://code.google.com/android/adc.html

Imagine what hides below.

Terry

On Thu, Sep 18, 2008 at 6:06 AM, Michel Jullian [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I am not sure it will be able to swallow the Apple all at once but it
 looks quite nice, see:

 http://fr.youtube.com/watch?v=rPIHeIRRDow

 where Andy Rubin, chief of Mobile at Google, creator of Android,
 demoes it to a BBC interviewer on an unmasked touch screen phone
 (probably an early version of the HTC Dream).

 Unfortunately it lacks the iPhone's gorgeous multitouch feature and
 associated magical two-finger stretching/pinching zoom commands, so
 things such as web and photo browsing may not be quite as practical.
 OTOH the HTC Dream is said to feature a real keyboard sliding out from
 under the screen, but I wouldn't be surprised if the iPhone's
 on-screen virtual keyboard turned out to be a better experience
 overall, if only because punctuation, figures and accented characters
 are much easier to access.

 Michel

 2008/9/18 Terry Blanton [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 On a lighter note, the first Android was revealed today, sort of:

 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/connected/main.jhtml?xml=/connected/2008/09/17/dlgoogle117.xml

 Google demos Android phone at developer day

 By Claudine Beaumont
 Last Updated: 6:01am BST 17/09/2008

 Search giant Google has shown off its new Google phone operating
 system ahead of the device's official launch in New York next Tuesday.
 # Google HTC Android phone to be unveiled
 # Telegraph Digital Life homepage

 Mike Jennings, one of the development team behind the Android
 operating system, gave attendees at a Google Developer Day conference
 a glimpse of how to design software for the device.
 The Google HTC Android phone

 He created a simple game showing a blue dot bouncing around the
 phone's screen, which moved as the handset was tilted.

 Although the phone was obscured by masking tape, it is reported to
 have looked like the Dream, a handset developed by Taiwanese
 manufacturer HTC, which is expected to be the first commercially
 available mobile phone to run Android.

 Google and T-Mobile are holding a joint press conference in New York
 next Tuesday, at which they are expected to confirm the launch of the
 HTC Dream and reveal further pricing information as well as details
 about the phone's final operating system.

 more

 There's a worm in the Apple.  ;-)

 Terry







Re: [Vo]:Meltdown

2008-09-18 Thread R C Macaulay

So true Terry,
Unless..??? Hmm.. some really smart people, acting smart, did it on purpose.
Ole Nick Machivelli sure had the laws of human nature pegged and he sure 
said everything that needed be said when he figured out how to figure out 
figurer's by simply following the money. Like the WT-7 building 
collapse.. who benefits? It sure wasn't the Muslims.

Richard

Terry wrote,


Well, AIG stepped out of the standard insurance biness by ensuring
bond payments.  Bond failures tend to cascade.  AIG was rescued
because its failure threatened the money market, once believed to be a
safe haven.

Advice:  if you plan to invest in precious metals, invest in lead
first, then hold your metals.  Don't let your investment house hold
the metal.

Terry

On Wed, Sep 17, 2008 at 10:25 PM, R C Macaulay [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Talk about conspiracy theories.  We are watching the largest bank robbery 
in

history and nobody believes it is contrived.
AIG insured the whole mess and now takes a dive when payday comes.
Las Vegas Gambling casinos and established insurance companies cannot 
lose

money. It is simply impossible. The statistics governing both make it
impossible. Gambling by simple percentage edge odds, and insurance firms 
by

re-insurance and delaying payout for losses ONE year.
Oh Yes! There is no way something like this could happen and be kept
secret... hmm.. didn't I just hear this said about WT-7.
Richard

Takes one to know one.


Banks lose faith in their own?



Terry












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Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.com
Version: 8.0.169 / Virus Database: 270.6.21/1677 - Release Date: 9/17/2008 
5:07 PM




[Vo]:Games Make Good Citizens

2008-09-18 Thread OrionWorks
Another slow news day. So... on the lighter side...

Feeling guilty for playing video games? Don't!

See: Pew: Games Make Good Citizens

http://www.webpronews.com/topnews/2008/09/17/pew-games-make-good-citizens

Exerpt:

It's these hours long interactions with masses of others that are
teaching our kids about society, and it's their diversity of interests
that should get the online marketer's attention. Let me take down
another stereotype: Video games make kids vapid zombies. Not true.
Over half of gamers play games that force them to consider moral and
ethical issues; 43 percent play games where they practice
decision-making in a virtual communities, cities or nations; 40
percent report learning about social issues. These reports were made
by teens across all demographics, regardless of family income, race,
and ethnicity.

Enjoy!

All your bases are belong to us!

Regards,
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:[OT] First Open Source Phone

2008-09-18 Thread Michel Jullian
(Added OT to the subject line)

Nice apps indeed! Oh the Gphone manufacturers will sell more units
than Apple sells iPhones, no doubt about that, I just don't think they
will kill the iPhone --open source Linux machines haven't killed the
Mac have they? Especially since they are not multitouch. As I said
that pinching trick is an enormous plus IMHO, I hope/expect we'll soon
see it implemented on full fledged tablet computers which anyone's
grandmother will be able to use to read her newspaper or place an
order at the grocer's

Anyway competition is a good thing for us end users, e.g. it will
bring down the cost of unlimited data plans, which I understand is
ridiculous in some places, although not here for some reason, here in
France you can have unlimited 3G data on a phone --and thus, if you
are a little wicked, on a fixed or mobile computer ;) -- for as little
as 9 Euros/month :)

Michel

2008/9/18 Terry Blanton [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 You think not?

 Based on market cap of over $4,000,000,000 this year for downloaded
 ringtones alone, I think an OS phone will consume the Apple tree.  :-)

 Here is a gander at the ice which floats above the water:

 http://code.google.com/android/adc.html

 Imagine what hides below.

 Terry

 On Thu, Sep 18, 2008 at 6:06 AM, Michel Jullian [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I am not sure it will be able to swallow the Apple all at once but it
 looks quite nice, see:

 http://fr.youtube.com/watch?v=rPIHeIRRDow

 where Andy Rubin, chief of Mobile at Google, creator of Android,
 demoes it to a BBC interviewer on an unmasked touch screen phone
 (probably an early version of the HTC Dream).

 Unfortunately it lacks the iPhone's gorgeous multitouch feature and
 associated magical two-finger stretching/pinching zoom commands, so
 things such as web and photo browsing may not be quite as practical.
 OTOH the HTC Dream is said to feature a real keyboard sliding out from
 under the screen, but I wouldn't be surprised if the iPhone's
 on-screen virtual keyboard turned out to be a better experience
 overall, if only because punctuation, figures and accented characters
 are much easier to access.

 Michel

 2008/9/18 Terry Blanton [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 On a lighter note, the first Android was revealed today, sort of:

 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/connected/main.jhtml?xml=/connected/2008/09/17/dlgoogle117.xml

 Google demos Android phone at developer day

 By Claudine Beaumont
 Last Updated: 6:01am BST 17/09/2008

 Search giant Google has shown off its new Google phone operating
 system ahead of the device's official launch in New York next Tuesday.
 # Google HTC Android phone to be unveiled
 # Telegraph Digital Life homepage

 Mike Jennings, one of the development team behind the Android
 operating system, gave attendees at a Google Developer Day conference
 a glimpse of how to design software for the device.
 The Google HTC Android phone

 He created a simple game showing a blue dot bouncing around the
 phone's screen, which moved as the handset was tilted.

 Although the phone was obscured by masking tape, it is reported to
 have looked like the Dream, a handset developed by Taiwanese
 manufacturer HTC, which is expected to be the first commercially
 available mobile phone to run Android.

 Google and T-Mobile are holding a joint press conference in New York
 next Tuesday, at which they are expected to confirm the launch of the
 HTC Dream and reveal further pricing information as well as details
 about the phone's final operating system.

 more

 There's a worm in the Apple.  ;-)

 Terry









Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

Jones Beene wrote:

That is - figuring that the average passenger vehicle in the United 
States is getting 22.4 mpg according to the Bureau of Transportation 
Statistics and the average US driver travels 13,000 miles yearly. In 
total, the average US driver uses 580 gallons of fuel each year = 
$2,300+ per year.


That's about right. The EIA had average driving distance of 11,766 in 2001.

However, some people commute longer distances. They would be good 
candidates for the Volt.




If we assume that the cost of batteries is $20,000 and that a full 
replacement guarantee is only good for 50,000 miles - then the 
yearly amortized cost of the batteries alone - even if the electric 
power is FREE which it isn't of course, could end up being a lot 
more than the average cost of gasoline


Not to mention the pollution is not eliminated - it is simply moved 
to the grid plant.


That is incorrect:

1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not as 
much pollution in the first place.


2. Pollution abatement at most power plants is much better than for 
individual automobiles (except for CO2 of course).


3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources 
such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity. In some states, at 
nighttime when cars will be recharged, nearly all electricity comes 
from baseline nuclear power plants, or wind power in Texas.



The diesel will actually get better net efficiency - than going from 
grid--home--batteries--vehicle, because of all the loses at every 
step -- so there is even less net pollution than with the Volt.


I doubt it. I have read they are about equal. Certainly not if the 
electricity if generated with uranium or wind. Electric power 
generation efficiency is improving faster than automobile engine 
efficiency, as old coal-fired plants are being phased out and more 
wind power comes on line. If the US builds 10 or 20 more nuclear 
power plants it will be very difficult for any form of ICE to rival 
electric power for low pollution.


