-Caveat Lector-

In response to an email received from a group called Internet Democrats,
about the need to take the nuclear weapons off the hair-trigger, I posted
the following.  The website where the history of the Club of Rome appears is
http://www.clubofrome.org/frames.htm


Dear Jim:

I suggest you check into some of these organizations before you start
promoting their work to fellow Democrats in this country.  At least one of
them is supported by the elite families of the world who are currently
researching ways to control growth in their own favor, which to me spells
controlled genocide.  Democrats have to stop reacting to their feelings
about what "feels good" and start doing some intellectual research into
supposedly benevolent organizations and who created them, and for what
purpose.
One of the organizations supporting this "de-alert" initiative is called
GRACE.  From its website I pulled up the following:



52 of the world's 100 largest economies are corporations; only 48 are
countries.


A U.S. government-funded study found that since the financial crisis began
in Indonesia, industrial production fell 15% while industrial pollution rose
18%. Industry is polluting more to produce less.

   The world's 447 billionaires have wealth equal to 2,500,000,000 of the
world's people.

  The 100 largest corporate foreign investors own 20% of all foreign
investments.


Corporate Accountability

Profit-driven interests of corporations often outweigh the health and
well-being of individuals. Companies are rarely, if ever, held accountable
for polluting the environment or for their misuse of natural resources.

GRACE advocates and supports a wider use of the Precautionary Principle,
which urges that no harm be done to the environment and that Ecological
Economics, a more valid measurement which factors in the costs of industrial
production to the environment and public health, be employed.

Below are resources for understanding how to promote corporate
accountability.

Innovative Thinking

Beyond Greening: Strategies for a Sustainable World, Stuart Hart, Harvard
Business Review
Three stages of environmental strategy -- pollution prevention, product
stewardship, and clean technology -- are imperative in sustainable
development.

The Club of Rome
A resource center and think tank made up of scientists, economists,
businessmen,and government officials - including current and former Heads of
State. The Club works to promote the positive aspects and new opportunities
offered by our emerging global society.

>>>The following from the blue-line link:

The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
1 / 10 : Beginnings
A novelist would probably reject the contacts and encounters that led up to
the creation of the Club of Rome as too improbable for a good story. An
Italian industrialist who has spent much of his working life in China and
Latin America meets, via a Russian (although this is at the height of the
Cold War), a top international scientific civil servant, Scots by birth and
now living in Paris. They find they share similar concerns, become friends,
decide to draw others (American, Austrian, British, Danish, French) into
their discussions. Unfortunately, the first proper meeting of this group, in
Rome in Spring 1968, is a total flop but a handful of die-hards carry on,
and within a few years millions of people all round the world are talking
about their ideas.

However unlikely, that is roughly the way the Club of Rome began. It could
so easily never have happened — because the protagonists might never have
met, or they might well have given up after the failure of that first
meeting. That the Club was in fact founded and flourished undoubtedly owed
much to the personalities and experience of the two main characters in the
story.  Aurelio Peccei, the Italian, and Alexander King, the Scot, both had
excellent — though very different — vantage points in the mid 1960s to
observe the problems emerging in the world; both were worried by what they
saw but their capacity to act on their knowledge was limited by their
positions. Naturally, they were on the look-out for like-minded people and
for ways of taking their ideas further.

Aurelio Peccei had trained as an economist and was sent to China by Fiat in
1935. After the war, spent in the resistance and in prison, he returned to
Fiat, first helping to get the group back on its feet and then, in 1949, as
head of its Latin American operations. He quickly realised that it would
make sense to start manufacturing locally and set up the Argentine
subsidiary, Fiat-Concord. In 1957 he was delighted to be asked to create and
run Italconsult (a para-public joint consultancy venture involving major
Italian firms such as Fiat, Innocenti, Montecatini), seeing this as a way of
helping to tackle the problems of the Third World which he had come to know
first-hand. But Peccei was not content merely with the substantial
achievements of Italconsult, or his responsibilities as President of
Olivetti, and threw his energies into other organisations as well, including
ADELA, an international consortium of bankers aimed at supporting
industrialisation in Latin America. He was asked to give the keynote speech
in Spanish at the group's first meeting in 1965, which is where the series
of coincidences leading to the creation of the Club of Rome began.

