Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Joshua Cude
On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 1:18 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.netwrote:

 Gee, I guess their behavior seems highly suspicious :-)))


It seemed a little evasive, but in spite of that, in 1904 the prestigious
journal Science wrote:


The newspapers of December 18 contained the announcement that Wilbur
Wright had flown a distance of 3 miles with an aeroplane propeled by a
16-horse power, four-cylinder, gasoline motor, the whole weighing more than
700 pounds….

But to the student of aeronautics, and particularly to those who had
followed the careful scientific experiments with aeroplanes which were being
made by Orville and Wilbur Wright, it meant an epoch in
the progress of invention and achievement, perhaps as great as that when
Stevenson first drove a locomotive along a railroad.

They proceed to admit wide skepticism because of many failures, but then
say (remember, in 1904):

Mr. Wright's success in rising and landing safely with a motor-driven
aeroplane is a crowning achievement showing the possibility of human
flight.

Nothing like that has ever appeared in Science about cold fusion, or about
Rossi.

They clearly actively avoided the press until the were really ready in
1908, when their demonstration left no doubt.

Rossi has claimed working ecats for 4 years or so, and claimed to have
heated a factory with one for 2 years. He didn't invite the press until his
big show in Jan 2011. He has since had a dozen demos with invited press
*with* video cameras, and with invited scientists. But although he has
claimed he is ready for the marketplace, whereas the Wrights clearly
weren't, Rossi's demo falls far short of satisfying the skeptics, let alone
catapulting him onto the world stage. And instead of actually *showing* the
public what an ecat can do, by using it to heat something, or to do some
obvious work, he sends all the claimed energy down a drain or into the sky,
and then reports measured temperatures, requiring his audience to trust his
measurements. The Wrights in 1908 did not depend on trust. They showed the
world how far they could jump.


RE: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread OrionWorks - Steven Vincent Johnson
From Marcello,

 The Wright brothers were certainly complicit in the lack of attention
 they received. Fearful of competitors stealing their ideas, and still
 without a patent, they flew on only one more day after October 5. From
 then on, they refused to fly anywhere unless they had a firm contract
 to sell their aircraft. They wrote to the U.S. government, then to
 Britain, France and Germany with an offer to sell a flying machine, but
 were rebuffed because they insisted on a signed contract before giving
 a demonstration. They were unwilling even to show their photographs of
 the airborne Flyer. The American military, having recently spent
 $50,000 on the Langley Aerodrome-a product of the nation's foremost
 scientist-only to see it plunge twice into the Potomac River like a
 handful of mortar, was particularly unreceptive to the claims of two
 unknown bicycle makers from Ohio.[66] Thus, doubted or scorned, the
 Wright brothers continued their work in semi-obscurity, while other
 aviation pioneers like Brazilian Alberto Santos-Dumont, Henri Farman,
 Leon Delagrange and American Glenn Curtiss entered the limelight.

There do seem to be some similarities. Regrettably, history often repeats
itself.

We shall see if that is the case... again.

Regards,
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
Let me repeat that I started this thread to discern what might have
been reported from ardent skeptics AFTER it had been determined beyond
reasonable doubt that the Wright Brothers [Sorry about that blatant
misspelling of Wright with Right in my original post... Hadn't had
my cup'o'Java.] had successfully flown an aircraft under their own
power. I'm curious as to what their personal views were, how they
might have changed or didn't change, when when faced with the reality
of the situation. Did they simply shrug their shoulders, change their
minds and get on with the rest of their lives, or did they manufacture
new rationalizations to explain why they remain(ed) so skeptical.

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Peter Heckert

Am 16.11.2011 14:28, schrieb OrionWorks - Steven Vincent Johnson:

 From Marcello,


The Wright brothers were certainly complicit in the lack of attention
they received. Fearful of competitors stealing their ideas, and still
without a patent, they flew on only one more day after October 5. From
then on, they refused to fly anywhere unless they had a firm contract
to sell their aircraft. They wrote to the U.S. government, then to
Britain, France and Germany with an offer to sell a flying machine, but
were rebuffed because they insisted on a signed contract before giving
a demonstration. They were unwilling even to show their photographs of
the airborne Flyer. The American military, having recently spent
$50,000 on the Langley Aerodrome-a product of the nation's foremost
scientist-only to see it plunge twice into the Potomac River like a
handful of mortar, was particularly unreceptive to the claims of two
unknown bicycle makers from Ohio.[66] Thus, doubted or scorned, the
Wright brothers continued their work in semi-obscurity, while other
aviation pioneers like Brazilian Alberto Santos-Dumont, Henri Farman,
Leon Delagrange and American Glenn Curtiss entered the limelight.

