-Caveat Lector-

from:
http://www.consortiumnews.com/2002/030802a.html
Click Here: <A HREF="http://www.consortiumnews.com/2002/030802a.html";>The
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------
Bush's Endless War
By Sam Parry

March 8, 2002George W. Bush’s depiction of the war on terrorism as an
absolutist struggle of good versus evil is failing to win much popular
support in the Islamic world, a warning sign that Bush’s dispatch of more
U.S. forces around the globe to fight "evil-doers" could lead to a dangerous
backlash.

Click for Printable VersionA recent Gallup poll of 9,924 residents from nine
Islamic nations shows a two-to-one unfavorable opinion of the United States,
five-to-one opposition to Bush and a 77 percent disapproval of the U.S.
military actions in Afghanistan. The poll’s findings match extensive
anecdotal evidence that Washington is losing the battle for the "hearts and
minds" of one billion Muslims, one-sixth of the world’s population.

Yet, encouraged by strong support in U.S. domestic polls, Bush is expanding
the war on terrorism beyond the initial goal of punishing the perpetrators of
the Sept. 11 attacks. He's now sending U.S. troops to slog into new
countries, which have their own murky political and ethnic conflicts.

Bush’s criteria for taking on "every terrorist group of global reach" – the
justification for the expanded conflict – seems to cover any irregular
fighting force whose members might be able to pool their resources to buy an
airplane ticket to the U.S., whether they are now holed up on an island in
the Philippines, in the mountains of Central Asia, in a desert in the Middle
East or in the jungles of Colombia.

Beyond intervening in these guerrilla conflicts, Bush publicly has threatened
the national governments of Iraq, Iran and North Korea, the nations he calls
the "axis of evil."

The Bush administration acknowledges, however, that these countries were not
involved in the Sept. 11 attacks. Iran initially joined the coalition against
the Taliban and provided assistance in the military campaign in Afghanistan.

Bush's inexperience in world affairs may have made him especially susceptible
to the temptation to read the initial U.S. military success in Afghanistan as
a blueprint for future anti-terror campaigns.

A danger now is that Bush could lead the world into a wider exchange of
tit-for-tat violence as the U.S. goes farther and farther afield to retaliate
for Sept. 11. By relying almost exclusively on force, Bush could touch off a
kind of global version of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Chasm of Distrust
The Gallup poll found strong anti-American sentiment in U.S. allies and
adversaries alike. The countries surveyed included Indonesia, Iran, Jordan,
Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey.

The lowest scores came from Pakistan, a principal U.S. ally in the Afghan
war. In Pakistan, where Wall Street Journal reporter Daniel Pearl was
kidnapped and murdered, only five percent of the respondents had a favorable
opinion of the United States.

Gallup editor-in-chief Frank Newport said Muslims who were polled described
the United States as "ruthless, aggressive, conceited, arrogant, easily
provoked, biased." Newport added that "the people of Islamic countries have
significant grievances with the West in general and with the United States in
particular."

Some Arab experts said the Gallup poll revealed a chasm of distrust between
the U.S. and the Islamic world. James Zogby, president of the Arab American
Institute in Washington, told ABCnews.com, "The numbers overall as a whole
are no doubt disturbing, but raise a clarion call: We have a problem; we
don't understand each other."

Zogby said the lack of understanding was not only among Muslims. "The polling
that we've done here in the United States makes it clear Americans view
unfavorably those countries and the concerns they have, as well," Zogby said.

The Gallup results suggest a more treacherous path may lie ahead for the war
on terror, with the possibility that even immediate U.S. military success
might not solve the long-term problem. Force could swell the ranks of
extremists willing to die for their cause.

"Military operations abroad and new security measures at home do nothing to
address the virulent anti-Americanism of government-supported media, mullahs,
and madrassas (Islamic schools)," wrote David Hoffman in the March/April
issue of Foreign Affairs. "As the Israelis have discovered, terrorism thrives
on a cruel paradox: The more force is used to retaliate, the more fuel is
added to the terrorists’ cause."