Peccei's speech caught the attention of Dean Rusk, then American Secretary
of State, and he had it translated into English and distributed at various
meetings in Washington. A Soviet representative at the annual meeting of
ACAST (the U.N. Advisory Committee on Science and Technology), Jermen
Gvishiani, read the speech and was so taken by it that he decided he should
invite the author to come for private discussions, outside Moscow. Gvishiani
therefore asked an American colleague on ACAST, Carroll Wilson, about
Peccei. Wilson did not know Peccei, but he and Gvishiani both knew Alexander
King, by then head of the Scientific Affairs directorate of the OECD in
Paris, so Wilson appealed to him for information.

As it happened, King did not know Peccei, but he was equally impressed by
the ADELA paper and tracked down its author via the Italian Embassy in
Paris. King wrote to Peccei, passing on Gvishiani's address and wish to
invite him to the Soviet Union, but also congratulating him on his paper and
suggesting that they might meet some time as they obviously shared similar
concerns.

While Aurelio Peccei had been working as an industrial manager in the Third
World, Alexander King had been pursuing his career as a national and
international civil servant in the very different setting of the
industrialised countries. He had studied chemistry at the universities of
London and Munich, then taught and carried out some important research at
Imperial College, London. The war took him to the United States, where he
was scientific attaché at the British Embassy in Washington until 1947,
concerned with "everything from penicillin to the bomb". His experience
there and in his next jobs — with the Department of Scientific and
Industrial Research in London and then the European Productivity Agency in
Paris — gave him the interest in the interactions between science, industry
and society as well as the expertise in science policy matters that he was
to need in his work at the OECD.

King has described the OECD in the 1960s as "a kind of temple of growth for
industrialised countries — growth for growth's sake was what mattered". This
veneration of growth, with little concern for the long-term consequences,
worried King and Torkil Kristensen, the Secretary General of the OECD. They
both felt that there ought to be some sort of independent body which could
ask awkward questions and try to encourage governments to look further ahead
than they normally did. As international civil servants, however, they felt
limited in what they could do — at which point, Peccei telephoned King and
they arranged to have lunch.

The two men got on extremely well from the very outset. They met several
times in the latter part of 1967/early 1968, and then decided that they had
to do something constructive to encourage longer-range thinking among
Western European governments. Peccei accordingly persuaded the Agnelli
Foundation to fund a two-day brainstorming meeting of about 30 European
economists and scientists at the Accademia dei Lincei in Rome in April 1968.

To launch the discussion, King asked one of his colleagues from the OECD,
Erich Jantsch, to present a paper. Unfortunately for the success of the
meeting, Jantsch produced a brilliant but far too sophisticated paper on
economic and technological forecasting which bewildered rather than
stimulated the audience. In addition, the Vietnam war had made people very
anti-American and therefore hostile to what were perceived as American
techniques, such as systems analysis. The debate degenerated into arguments
about semantics, many of the participants were either sceptical about the
methodology or simply unwilling to become involved in a shaky joint
enterprise, and the meeting ended in fiasco.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
2 / 10 : The Club takes shape
Half a dozen recalcitrants, however, refused to admit defeat. Peccei, King,
Jantsch, Hugo Thiemann, Jean Saint-Geours and Max Kohnstamm had dinner
together that night to discuss what had gone wrong and what to do next. King
and Peccei agreed at once that they had been "too foolish, naive and
impatient" and that they simply did not know enough about the subject they
were tackling. The group therefore decided that they should spend the next
year or so in mutual education, discussing world problems among themselves
and occasionally inviting others to join in.

According to Alexander King, within an hour they had decided to call
themselves "The Club of Rome" and had defined the three major concepts that
have formed the Club's thinking ever since: a global perspective, the long
term, and the cluster of intertwined problems they called "the
problematique". Although the Rome meeting had been convened with just
Western Europe in mind, the group realised that they were dealing with
problems of much larger scale and complexity: in short, "the predicament of
mankind". The notion of problematique excited some because it seemed
applicable at a universal level, but worried others, who felt that the
approach was valid only for smaller entities such as a city or community.
Saint-Geours and Kohnstamm therefore soon dropped out, leaving the others to
pursue their informal programme of learning and debate.

The Club initially had no legal form or membership. The group met quite
frequently over the following 18 months, often in Geneva, to discuss aspects
of the human predicament. Peccei brought in an economist and futurologist
named Hasan Ozbekhan, a Turk educated at the London School of Economics and
currently running a California think-tank, who shared the group's concerns
and thought he might be able to help them to find some way of looking at the
interaction of the various elements in the problematique.