There do seem to be some similarities. Regrettably, history often repeats
itself.

There are some obvious differences.
Rossis secret is securely encapsuled and hidden.
Even nonproprietary parts as the vaporizer content and steam and 
pressure are hidden (without?)  reason.

It was impossible for the Wright brothers to hide construction details.
They had really to fear, some competitor could copy it.

We shall see if that is the case... again.
In this case it does not repeat. This is a very different case and not 
comparable.


Peter



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Marcello Vitale
Also in the same, rather short, wikipedia article, one can read of the
furious patent dispute (on the mechanism to steer the planes, not on lift,
by the way), of the disrepute that befell the brothers because of their
perceived greed, and of the refusal (for 40 years! ) of the Smithsonian to
recognize their precedence because another contender to the claim of first
to fly had been a director there.

As it is to be expected, if you live in the same world as I do, even after
their discovery was accepted as irrefutable fact (I am sure for some that
only happened when they themselves flew), their role was not. Draw your own
conclusions.

To the hard-core skeptics, two questions:

- did man actually set foot on the moon? Compare and contrast level of
proof.

- how is Rossi trying to make money out of his wonderful, long, elaborate,
hollywoodian scam? I already wrote a detailed post on that and got no
reaction.

On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 3:27 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson 
svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

 Let me repeat that I started this thread to discern what might have
 been reported from ardent skeptics AFTER it had been determined beyond
 reasonable doubt that the Wright Brothers had successfully flown an
 aircraft under their own
 power.

 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks




-- 
Marcello Vitale
via Cavallotti 5, 20093 Cologno Monzese, MI, ITALY
phone: +39 338 484 9724
skype: marcello_vitale_UK
email: mvit...@ucsbalum.net


Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Rich Murray
Mary Yugo pointed out that other energy scams make money by accepting
secret investments from carefully selected credulous people, who have to
sign iron clad nondisclosure agreements... this can go on for years...


On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 7:16 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.netwrote:

 Also in the same, rather short, wikipedia article, one can read of the
 furious patent dispute (on the mechanism to steer the planes, not on lift,
 by the way), of the disrepute that befell the brothers because of their
 perceived greed, and of the refusal (for 40 years! ) of the Smithsonian to
 recognize their precedence because another contender to the claim of first
 to fly had been a director there.

 As it is to be expected, if you live in the same world as I do, even after
 their discovery was accepted as irrefutable fact (I am sure for some that
 only happened when they themselves flew), their role was not. Draw your own
 conclusions.

 To the hard-core skeptics, two questions:

 - did man actually set foot on the moon? Compare and contrast level of
 proof.

 - how is Rossi trying to make money out of his wonderful, long, elaborate,
 hollywoodian scam? I already wrote a detailed post on that and got no
 reaction.

 On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 3:27 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson 
 svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

 Let me repeat that I started this thread to discern what might have
 been reported from ardent skeptics AFTER it had been determined beyond
 reasonable doubt that the Wright Brothers had successfully flown an
 aircraft under their own
 power.


 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks




 --
 Marcello Vitale
 via Cavallotti 5, 20093 Cologno Monzese, MI, ITALY
 phone: +39 338 484 9724
 skype: marcello_vitale_UK
 email: mvit...@ucsbalum.net



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Joshua Cude
On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 9:16 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.netwrote:


 To the hard-core skeptics, two questions:

 - did man actually set foot on the moon? Compare and contrast level of
 proof.


I agree, the moon-landing requires some trust, because there is no way for
us to witness it directly. But the sheer number of complicit people --
probably 10s of thousands -- required to fake it make that scenario
infinitely more difficult to believe than a moon landing, which after all
is based on perfectly well-understood physics. There is no unknown reaction
claimed here.

