Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-10 Thread Bryan D Caplan
jsamples wrote: Bryan, Why probably? No disparagement of Cato intended, but policy analyses are not generally on the same level as academic articles. Especially for complex questions like the effect of voter initiatives, where economic theory provides little guidance. --

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread Robin Hanson
Bryan Caplan wrote: Yes, I think: people are basically afraid of someone taking their kids, and people are not in fact very comfortable with trans-racial adoption. But when people hear about kids being sent back to abusive natural parents, do they really say/think It's unfortunate, but on

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread Bryan Caplan
Fred Foldvary wrote: --- Bryan Caplan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I'm highly dissatisfied with interest group explanations. Simple reason: Most of the policies traditionally blamed on interest groups are in fact *popular*. Adoption laws seem like a case where existing policies are not

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
You are misinterpreting the function of these little issues. Little issues don't build up. Little issues tend to be signals to certain constituencies. For example, nobody has ever lost the vote due to rap music, but Clinton in 1992 signalled to many in the democratic party that he wouldn't be

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread James Haney
I suspect interracial adoption may have an asymmetry in the intensity of public opinion. Those of us who feel that interracial adoption is no big deal are probably less passionate than those who are troubled by it. James

RE: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread jsamples
Bryan, Why probably? John Samples Cato Institute -Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Bryan Caplan Sent: Tuesday, January 08, 2002 11:44 AM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law Fred Foldvary wrote

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-08 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
Build-up has two meanings in this context. 1)Politicians could send a series of signals to win small groups of voters. 2) Politicians could send a series of signals to large group of voters who need repeated re-assurances that the politician really means what he says. Ie, build up of votes vs.

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-07 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
I think the median voter has the following preferences concerning adoption: same race parents parents different race no adoption. Bryan's point is that adoption workers seem to prefer: same race parents no adoption parents different race. The MVT would predict otherwise. I claim that

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-07 Thread Bryan Caplan
Fred Foldvary wrote: The median voter theroem is not supposed to explain all legislation, since public choice theory also states that there will be rent seeking and privelege seeking by concentrated interests at the expense of the general public. I'm highly dissatisfied with interest

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-07 Thread Bryan Caplan
Robin Hanson wrote: Yes, I think: people are basically afraid of someone taking their kids, and people are not in fact very comfortable with trans-racial adoption. But when people hear about kids being sent back to abusive natural parents, do they really say/think It's unfortunate, but on

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-07 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Bryan Caplan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I'm highly dissatisfied with interest group explanations. Simple reason: Most of the policies traditionally blamed on interest groups are in fact *popular*. Adoption laws seem like a case where existing policies are not popular, though perhaps I'm

Re: The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-07 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
fabio guillermo rojas wrote: I don't think you should focus so much on the median voter theorem. The logic of median voter theorems is that politicians offer policies that closely resemble the median voter's desires. This assumes that politicians have direct influence over the

The Median Voter Theorem and Adoption Law

2002-01-06 Thread Bryan D Caplan
Two weeks ago there was a John Stossel special on adoption. Does the median voter really want the system we have, where basketcase biological parents can take their crying offspring away from impeccable adoptive parents? How about the de facto efforts to avoid trans-racial adoption? Etc.? I