Jantsch and Ozbekhan were invited to the European Summer University at
Alpbach in Austria in September 1969 for a seminar on the human predicament,
and Peccei and King went along to support them. The Alpbach meeting was
significant for two reasons. First, that was where the German Eduard Pestel
joined the group. Second, the Austrian Chancellor paid a visit to the ESU
and encountered the Club members one evening at dinner, where they were
talking about their ideas. He was struck by the fact that these were the
sorts of issues his Ministers should be discussing together but were not, so
he invited them to come to address the cabinet in Vienna in a month's time.
The aim of "pricking" governments, which had rather fallen into abeyance,
was thus revived at the request of a government!

In due course King, Peccei, Jantsch, Thiemann, Kristensen (now retired) and
Gvishiani went to Vienna. They met with the Austrian cabinet and later with
a group of industrialists and bankers, all of whom urged them to "go public"
as they could be useful. This was just the first of many meetings with heads
of state during the next couple of years.

Meanwhile, many more members were being recruited and it became clear that a
slightly more formal organisation was needed. Alexander King, as the "keeper
of the ideology" from the outset, was inspired by the model of the Lunar
Society of Birmingham: a group of independent-minded people (such as
Wedgwood the potter, James Watt, Priestley the discoverer of oxygen, Erasmus
Darwin) who dined together once a month towards the end of the 18th century
and discussed the promises and problems offered by contemporary developments
in science and industry. The Lunatics, as William Blake called them
disparagingly, had no political power or ambitions, but they could see the
interconnections between all that was happening around them and the
potential for changing the nature of society. No bureaucracy, just thinking
and doing.

Eventually the Club did have to draw up some statutes and choose a President
(Aurelio Peccei), but that was all. It was decided to limit the membership
to 100 because it was feared that larger numbers would become unmanageable
and would necessitate a paid secretariat, hence all the usual paraphernalia
of finance committees, etc. that they hoped to avoid. So that the Club
should be seen to be entirely independent, financial support would not be
sought or accepted from governments or industry. For the same reason, there
should be no political affiliations or appointments — members appointed to
political positions were expected to become sleeping members while in office
(this happened, for example, for Okita and Pestel). Otherwise the membership
should range as widely as possible, in terms of expertise and geography. A
concern with the problematique, and the need to delineate it and understand
its nature, was the main requirement for membership, irrespective of
political ideology.

The Club saw itself, as indeed it still does, as "a group of world citizens,
sharing a common concern for the future of humanity and acting as a catalyst
to stimulate public debate, to sponsor investigations and analyses of the
problematique and to bring these to the attention of decision makers".

      The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
3 / 10 : The search for a methodology
By the time of the first major meeting of the Club in Berne in June 1970 (at
the invitation of the Swiss government), there were about 40 members.
Ozbekhan presented a paper proposing a methodology for coming to grips with
the predicament of mankind: they should set up a fairly basic model of the
global situation; establish empirically a list of "continuing critical
problems"; then simulate the interactions within the system under different
conditions. The results would provide a more concrete basis for evaluating
possible policy options and offering advice to governments. The paper
provoked a heated debate, with strongly held views on both sides. The
majority ultimately decided that it would take too long and cost too much to
develop the Ozbekhan model to the point where it would produce useful
results.

Once again, the enterprise might have foundered; but once again, a deus ex
machina  appeared, this time in the shape of Professor Jay Forrester of MIT,
who had been invited to the meeting. For thirty years he had been working on
the problem of developing mathematical models that could be applied to
complex, dynamic situations such as economic and urban growth. His offer to
adapt his well-tried dynamic model to handle global issues was gratefully
accepted, and the way ahead suddenly seemed less uncertain. A fortnight
later, a group of Club members visited Forrester at MIT and were convinced
that the model could be made to work for the kind of global problems which
interested the Club. An agreement was signed with a research team at MIT in
July 1970, the finance provided by a grant of $200 000 that Pestel had
obtained from the Volkswagen Foundation.

The team was made up of 17 researchers from a wide range of disciplines and
countries, led by Dennis Meadows. From their base at the Systems Dynamics
Group at MIT they assembled vast quantities of data from around the world to
feed into the model, focusing on five main variables: investment,
population, pollution, natural resources and food. The dynamic model would
then examine the interactions among these variables and the trends in the
system as a whole over the next 10, 20, 50 years or more if present growth
rates were maintained. The global approach was quite deliberate; regional
and area studies could come later.

In a remarkably short time, the team produced its report in 1972: The Limits
to Growth, written.very readably for a non-specialist audience by Donella
Meadows. The response to the book — in all 12 million copies have been sold,
translated into 37 languages — showed how many people in every continent
were concerned about the predicament of mankind. "The Club of Rome" had
begun to make its mark, as its founders had hoped, on the whole world.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
4 / 10 : Limits to Growth  and other studies
Before the final publication, Peccei circulated a draft to leading
economists and politicians, hoping for some response, but received none.
There was no shortage of reactions, however, once the book was out.