`Why Do They Hate Us?'
Responding to the Gallup poll, Bush said the U.S. must do a better job
explaining itself to the world. While in North Carolina to help raise money
for Republican senatorial candidate Elizabeth Dole, Bush said, "There is no
question that we must do a better job of telling the compassionate side of
the American story." [Agence France-Presse, Feb. 27, 2002]
Earlier, Bush tried to answer the question of "why do they hate us?" by
asserting that the terrorists despise the United States because of its
freedoms. Bush postulated that the motive for the Sept. 11 attacks was that
Osama bin Laden and other Islamic extremists were trying to destroy the
American Way.

"They hate what we see right here in this chamber -- a democratically elected
government," Bush said in his Sept. 20 address to Congress. "Their leaders
are self-appointed. They hate our freedoms -- our freedom of religion, our
freedom of speech, our freedom to vote and assemble and disagree with each
other."

Though playing well domestically, this explanation fell flat with many Middle
East experts who recognized that bin Laden's goals were focused much more on
Middle East politics and had little to do with American freedoms.

Bin Laden's principal grievance is with the government of his native land,
Saudi Arabia, which he views as corrupt and hypocritical. Toward this end, he
seeks to drive U.S. military forces from the Persian Gulf and especially from
Saudi Arabia, home of the holiest sites in Islam. The terrorist leader has
criticized U.S. policy on Iraq and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, too.

On many of these issues, bin Laden is far from alone. Muslims around the
world have long protested U.S.-Middle East policies, including Washington's
protection of undemocratic governments in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and other
oil-rich countries.

The U.S. State Department's 2001 Human Rights Report acknowledged that the
Saudi government’s human rights record was "poor," adding that: "Citizens
have neither the right nor the legal means to change their government.
Security forces continued to abuse detainees and prisoners, arbitrarily
arrest and detain persons, and hold them in incommunicado detention. In
addition there were allegations that security forces committed torture."

The human rights record of another critical geopolitical ally in the region,
Turkey, also rated poorly. According to the State Department, "Extrajudicial
killings continued, including deaths due to excessive use of force and
torture…Torture, beatings, and other abuses by security forces remained
widespread… In the southeast, nation-wide problems such as torture were
exacerbated by substantially abridged freedoms of expression and association."

Given our long-standing close alliance with governments that oppress their
own people, the U.S. appears to be willing to trade our democratic ideals for
international political expediency. With a war to be fought, the Bush
administration is so far unwilling even to raise these issues.

Spinning the War
Overall, Bush's anti-terror strategy has given short shrift to an important
precept of counter-insurgency warfare – that military action must blend with
activities to address legitimate concerns of a population. Otherwise,
military action can simply drive more recruits into the arms of the enemy and
lead to an endless cycle of violence.

But this "hearts and minds" component requires more than just "public
diplomacy," especially when the propaganda flies in the face of widespread
popular perceptions. It is not enough, for instance, to tell the Islamic
world that Bush does not consider the conflict a war against Islam.
This rhetoric rings hollow to many Muslims for whom recent events look a lot
like a war against Islam – from the roundup of Arab men in the United States
for what Attorney General John Ashcroft compared to arresting Mafia gangsters
for "spitting on the sidewalk" to locking Afghan war captives in cages at
Guantanamo Bay, from U.S. bombing in Afghanistan that killed thousands of
civilians to Bush’s support of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon’s bloody crackdown
on the Palestinians.

Still, Bush's inability to win the hearts and minds of many Muslims hasn't
slowed his expansion of the war. Amid his favorable domestic poll ratings –
still in the 70 and 80 percentiles – Bush has acted like a man on a roll,
deciding that now is the time to take on both terrorists and a number of
troublesome regimes.

About 600 U.S. troops are already in the Philippines to help prosecute a war
against Muslim rebels whom some see as little more than bandits. The
administration also has plans to place several hundred more U.S. troops in
the former Soviet Republic of Georgia, Yemen and possibly Indonesia.

The administration seems poised, too, to intervene more directly against
leftist rebels in Colombia, though not against right-wing paramilitary forces
that have been blamed for most of the political terrorism in Colombia. The
Bush administration also is seriously considering military action to topple
the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein.

Never Ending?
Bush has left unclear exactly where his "crusade" to "rid the world of evil"
will end, or whether it will ever end. "It will not end until every terrorist
group of global reach has been found, stopped and defeated," Bush pledged in
his Sept. 20 speech.

