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http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Anthropology/publications/Hashemite.htm

Regime Change, Literally - Jordan's King May Rule Post-War Iraq
Commentary, William O. Beeman,
Pacific News Service, Feb 19, 2003

A recently revealed document suggests that until recently, regime change in
Iraq was considered not as a U.S. security issue, but as an Israeli one. PNS
commentator William O. Beeman looks at the ill-advised plan.

In September 2002, Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz and Vice
President Dick Cheney reportedly suggested that a post-war Iraq be unified
with Jordan into a "Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan and Iraq." The story was
dismissed by many Middle East experts as a wild rumor. However, the rumor
has surfaced again, and it is given new credence by the revelation of a
document written in 1996 by Bush White House policy makers now associated
with Wolfowitz and Cheney.

The possibility that Iraq could be ruled by the Royal Family of Jordan in
the future gives new meaning to the frequently used term "regime change."

It is admittedly impossible to determine whether the Bush administration
will ever adopt this improbable scheme, but the fact that it is seriously
discussed in the corridors of power in Washington must make thoughtful
Americans seriously question the competence of those conducting the war
effort.

In 1996, incoming Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu solicited
foreign policy advice for his government from a group of U.S. policy-makers.
The document, entitled "A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the
Realm," recommended the incoming prime minister make a clean break with the
past. The group saw Syria as the principal threat to Israel. The
policy-makers wrote: "Israel can shape its strategic environment in
cooperation with Turkey and Jordan, by weakening, containing and even
rolling back Syria. This effort can focus on removing Saddam Hussein from
power in Iraq -- an important Israeli strategic objective in its own
right -- as a means of foiling Syria's regional ambitions."

The authors of the report included Richard Perle, now chairman of the
Defense Science Board; Douglas Feith, now U.S. undersecretary of defense for
policy; and David Wurmser, author of "Tyranny's Ally: America's Failure to
Defeat Saddam Hussein," and director of Middle East Studies of the
conservative American Enterprise Institute.

The surprise in this report is the almost dismissive manner in which Saddam
Hussein is mentioned. It is as if he poses little danger in comparison to
the Syrian threat. The authors talk of his removal from power in an almost
cavalier manner, and the idea that Iraq could be simply absorbed into Jordan
is an offhand remark: "Since Iraq's future could affect the strategic
balance in the Middle East profoundly, it would be understandable that
Israel has an interest in supporting the Hashemites in their efforts to
redefine Iraq..."

The plan to "redefine" Iraq into a Jordanian province was revised by
Wolfowitz and Cheney last year. After the death of King Hussein in 1999,
they suggested giving Iraq to Hussein's brother, Crown Prince Hassan, who
had been deprived of the throne in Amman on Hussein's deathbed in favor of
his son Abdullah. This was discussed in July 2002 in a meeting between
Hassan and Iraqi opposition leaders. Since King Faisal II of Iraq, who was
deposed in 1958, was a Hashemite and the second cousin of King Abdullah,
this move was seen as having some vague potential legitimacy with the Arab
leadership.

The Hashemite plan has numerous flaws. Most important, the Hashemites are a
family rooted in what is now Saudi Arabia. They are descendents of the
sharif of the holy city of Mecca, who was rewarded by the British for
authorizing Arabs to fight their Muslim brethren in the Ottoman Empire in
World War I by having his son made king of these two completely new nations,
Jordan and Iraq. People in the region, even Jordanians, still consider them
foreign interlopers. Apparently, the plan also paid no attention to the
Kurds, Turkomen and Shiites of Iraq who would certainly reject rule by King
Abdullah or Crown Prince Hassan completely, even if they were allowed
autonomy or even separate states. Such a state would undoubtedly fail in a
paroxysm of civil discord more dangerous than the current state of affairs.

But the most serious political problem with the Hashemite scheme is how
wildly different it is from current strategies used to sell the Iraqi war to
the world. Far from presenting Iraq's destruction as a mere ploy in a
strategy to weaken Syria, the White House team members now present Saddam
Hussein as the chief evil in the region. White House rhetoric noticeably
downplays those things that will not play well with the American public:
nation-building, the creation of new monarchical rule instead of democratic
institutions in the region and the fact that Israel reaps the primary
advantages from Iraq's elimination.

The Bush administration has never revealed or discussed the 1996 document.
Little wonder -- consideration of American interests in the region were
totally left out of it and its subsequent manifestations. This poses the
difficult question as to how seriously those questions are being considered
today.

Beeman ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) teaches anthropology and is director of
Middle East Studies at Brown University. He has lived and conducted research
in the region for over 30 years.

©2003 William O. Beeman and Pacific News Service. This article may be freely
distributed for any non-commercial purpose. For commercial distribution
please contact the author or Pacific News Service.

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