When the results were presented to the Club, some members had strong
reservations, especially about the lack of an adequate social dimension or
of any regional breakdown differentiating between the industrialised
countries and developing world. Such disagreement was entirely natural,
given the diverse views within the Club. Indeed, this was why Limits to
Growth, like the subsequent studies, was a Report to rather than by the Club
of Rome, prepared by reputable academics for the very purpose of stimulating
debate. It was not meant to be a statement of the Club's credo, but a first
hesitant step towards a new understanding of the world.

Limits to Growth  was discussed in hundreds of seminars, round tables,
newspaper articles, radio and television programmes. Quite wrongly, the
Report tended to be perceived as presenting an inescapable scenario for the
future, and the Club was assumed to be in favour of zero economic growth. In
fact the projection of trends and the analysis of their cross impacts were
intended to highlight the risks of a blind pursuit of growth in the
industrialised countries, and to induce changes in prevailing attitudes and
policies so that the projected consequences should not materialise.

In general, the main academic criticisms — to simplify complex arguments
drastically — came from economists, who felt that the study failed to take
sufficient account of the price mechanism, and from scientists, who thought
it neglected the capacity of scientific and technological innovation to
solve the world's problems. A particularly thorough critique was undertaken
by the recently founded Science Policy Research Unit at the University of
Sussex.

The Report broke new ground in a number of ways. For one thing, it was the
first time that a global model had been commissioned by an independent body
rather than a government or United Nations agency, and its findings were
intended to reach a wider public than the usual limited audience of
academics. More importantly for the future, it was the first to make an
explicit link between economic growth and the consequences for the
environment. Whatever its shortcomings, Limits to Growth set the frame of
reference for the debate on the pros and cons of growth, as well as for
subsequent efforts in global modelling.

Eduard Pestel was one of those deeply concerned about the undifferentiated
global approach adopted in Limits to Growth. As a professional systems
analyst — he had established his own Institute for Systems Analysis in
Hannover in 1971 — he was the obvious person to produce a better one.
Accordingly, even before the Meadows Report was published, he and Mihajlo
Mesarovic of Case Western Reserve University had begun work on a far more
elaborate model (it distinguished ten world regions and involved 200 000
equations compared with 1000 in the Meadows model). The research had the
full support of the Club and the final publication, Mankind at the Turning
Point, was accepted as an official Report to the Club of Rome in 1974. In
addition to providing a more refined regional breakdown, Pestel and
Mesarovic had succeeded in integrating social as well as technical data. The
Report was less readable than Limits to Growth  and did not make the same
impact on the general public, but it  was well received in Germany and
France, in particular.

Several other studies were undertaken in the early 1970s to improve upon
Limits to Growth, with varying degrees of support from the Club. Reflecting
general criticism from the Third World, a Latin American model was developed
by the Bariloche Institute in Argentina; the Club helped to find funding for
the project but did not give its imprimatur to the final report (A.O.
Herrera et al., Catastrophe or New Society?, 1976). Another regional model,
FUGI, was launched by Yoichi Kaya to examine Japan and the Pacific; it was
sponsored by MITI and not by the Club.

With the idea of giving greater stress to the human dimension, Peccei
approached the Dutch economist Jan Tinbergen and proposed a study of the
likely impact of a doubling of the population on the global community.
Tinbergen and his colleague Hans Linnemann came to the conclusion, however,
that the topic was unmanageably large and decided to focus on the problems
of "Food for a Doubling World Population". When this was put to the Club,
Peccei and others disagreed strongly, feeling that other aspects such as
strains on housing, urban infrastructure, employment, etc. should not be
ignored. Ultimately Linnemann and his group pursued their research with
funds they had already mobilised in the Netherlands and published their
results independently (MOIRA — Model of International  Relations in
Agriculture, 1979), not as a Report to the Club of Rome.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
5 / 10 : The early 1970s: high visibility
The immediate consequences of the tremendous public interest in Limits to
Growth were that the Club enjoyed excellent coverage in the media and it was
much easier to gain access to influential people. Peccei was keen to build
on this strong position and initiate further projects. It was a period of
great expectations, apparently propitious for influencing both policymakers
and public opinion.