Bear in mind that you have to factor in the energy used to refine oil 
into Diesel fuel. Preparing the fuel at a power plant is usually less 
energy intensive than this.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jones Beene
Just to clear up a couple of points from Jed Rothwell's post:


 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not as 
much pollution in the first place.

This is not the correct comparison to make! 

Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric -- and 
will have identical drive trains -- so the energy per mile is identical; and 
the comparison then is between having one vehicle:

a.) operate solely on batteries, such as the Volt 
b.) and the other one operate on batteries most of the time, yet carrying a 
small diesel engine (motorcycle sized) to recharge the batteries in an 
emergency or for the occasional long trip. 

Due to the high cost of lithium batteries, option b.) would cost less, give 
greater security, and could be accomplished with low cost SLA batteries, for 
far less upfront cost than lithium. 

The downside of option b.) is that the diesel would need to come on for the 
last few miles of a long commute (but never for the trips to the grocery store 
etc.)

Plus the big advantage is that option  b.) is doable for probably $20,000 with 
SLA batteries- versus the lowest possible cost of the PHEV (which of course, 
will come down significantly once higher volume is achieved). Still many 
customer would rather have the security of NOT running out of juice on the 
freeway if the lithiums did not get a full charge; and another big advatave is 
being able to take a vacation by car without renting a vehicle to do it. 

And it is not either/or. There will be a big market for both types. In the end: 
option b.) should emerge as the mass market in terms of volume due to lower 
cost and flexibility. 

 2. Pollution abatement at most power plants is much better than for 
individual automobiles (except for CO2 of course). 

That would only be true without the catalytic converter, it seems. Or do you 
have a reference for that? At any rate, if the backup ICE is seldom used, the 
issue is moot.

 3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources 
such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity. 

On a National average this is what? 35% in the USA ? This is not a large 
fraction.

 In some states, at  nighttime when cars will be recharged, nearly all 
 electricity comes 
from baseline nuclear power plants, or wind power in Texas.

But even in those areas with nuclear power, many consumers would like to have 
the backup security of a small diesel. The SLA batteries which are used, would 
still charge at night, only for less time as they only need to give you half 
the range or less.

The diesel will actually get better net efficiency - than going from 
grid--home--batteries--vehicle, because of all the loses at every 
step -- so there is even less net pollution than with the Volt.

 JR: I doubt it. I have read they are about equal. Certainly not if the 
electricity if generated with uranium or wind. Electric power 
generation efficiency is improving faster than automobile engine 
efficiency, as old coal-fired plants are being phased out and more 
wind power comes on line. If the US builds 10 or 20 more nuclear 
power plants it will be very difficult for any form of ICE to rival 
electric power for low pollution.

Again - this comparison is being mis-stated.  It should not be about the PHEV 
compared to the ICE, but instead it is about the optimum design for a hydrid - 
which need NOT be the all battery PHEV version. 

A small ICE combined with maybe 6-8 standard SLA batteries makes the most sense 
of all IMHO -- even if the ICE (in reserve) is only used by the driver 
infrequently in fact, the goal would be to design it so that it used very 
infrequently, but it is still always there if you need it.

Jones

Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Edmund Storms


A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough to  
move the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the batteries  
are dead, in addition, it needs to have some extra power to charge the  
battery at that time. Therefore, a small ICE will not work.  For  
example, the Prius can travel at normal speed even without batteries,  
which happens in mountainous country when climbing a long hill. You  
would not want the speed to drop suddenly on a long hill.


Ed

On Sep 18, 2008, at 9:04 AM, Jones Beene wrote:


Just to clear up a couple of points from Jed Rothwell's post:

 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not  
as

much pollution in the first place.

This is not the correct comparison to make!

Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric  
-- and will have identical drive trains -- so the energy per mile is  
identical; and the comparison then is between having one vehicle:


a.) operate solely on batteries, such as the Volt
b.) and the other one operate on batteries most of the time, yet  
carrying a small diesel engine (motorcycle sized) to recharge the  
batteries in an emergency or for the occasional long trip.


Due to the high cost of lithium batteries, option b.) would cost  
less, give greater security, and could be accomplished with low cost  
SLA batteries, for far less upfront cost than lithium.


The downside of option b.) is that the diesel would need to come on  
for the last few miles of a long commute (but never for the trips to  
the grocery store etc.)


Plus the big advantage is that option  b.) is doable for probably  
$20,000 with SLA batteries- versus the lowest possible cost of the  
PHEV (which of course, will come down significantly once higher  
volume is achieved). Still many customer would rather have the  
security of NOT running out of juice on the freeway if the lithiums  
did not get a full charge; and another big advatave is being able to  
take a vacation by car without renting a vehicle to do it.


And it is not either/or. There will be a big market for both types.  
In the end: option b.) should emerge as the mass market in terms of  
volume due to lower cost and flexibility.


 2. Pollution abatement at most power plants is much better than for
individual automobiles (except for CO2 of course).

That would only be true without the catalytic converter, it seems.  
Or do you have a reference for that? At any rate, if the backup ICE  
is seldom used, the issue is moot.


 3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources
such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity.

On a National average this is what? 35% in the USA ? This is not a  
large fraction.


 In some states, at  nighttime when cars will be recharged, nearly  
all electricity comes

from baseline nuclear power plants, or wind power in Texas.

But even in those areas with nuclear power, many consumers would  
like to have the backup security of a small diesel. The SLA  
batteries which are used, would still charge at night, only for less  
time as they only need to give you half the range or less.


The diesel will actually get better net efficiency - than going from
grid--home--batteries--vehicle, because of all the loses at every
step -- so there is even less net pollution than with the Volt.

 JR: I doubt it. I have read they are about equal. Certainly not if  
the

electricity if generated with uranium or wind. Electric power
generation efficiency is improving faster than automobile engine
efficiency, as old coal-fired plants are being phased out and more
wind power comes on line. If the US builds 10 or 20 more nuclear
power plants it will be very difficult for any form of ICE to rival
electric power for low pollution.

Again - this comparison is being mis-stated.  It should not be about  
the PHEV compared to the ICE, but instead it is about the optimum  
design for a hydrid - which need NOT be the all battery PHEV version.


A small ICE combined with maybe 6-8 standard SLA batteries makes the  
most sense of all IMHO -- even if the ICE (in reserve) is only used  
by the driver infrequently in fact, the goal would be to design  
it so that it used very infrequently, but it is still always there  
if you need it.


Jones







RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
Top Gear environmental edition. Includes serious analysis of Prius about
halfway in.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QL9O1H9e1rA

 

 

  _  

From: Edmund Storms [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: 18 September 2008 17:49
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Cc: Edmund Storms
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

 

 

A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough to move
the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the batteries are dead, in
addition, it needs to have some extra power to charge the battery at that
time. Therefore, a small ICE will not work.  For example, the Prius can
travel at normal speed even without batteries, which happens in mountainous
country when climbing a long hill. You would not want the speed to drop
suddenly on a long hill. 

 

Ed

 

On Sep 18, 2008, at 9:04 AM, Jones Beene wrote:





Just to clear up a couple of points from Jed Rothwell's post:

 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not as 
much pollution in the first place.

This is not the correct comparison to make! 

Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric -- and
will have identical drive trains -- so the energy per mile is identical; and
the comparison then is between having one vehicle:

a.) operate solely on batteries, such as the Volt 
b.) and the other one operate on batteries most of the time, yet carrying a
small diesel engine (motorcycle sized) to recharge the batteries in an
emergency or for the occasional long trip. 

Due to the high cost of lithium batteries, option b.) would cost less, give
greater security, and could be accomplished with low cost SLA batteries, for
far less upfront cost than lithium. 

The downside of option b.) is that the diesel would need to come on for the
last few miles of a long commute (but never for the trips to the grocery
store etc.)

Plus the big advantage is that option  b.) is doable for probably $20,000
with SLA batteries- versus the lowest possible cost of the PHEV (which of
course, will come down significantly once higher volume is achieved). Still
many customer would rather have the security of NOT running out of juice on
the freeway if the lithiums did not get a full charge; and another big
advatave is being able to take a vacation by car without renting a vehicle
to do it. 

And it is not either/or. There will be a big market for both types. In the
end: option b.) should emerge as the mass market in terms of volume due to
lower cost and flexibility. 

 2. Pollution abatement at most power plants is much better than for 
individual automobiles (except for CO2 of course). 

That would only be true without the catalytic converter, it seems. Or do you
have a reference for that? At any rate, if the backup ICE is seldom used,
the issue is moot.

 3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources 
such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity. 

On a National average this is what? 35% in the USA ? This is not a large
fraction.

 In some states, at  nighttime when cars will be recharged, nearly all
electricity comes 
from baseline nuclear power plants, or wind power in Texas.

But even in those areas with nuclear power, many consumers would like to
have the backup security of a small diesel. The SLA batteries which are
used, would still charge at night, only for less time as they only need to
give you half the range or less.

The diesel will actually get better net efficiency - than going from 
grid--home--batteries--vehicle, because of all the loses at every 
step -- so there is even less net pollution than with the Volt.

 JR: I doubt it. I have read they are about equal. Certainly not if the 
electricity if generated with uranium or wind. Electric power 
generation efficiency is improving faster than automobile engine 
efficiency, as old coal-fired plants are being phased out and more 
wind power comes on line. If the US builds 10 or 20 more nuclear 
power plants it will be very difficult for any form of ICE to rival 
electric power for low pollution.