In Rossi's case, it is completely feasible to demonstrate the effect
without any need for trust, and so here the fact that he doesn't makes it
likely that he can't. Furthermore, the number of complicit people necessary
is much, much smaller. In fact, it could be all delusion or incompetence
(definitely not possible in the moon-landing).



 - how is Rossi trying to make money out of his wonderful, long, elaborate,
 hollywoodian scam? I already wrote a detailed post on that and got no
 reaction.



Maybe you missed the cross-post of Krivit's comment on his latest post,
where he spells it out pretty well. Briefly, entirely plausible,
confidential, and substantial, investments.

Or, for another clue, look at BLP and how their wonderful, long, elaborate,
hollywoodian story, in which no product has ever been marketed, and in
which promises have been repeatedly unfulfilled, has nevertheless earned
them about $60M in investment.


Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Mary Yugo
 I agree, the moon-landing requires some trust, because there is no way for
 us to witness it directly.


Maybe.  But if you've seen a Saturn V launch, as have hundreds of thousands
if not millions, you have to be impressed that some considerable chunk of
mass is traveling very fast moonward.  And then there's the bill for NASA
and its activities measuring in the hundreds of billions of dollars.
That'd be a pretty expensive movie.


Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Marcello Vitale
There is the only problem with the investment story that it does not appear
to be true. The only source of money Krivit cites is Ampenergo, that is
Rossi himself.

On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 4:43 PM, Joshua Cude joshua.c...@gmail.com wrote:



 On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 9:16 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.netwrote:


 To the hard-core skeptics, two questions:

 - did man actually set foot on the moon? Compare and contrast level of
 proof.


 I agree, the moon-landing requires some trust, because there is no way for
 us to witness it directly. But the sheer number of complicit people --
 probably 10s of thousands -- required to fake it make that scenario
 infinitely more difficult to believe than a moon landing, which after all
 is based on perfectly well-understood physics. There is no unknown reaction
 claimed here.

 In Rossi's case, it is completely feasible to demonstrate the effect
 without any need for trust, and so here the fact that he doesn't makes it
 likely that he can't. Furthermore, the number of complicit people necessary
 is much, much smaller. In fact, it could be all delusion or incompetence
 (definitely not possible in the moon-landing).



 - how is Rossi trying to make money out of his wonderful, long,
 elaborate, hollywoodian scam? I already wrote a detailed post on that and
 got no reaction.



 Maybe you missed the cross-post of Krivit's comment on his latest post,
 where he spells it out pretty well. Briefly, entirely plausible,
 confidential, and substantial, investments.

 Or, for another clue, look at BLP and how their wonderful, long,
 elaborate, hollywoodian story, in which no product has ever been marketed,
 and in which promises have been repeatedly unfulfilled, has nevertheless
 earned them about $60M in investment.




-- 
Marcello Vitale
via Cavallotti 5, 20093 Cologno Monzese, MI, ITALY
phone: +39 338 484 9724
skype: marcello_vitale_UK
email: mvit...@ucsbalum.net


Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Daniel Rocha
Ampenergo is owned by his wife.

2011/11/16 Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.net

 There is the only problem with the investment story that it does not
 appear to be true. The only source of money Krivit cites is Ampenergo, that
 is Rossi himself.


 On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 4:43 PM, Joshua Cude joshua.c...@gmail.comwrote:



 On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 9:16 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.netwrote:


 To the hard-core skeptics, two questions:

 - did man actually set foot on the moon? Compare and contrast level of
 proof.


 I agree, the moon-landing requires some trust, because there is no way
 for us to witness it directly. But the sheer number of complicit people --
 probably 10s of thousands -- required to fake it make that scenario
 infinitely more difficult to believe than a moon landing, which after all
 is based on perfectly well-understood physics. There is no unknown reaction
 claimed here.

 In Rossi's case, it is completely feasible to demonstrate the effect
 without any need for trust, and so here the fact that he doesn't makes it
 likely that he can't. Furthermore, the number of complicit people necessary
 is much, much smaller. In fact, it could be all delusion or incompetence
 (definitely not possible in the moon-landing).



 - how is Rossi trying to make money out of his wonderful, long,
 elaborate, hollywoodian scam? I already wrote a detailed post on that and
 got no reaction.



