It's already a great day in the professional graphics world...
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-john
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, February 11, 2005 5:28 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: OFF TOPIC N.Y. Times offers bad advice to HP
From Jed:
...
I depend upon paper printouts quite a bit, but I recently
added a second screen to my computer -- a 19 flat panel.
It reduces the use of paper because I can compare full-
page documents side-by-side. Sooner or later, someone
will build an e-book style e-printer the takes output
to a printer port and displays it on a 20 flat panel
that lies on your desk (horizontal and flat!) and does
nothing but flip back and forth between pages and page
thumbnails. That will eliminate maybe half of the
printer market
I use a dual monitor system as well - a 20 and a 19 monitor to help me
create my digital art. I would never go back to a mono-monitor system! At
present most graphic artists are forced to rely on huge bulky CRTs as they
are the only reasonably priced devices available in the market capable of
producing accurate colors. It will be a great day in the professional
illustration world when equivalent sized flat screen monitors are capable of
generating the same specs that most high-end 20+ inch CRT monitors currently
display. I also won't have to worry about rupturing myself every time I'm
forced to move one of these horrid monsters.
I agree with Jed that it's only a matter of time before conveniently priced
20-inch flat screen e-books make it to the market. Personally, I think it's
possible within the next 5 - 10 years. I suspect the biggest obstacle will
be the price however.
The printer market is not the only industry that stands to experience major
disruptions in sales.
I suspect it has already been predicted by a slew of visionaries that when
large full-color 20 sized e-books are eventually massed produced at
reasonable prices it is likely to be disruptive in many corners of the
publishing industry. I suspect the key to its success really comes down to
when the population starts using flat screen e-books as the PREFERRED way to
read most of their literature for both at work and at home. When that
transition occurs the traditional publishing industry will be forced to
rethink many of their current business models. Their markets may be reduced
to generating quaint coffee table books printed on acid-free paper, or large
atlas-sized maps, and Thomas Kinkade (Ugh!) calendars. Come to think of it,
a nice twenty pound coffee table photo book of the solar system complete
with the latest robotic rover images would look nifty placed next to my set
of Encyclopedia Britanicas.
The good and the bad in all of this is that anybody and everyone will be
capable of publishing the best and worst American novel (and art books
too!). The information glut is likely to only intensify. The playing field
will be leveled even more than it is today. As for those rare writers and
artists that are deservedly capable of turning pro, the collection of
royalties through electronic distribution could be a real nightmare
considering all the bootlegging that goes on today. Hopefully this will be
worked out.
But Jed, don't stop there. The ENTIRE SURFACE OF MY DESK should eventually
be converted into flat screen display. This would allow me to shuffle
documents whether and neither. IMHO, an Ideal office desk would consist of
the entire surface of a desktop converted into a display screen ALONG WITH
an equivalent sized vertical flat display behind the desk as well.
I think Robert Heinlein already envisioned an equivalent desk top concept
decades ago in one of his classic novels A Door into Summer.
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
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