Again - this comparison is being mis-stated.  It should not be about the
PHEV compared to the ICE, but instead it is about the optimum design for a
hydrid - which need NOT be the all battery PHEV version. 

A small ICE combined with maybe 6-8 standard SLA batteries makes the most
sense of all IMHO -- even if the ICE (in reserve) is only used by the driver
infrequently in fact, the goal would be to design it so that it used
very infrequently, but it is still always there if you need it.

Jones




 



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Edmund Storms


Really, serious?  I get 48 m/g from the Prius in hilly country  
including going to Albuquerque at 75 m/h. Granted, I can't act like an  
idiot in a sports car.  Nevertheless, I'm still able to buy both food  
and gas.


Ed

On Sep 18, 2008, at 10:59 AM, Remi Cornwall wrote:

Top Gear environmental edition. Includes serious analysis of Prius  
about halfway in.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QL9O1H9e1rA


From: Edmund Storms [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: 18 September 2008 17:49
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Cc: Edmund Storms
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars


A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough to  
move the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the batteries  
are dead, in addition, it needs to have some extra power to charge  
the battery at that time. Therefore, a small ICE will not work.   
For example, the Prius can travel at normal speed even without  
batteries, which happens in mountainous country when climbing a long  
hill. You would not want the speed to drop suddenly on a long hill.


Ed

On Sep 18, 2008, at 9:04 AM, Jones Beene wrote:


Just to clear up a couple of points from Jed Rothwell's post:
 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not  
as

much pollution in the first place.

This is not the correct comparison to make!

Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric  
-- and will have identical drive trains -- so the energy per mile is  
identical; and the comparison then is between having one vehicle:


a.) operate solely on batteries, such as the Volt
b.) and the other one operate on batteries most of the time, yet  
carrying a small diesel engine (motorcycle sized) to recharge the  
batteries in an emergency or for the occasional long trip.


Due to the high cost of lithium batteries, option b.) would cost  
less, give greater security, and could be accomplished with low cost  
SLA batteries, for far less upfront cost than lithium.


The downside of option b.) is that the diesel would need to come on  
for the last few miles of a long commute (but never for the trips to  
the grocery store etc.)


Plus the big advantage is that option  b.) is doable for probably  
$20,000 with SLA batteries- versus the lowest possible cost of the  
PHEV (which of course, will come down significantly once higher  
volume is achieved). Still many customer would rather have the  
security of NOT running out of juice on the freeway if the lithiums  
did not get a full charge; and another big advatave is being able to  
take a vacation by car without renting a vehicle to do it.


And it is not either/or. There will be a big market for both types.  
In the end: option b.) should emerge as the mass market in terms of  
volume due to lower cost and flexibility.


 2. Pollution abatement at most power plants is much better than for
individual automobiles (except for CO2 of course).

That would only be true without the catalytic converter, it seems.  
Or do you have a reference for that? At any rate, if the backup ICE  
is seldom used, the issue is moot.


 3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources
such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity.

On a National average this is what? 35% in the USA ? This is not a  
large fraction.


 In some states, at  nighttime when cars will be recharged, nearly  
all electricity comes

from baseline nuclear power plants, or wind power in Texas.

But even in those areas with nuclear power, many consumers would  
like to have the backup security of a small diesel. The SLA  
batteries which are used, would still charge at night, only for less  
time as they only need to give you half the range or less.


The diesel will actually get better net efficiency - than going from
grid--home--batteries--vehicle, because of all the loses at every
step -- so there is even less net pollution than with the Volt.

 JR: I doubt it. I have read they are about equal. Certainly not if  
the

electricity if generated with uranium or wind. Electric power
generation efficiency is improving faster than automobile engine
efficiency, as old coal-fired plants are being phased out and more
wind power comes on line. If the US builds 10 or 20 more nuclear
power plants it will be very difficult for any form of ICE to rival
electric power for low pollution.

Again - this comparison is being mis-stated.  It should not be about  
the PHEV compared to the ICE, but instead it is about the optimum  
design for a hydrid - which need NOT be the all battery PHEV version.


A small ICE combined with maybe 6-8 standard SLA batteries makes the  
most sense of all IMHO -- even if the ICE (in reserve) is only used  
by the driver infrequently in fact, the goal would be to design  
it so that it used very infrequently, but it is still always there  
if you need it.


Jones







Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jones Beene
Ed,

Once again - this is comparing apples to oranges. 

The current Prius is not really relevant to this market niche, which can be 
called the most efficient and affordable HEV. The Pius is really in a 
quasi-luxury niche and its present price indicates this.

The goal is for double the mileage of the Prius. Of course the PHEV gets 
infinite mileage but that neglects the energy of the grid power. There is a 
good balance - which goes beyond what the current Prius can do, but does not 
require as long a range as the Volt. Toyota is moving in this direction already.

Sure - the Prius has a large ICE now -- but that is primarily because it has an 
undersized electric motor.

If and when the electric motor is properly sized for hills and for acceleration 
BY ITSELF -- then the backup ICE can be much smaller, since it does not ever 
power the vehicle directly.- and in fact it only powers a genset. when the 
batteries get low. The range on batteries will be half or less what the PHEV 
like the Volt must have and they do not need to lithium.

Since the small ICE can operate at its most efficient rpm range, regardless of 
the slower speed of the car, then a smaller ICE is adequate for this design.

After all - even a 500 cc motorcylce engine can produce 30 kW at its highest 
power - which is more than adequate for any hill with a small hybrid -- when 
the electric motor itself is correctly sized.

Jones


Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


Jones Beene wrote:
 Just to clear up a couple of points from Jed Rothwell's post:
 
 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not as
 much pollution in the first place.
 
 This is not the correct comparison to make!
 
 Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric --
 and will have identical drive trains -- so the energy per mile is
 identical; and the comparison then is between having one vehicle:
 
 a.) operate solely on batteries, such as the Volt

I don't understand the point here.  The Volt doesn't operate solely on
batteries:  it's a serial hybrid, not a pure EV -- or so says
everything I've read about it.

Its range is hundreds of miles because it turns on a gasoline powered
motor/generator after the first 40 miles.  For people whose daily
commute is 40miles you could say it operates solely on batteries, but
then *any* PHEV can be said to operate solely on batteries if you take
that tack -- you just need to carefully specify the range over which
it's driven.

The only differences I see here between the two cases you describe are that

a) GM decided to use ritzy batteries (to get the gas-free range as high
as possible, I suppose, or to get better performance as a result of a
higher power/weight ratio with lithium versus lead, or maybe just to
have someone else to blame if it doesn't work out)

b) GM decided to use a gasoline engine rather than a diesel engine for
the ICE part of the drive train

They could have changed either (a) or (b) without fundamentally changing
the car.  Changing (a) from lithium to lead would have reduced the
development risk but would have reduced the performance (either in
gas-free range or in power) and so might have increased the risk of a
marketplace flop.  Changing (b) from gas to diesel would have increased
the efficiency once you go out of battery range, but I doubt they care
about that nearly as much as they care about the ease of finding a place
to tank up -- diesel is inconvenient in many locations in the United
States, and so would in turn increase the risk of a marketplace failure.

Note that if the Volt succeeds, they can easily offer a diesel option
later on.  They could conceivably offer a lower-price (but reduced
EV-only range) AGM or gel lead-acid option later on, as well -- the
charging system needs to be replaced and the battery box redesigned, but
maybe not much else.  And, come to think of it, depending on how smart
the electronics in the charging system are, maybe they don't even need
to change that.

The Volt we are hearing about is only their initial entry in the EV
market.  If it wins, there will be others.  And if it loses, it probably
didn't matter what it was anyway because that probably means they
weren't really in back of it after all (or it means they ran out of
money and went bust before it had a chance to take off).


 b.) and the other one operate on batteries most of the time, yet
 carrying a small diesel engine (motorcycle sized) to recharge the
 batteries in an emergency or for the occasional long trip.
 
 Due to the high cost of lithium batteries, option b.) would cost less,
 give greater security, and could be accomplished with low cost SLA
 batteries, for far less upfront cost than lithium.
 
 The downside of option b.) is that the diesel would need to come on for
 the last few miles of a long commute (but never for the trips to the
 grocery store etc.)
 
 Plus the big advantage is that option  b.) is doable for probably
 $20,000 with SLA batteries- versus the lowest possible cost of the PHEV
 (which of course, will come down significantly once higher volume is
 achieved). Still many customer would rather have the security of NOT
 running out of juice on the freeway if the lithiums did not get a full
 charge; and another big advatave is being able to take a vacation by car
 without renting a vehicle to do it.
 
 And it is not either/or. There will be a big market for both types. In
 the end: option b.) should emerge as the mass market in terms of volume
 due to lower cost and flexibility.
 
 2. Pollution abatement at most power plants is much better than for
 individual automobiles (except for CO2 of course).
 
 That would only be true without the catalytic converter, it seems. Or do
 you have a reference for that? At any rate, if the backup ICE is seldom
 used, the issue is moot.
 
 3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources
 such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity.
 
 On a National average this is what? 35% in the USA ? This is not a large
 fraction.
 
 In some states, at  nighttime when cars will be recharged, nearly all
 electricity comes
 from baseline nuclear power plants, or wind power in Texas.
 
 But even in those areas with nuclear power, many consumers would like to
 have the backup security of a small diesel. The SLA batteries which are
 used, would still charge at night, only for less time as they only need
 to give you half the range or less.
 

Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

Jones Beene wrote:


 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not as
much pollution in the first place.

This is not the correct comparison to make!

Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric 
-- and will have identical drive trains . . .


Ah, yes. I see your point. I was comparing apples to oranges, and the 
correct comparison is Stayman Winesap apples to McIntosh apples.




 3. A large fraction of electricity comes from pollution-free sources
such as nuclear power and hydroelectricity.

On a National average this is what? 35% in the USA ? This is not a 
large fraction.


That's a little complicated. For all electricity, hydro plus nukes 
plus other renewables is 27.9%. See:


http://www.eia.doe.gov/fuelelectric.html

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/energy_in_brief/electricity.cfm

However for electricity at night in some geographic locations the 
numbers are quite different. At night they only leave on baseline 
generators which are mainly nuclear. In Texas a substantial fraction 
of electricity comes from wind and you cannot turn it off at night.


- Jed



RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
Hey man, liven up! Too po-faced.

 

Heavy foot, lots of fuel use. The important bit was the mining of materials
and its lifetime foot print.

 

Off topic and maybe another thread, I have seen excessive free-marketers
trying to blame the credit crunch on the Communities Reinvestment Act 1977.
This act was meant to *force* banks to provide high risk loans in deprived
areas. I just wanted a sounding because this seems to be blaming white
collar crime on the poorest – the act has been around for 30 years so what
happened. All the bailing out has been described as socialism or welfare for
the rich. I guess it’s the old saying – if you owe the bank £1000 you’re in
trouble, if the bank owes £billion then we’re all in trouble.

 

I believe this discussion is relevant to vortex because the balance between
free-enterprise and state is relevant to science. I find the battle between
the often maverick/cranky/innovative/sometimes plain wrong private sector
and the staid/wasteful/political state sector fascinating and I have no
answers. 

 

I can see merits in both approaches however, making a LHC (CERN/EU
£10billion) or colliding a refrigerator sized piece of copper into a comet
(NASA £330 million) is beyond me or paying millions to sh.t CEOs, movie
stars, football players is too. Right now neither world view is winning my
approval (vote). I’m just intrigued at the chain of command and public
inertia that let’s things go on for so long.

 

The partisan as opposed to the pragmatic on either side merely argue to
protect their names and what was said before or a vested interest. I watch
the battle between the global warming true believers and sceptics and see
the knots they tie themselves in (both sides) trying to maintain a position
which is indefensible: one side will try to claim that it is an absolute
science and the other side usually have links to big oil.

 

Isn’t the best way to approach dichotomy pragmatism? - I have nothing to
gain or lose from leaving a camp but everything to gain from progress. I
mean blaming the credit crunch on poor blacks or Hispanics instead of white
collar crime has a strong whiff of US racism. Yes some people lied about
their earning potential but others were too eager to give out loans and then
invent just plainly fraudulent financial instruments to hedge it. Or ever
more cunning ways to deny the very probable man made global warming
hypothesis (is that too weak now, “theory”?): urban heat island, active sun
- or then saying anyone who criticises the research as being a big oil
lackey.

 

In short the modus operandi of most people (little people?) in all areas
seems to be “defend the fort at all costs”. When the view that “that might
be so”, “worth looking at”, “I’ll take that on board” is more constructive.

 

I’ve never really understood the mentality of people who don’t break ranks.
Mavericks are gifted, brave, visionaries, bloody minded or mad. Often their
beds are well feathered so no one can touch them or they have no
responsibilities or dependents. So let’s not be too hard on the ‘little
people’. They serve too those who stand and stare against the serving ones
who leer and jeer.

  _  

From: Edmund Storms [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: 18 September 2008 18:15
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Cc: Edmund Storms
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

 

 

Really, serious?  I get 48 m/g from the Prius in hilly country including
going to Albuquerque at 75 m/h. Granted, I can't act like an idiot in a
sports car.  Nevertheless, I'm still able to buy both food and gas.

 

Ed

 

On Sep 18, 2008, at 10:59 AM, Remi Cornwall wrote:





Top Gear environmental edition. Includes serious analysis of Prius about
halfway in.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QL9O1H9e1rA

 

 

  _  

From: Edmund Storms [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: 18 September 2008 17:49
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Cc: Edmund Storms
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

 

 

A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough to move
the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the batteries are dead, in
addition, it needs to have some extra power to charge the battery at that
time. Therefore, a small ICE will not work.  For example, the Prius can
travel at normal speed even without batteries, which happens in mountainous
country when climbing a long hill. You would not want the speed to drop
suddenly on a long hill. 

 

Ed

 

On Sep 18, 2008, at 9:04 AM, Jones Beene wrote:






Just to clear up a couple of points from Jed Rothwell's post:

 1. Electric cars consume much less energy per mile so there is not as 
much pollution in the first place.

This is not the correct comparison to make! 

Both future car designs, in the correct comparison, will be electric -- and
will have identical drive trains -- so the energy per mile is identical; and
the comparison then is between having one vehicle:

a.) operate solely on batteries, such as the Volt 
b.) and the other one operate on 

Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

Edmund Storms wrote:

A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough to 
move the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the batteries 
are dead, in addition, it needs to have some extra power to charge 
the battery at that time.


Well, it would not need to recharge while going uphill. You can leave 
the batteries flat for a while.


In the Volt, I believe electric motor drives the wheels at all times, 
and the ICE connects only to the batteries. So if the batteries are 
flat and you are going up a steep hill at a high speed, my guess is 
the ICE works as hard as it can and the batteries stay flat.


When the Prius batteries are low, the car is sluggish on steep hills 
and the engine makes more noise than usual, but I have never had 
trouble keeping up with other cars at highway speeds in the Carolinas 
and Georgia where people drive ridiculously fast (like 85 mph in a 70 
mph zone). There is a very steep, long section of highway on Rt. 77 
north to Rt. 80 (North Carolina to Virginia) that I have often 
driven, without difficulty.


- Jed



[Vo]:Barrack's Guantlet

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
Portentously along the lines of Kennedy's moonshot address, didn't he say a
few weeks ago that in 10 years he wants to see America giving up its
dependency on oil?

Sounds alright to me. It will happen.

We had Manhattan project, Marshall aid, Moonshots, Human Genome. I think the
masters of the universe have demonstrated that making lots of money and
then loosing it doesn't qualify one to be the moral representative and
driving force of mankind. 

Loosing my religion and gaining pragmatic humanitarianism instead.





RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

Remi Cornwall wrote:

Top Gear environmental edition. Includes serious analysis of Prius 
about halfway in.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QL9O1H9e1rA


The stuff about nickel is a lot of nonsense. It has been widely 
circulated by anti-Prius, anti environmentalists, such as George Will.


The comparison driving at the track is complete garbage. At a 
racetrack speed who knows what a Prius gets but it is not designed 
for racetrack speeds. At normal speeds on level ground without 
stopping I routinely get 75 to 100 miles per gallon.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Edmund Storms


On Sep 18, 2008, at 12:26 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote:


Edmund Storms wrote:

A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough  
to move the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the  
batteries are dead, in addition, it needs to have some extra power  
to charge the battery at that time.


Well, it would not need to recharge while going uphill. You can  
leave the batteries flat for a while.


In the Volt, I believe electric motor drives the wheels at all  
times, and the ICE connects only to the batteries. So if the  
batteries are flat and you are going up a steep hill at a high  
speed, my guess is the ICE works as hard as it can and the batteries  
stay flat.


When the Prius batteries are low, the car is sluggish on steep hills  
and the engine makes more noise than usual, but I have never had  
trouble keeping up with other cars at highway speeds in the  
Carolinas and Georgia where people drive ridiculously fast (like 85  
mph in a 70 mph zone). There is a very steep, long section of  
highway on Rt. 77 north to Rt. 80 (North Carolina to Virginia) that  
I have often driven, without difficulty.


That has been my experience also. This means the engine has been sized  
to move the car at normal speed by itself. Any hybrid will need a big  
enough engine to do this. Otherwise, very few will be sold.  The idea  
that a small engine starts charging the battery after the initial  
charge is used while the car is parked on the side of the road will  
not sell. Even if you keep moving, no one will want to go 55 mph while  
every one else is passing at 75 mph.  Therefore, a lower limit is  
created for the size of the ICE, which is not small.


Ed



- Jed





RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
I don't know who George Will is. Doesn't come up on my radar at all. I'll
take what you say on board though.

George Will... George Dubya... ???

-Original Message-
From: Jed Rothwell [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: 18 September 2008 19:32
To: vortex-L@eskimo.com
Subject: RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

Remi Cornwall wrote:

Top Gear environmental edition. Includes serious analysis of Prius 
about halfway in.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QL9O1H9e1rA

The stuff about nickel is a lot of nonsense. It has been widely 
circulated by anti-Prius, anti environmentalists, such as George Will.

The comparison driving at the track is complete garbage. At a 
racetrack speed who knows what a Prius gets but it is not designed 
for racetrack speeds. At normal speeds on level ground without 
stopping I routinely get 75 to 100 miles per gallon.

- Jed





Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


Jed Rothwell wrote:
 Edmund Storms wrote:
 
 A point you all seem to miss is that the ICE must be large enough to
 move the car at normal speeds, including up hills when the batteries
 are dead, in addition, it needs to have some extra power to charge the
 battery at that time.
 
 Well, it would not need to recharge while going uphill. You can leave
 the batteries flat for a while.
 
 In the Volt, I believe electric motor drives the wheels at all times,
 and the ICE connects only to the batteries.

Exactly.  I have never seen this mentioned, but in principle the design
could be described as very de-coupled, or modular.