 Maybe you missed the cross-post of Krivit's comment on his latest post,
 where he spells it out pretty well. Briefly, entirely plausible,
 confidential, and substantial, investments.

 Or, for another clue, look at BLP and how their wonderful, long,
 elaborate, hollywoodian story, in which no product has ever been marketed,
 and in which promises have been repeatedly unfulfilled, has nevertheless
 earned them about $60M in investment.




 --
 Marcello Vitale
 via Cavallotti 5, 20093 Cologno Monzese, MI, ITALY
 phone: +39 338 484 9724
 skype: marcello_vitale_UK
 email: mvit...@ucsbalum.net



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Joshua Cude
On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 10:03 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.netwrote:

 There is the only problem with the investment story that it does not
 appear to be true. The only source of money Krivit cites is Ampenergo, that
 is Rossi himself.



That may be the only source that he claims succeeded, and I don't think we
know where Ampenergo might have got the money (private investors?), or how
much they gave him. But to explain Rossi's motivation, we don't need to
show that he got money, only how he intended (or intends) to get it. Not
all scams are successful, and this may be one that fails to fulfill Rossi's
hopes. He got lucky with Kullander and Essen, but he probably didn't
anticipate the level of scrutiny Krivit would put him under. Still, to read
the many people on these forums that are ready and willing to give him
money, based on the demos done so far, I expect he will be able to convert
some of the adoration and hero worship (some even evident on this list)
into cash. In any case, it's not implausible.


Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Terry Blanton
On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 11:09 AM, Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.com wrote:
 Ampenergo is owned by his wife.

No:

This was confirmed by Andrea Rossi’s wife, Maddalena Pascucci who is
a commerce graduate and manages the commercial part of the energy
catalyzer. Formally, the agreement was made between Praxen and the
Italian company EFA srl, of which she is principal owner.

http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3194216.ece

Ampenergo is owned by:

The founders of Ampenergo are Karl Norwood, Richard Noceti, Robert
Gentile and Craig Cassarino.

http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3179019.ece

You really should buy a program.  You can't tell the players without a program..

:-)

T



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence



On 11-11-16 10:43 AM, Joshua Cude wrote:



On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 9:16 AM, Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.net 
mailto:mvit...@ucsbalum.net wrote:



To the hard-core skeptics, two questions:

- did man actually set foot on the moon? Compare and contrast
level of proof.


I agree, the moon-landing requires some trust, because there is no way 
for us to witness it directly.


True, but not much.  Among other things, we can look at the photographs 
which were taken.  Some of them, particularly the slides which are still 
on file at NASA and which can be accessed by anyone with a good reason, 
and which have been scanned and are available online for the rest of us, 
would have been incredibly hard to fake with technology of that time.  
Frankly, I find it easier to understand how they could have physically 
gone to the Moon than to understand how they could have put that 
perfectly distorted reflection on the visor of the astronaut standing on 
the Moon's surface using the analog technology that was available to 
them.  Do *that* using physical lenses in a darkroom??  Good luck!


The best bit is the image of the Earth reflected in the visor.  It's not 
even visible in the published versions of the picture (like, in Life 
magazine, for instance) but it's there in the original.  And it's in the 
right place in the reflected sky.  Some trick!  Carving the backs of the 
gargoyles on Notre Dame is nothing compared to *that* level of attention 
to detail!


The videos are pretty interesting, also, even though the online versions 
are rather low resolution.  Note, for instance, how the dust falls all 
wrong when they race around on the little scooter.  Faking that would 
have been a challenge, to say the least, and it's not clear anyone would 
have noticed if they hadn't bothered with that little detail.  Again, if 
it's a fake, that's like carving the backs of the gargoyles, raised to 
the tenth power.





Or, for another clue, look at BLP and how their wonderful, long, 
elaborate, hollywoodian story, in which no product has ever been 
marketed, and in which promises have been repeatedly unfulfilled, has 
nevertheless earned them about $60M in investment.


Now, I'd agree that believing in BLP requires a certain level of trust



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Daniel Rocha
In any case, it doesn't make sense to call Ampenergo as one of the
(supposedly) scammed parts. The deal with AP was to sell the e-cat in the
name of AR's company, so they should actually be the front gate of a scam.