Then his "axis of evil" warning in the State of the Union address upped the
ante to include possible action against Iraq, Iran and North Korea – though
the selection of the countries may have been more a rhetorical device than a
serious enunciation of U.S. policy.

Newsweek's correspondent Howard Fineman reported on CNBC’s Hardball with
Chris Matthews that the Bush team arbitrarily chose the "axis of evil"
targets.

Fineman said Bush didn’t want to single out Iraq for fear that the world
would expect "daisy cutters" to start falling right away. North Korea was
added because it was not a Muslim country and Iran was selected because at
the time it was resisting U.S. efforts to establish the post-Taliban
government in Afghanistan, Fineman said. "Then it became alliteratively the
axis," he said. [Hardball, Feb. 11, 2002]

North Korea’s Foreign Ministry called Bush’s warning "little short of
declaring a war." In Iran, massive anti-American demonstration seemed to turn
the clock back to the 1970s when Iranians overthrew the U.S.-backed Shah of
Iran and denounced America as "the Great Satan." Iranian moderates who have
been seeking an accommodation with the Washington were thrown onto the
defensive.

Bush's provocative comment also drew criticism from Great Britain and other
European allies, already concerned about Bush's refusal to apply the Geneva
Conventions to hundreds of captives from the war in Afghanistan.

Even Republican leaders in the U.S. worried about the effects of Bush's
remarks. Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel, a member of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee, suggested that the "axis of evil" line may have
undermined reformers in Iran. "I'd just as soon not have seen that in the
speech," Hagel said. [Washington Post, Feb. 4, 2002]

Democratic leaders in Congress, who had staunchly backed the war in
Afghanistan, began to ask questions, too.

Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, D-S.D., praised the Bush administration's
initial success, but added, "I think there is expansion without at least a
clear direction." Daschle also has raised questions about unfinished business
in Afghanistan, including the inability to capture or kill bin Laden and
Taliban leader Mullah Omar.

Sen. Robert C. Byrd, D-W.Va., chairman of the Appropriations Committee, told
Pentagon officials that they should not expect "blank checks" from Congress
without a fuller explanation of the goals for the expanded war. "We seem to
be good at developing entrance strategies, not so good at developing exit
strategies," Byrd said.

Sen. Ernest Hollings, D-S.C., Commerce Committee chairman, said the
administration's course seemed set on an endless sea of budgetary red ink.
"Since we've got a war, we've got to have deficits, and the war is never
going to end," Hollings said. [NYT, March 1, 2002]
Many Americans also were surprised by the resurgence of bloodshed in
Afghanistan. Despite early proclamations of victory, U.S. forces found
themselves launching a new offensive last Friday against Taliban and al-Qaeda
forces regrouping in the mountains of eastern Afghanistan. That fighting has
brought the heaviest U.S. casualties of the war.

Carte Blanche
In the almost six months since the suicide attacks on the World Trade Center
and the Pentagon, the American people have given Bush their overwhelming
support, in part, to show the world that the nation is united and determined
to punish the perpetrators. That determination also sent a message to U.S.
enemies that no new attacks would be tolerated.
The U.S. military assault on Afghanistan has met some important goals:
driving bin Laden's Taliban hosts from power and disrupting al-Qaeda's
freedom of operation. But Bush now seems to be reading that initial success
and his domestic polls as carte blanche to spread the war wherever he
chooses, without significant debate in the United States or consultation with
U.S. allies.

The difficult truth might be that the plague of terrorism is like a chronic
illness that can be managed but not eradicated, that the best hope is to
contain political violence through an intelligent mix of security and
attention to the root causes that feed the despair and anger that turn young
men and women into suicide bombers.

The poll results of the Muslim population reinforce that warning: by relying
too heavily on military force and by going too far without international
support, the administration could start new cycles of killing – and end up
making the world an even more dangerous place.

-----
Aloha, He'Ping,
Om, Shalom, Salaam.
Em Hotep, Peace Be,
All My Relations.
Omnia Bona Bonis,
Adieu, Adios, Aloha.
Amen.
Roads End

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