A Prius is like a rabbit -- those long ears are the temperature control
system as well as a major hearing assist.  You can't change one without
affecting the other (not a good design, by human standards -- it makes
it too hard to maintain).  Similarly, in the Prius, the electric motor
is also the generator which is used to recharge the batteries, the
transmission does double duty as the pass-through coupling when it's in
motor/generator mode, and the whole powertrain is a monolithic nightmare
-- or so it appears looking in from the outside.  Could Toyota easily
bring out a diesel Prius?  I have no idea, but it's certainly not a given.

Conversely, in the Volt the ICE *just* drives a shaft which turns a
generator.  It should be easy to replace the ICE with just about any
other engine, of any sort, which fits the form factor.  You'd also need
to change the gas tank if you went with something *totally* different
but you still wouldn't need to touch the rest of the car.

The generator is *just* a generator, and just charges the batteries.
You could replace it with a different model without affecting the rest
of the power train.

The electric motor is *just* an electric motor.  You could put in a
bigger one or a smaller one or a totally different design (within the
constraints of the motor control system) without affecting the charging
system (er, except for the regen braking system ... but that could be
dropped on the floor, at the penalty of ~ 10% or 20% battery-only range
loss, and everything else would still be fine).

Similarly, the batteries and charging system are designed to operate
like a conventional car's batteries and charging system.  There is no
difficulty with tuning it to make better use of a wall-plug -- it's
already set up that way.  When you read how people converting Prius's to
plug-in use sometimes add whole parallel battery systems, with the new
system being charged from the wall while the old system goes on being
kept at full charge by the motor, you realize that there are some
serious issues with the integrated monolithic design of the electrical
and charging systems in the Prius.  Trying to get the onboard charging
system to let the batteries *run down* under certain circumstances is
apparently not trivial -- and if you can't do that, then you get home
with a full charge and there's no point in plugging it in!




 So if the batteries are flat
 and you are going up a steep hill at a high speed, my guess is the ICE
 works as hard as it can and the batteries stay flat.
 
 When the Prius batteries are low, the car is sluggish on steep hills and
 the engine makes more noise than usual, but I have never had trouble
 keeping up with other cars at highway speeds in the Carolinas and
 Georgia where people drive ridiculously fast (like 85 mph in a 70 mph
 zone). There is a very steep, long section of highway on Rt. 77 north to
 Rt. 80 (North Carolina to Virginia) that I have often driven, without
 difficulty.
 
 - Jed
 



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jones Beene
- Original Message 

From: Stephen A. Lawrence 

 I have never seen this mentioned, but in principle the design
could be described as very de-coupled, or modular.

They are not calling it a 'hybrid' for a number of marketing reasons, 
preferring to call it an electric vehicle with a range extender. 

My major point is that they do NOT need a 40 mile range with expensive lithium 
batteries!

The Volt motor specs are:

111 kW (150 hp) electric motor
1.4 L 4-cylinder gasoline engine for 53 kW genset.

All I am suggesting to do - to make this concept more affordable to the average 
Joe, is to:

1) dump the lithium in favor of advanced SLA
2) go for a battery range of 20 miles instead of 40 miles (20 was the range of 
the VH-1) which covers most day-to-day errands and short commutes
3) keep the electric motor the same size
4) trim the 4-cylinder down in power and weight to about 35 kW and make it a 
diesel, possibly a two cylinder diesel.

I believe this would cut $10,000 off the cost of batteries - making the vehicle 
affordable for a much larger segment of drivers. Compared to the present Prius, 
the smaller diesel will get significantly better mileage.

If the driver knows he is needing to go hundered of miles in a day, he will 
have to plan ahead - but can set the genset to max power, and override the 
normal default setting and keep the batteries topped off as long as possible. 
Even so, he might need to stop for an intermediate range plug-in for  a few 
hours.  That would be the trade-off vis-a-vis a Prius.

I am not sure who came up with this idea initially - but they were claiming 
that it could get to 100 mpg, which of course becomes meaningless without 
knowing how much grid power is used, 

Jones


Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Based on recent history, you probably know more about optimal market
positioning of new cars than GM's marketing department (and I am not
being snide here).  So you may very well be right.

In their defense, GM is trying to make the biggest splash and largest
success they can with with what I will again point out is their
*INITIAL* offering in this market.  If they succeed in this, then it
will almost surely not be their *FINAL* EV offering.

Clearly their marketing department thought they would be better off
positioning it as being high performance, long range, and totally
convenient, rather than pretty good performance, pretty good range,
and not as convenient as an old fashioned car.  (And maybe Bob Lutz
wanted it to be an electric viper -- whatever...)

The downside is that:

* They may end up pricing it too high as a result, and losing a large
chunk of the market the could have had;

* They may end up pricing it too low and losing money on every one they
sell as a result (if they do it right they can price it too high *and*
lose money at the same time);

* The delays which result from going for a perfect car may be so long
they miss the market window, and have to play catch-up to
nimble-and-hungry Nissan;

* Finally, they may never get another chance; this looks like the bottom
of the ninth and two out for GM.  Swing and miss, swing and miss, swing
and...and so they are trying for a home run.  As we all know, home
run hitters typically have lousy batting averages, 'cause they strike
out a lot.

Historically I detest GM but in this case I hope they get their home run.



Jones Beene wrote:
 - Original Message 
 From: Stephen A. Lawrence
 
 I have never seen this mentioned, but in principle the design
 could be described as very de-coupled, or modular.
 
 They are not calling it a 'hybrid' for a number of marketing reasons,
 preferring to call it an electric vehicle with a range extender.
 
 My major point is that they do NOT need a 40 mile range with expensive
 lithium batteries!
 
 The Volt motor specs are:
 
 111 kW (150 hp) electric motor
 1.4 L 4-cylinder gasoline engine for 53 kW genset.
 
 All I am suggesting to do - to make this concept more affordable to the
 average Joe, is to:
 
 1) dump the lithium in favor of advanced SLA
 2) go for a battery range of 20 miles instead of 40 miles (20 was the
 range of the VH-1) which covers most day-to-day errands and short commutes
 3) keep the electric motor the same size
 4) trim the 4-cylinder down in power and weight to about 35 kW and make
 it a diesel, possibly a two cylinder diesel.
 
 I believe this would cut $10,000 off the cost of batteries - making the
 vehicle affordable for a much larger segment of drivers. Compared to the
 present Prius, the smaller diesel will get significantly better mileage.
 
 If the driver knows he is needing to go hundered of miles in a day, he
 will have to plan ahead - but can set the genset to max power, and
 override the normal default setting and keep the batteries topped off as
 long as possible. Even so, he might need to stop for an intermediate
 range plug-in for  a few hours.  That would be the trade-off vis-a-vis a
 Prius.
 
 I am not sure who came up with this idea initially - but they were
 claiming that it could get to 100 mpg, which of course becomes
 meaningless without knowing how much grid power is used,
 
 Jones



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Edmund Storms


On Sep 18, 2008, at 1:16 PM, Jones Beene wrote:


- Original Message 
From: Stephen A. Lawrence

 I have never seen this mentioned, but in principle the design
could be described as very de-coupled, or modular.

They are not calling it a 'hybrid' for a number of marketing  
reasons, preferring to call it an electric vehicle with a range  
extender.


My major point is that they do NOT need a 40 mile range with  
expensive lithium batteries!


The Volt motor specs are:

111 kW (150 hp) electric motor
1.4 L 4-cylinder gasoline engine for 53 kW genset.


So, taking your numbers, they use the same size engine as in a Prius.  
The only difference is the way they couple the engine power to the  
wheels.  The question is, Is this method more efficient and lighter  
than the way Toyota does the job? Otherwise, the behavior should be  
similar.  Meanwhile both Toyota and GM are adding capacity by adding  
batteries.  As a result we have a battery race, not a new concept.  
Toyota will win because they will be at least as efficient, but  
cheaper and more reliable.


Ed



All I am suggesting to do - to make this concept more affordable to  
the average Joe, is to:


1) dump the lithium in favor of advanced SLA
2) go for a battery range of 20 miles instead of 40 miles (20 was  
the range of the VH-1) which covers most day-to-day errands and  
short commutes

3) keep the electric motor the same size
4) trim the 4-cylinder down in power and weight to about 35 kW and  
make it a diesel, possibly a two cylinder diesel.


At that power, the car will have a hard time keeping up with traffic  
when the batteries are exhausted. This would be the death of the idea.



I believe this would cut $10,000 off the cost of batteries - making  
the vehicle affordable for a much larger segment of drivers.  
Compared to the present Prius, the smaller diesel will get  
significantly better mileage.


If the driver knows he is needing to go hundered of miles in a day,  
he will have to plan ahead - but can set the genset to max power,  
and override the normal default setting and keep the batteries  
topped off as long as possible. Even so, he might need to stop for  
an intermediate range plug-in for  a few hours.  That would be the  
trade-off vis-a-vis a Prius.


This is too complicated for most people. Too many would fail to do  
this and end up asking for help from their husbands. :-)



I am not sure who came up with this idea initially - but they were  
claiming that it could get to 100 mpg, which of course becomes  
meaningless without knowing how much grid power is used,


Jones




Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

Edmund Storms wrote:

4) trim the 4-cylinder down in power and weight to about 35 kW and 
make it a diesel, possibly a two cylinder diesel.


At that power, the car will have a hard time keeping up with traffic 
when the batteries are exhausted. This would be the death of the idea.


