-Caveat Lector-

http://www.arabnews.com/Article.asp?ID=20941

Arab News
SAUDI ARABIA'S FIRST ENGLISH LANGUAGE DAILY

Israel needs a regional war
By Hassan Tahsin
Published on 09 December 2002

Since coming to power as Israel’s Prime Minister, Ariel Sharon has been relying solely 
on
military
might to solve his nation’s problems. He has rejected any return to the peace process.
Backed by extremist Jewish terrorist organizations, he is headed for war, with no 
opposition
from the moderates because their policy is based on the same expansionist racist 
ideology.

He has succeeded, with the help the Bush White House, in destroying the Palestinian
Authority, claiming that it was incapable of shouldering its responsibilities or of 
imposing
control in the areas of self-rule. His strategy was to make it a condition that the 
Palestinians
cease their acts of resistance before any negotiations could take place. At the same 
time, to
ensure that negotiations do not to take place, he sent his army to reoccupy Palestinian
towns that were under self-rule, committing massacres, destroying buildings and 
bulldozing
agricultural land.

When Palestinians resisted, Sharon called the Palestinian Authority a terrorist 
organization.
American support for this position enabled him to repudiate all previous agreements,
beginning with Madrid and ending with Oslo.

At this point we must wonder: does Sharon merely wish to regain control of Palestinian
lands, or is he preparing for a new war in the region. Arab countries chose the path of
peace a long time ago. One of the most important steps in that direction was the peace
treaties between Egypt and Israel and between Jordan and Israel. The Arab strategy was 
to
work for a new balance of power and interests in the region. It also allowed a number 
of
Arab countries to enter into a process of growth that may reflect positively on their 
strategic
ability in the near future.

This Arab direction robbed Israel of its wide use of military strength in all regional 
conflicts,
which was essentially the real source of its power in the region. The Israeli 
leadership
found that it had lost a lot due to peace. Israel had achieved the peak of its regional
expansion in June 1967, but was forced to enter into negotiations that led to its 
shrinking
regionally.

At the same time, it had to face the first intifada followed by the current one, both 
of which
it failed to crush. These intifadas caused it to suffer huge losses in addition to 
being forced
to retreat from southern Lebanon due to the severity of the Lebanese resistance.
Therefore, it is necessary for Israel to revive its military dominance of the region.

However, it will not start its war now; it will be tied up a great deal with the 
American
stand on Iraq. If Washington strikes at Baghdad, the war will cause dangerous 
turbulence
within the region and this may be an opportune time for Israel to start its war.

The aim of the war will be to destroy Arab capability, to destroy the development that 
some
Arab countries have achieved and Arab unity that has long worried the Israeli 
leadership.

Without a regional war, Israel will lose a lot, both politically, economically and 
socially
because it will lose the reason for the gathering of all Jews of different and 
conflicting
nationalities in this stretch of land.

It is expected now that the Israeli military organization and the terrorist religious 
extremist
parties will have a role in pressuring the moderate right inside Israel to hold on to 
Sharon.
Israel needs him to insure its existence. They believe him to be capable of leading the
upcoming war, which Israel needs to avert any splintering that would destroy a society 
that
exists on no real foundation.

Arab News Opinion 9 December 2002



Copyright © 2002 ArabNews All Rights Reserved.

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