2011/11/16 Terry Blanton hohlr...@gmail.com

 On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 11:09 AM, Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.com
 wrote:
  Ampenergo is owned by his wife.

 No:

 This was confirmed by Andrea Rossi’s wife, Maddalena Pascucci who is
 a commerce graduate and manages the commercial part of the energy
 catalyzer. Formally, the agreement was made between Praxen and the
 Italian company EFA srl, of which she is principal owner.

 http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3194216.ece

 Ampenergo is owned by:

 The founders of Ampenergo are Karl Norwood, Richard Noceti, Robert
 Gentile and Craig Cassarino.

 http://www.nyteknik.se/nyheter/energi_miljo/energi/article3179019.ece

 You really should buy a program.  You can't tell the players without a
 program..

 :-)

 T




Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Mary Yugo
On Wed, Nov 16, 2011 at 8:45 AM, Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.comwrote:

 **
 Now, I'd agree that believing in BLP requires a certain level of trust


This string isn't about BLP but BLP has a lot of the hallmarks of a scam.
It could also be a delusion and I suppose there is a still a vanishingly
tiny chance it could be real.  There's more detail, writing papers, math,
and involvement by others including Rowan University in BLP than there is
in Rossi's story.  Mills could fix all his problems by closing the loop.
Show that the end result of the reaction can be returned to the input to
power the reaction.  Or in Mills' case, that you can make the magic powder
tested by Rowan cheaply.  Closing the loop is what free energy (or almost
free energy) advocates have, so far, *always* failed to do -- including
Rossi.


Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Jed Rothwell
Marcello Vitale mvit...@ucsbalum.net wrote:

The Wright brothers were certainly complicit in the lack of attention they
 received. Fearful of competitors stealing their ideas, and still without a
 patent, they flew on only one more day after October 5. From then on, they
 refused to fly anywhere unless they had a firm contract to sell their
 aircraft. They wrote to the U.S. government, then to Britain, France and
 Germany with an offer to sell a flying machine, but were rebuffed because
 they insisted on a signed contract before giving a demonstration.

This contract was similar to what Rossi is asking for, except there was no
escrow arrangement. The Wrights trusted national governments to pay
according to contract. What they demanded was:

The other party agreed to a price.

The other party set performance standards, subject to the Wrights'
agreement.

If the Wrights met the performance, the other party would  pay the agreed
amount.

This is an ordinary contract, and it would not normally be disputed, but
many people thought that airplanes were impossible so the national
governments hesitated to sign this agreement. Finally, thanks to Pres.
Roosevelt intervention, the U.S. Army agreed to it. No money was paid until
the Wrights demonstrated the airplane to the satisfaction of Army experts.

Rossi is asking for similar terms. Fraud is impossible under these
circumstances.

Many authors feel that the Wrights were complicit but I disagree. It is
true they kept a low profile. But I think this has been exaggerated. It was
exaggerated first by the Scientific American magazine which began attacking
the Wrights in 1906 and continued into the 21st century, most recently in
2003, publishing an article full of distortions and nonsense, try to
justify their own original attacks.

This is exaggerated for several reasons. First they got patent in 1906,
which is not a low profile act. Second, the British and French governments
sent agents to Dayton to meet with the Wrights. The Wrights showed them
documents proving they had flown, the agents were immediately convinced and
reported back to the governments that they should negotiate to buy
airplanes. Unfortunately for the Wrights, the British and French government
decided that it couldn't be that hard to build an airplane so they decided
to do it themselves rather than buy one from the Wrights.

The Wrights met with many other people and showed them documents,
photographs, and so on, and they published interviews and letters in
magazines.

Furthermore, they did not fly because flying was extremely dangerous. It
was not something you did on a whim. They had nearly been killed many times
in accidents. In 1908 Orville was nearly killed again and suffered the rest
of his life from his wounds. After 1909 I do not think they ever flew again.

My take on this is here:

http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJthewrightb.pdf


 They were unwilling even to show their photographs of the airborne Flyer.

This is nonsense. Many people, including the British and French government
agents saw the photographs and spoke with people who observed flights. The
Wrights had dozens of affidavits from leading citizens of Dayton attesting
that they had seen flights. They showed the affidavits to the agents and
invited them to speak with those people.