The new phase of activities was discussed at the Tokyo Conference in October
1973 on "Toward a Global Vision of Human Problems". Preliminary
presentations were made of the Latin American, FUGI, Mesarovic and Pestel,
and MOIRA models, as well as reports by a CoR group working on energy,
resources and technological change (later published as Beyond the Age of
Waste), of a Dutch group on the implications of the findings of Limits to
Growth for the Netherlands, and of a group from the Battelle Institute on
efforts to apply the Delphi method to macroeconomic decisionmaking. The Club
had come a long way from the disastrous Rome meeting five years before.
However, another event in the same month fundamentally altered everyone's
awareness of problems of scarcity and of power relations: the OPEC meeting
which heralded the first oil shock. The framework of discussion changed
radically, at least for a while, and the Club was to become involved in the
UN debate on the New International Economic Order (NIEO).

Lest it appear that the Club was devoting all its energies to academic
modelling projects, another series of meetings should be mentioned that
reveals the other strand of its activities. Peccei persuaded the Austrian
Chancellor, Bruno Kreisky, to host a meeting in February 1974 on North-South
problems which brought together six other heads of state or government (from
Canada, Mexico, the Netherlands, Senegal, Sweden and Switzerland), senior
representatives of three others (Algeria, the Republic of Ireland and
Pakistan) and ten members of the CoR Executive Committee. Peccei
deliberately did not invite any of the major European powers, the USA or the
USSR so as to prevent the debate turning into a forum for national or
ideological position statements. To encourage the participants to speak
freely, they were asked to come without accompanying civil servants and
assured that nothing they said would be attributed to them. The two-day
private brainstorming meeting ended with a press conference for 300
journalists and the CoR Executive Committee members issued their "Salzburg
Statement", which emphasised that the oil crisis was simply part of the
whole complex of global problems; the nine recommendations related to many
of the issues covered in the NIEO.

As a logical extension of the Salzburg meeting, Peccei asked Jan Tinbergen
to produce a follow-up report on global food and development policies,
exploring these aspects much more thoroughly than the coverage in Limits to
Growth. It seemed a propitious moment to promote thinking on the global
problematique and international co-operation as the oil crisis made people
recognise how interdependent the world had become. Scholars from the First,
Second and Third Worlds were invited to participate in the RIO project
(Reshaping the International Order), but only Poland and Bulgaria accepted
from the Communist bloc. The basic thesis was that the gap between rich and
poor countries (with the wealthiest roughly 13 times richer than the
poorest) was intolerable and the situation was inherently unstable. What
would be required to reduce the gap to 6:1 over 15 to 30 years? (Though
still large, this ratio seemed the lowest that could be realistically
proposed.) Unlike Limits to Growth the model allowed the developing
countries 5% growth per annum, whereas the industrialised countries would
have zero or negative growth; all, however, would benefit from more sensible

use of energy and other resources and a more equitable distribution of
global wealth. The main Report argued that people in the rich countries
would have to change their patterns of consumption and accept lower profits,
but a dissenting group saw consumption as a symptom rather than a cause of
the problems, which stemmed rather from the fundamental power structure.

After numerous working sessions and presentations at CoR and other meetings
over an 18-month period, the final results of RIO were presented at a
meeting in Algiers in October 1976 and accepted as a Report to the Club of
Rome. Despite being stronger on policy than Limits to Growth, it did not
have the hoped-for impact, perhaps because the worst effects of the oil
shock were over and the First World was much less receptive to appeals for
self-denial and greater co-operation.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
6 / 10 : 1976-1984: doldrums
The response to the RIO study was discouraging, and the other publications
that appeared in the 1970s and early 1980s fared little better, achieving
respectable but unremarkable sales and publicity. (The possible exception
was Microelectronics and Society, which did well especially in Germany.) It
became clear that, in the current climate, it would be difficult to attract
sponsors for major meetings and research projects, and academics might be
less interested in undertaking them for the Club. The whole business of
modelling had become far more sophisticated, so that the Club was no longer
well placed to make an innovative contribution; in any case, the public had
become sceptical since nobody had forecast the oil shock. Consequently the
Club's activities, largely at Peccei's instigation, entered a more disparate
phase, with no overall guiding principle. This does not mean that nothing
was happening, as is obvious from the list of Reports to the Club of Rome
published during this period (see Annex), but which tended to examine
specific aspects of the problematique rather than attempting a global
approach. The Annual Conferences, held at venues in four continents every
year from 1970 onwards, continued to provide an opportunity not only for all
members of the Club to meet, but also to spread its ideas in the countries
concerned.