35 kW = 47 HP. I have a 1994 Geo Metro with a 3-cylinder 55 HP motor. 
It has lost umph over the years, but even when it was new, it was 
scary to drive at highway speeds in Atlanta. Going up a moderate hill 
with the accelerator fully floored the traffic would fly by me. Going 
up the hill south of Chattanooga was scary. As I recall it was barely 
making 50 mph.


(That hill is famously steep and long. The Union Infantry took it in 
a famous battle in the Civil War. It is hard to believe anyone run up 
to the top fully armed and then storm the lines at the top.)


The Metro is a fine car for the city, but impractical for the 
highway. Turn on the air conditioning and it drops 5 mph. It gets 
excellent mileage though! Around 35 mpg in the city, and supposedly 
42 mpg on the highway, with a 5-speed manual transmission. Fun to 
drive, too. Much safer than a motorcycle, as I tell my wife. Specs here:


http://consumerguideauto.howstuffworks.com/1990-to-1994-geo-metro-6.htm

I doubt that the Volt will be lighter or significantly more 
aerodynamic than the Metro, so I doubt that 35 kW would be enough. It 
would be marginal. The Prius ICE is variously quoted at 57 kW (76 HP) 
to 82 kW (109 HP). Maybe it depends upon the model year.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jones Beene
- Original Message 

From: Edmund Storms


 So, taking your numbers, they use the same size engine as in a Prius. The 
 only difference is the way they couple the engine power to the wheels.  The 
 question is, Is this method more efficient and lighter than the way Toyota 
 does the job? 

It appears to be better for two well-known reasons. First - electric motors 
give highest torque at 0 rpm and with gas engines it is usually over 2000 rpm, 
and consequently gas engines are inefficient in accelerating from a stop. 
Prius' present electric motor is too small to make a difference there. 

Secondly, gas engines are more efficient when run at a fixed rpm, and the 
genset permits this -- and GM has gone one more step by making the torque curve 
and power curve overlap at the fixed engine speed which saves the most fuel; 
Prius can't do that without an infinitely variable transmission. These may come 
out soom however. Then it will get down to cost.

Plus GM has coupled their electric motor to some kind of special transmission 
for high speed. As for only ~35 kW from the ICE genset possibly being enough, 
or not -- when admittedly this is too little power for use with a normal 
drivetrain and transmission - this may also get back to the genset delivering 
the full amount of power- at all times regardless of the speed of the vehicle. 
Perhaps the genset requirement can be less than suspected with this kind of 
large electric motor as the main feature. IOW the electric motor plus batteries 
make it seems like you have 3 times more power when you need it on hills - that 
your genset can put out.

When we we talking about this subject a year ago, before the Volt was even 
firmed up - it seemed   that a good choice for the backup ICE would be the 
Wankel -- which is not normally though of as being green primarily because it 
is especially sensitive to having a preferred rotational speed (and it is a 
high speed) where it becomes efficient, when otherwise it is notably 
inefficient except in that narrow range. This is apparently due to the seals 
working best when they are compressed at high rpm. It is a gas guzzler when it 
must operate over a wide range of speeds, however, and this has limited it 
sales.

It appears from the blip below that Mazda is about ready to introduce a Volt 
clone with said Wankel driving the genset -- and this makes sense due to the 
reduced weight and high rpm capability. Plus of all engine designs, the Wankel 
is the one which runs especially well on hydrogen - and so long as it can be a 
fixed speed only implementation - well - this could be part of the reason Mazda 
is choosing it over their 4-cylinder to compete with the Volt.

http://www.autocar.co.uk/News/NewsArticle.aspx?AR=234607

Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread OrionWorks
Hypothetically speaking...

Two subtle questions:

(1) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
consumers could afford to purchase HYBRID cars would we be able to
eventually stop importing foreign oil?

(2) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
consumers could afford to purchase PLUGIN cars would we be able to
eventually stop importing foreign oil?

What say the experts?

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Michel Jullian
2008/9/18 Jones Beene [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 IOW the electric motor plus batteries make it seems like you have 3 times more
 power when you need it on hills - that your genset can put out.

Jones, the idea kind of made sense to me up to now, but Ed's sensible
objection is that IF your battery is empty --which BTW is most
probably the case otherwise you wouldn't be running on the genset--
then you don't have enough power to keep up with the traffic. Isn't he
right to conclude that the genset must be able to provide the full
power, as it does on the GM Volt?

Michel



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

Jones Beene wrote:

It appears to be better for two well-known reasons. First - electric 
motors give highest torque at 0 rpm and with gas engines it is 
usually over 2000 rpm, and consequently gas engines are inefficient 
in accelerating from a stop. Prius' present electric motor is too 
small to make a difference there.


That is way wrong. From 0 to 30 mph, the Prius accelerates faster 
than a high performance Volvo sedan or BMW. (I have driven all 
three.) On a short highway merge such as the Washington Beltway, from 
a standing start to highway speed, you can really feel the electric 
motor kicking in. It is as fast as the Volvo.



Secondly, gas engines are more efficient when run at a fixed rpm, 
and the genset permits this . . .


So does the Prius transmission.


Plus GM has coupled their electric motor to some kind of special 
transmission for high speed.


The Prius transmission is radically different from previous ones and 
it is incredibly efficient. I have read that it is unlikely anything 
better could be designed with today's technology. The motor is 
couples directly to the drivetrain with little loss. I doubt you 
could make something as efficient going from ICE to battery to electric motor.



As for only ~35 kW from the ICE genset possibly being enough, or not 
-- when admittedly this is too little power for use with a normal 
drivetrain and transmission - this may also get back to the genset 
delivering the full amount of power- at all times regardless of the 
speed of the vehicle. Perhaps the genset requirement can be less 
than suspected with this kind of large electric motor as the main 
feature. IOW the electric motor plus batteries make it seems like 
you have 3 times more power when you need it on hills - that your 
genset can put out.


Ed's point -- and mine -- is that you cannot count on having the 
electric motor plus batteries on hills. The moment the batteries 
drain, you are in serious trouble. I mean life-threatening trouble. 
Where Ed lives the hills are very steep, and 10 or 20 miles long in 
places. You have to have an ICE capable of carrying the entire load 
up the steepest hill at maximum speed. (In a Prius, the maximum speed 
is 106 miles an hour as I recall. The computer will not let it go 
faster. The tires are not rated for higher speeds.)


When the Prius battery drains going uphill, the car does not stop or 
slow down a bit, because it is all computer regulated -- there is no 
mechanical connection from the accelerator pedal to the gasoline 
supply throttle as far as I know. It is fly-by-wire. The computer 
screen on the dashboard shows that the battery is drained, and the 
engine immediately starts to make much more noise. Acceleration 
becomes more sluggish.


The Prius gas pedal has a peculiar quality that I described in my 
book. When you first shift the transmission into drive, which is also 
an imaginary fly-by-wire operation, and you take your foot off the 
brake, the car begins to creep forward like a car with an automatic 
transmission. You do not need to press the gas pedal. Of course this 
is purely the way it is programmed. They could just as easily make 
the car stand stock still until you press the gas pedal. There is no 
danger the car will roll backwards the way it does with a manual 
transmission. However, people are used to cars creeping forward, so 
they made this one emulate an automatic transmission. In my book, 
chapter 7, I described this:


New technology often imitates older forms, even when it would work 
better if it did not. . . . With ingenuity and extra effort, the 
limitations of the old [are] imposed on the new.


I read about an absurd version this with automobile transmissions. In 
the Atlanta Journal-Constitution in 2006, they described a 
continuously variable transmission (CVT) with no discrete gears, like 
the Prius one. Quote:
While very efficient -- the engine always operates in the sweet spot 
-- the CVT car does not offer the customary jolt as it accelerates.
They feel like they do not shift, says Brauer of Edmunds.com. It 
disturbs people.
Designers are even trying to develop a CVT with an artificial shift 
tilt to make it more acceptable to drivers, Whitsitt says.
There was no need to have a clunk. I expect it will cause 
mechanical troubles and reduce efficiency.  When you drive a Prius it 
takes about five minutes to get used to the CVT and the fact that it 
does not clunk. I hate to think of these engineers wasting their 
time making the machine work less well.


- Jed


Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jed Rothwell

OrionWorks wrote:


(1) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
consumers could afford to purchase HYBRID cars would we be able to
eventually stop importing foreign oil?


No. Hybrid technology is close to maturity already, at ~50 miles per 
gallon. That is better than double the average US automobile, but 
probably not enough to eliminate all imports. Anyway, I do not think 
companies will be making non-plug-in hybrids much longer. It doesn't 
make sense.




(2) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
consumers could afford to purchase PLUGIN cars would we be able to
eventually stop importing foreign oil?


Yes. We could join OPEC and export about half of the oil we produce. 
That's my calculation; other analyses come out lower, but all agree 
that plug in hybrids could eliminate oil imports. As the technology 
matures we could export 90% of it, but of course by that time people 
everywhere else in the world would also be using plug-in hybrid cars 
and the market for gasoline would collapse.


As the technology matures even more, it is likely that batteries will 
improve so much that we can dispense with the gasoline motor and make 
a purely electric vehicle. That will eliminate the need for gasoline, 
obviously.




What say the experts?


What I just said.

- Jed



RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars, supercharger boost

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
Haven't been following the thread too closely. It seems to all be coming
down to this genset trickle charge or combined electric motor and ICE, fixed
rpm/all electric transmission/CVT.