If the U.S. Army had sent agents to Dayton I am sure they would have been
convinced. The Army thought it was the Wright's job to convince *them*.
They did not bother to send anyone. Granted, the Wrights should have sent a
few photos to Washington. But they were so fed up with the officials after
years of getting the run-around, so they did not do this. Along similar
lines I have often asked leading cold fusion researchers to send some
photos or other evidence to high officials in the US government. They say
it is not worth bothering. They said they know they will be rejected out of
hand. Rossi says the same thing, and he may well be right.

If any magazine or newspaper had bothered to send a reporter to Dayton that
reporter would also have been convinced. No newspaper or magazine bothered
to send a reporter. Even the local newspapers did not bother to send
anyone. There was a streetcar line running next to the field where the
Wrights flew. People riding streetcars often saw them flying in circles.
The streetcar driver would stop to let the passengers watch. These people
often call the newspapers and asked why there was nothing about the
flights. Here is a wonderful description of what happened next, from the
authorized biography:


Dan Kumler . . . city editor Daily News, in Dayton, recalled in 1940 . . .
that many people who had been on interurban cars passing the Huffman field
and seen the Wrights in the air used to come to the Daily News office to
inquire why there was nothing in the paper about the flights.

Such callers, said Kumler, got to be a nuisance.

And why wasn’t there anything in the paper? Kumler was asked. [by the
author of the 

Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread Jed Rothwell
OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

Regarding the Right Brothers, when proof became irrefutable that
 their contraption could fly under power, how did some of the most
 ardent (and well known) skeptics deal with the news? I'm curious as to
 what kind of follow-up might have been performed on these individual. Were
 some interviewed and asked as to what they were thinking about when the
 news finally sunk in? Did they simply change their opinion and tehn get on
 with the rest of their lives, or did some come up with other interesting
  rationalizations to explain their prior POVs?


That is a very interesting question. The responses from three groups of
skeptics has been preserved in history books. You can probably find more in
original sources, such as books now available on Google. Anyway, the three
groups I have in mind were:

1. Scientists

2. Rival aviators

3. People in small cities and rural places who still didn't believe it.
This group went on disbelieving up to WWI.

The first group was scientists who thought they were experts. As I wrote in
my essay, they declared that a heavier-than-air flying machine was
physically impossible. It was an absurdity, a gross violation of the laws
of nature. This had been proved mathematically with 'unassailable logic' by
leading experts in physics, writing in distinguished journals and
magazines. These people did not say it is impossible to fly. Anyone could
see birds and insects can fly. They said that no man-made machine would
ever be larger than an insect. Some of them said that even if you manage to
fly there is no method of landing without smashing the machine. Others said
that no internal combustion engine will ever produce as a power to weight
ratio as good as the muscles of a bird. These statements were preposterous
but they were taken seriously in the mass media.

After the Wright brothers flew, most of these people shut up. One of the
most famous, Prof. Simon Newcomb, was contacted by reporters after the
Orville flew in Washington DC in 1908. The reporter asked if he thought
passenger planes would be the next step. Quoting the official biography,
p. 228:

No, Newcomb was reported to have replied, because no plane could ever
carry the weight of anyone besides the pilot. It might have been expected
that by this time professor Newcomb would have become more cautious!

A few days later Orville flew with a passenger, as he had done months
earlier -- a fact reported in many magazines.

History does not record what Newcomb said after that, but for many years
people opposed the development of aviation because they said it would it
would never become a practical means of transportation, it would always be
very dangerous, and it had no value for the military, in reconnaissance or
for any other purpose. They tried to prevent national armies from wasting
money on it. They successfully prevented the US army from developing
aviation before 1917. If they had also prevented the British and French
governments, the allies would have lost the war by 1916.

Rivals included the French aviators, A. G. Bell, Curtiss, Chanute and
others. Some were supportive of the Wrights all along. Others said the
Wrights' claims were exaggerated. The French were particularly sarcastic
until the day Wilbur flew in France. Most of them immediately admitted in
the national press that they had been wrong. They praised the Wrights to
the skies. F. Peyrey wrote: I shall try to give an idea of the
incomparable mastery of the American aviators in the marvelous art of
imitating the birds. For a long time -- for too long a time -- the Wright
brothers have been accused in Europe of bluffing; perhaps even in their own
land. Today they are hallowed by France, and I feel an intense pleasure in
counting myself among the first to make amends for such flagrant injustice
. . .