>From about 1979 onwards, Peccei devoted his energies increasingly to a new
project: the Forum Humanum. He had come to feel that the best hope for the
world lay in young people and his aim in Forum Humanum was to build a
network of younger scientists in the First, Second and Third Worlds who
would work together to tackle the pressing problems of humankind. His
colleagues in the Club did not on the whole share his enthusiasm, and he was
left to pursue his campaign alone. Peccei travelled and lobbied as
tirelessly as ever, and groups of young scientists were established in Rome,
Madrid, Geneva, Rio de Janeiro and Buenos Aires, but the movement did not
take off as he had hoped.

Ever since the early days, the Club had essentially been run by Peccei and
two secretaries operating from his office at Italconsult headquarters in
Rome. (On paper, CoR also had offices in Geneva and Tokyo, at the Battelle
Institute and c/o the Japan Techno Economics Society (JATES) respectively,
but these were little more than useful addresses for correspondence or for
organising meetings.) In July 1982, after changes in company leadership, he
received a week's notice to give up this office; in the ensuing upheaval, he
salvaged what seemed to him the most important documents, now stored by
Umberto Colombo at ENEA in Rome, but much archival material was lost at that
time.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
7 / 10 : Renewal
Peccei had been such a dominant force in the Club that when he died, in
March 1984, the feasibility and desirability of its continuing existence was
put in question. At a meeting in Helsinki in July 1984, however, the
majority of members decided in favour of carrying on.

Certain changes were inevitable. Largely thanks to Peccei, the Club had
managed to survive as a "non-organisation", without a formal structure, a
proper secretariat and a budget, but this state of affairs could not
continue and new arrangements were needed to make the Club more efficient.
Alexander King was appointed President (President Emeritus since 1 January
1991, when he was succeeded by Ricardo Díez-Hochleitner). A more
participative mode of operation was adopted, with a Council (12 members) and
a small Executive Board (8 members). The Council defines the general
framework for the Club's activities and deals with the issues of substance;
the members are chosen so as to reflect a balance of regions and viewpoints.
The Executive Board takes decisions relating to the day by day actions of
the Club and implements them; for practical reasons, the members need to be
easily available by telephone and for meetings. Membership of both bodies is
for three years, renewable once, to ensure a rotation.


A major practical problem was to find someone prepared to take on Peccei's
role in the day-to-day running of the Club on a similar voluntary basis. In
1984 Alexander King proposed to the Executive Board that there should be a
new position of Secretary General to assist the President, and the task was
shouldered by Bertrand Schneider. The Club's headquarters then shifted to
Paris.

Another new development was the decision to invite prominent world figures
who share the Club's concerns to become Honorary Members. Although their
positions may prevent them from taking a public stance, as in the case of
the Queen of the Netherlands or the King and Queen of Spain, they can and do
give valued moral support. Among the others are former President Gorbachev,
former President Richard von Weizsäcker of Germany, the first President  of
newly democratic Czechoslovakia Vaclav Havel, President Arpad Göncz of
Hungary, President Carlos Menem of Argentina, and the Nobel laureates Ilya
Prigogine and Lawrence Klein.

The main strands of activity continued to be part public, part private —
part collective (through the Annual Conferences, other meetings and
seminars, and the National Associations), part personal initiatives, though
these are not seen as separate: the action of the Club is made up of the
actions of the individual members. Regular "Activities Reports" several
times a year now keep the members informed of each other's, CoR and National
Association projects.

As regards the public actions, there was a deliberate change in emphasis in
tackling the "predicament of mankind". Although  the distinctively global
approach would be maintained, emphasising the complex interactions within
the problematique, the Helsinki meeting felt it would be appropriate to
focus on particular aspects, perhaps concentrating on a single major item
for the next few years. Possible topics considered for this new phase are
set out in Alexander King's "The Club of Rome — Reaffirmation of a Mission"
(1986): governability, peace and disarmament, population growth, human
resources and assessment of the consequences of advances in science and
technology. The first of these — examining the need for innovation in the
ways society and institutions are managed to cope with the demands of a
rapidly changing world — was selected as the theme of the Annual Conference
in Santander in 1985.

Similarly, the Club had a long-standing interest in development questions,
but now examined them in greater depth. Bertrand Schneider's The Barefoot
Revolution, accepted as a Report to the Club in 1985, marked a
turning-point. The study examined at first hand the working of 93
development projects, mainly in rural areas, in 19 countries in Asia, Africa
and Latin America. The Report highlighted the contribution of the NGOs, but
above all stressed the enormous potential of the villagers themselves, once
given the chance to speak and act. After this broad overview, the Club
focused in turn on different regions of the Third World, starting with.a
year of special concern with Africa. Under the leadership of the Finnish
National Association, a study was undertaken of food and famine in Africa,
following on the famines in the Sahel and Ethiopia. In this connection, a
meeting was held in June 1986 in Lusaka under the patronage of President
Kenneth Kaunda, and the subsequent Report Africa beyond Famine had a
considerable impact. A larger conference was then arranged in Yaoundé, in
December 1986, bringing together about 80 Africans and 30 members of CoR
from other regions, for a frank discussion of the continent's problems,
along with proposals for radical solutions. This concern with development
has continued in the 1990s.