 

If the ICE is a bit puny and dangerous in situations when the battery is
depleted why not fit a supercharger boost which could be computer controlled
via a kick down of the accelerator to give life saving boost? Very high
volumetric efficient engines can squeeze out over 100BHp (75kW) per litre.

 



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Jones Beene
Hi Michel 


 Ed's sensible objection is that IF your battery is empty -- which BTW is most
probably the case otherwise you wouldn't be running on the genset.

Whoa - Michel, that is the totally wrong assumption. The genset cuts-in much 
sooner; the battery cannot be allowed to ever go empty as this is harmful ! But 
unlike the Prius (where the motor kicks in for every hill) the Volt genset only 
kicks in when the battery array gets to a certain level - say 50% depletion. I 
do not know the actual number but it is much higher than you are thinking.

IOW Long before the batteries are completely empty, the genset comes on and 
stays on at **full speed** until they are brought back up to a preset value of 
charge by an onboard computer. The arrangement is designed so that the *average 
requirement* of power is met by the genset (or more), instead of the peak 
requirement.  Of course, there could be a situation where the driver wants to 
draw more than the average for a very long time-- say to go 100 mph, well over 
the speed limit in most places - and in that case, the Volt (or an optimized 
volt-clone) is not a good choice. You cannot please everyone.

In a normal ICE you may need 100 kW of peak power to go from say 0-60 in ten 
seconds. With the Volt you can do this repeatedly, since you electric motor is 
sufficient, even though your genset is too small by half. And the genset will 
kick in and recharge long before the batteries are drained.

OK - Can we go from there to needing significantly less than half of the peak 
power requirement? That is an interesting question because the hypothesis that 
you can do it technically might not give the driver the feel that he needs 
for a surge of on demand power.

IOW the issue would be this. If the average power required for all driving is 
35 kW over an extended period - for a light car of say 3000 pounds; (and that 
figure has been published)  - yet - the peak required for hills and passing is 
100 kW - then can you get by with the very minimum in your genset, or do you 
need to pad that up to 53 kW, as the Volt is doing?

 Isn't he right to conclude that the genset must be able to provide the full
power, as it does on the GM Volt?

No, not full power if by that you mean peak  or should I say: Yes and 
no. He is correct to conclude that the genset must be able to provide the 
average power but not the peak power. 

However, from there-on your (not Ed's) second assumption that the GM Volt needs 
53 kW for full power is incorrect. It needs far more than that for peak 
power, and less than that number for average power. Get it?

AFAIK from published figures, a car in this weight range and air resistance 
etc. needs much less than 53 kW for average power and close to 35 Kw, which is 
the number chosen because this has appeared in print -- but please -- feel free 
to correct that number, if you can find an actual test or evidence which proves 
it to be wrong.

Jones

Re: [Vo]:Advanced Lead-Acid Battery

2008-09-18 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to  Jones Beene's message of Thu, 18 Sep 2008 09:02:19 -0700 (PDT):
Hi,
[snip]
Here is a typical anti-lithium battery rag - from an insider - a former exec 
of a NiMH company. Most of the negative press wrt lithium, and there are many 
outspoken critics of lithium batteries, come from insiders - or competitors 
in the industry, which can mean one of two things: they know better, or they 
are very jealous. Take your pick.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/95552-energy-storage-opportunities-vs-irrational-expectations

Only problem for this blogger is: in actual testing in a Honda Insight last 
year - which has NiMH, and which many people hated to see go the way of the 
dinosaur -- the advanced SLA (from EFFPower) has already exceeded anything and 
everything which NiMH can offer- and without the need for nickel (much more 
costly than lead).

http://www.effpower.com/

From the website:-

Battery:

Capacity: 6 Ah
Voltage: 150 V
Weight: 37.5 kg

If I am not mistaken this works out to 24 Wh/kg, which is nothing to write home
about.
[snip]
Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to  Michel Jullian's message of Thu, 18 Sep 2008 23:38:19 +0200:
Hi,


2008/9/18 Jones Beene [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 IOW the electric motor plus batteries make it seems like you have 3 times 
 more
 power when you need it on hills - that your genset can put out.

Jones, the idea kind of made sense to me up to now, but Ed's sensible
objection is that IF your battery is empty --which BTW is most
probably the case otherwise you wouldn't be running on the genset--
then you don't have enough power to keep up with the traffic. Isn't he
right to conclude that the genset must be able to provide the full
power, as it does on the GM Volt?

Michel

Not necessarily. If the trip computer knows in advance that you are going to
take a long trip, then the gas engine can be turned on immediately at the start
of the trip, recharging the batteries continuously, rather than waiting till
they are near empty. This extends the range of the batteries, and still only
requires a small gas engine while the electric motors provide full power the
whole time.

The trick is for the trip computer to know in advance when to turn on the gas
engine. This would be possible for a vehicle with a GPS system. You tell the
computer your destination before starting, and whether or not you can recharge
at your destination, and it calculates when to turn on the engine, based upon
the current state of charge in the batteries. It would also make sense to have a
set of preprogrammed destinations (like preprogrammed radio stations, or a
better analogy might be programmed cooking schemes in a microwave), for places
that you visit frequently. The general idea of course is to delay the engine
start as long as possible, while ensuring that the driver experiences no
inconvenience.
Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: [Vo]:Advanced Lead-Acid Battery

2008-09-18 Thread Jones Beene
- Original Message 

From: Robin van Spaandonk 

If I am not mistaken this works out to 24 Wh/kg, which is nothing to write home
about.

True, its not dainty - but to put it in perspective: One opinion worth 
repeating is this one (paraphrased):

From society's point-of-view Plug-In-Hybrids like the Volt, or a more 
affordable version, like the Honda Insight 2 G (70 mpg) but with a big 
electric motor and plug in gizmos -- should be built now, not in two years, 
and built without the slightest concern for the availability of high-tech, 
high-energy batteries. 

The message is: Do it now, and do it as cheaply as possible, and when the 
bettery comes along later, then fine - as a replacement - but for now, the 
high-tech and risky batteries are NOT essential for huge benefits to accrue to 
both the owner and the rest of us.

IOW the sentiment expressed here is that the low-tech, low cost but heavier 
solution (advanced lead acid) will save about as much net energy as the best 
lithium, and have all the other great benefits except for the extra weight - 
but at a fraction of the cost. And mostly that this can be done now. The added 
weight will detract somewhat, but far less than the sticker shock effect of the 
Volt and even the Prius, which are still a deal-killer for the average commuter.

Get the PHEV out there now, and cheaply with old-tech batteries -- and if in 5 
years the bettery or the EEStor ultracap - does come along at one fourth the 
weight, and at a reasonable cost - then that is about the right timing when the 
original SLA batteries will need to be changed out anyway.

Jones

After all, check out the resale value of the Insight, better % than the Prius 
and often selling at more than the original cost -- and check with the proud 
owners - Rolls Royce should be envious, Earlier this month, Honda revived the 
Insight name and introduced the second generation - a 5-door hatchback - but 
many wish they had just polished up a few details on the old one like a big 
honker of an electric motor. The new Insight is expected to go on sale in 2009 
at half the price of the Volt. It makes a lot of economic sense. Maybe Korea is 
watching. Maybe China.

BTW the original Insight had a 3-cylinder 1.0 liter ICE of less than 35 kW 
power - combined with a wimpy10-kW electric motor. Imagine this vehicle with a 
60kW electric motor !!


RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars, Atkinson, Miller cycle

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_NZ_engine

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atkinson_cycle

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_cycle

 



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread John Steck
Kind of a silly question.  We have enough natural resources here to stop 
importing foreign oil any time we want.  We just don't really want to.  Our 
actions, not our pontificating give that away.


The grand irony is I believe the enviro-fascists are the biggest culprits 
who keep us locked into this dependency mode.  They have successfully 
prevented developing any/all domestic production capacity of any kind for 
over 30 years.  Even 'clean' hydro, wind, solar are blocked because of the 
habitat impact on some flipping lizard, tadpole, bat, snail, or obscure 
prairie plant.  Last time I checked evolution is not anywhere near that 
considerate... adapting to sudden extreme change is par for the course, not 
the exception.


That said, I hope we really are heating up the planet (though I know it is 
hubris to think so).  We are going to need to dump as much methane  CO2 as 
we can into the atmosphere just to temper the severe climate changes the 
coming reduced solar output and pending ice age are going to bring in the 
next century.  Our grandkids will thank us some day.


I also place blame at the feet of the pathological liberalists amongst us 
who have no concept of (or who are in complete denial of) basic economic, 
technological, and scientific principals; supply and demand, cause and 
effect, premise and conclusion, structured problem solving, etc.  Very quick 
to tell me how I must limit my life 'for the greater good', but adamant 
about the messy bits of their utopian plan not any where near their 
backyard.  How many of the do-gooders would still gladly switch to plug-ins 
if it meant a nuke plant needed to be built at the end of their street to 
feed the little beasties?  I think we all know the answer to that... NIMBY!


Oil is not the enemy.  It's just a convenient target of the truly ignorant. 
You want energy independence?  Attack the most dangerous members of our 
society who stand in the way of it 'for the greater good'.


-j




--
From: OrionWorks [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, September 18, 2008 4:20 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars


Hypothetically speaking...

Two subtle questions:

(1) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
consumers could afford to purchase HYBRID cars would we be able to
eventually stop importing foreign oil?

(2) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
consumers could afford to purchase PLUGIN cars would we be able to
eventually stop importing foreign oil?

What say the experts?

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks





RE: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Remi Cornwall
Yeah right on John.

