[Vo]:Yes we darn well do know approximately what the flow rate was!

2011-11-10 Thread Jed Rothwell

Robert Leguillon wrote:

/snip/
  Heffner is saying that since the flow rate may not be 60 L in 4 hours it 
might be zero. That is preposterous.
/snip/
Because the flow rate was not at its max (it was sped up during quenching) and 
it decreases with back pressure (as demonstrated in the September test), we 
have no idea what the flow rate actually was.


THERE is where you are wrong. You go too far. No idea is an absurd 
overstatement. We have some idea. We know that the the vessel would have 
been empty if there had been no water flowing in. We can make a rough 
estimate of the lowest flow rate it might have been. A rough estimate 
is not the same as hand waving or guessing.


I do not understand why modern people are so unwilling to make a rough 
estimate, or a reality check. To go from the assertion that the flow 
rate was not at its max (perhaps . . .) to saying we have no idea is 
a ridiculous leap. It violates common sense, and natural science 
observational techniques. You can always make a reasonable estimate 
based on observable and irrefutable facts. There was definitely water 
coming out. It was measured often enough and observed and filmed often 
enough that we know approximately what the outgoing flow rate was. There 
was definitely water left in the vessel after the test. That can only be 
explained by additional tap water flowing in, unless you think water 
spontaneously appears out of nowhere, or mass is not conserved.


As I said in my parable, just because you do not know whether the 
airplane is at 600 feet or 1000 feet, that does not mean you have proved 
it is on the ground.


Honestly, how do you think people managed to survive for hundreds of 
thousands of years before numbers and instruments and modern science 
were developed?!? Do you think they had no clue what was going on in the 
world around them? No idea whether water was flowing in a stream, no 
clue at all whether an object was too hot to touch or stone cold? Visual 
observations of natural events and first principles are a valid way of 
doing science, even with no instruments at all.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:Yes we darn well do know approximately what the flow rate was!

2011-11-10 Thread Robert Leguillon
Maybe I'd overlooked this, when did they measure and film the outpouring water? 
I thought that it was twice during the entire demo - once while it was running, 
and once during quenching, no? 

Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

Robert Leguillon wrote:
 /snip/
   Heffner is saying that since the flow rate may not be 60 L in 4 hours it 
 might be zero. That is preposterous.
 /snip/
 Because the flow rate was not at its max (it was sped up during quenching) 
 and it decreases with back pressure (as demonstrated in the September test), 
 we have no idea what the flow rate actually was.

THERE is where you are wrong. You go too far. No idea is an absurd 
overstatement. We have some idea. We know that the the vessel would have 
been empty if there had been no water flowing in. We can make a rough 
estimate of the lowest flow rate it might have been. A rough estimate 
is not the same as hand waving or guessing.

I do not understand why modern people are so unwilling to make a rough 
estimate, or a reality check. To go from the assertion that the flow 
rate was not at its max (perhaps . . .) to saying we have no idea is 
a ridiculous leap. It violates common sense, and natural science 
observational techniques. You can always make a reasonable estimate 
based on observable and irrefutable facts. There was definitely water 
coming out. It was measured often enough and observed and filmed often 
enough that we know approximately what the outgoing flow rate was. There 
was definitely water left in the vessel after the test. That can only be 
explained by additional tap water flowing in, unless you think water 
spontaneously appears out of nowhere, or mass is not conserved.

As I said in my parable, just because you do not know whether the 
airplane is at 600 feet or 1000 feet, that does not mean you have proved 
it is on the ground.

Honestly, how do you think people managed to survive for hundreds of 
thousands of years before numbers and instruments and modern science 
were developed?!? Do you think they had no clue what was going on in the 
world around them? No idea whether water was flowing in a stream, no 
clue at all whether an object was too hot to touch or stone cold? Visual 
observations of natural events and first principles are a valid way of 
doing science, even with no instruments at all.

- Jed




Re: [Vo]:Yes we darn well do know approximately what the flow rate was!

2011-11-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
Robert Leguillon robert.leguil...@hotmail.com wrote:

Maybe I'd overlooked this, when did they measure and film the outpouring
 water?


Yes, many people saw the water and bubbles moving through the hose.

FURTHERMORE, we know with certainty that there was steam or hot water
coming out of the reactor into the heat exchanger, because if there had not
been, the temperature sensors would have fallen to tap water temperature.
We saw that during the first two hours of the test. Nothing came out of the
reactor, and both cooling loop thermocouples registered tap water
temperature.

Something had to be coming out of the reactor the entire time. It had to be
coming out at a flow rate large enough to deliver lots of heat to those
thermocouples.

Some people say the thermocouples were poorly placed. I do not think this
made any significant difference but suppose it did. We still know that
those thermocouples were registering a real temperature rise, and --
to reiterate -- we saw in the first two hours they would have registered
nothing only tap water temperatures if flow rate had dropped to zero.

I believe I mentioned this a couple of times. This is the kind of
observation people should bear in mind.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Yes we darn well do know approximately what the flow rate was!

2011-11-10 Thread Jed Rothwell
I wrote:

Something had to be coming out of the reactor the entire time. It had to be
 coming out at a flow rate large enough to deliver lots of heat to those
 thermocouples.


We also know from Lewan's log that he measured the flow rate at the time
when the flow rate was lowest. He measured 0.9 ml/s. It had to be higher
for the entire rest of the run.

We know this because it was delivering the lowest amount of heat to the
thermocouples at that time. He just happened to measure it when the power
was down to around 3 kW nominally, which was the lowest it got during the
self-sustaining event.

However badly placed the thermocouples were, they reflected the actual
temperature in a linear fashion. They had to; the temperature of the fluid
coming into the heat exchanger hardly varied. It was ~103°C, plus or minus
a tad. A fixed bias will not produce random variations. When the outlet
thermocouple temperature rose, that definitely meant the temperature rose;
the only thing disputed is how much it actually rose. There is no doubt it
was a the lowest point right when Lewan measured 0.9 ml/s.

Since the temperature was stable at ~103°C, that means pressure did not
vary much. Steam from boiling water does not get any hotter at one pressure
setting. As the power goes up you get more coming out of the reactor. The
flow rate increases. That's the only way the cooling loop output
thermocouple could get hotter. So the flow was greater than 0.9 ml/s the
whole time. I suppose it was ~8 ml/s on average, as Rossi claimed.

- Jed