Let me make five assumptions about friends and enemies:
   * How much people like or hate you depends on their estimates of your
features.
   * You don't know who likes or hates what bundles of features, so you
don't know who will like or hate the things they learn about you.
   * Whether you are above or below certain friend and enemy thresholds
matters more than how far above or below those thresholds you are.
   * You can do certain things to reveal more or less about yourself to
people.
   * Strangers start out giving you a middle estimate, of neither a friend
nor an enemy.
What do these assumptions imply?  As you reveal more to strangers, the
distribution of their evaluations spreads out, some moving up toward
friends, others down toward enemies. You want to reveal more to potential
friends in the hope that some of them will rise above the friend threshold,
but you do not want to reveal to potential enemies, for fear they will fall
below the enemy threshold. Once people do cross these thresholds, however,
your preferences about revelation switch. You want to stop revealing things
to confirmed friends, for fear of losing them, and you want to reveal more
to confirmed enemies, in the hope of winning them back.

So when looking for someone to marry, you'll want to open yourself to
people.  And to help this process, you'll want to learn about yourself.
Once you are married with children, however, you will not want to learn or
reveal more about yourself. Similarly, when searching for a new career or
entry level job, you'll want to reveal yourself, but once tied to a career
or workplace, you will not want to learn or reveal more. When moving to a
new neighborhood you'll ponder what you really want, but once you live
there you will not want reveal too much to neighbors, or think too
carefully about how much you like them.

This might help explain standard life cycles in openness and
conformity.  The young discover and celebrate their passions and uniqueness
with acquaintances, but not so much with old friends.  The old prefer
stability and conformity to community, and reveal and discover the most
with strangers or adversaries. To the young the old seem boring and
conformist, while to the old the young seem lonely and flighty. The young
and the old can really be the same sort of people, but in different
circumstances.

Updates to my thoughts on this will be found at:
http://hanson.gmu.edu/openhide.html


Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

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