In addition to the publications commissioned in relation to these
activities, a new "Information Series" of Reports was launched, such as
Bertrand Schneider's Africa Facing its Priorities (1988) and Eduard Pestel's
Beyond the Limits to Growth (1989). As the series title indicates, the main
aim was to provide information, with less emphasis on policy
recommendations. In general, publications were subjected to more rigorous
appraisal.

As to the more private face of the Club, the personal diplomacy always
practised by members was given new impetus by the gradual thaw in East-West
relations after 1985. Two examples are particularly striking. Before the
Rejkavik Summit in October 1986, Eduard Pestel and Alexander King sent a
memo to both President Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev, suggesting that
the United States and the USSR might be induced to work together on reducing
arms sales to poorer countries — the superpowers would gain politically, if
not economically, from such efforts, and they would benefit from the
experience of actually working together. The response from the White House
was perfunctory, but Gorbachev immediately reacted very positively, and this
led to personal contacts between the Club and the Soviet leadership during
the crucial period of glasnost and perestroika. Similar contacts made by
Adam Schaff in Poland led to the creation there of a National Association of
the Club of Rome, providing a meeting ground for members of the Communist
Party, the Roman Catholic church and Solidarity.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
8 / 10 : The evolution of the National Associations
The network of National Associations has grown largely spontaneously. The
first one came into being in the Netherlands as a result of an overwhelming
public response to early drafts of Limits to Growth leaked to the Dutch
press and presented on television; the book ultimately sold 900,000 copies
in a country with a population of 13 million. Frits Boettcher, the head of
the Dutch delegation to the OECD Committee on Science and Technology, tried
to persuade the Club to build on this response and set up "The Club of Rome
Association for the Netherlands" in late 1971. The Club was, however,
extremely wary of self-proclaimed Associations which could all too easily
misrepresent the Club proper and detract from its global mission.
Nevertheless, similar Associations continued to spring up here and there,
and eventually gained the blessing of the Club, since they can clearly make
a substantial contribution to spreading its ideas within the countries
concerned.

Worries about the Associations engaging in activities and propagating views
out of line with the Club's position, but outside its control, have been
allayed since a common Charter was worked out, largely based on the model of
the Spanish Association. The Charter was  adopted in Warsaw in 1987. Only
Associations willing to abide by the provisions of the Charter are
recognised as official "Associations of the Club of Rome".

Following the collapse of communism, National Associations for the Club of
Rome were established across Eastern Europe, in Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech
Republic, Georgia, Hungary, Rumania, Slovakia, Slovenia and Ukraine;
National Associations already existed in Poland and Russia. Chapters were
also created in Latin America (Argentina, Chile, Puerto Rico and Venezuela).
Currently there are 30 National Associations spread across all five
continents.

    The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
9 / 10 : The Nineties
The topic of the Annual Conference in Hannover in 1989 was "Problems of
World Industrialisation — Panacea or Nightmare?", highlighting the
environmental constraints on industrial growth, the problems of
industrialisation in the developing countries and the essential role of
energy in future world development — a complex of interdependent issues that
underscores the importance of the problematique concept. Participants were s
o impressed by the gravity of the situation that, at the suggestion of
Ricardo Díez-Hochleitner, it was agreed the Club should spend 1990
re-examining the world situation and re-assess its own mission in the
context of turbulent global change. The result was, for the first time, a
Report by rather than to the Club of Rome: The First Global Revolution,
published in 1991 and now translated into 11 languages. The views of members
were sought via a questionnaire, and the Council then had intensive
discussions, with two meetings held at the invitation of Jermen Gvishiani in
Moscow and of Ricardo Díez-Hochleitner in Santander.  These efforts
culminated in approval of the Report written by Alexander King and Bertrand
Schneider. As the first part of the book makes clear, the concerns that led
to the founding of the Club are still highly relevant; the second half
concentrates on practical suggestions for ways to tackle the problematique
and coins a new term, the "resolutique". The Club then defined itself not
only as a thinktank but also as a centre of initiatives and innovation.