I predict that no opponent of cold fusion will ever say anything so nice.

Chanute -- who considered himself their mentor -- accused the Wrights of
tying to make money from their invention instead of giving it over to
society out of altruism. In the press Chanute modestly took credit for
their work. Their long friendship ended badly. It is difficult to
understand why he thought that two brothers who had worked night and day
for eight years, risked all their money, and were nearly killed a dozen
times should have handed over their invention for nothing. By the same
token I wonder why people nowadays think that although Rossi has worked for
15 years and often risked his life he should be kind enough to give us his
discovery for nothing, even though it is worth a trillion dollars. As I
said, I wish that such people would please send me a check for all the
money they have, as a favor, because I am such a nice person. A cashier's
check would be great. My address is 1954 Airport Rd.

Curtiss and others immediately began trying to prove that Langley had
actually flown before the Wrights, in order to break the 

RE: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-16 Thread OrionWorks - Steven Vincent Johnson
Jed,

Thank you for taking some time out to answer this query. A willingness to
share your knowledge of certain historical events is much appreciated.

Regarding Rossi, will history repeat itself, again? I suspect we must wait
for some more shoes to drop for the definitive answer. All I can say is that
from my perspective I do get the impression that a lot of shoes have already
have dropped. As such, I would be very reluctant to bet on a premise that
Rossi is a scammer. Such odds don't look good to me. ;-)

Regards,
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-15 Thread Marcello Vitale
from the wikipedia article about the Wright brothers.

about the first flight in 1903 The Wrights sent a telegram about the
flights to their father, requesting that he inform press. However,
the *Dayton
Journal* refused to publish the story, saying the flights were too short to
be important. Meanwhile, against the brothers' wishes, a telegraph operator
leaked their message to a Virginia newspaper, which concocted a highly
inaccurate news article

Later, in 1904  They invited reporters to their first flight attempt of
the year on May 23, on the condition that no photographs be taken. Engine
troubles and slack winds prevented any flying, and they could manage only a
very short hop a few days later with fewer reporters present. Some scholars
of the Wrights speculate the brothers may have intentionally failed to fly
in order to cause reporters to lose interest in their
experiments.[58]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers#cite_note-57Whether
that is true is not known, but after their poor showing local
newspapers virtually ignored them for the next year and a half.

Easy as pie, I see

later  A few newspapers published articles about the long flights, but no
reporters or photographers had been there. The lack of splashy eyewitness
press coverage was a major reason for disbelief in Washington, D.C. and
Europe and in journals like *Scientific American,* whose editors doubted
the alleged experiments and asked how U.S. newspapers, alert as they
are, allowed these sensational performances to escape their
notice.[65]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers#cite_note-66

The Wright brothers were certainly complicit in the lack of attention they
received. Fearful of competitors stealing their ideas, and still without a
patent, they flew on only one more day after October 5. From then on, they
refused to fly anywhere unless they had a firm contract to sell their
aircraft. They wrote to the U.S. government, then to Britain, France and
Germany with an offer to sell a flying machine, but were rebuffed because
they insisted on a signed contract before giving a demonstration. They were
unwilling even to show their photographs of the airborne Flyer. The
American military, having recently spent $50,000 on the Langley
Aerodromehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Langley_Aerodrome—a
product of the nation's foremost scientist—only to see it plunge twice into
the Potomac River like a handful of mortar, was particularly unreceptive
to the claims of two unknown bicycle makers from
Ohio.[66]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wright_brothers#cite_note-67Thus,
doubted or scorned, the Wright brothers continued their work in
semi-obscurity, while other aviation pioneers like Brazilian Alberto
Santos-Dumont http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alberto_Santos-Dumont, Henri
Farman http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henri_Farman, Leon
Delagrangehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leon_Delagrangeand American
Glenn
Curtiss http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glenn_Curtiss entered the limelight.