Christ, 2.10am watching Terminator 2 and a funding interview tomorrow! Guess
I think subconsciously that nothing will come of it.

-Original Message-
From: John Steck [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: 19 September 2008 01:57
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

Kind of a silly question.  We have enough natural resources here to stop 
importing foreign oil any time we want.  We just don't really want to.  Our 
actions, not our pontificating give that away.

The grand irony is I believe the enviro-fascists are the biggest culprits 
who keep us locked into this dependency mode.  They have successfully 
prevented developing any/all domestic production capacity of any kind for 
over 30 years.  Even 'clean' hydro, wind, solar are blocked because of the 
habitat impact on some flipping lizard, tadpole, bat, snail, or obscure 
prairie plant.  Last time I checked evolution is not anywhere near that 
considerate... adapting to sudden extreme change is par for the course, not 
the exception.

That said, I hope we really are heating up the planet (though I know it is 
hubris to think so).  We are going to need to dump as much methane  CO2 as 
we can into the atmosphere just to temper the severe climate changes the 
coming reduced solar output and pending ice age are going to bring in the 
next century.  Our grandkids will thank us some day.

I also place blame at the feet of the pathological liberalists amongst us 
who have no concept of (or who are in complete denial of) basic economic, 
technological, and scientific principals; supply and demand, cause and 
effect, premise and conclusion, structured problem solving, etc.  Very quick

to tell me how I must limit my life 'for the greater good', but adamant 
about the messy bits of their utopian plan not any where near their 
backyard.  How many of the do-gooders would still gladly switch to plug-ins 
if it meant a nuke plant needed to be built at the end of their street to 
feed the little beasties?  I think we all know the answer to that... NIMBY!

Oil is not the enemy.  It's just a convenient target of the truly ignorant. 
You want energy independence?  Attack the most dangerous members of our 
society who stand in the way of it 'for the greater good'.

-j




--
From: OrionWorks [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, September 18, 2008 4:20 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

 Hypothetically speaking...

 Two subtle questions:

 (1) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
 consumers could afford to purchase HYBRID cars would we be able to
 eventually stop importing foreign oil?

 (2) If cost were no object, and sufficient numbers of American
 consumers could afford to purchase PLUGIN cars would we be able to
 eventually stop importing foreign oil?

 What say the experts?

 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks
 





Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence
Slight digression:  Your comments about average versus peak draw
reminded me of something I learned of long ago.

When an automobile engine is place in a boat, it is grossly *de-rated*.
 Back in the old carburetor days, an engine that could be equipped with
a 2 or 4 barrel carb in a car might carry a 1 barrel carb in a boat --
and take the attendant power hit.

The reason is that in a boat, you operate the engine at full power, or
nearly full power, for extended periods.  Boats don't coast (much), and
boats never go downhill.  When the engine stops, the boat *stops* -- if
you've ever been in a cabin cruiser with good sized engines running
along at planing speed and switched off the engines, you know what I
mean:  The boat almost instantly falls off the plane and reverts to
displacement mode, in which its top speed is far lower than what can be
achieved with a lot of power and some trim tabs.  Folks who are standing
up in the boat when this is done may just fall right over (and then they
tend to get suddenly very rude -- it's not an experiment one tends to
try more than once, at least not without warning the passengers).

An automobile engine operated in this mode for extended periods burns up
in short order.  So, when you drop a big V-8 into a boat, at least if
it's a factory conversion, it'll get a tiny carburetor stuck on it to
keep the owner from ruining it.  (If it's a backyard conversion that's
something else again.)

And this really brings home the fact that automobile engines are just
*loafing* nearly all the time, and in fact their design *depends* on
that fact.  You cannot operate a 250 HP auto engine in a mode where you
pull 250 HP out of it continuously and expect to get anything like its
rated lifetime from it.

With intelligent electronics which won't take the battery pack below,
say, half charge, you should be able to get away with a 30 or 40 horse
genset and *never* *ever* feel the lack, even if your electric motor is
a 150 horse monster -- because you'll never be drawing more than a
fraction of that power from it for more than short periods.  I can't
accept Jed's implicit assertion that you need to be able to cruise up
hill at 106 MPH (You have to have an ICE capable of carrying the entire
load up the steepest hill at maximum speed, he said) -- 99.9% of the
owners never do that, and 100% of them *should* never do that.
Furthermore, I seriously doubt even as many as 2% of the owners will
ever hold the pedal to the metal long enough to get it up to 106 MPH
even once. Short bursts of perhaps 20 or 30 seconds is all the time
normal drivers normally spend pulling full power out of an automobile
engine, unless it's a low-power 4 cylinder or small 6 cylinder engine.

BTW did you know that when you actually draw a good fraction of your
motor's power, the AC (probably) cuts out?  This is pretty much standard
behavior these days - it's how you can have a pig of an AC unit and yet
never notice the power loss:  Whenever you need the power the AC clutch
lets go and gives it to you.  And yet most people never notice the loss
of AC, either, because the time one spends actually asking the engine to
work hard is such a small fraction of the time spent driving.

In short, the need to run at full power for extended periods with
totally dead batteries is a straw man.



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread OrionWorks
On Thu, Sep 18, 2008 at 7:57 PM, John Steck  wrote:

 Kind of a silly question.  We have enough natural resources here to stop
 importing foreign oil any time we want.  We just don't really want to.  Our
 actions, not our pontificating give that away.

 The grand irony is I believe the enviro-fascists are the biggest culprits
 who keep us locked into this dependency mode.  They have successfully
 prevented developing any/all domestic production capacity of any kind for
 over 30 years.  Even 'clean' hydro, wind, solar are blocked because of the
 habitat impact on some flipping lizard, tadpole, bat, snail, or obscure
 prairie plant.  Last time I checked evolution is not anywhere near that
 considerate... adapting to sudden extreme change is par for the course, not
 the exception.

 That said, I hope we really are heating up the planet (though I know it is
 hubris to think so).  We are going to need to dump as much methane  CO2 as
 we can into the atmosphere just to temper the severe climate changes the
 coming reduced solar output and pending ice age are going to bring in the
 next century.  Our grandkids will thank us some day.

 I also place blame at the feet of the pathological liberalists amongst us
 who have no concept of (or who are in complete denial of) basic economic,
 technological, and scientific principals; supply and demand, cause and
 effect, premise and conclusion, structured problem solving, etc.  Very quick
 to tell me how I must limit my life 'for the greater good', but adamant
 about the messy bits of their utopian plan not any where near their
 backyard.  How many of the do-gooders would still gladly switch to plug-ins
 if it meant a nuke plant needed to be built at the end of their street to
 feed the little beasties?  I think we all know the answer to that... NIMBY!

 Oil is not the enemy.  It's just a convenient target of the truly ignorant.
 You want energy independence?  Attack the most dangerous members of our
 society who stand in the way of it 'for the greater good'.

 -j

Hi John,

Oh dear, I think I might be one of those proud card carrying
enviro-fascist pathological liberalists. How did you figure out our
diabolical scheme to take control America, our plan to send the planet
back to those simpler times of the ice ages.

What should I do? I don't wish to be attacked by true Americans. How
can I redeem myself. Do tell.

No more tofu for me tonight. Screw all those leaping lizards, spotted
owls, snail darters - and drill, baby, drill!

Tomorrow I'll call my broker and tell him to sell off my entire
portfolio manufacturing base of Yak Tracks made out of 100% recycled
Goodyear re-treads. Things had looked so promising!

Regards,
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/OrionWorks



Re: [Vo]:GM Chevy Volt at CalCars

2008-09-18 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to  Jones Beene's message of Thu, 18 Sep 2008 12:16:15 -0700 (PDT):
Hi,
[snip]
All I am suggesting to do - to make this concept more affordable to the 
average Joe, is to:

1) dump the lithium in favor of advanced SLA
2) go for a battery range of 20 miles instead of 40 miles (20 was the range of 
the VH-1) which covers most day-to-day errands and short commutes

I suspect the rationale is that they want to save as much gas as possible. If
the average round trip commute is 40 miles, then cutting the all electric range
to 20 miles would result on average in at most a 50% reduction in gas usage. By
making the all electric range 40 miles OTOH, the average reduction is almost
100%. That makes a big difference in the dependence on imported fuel.

3) keep the electric motor the same size
4) trim the 4-cylinder down in power and weight to about 35 kW and make it a 
diesel, possibly a two cylinder diesel.

I believe this would cut $10,000 off the cost of batteries - making the 
vehicle affordable for a much larger segment of drivers. Compared to the 
present Prius, the smaller diesel will get significantly better mileage.
[snip]
Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk [EMAIL PROTECTED]



[Vo]:meltdown

2008-09-18 Thread thomas malloy

Richard Macaulay posted

Talk about conspiracy theories.  We are watching the largest bank 
robbery in history and nobody believes it is contrived.


Michael Savage of the Savage Nation was going on about how the Powers 
That Be fired Eliot Spitzer because of his agressive attacks on 
preditory lending. I have learned never to assume conspiracy when greed 
and stupidity can explain the phenomena. IMHO, they thought that the 
value of American residential real estate would continue to hold it's 
value. Too bad it's value is based on the occupant's cashflow, while 
some people have the requisite cashflow, an increasing number don't. 
IMHO, the phenomena can be explained by a short sighted focus on keeping 
the economy growing, cashflow, cashflow, and cashflow.


The Savage posted this link, The author's other writings reveal him to 
be a leftist, so I'm wondering how much truth it contains. 
http://www.gregpalast.com/elliot-spitzer-gets-nailed/



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