This was the occasion for redefining the priority concerns — development,
the environment, governance and education — and setting out clearly the
aims, strategies and initiatives for the future. The first of these was
followed up through a research programme on "Evolving Concepts of
International Co-operation for Development", with major meetings in New
Delhi, Kuala Lumpur and the Japanese city of Fukuoka. The results were
brought together in a Report to the Club of Rome, The Scandal and the Shame,
by Bertrand Schneider, which criticises the waste and failures of
development policies in the Third World over the last forty years and makes
concrete suggestions, including the transformation of the World Bank and the
UN agencies involved. The concern with governance, which had been a
commitment of the Club of Rome since its early days, gave rise to a Report
by Yehezkel Dror on The Capacity to Govern, and the Hanover Declaration
after the 25th Anniversary meeting. This project is now being taken further
by Ruud Lubbers, former Prime Minister of the Netherlands. As to the
environment, two recent Reports to the Club of Rome looked at different
aspects of "green accounting": Factor 4: Target for Sustainable Development
by Ernst von Weizsäcker, and Taking Nature into Account: Toward a
Sustainable National Income, edited by Wouter van Dieren. One of the topics
under consideration for future work is "A New Approach to the Threats to the
Environment".

In addition, the Club of Rome made a Statement on Human Rights and
Responsibilities at the conference at Punta del Este in 1991.

   The Club of Rome : the first 30 years
10 / 10 : The future
Much has been achieved in this first quarter-century, but much remains to be
done. What, therefore, are the tasks in hand and ahead?

As regards its own membership and organisation, the emphasis is on action
and producing results. Members are expected to participate actively or else
give way to others who are keen to make a contribution, so that there is a
constant process of renewal. Since 1984, the membership has changed
substantially, and there is a conscious effort to seek more women and
younger people to improve the sex and age balance. The members are now drawn
from 52 countries on all five continents. A new structure is now in place,
consisting of an Executive Committee of around a dozen members. The
precarious financial situation is at last being addressed via a Foundation,
registered in Geneva, administered by a Board of Governors, who will
themselves act as patrons and help guide the Club's activities. The aim is
to constitute a substantial endowment, allowing the Club to finance its more
routine activities as well as major programmes of work without constant
anxiety about finding the necessary funding.

The programme for the next three years is evaluated and regularly updated.
The overall strategy has four interlinked aspects: to take a global view of
the fundamental problems of our interdependent world; to examine
contemporary problems and policies in a longer term perspective than
governments usually do; to try to develop a deeper understanding of the
interaction of political, social, cultural, ecological, scientific and
technological problems; and to have a constant concern to seek efficient and
equitable strategies and find workable solutions.

The Club is engaged in several main areas of action which can only be
sketched here. The continuing programme of research and studies  is
currently focused on "How New Media will Transform Society". A meeting was
held in Washington in October 1997, jointly organised with the Smithsonian
Institution. Members of the Club of Rome and experts from leading firms and
universities from all over the world discussed the impact of the new
information technologies on humanity. They stressed the potential
contribution of the new technologies to solving global issues through
processes such as access to knowledge and lifelong learning, or the
prevention of conflicts and environmental pollution. At the same time,
governments and businesses need to work to counteract the imbalances created
by these technologies — between countries, and within each country. It was
decided to create an International Symposium on Information Technology,
which will meet annually. A Report on "The Multimedia Society" by Juan Luis
Cebrian is in preparation.

In addition, specific projects which illustrate the commitment to the motto
"think globally, act locally" and aim to tackle key problems are being
undertaken, in each case led by at least one member of the Club. The vast
range of expertise and experience within the Club is made available to
decision-makers at all levels through its consultancy activities to
governments, international institutions and corporate leaders, as well as to
the public at large through its media and public awareness efforts to
improve knowledge and understanding of the problematique. As well as its
programme of publications — the last Reports are on "The Rediscovery of
Work" by Orio Giarini, and "Normative Conflicts and Social Cohesion" by
Peter Berger — the Club of Rome now has its own web site on the Internet.
Many National Associations have major projects planned or under way, and
there are interesting possibilities of regional co-operation in Eastern
Europe and Latin America.

The thirty years since the Club of Rome was founded have seen astonishing
changes in every part of the world and in every aspect of our lives, and
there is little sign of an end to the upheavals. It is all too easy to be
overwhelmed by the pace of change and to feel powerless to do more than
submit to the consequences. The Club has always taken the view that it is
better to confront  present problems and possible future trends, to try to
understand what is happening, and then to mobilise thinking people
everywhere to take action to build a saner and more sustainable world.

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