Gee, I guess their behavior seems highly suspicious :-)))



On Tue, Nov 15, 2011 at 5:34 AM, Joshua Cude joshua.c...@gmail.com wrote:



 On Mon, Nov 14, 2011 at 10:45 AM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson 
 svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

 Jed,

 Since you are a pretty decent historian on a number of events...

 Regarding the Right Brothers, when proof became irrefutable that their
 contraption could fly under power, how did some of the most ardent
 (and well known) skeptics deal with the news?


 I'm not Jed, and you've got the Rong brothers, but I can answer anyway.

 First of all, the scientific mainstream was not skeptical of powered
 flight, although there were some skeptics, most notably Lord Kelvin. The
 subject was treated with respect from before 1900 by journals like Science,
 Nature, and Scientific American. It was regarded by most scientists as
 inevitable, and in any case, could not be regarded as contrary to any
 physical principles or generalizations already accumulated and verified,
 because after all, birds are heavier than air. That's a difference compared
 to cold fusion.

 However, there was widespread skepticism of the Wright's claims of flights
 in 1904 and 1905 (and earlier) (especially in Europe), largely because of
 the Wrights' own restrictions on the press and photography. (Contrary to
 Rossi's secret sauce, the Wright's secrets could in fact be photographed.)
 It could have been resolved quickly, but the Wrights did not fly at all in
 1906 and 1907.

 In 1908, when they flew in France, it took 105 seconds for all skepticism
 to vanish. Wikipedia puts it like this:

 The Wright brothers catapulted to world fame overnight. Former doubters
 issued apologies and effusive praise. L'Aérophile editor Georges Besançon
 wrote that the flights have completely dissipated all doubts. Not one of
 the former detractors of the Wrights dare question, today, the previous
 experiments of the men who were truly the first to fly

 Producing heat is not quite as 

Re: [Vo]:When faced with reality

2011-11-14 Thread Joshua Cude
On Mon, Nov 14, 2011 at 10:45 AM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson 
svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

 Jed,

 Since you are a pretty decent historian on a number of events...

 Regarding the Right Brothers, when proof became irrefutable that their
 contraption could fly under power, how did some of the most ardent
 (and well known) skeptics deal with the news?


I'm not Jed, and you've got the Rong brothers, but I can answer anyway.

First of all, the scientific mainstream was not skeptical of powered
flight, although there were some skeptics, most notably Lord Kelvin. The
subject was treated with respect from before 1900 by journals like Science,
Nature, and Scientific American. It was regarded by most scientists as
inevitable, and in any case, could not be regarded as contrary to any
physical principles or generalizations already accumulated and verified,
because after all, birds are heavier than air. That's a difference compared
to cold fusion.

However, there was widespread skepticism of the Wright's claims of flights
in 1904 and 1905 (and earlier) (especially in Europe), largely because of
the Wrights' own restrictions on the press and photography. (Contrary to
Rossi's secret sauce, the Wright's secrets could in fact be photographed.)
It could have been resolved quickly, but the Wrights did not fly at all in
1906 and 1907.

In 1908, when they flew in France, it took 105 seconds for all skepticism
to vanish. Wikipedia puts it like this:

The Wright brothers catapulted to world fame overnight. Former doubters
issued apologies and effusive praise. L'Aérophile editor Georges Besançon
wrote that the flights have completely dissipated all doubts. Not one of
the former detractors of the Wrights dare question, today, the previous
experiments of the men who were truly the first to fly

Producing heat is not quite as obvious as powered flight, but it's close,
and a similarly convincing demo would be easy to design, if the claims were
real. Rossi's Kitty Hawk was in 2008, in his factory that was heated for 2
years by an ecat. Jan 2011 should have been his France demo, and he has had
a dozen of them this year, with invited press and scientists. But he has
not catapulted to fame, and skeptics have not capitulated.

Instead of setting up a demo like that of the Wright brothers in France
(which might involve heating an olympic pool without any input power, or
something), Rossi encloses his observers in a room without windows, and has
his associates read remote altimeters, and then he gives the observers a
scan of the paper where the altitude is written down. Is it any wonder,
 skeptics still are. When he flings the doors open, and lets the public see
the ecat soar, he will get his love.