-Caveat Lector-

From
http://www.guardian.co.uk/afghanistan/story/0,1284,620913,00.html

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Two wise men

Bill Clinton and Tony Blair are now singing from the same song sheet.
And absolutely nobody is listening

Jonathan Freedland
Wednesday December 19, 2001
The Guardian

They once ruled the world like two masters of the universe. During
the closing years of the 20th century, they were comrades on a
shared, global mission: Bill and Tony's excellent adventure. Today
Bill Clinton and Tony Blair - the men who transformed their parties
and won election and re-election as a result - are still political
soulmates.

Scan the text of the former president's Dimbleby lecture shown on BBC
TV, or any of the variations on that theme Clinton delivered at
venues around Britain last week, and they read like translations into
American of Blair
's October speech to the Labour party conference in Brighton. Like Blair, Clinton 
calls for a war on global poverty, with the rich countries facing up to their 
responsibilities to the poor. Like Blair, he wants the benefi
ts of globalisation shared around. Like Blair, he believes the world's problems can be 
solved, as long as we have the will.

The two even use the same phrase to describe us: we are all the children of Abraham. 
And the pair have one final thing in common: no one is listening to either of them. 
Clinton is the more remarkable bearer of the message
. He is the only American of stature who has dared stray into such ultra-sensitive 
territory - seeking to identify the underlying causes of the terror that struck his 
country on September 11.

For many in the US this is dangerous ground, with any attempt at explanation risking 
condemnation as justification. Most have steered clear. But, always the master 
politician, Clinton knows how to navigate such difficult
terrain. First in his lectures he sets out his support for his successor's fight 
against al-Qaida, wishing it well and assuming its eventual success. Then he swiftly 
moves on to what will have to be done next: "We're gonn
a win this fight - then what?"

And it's here that Clinton unveils his deceptively progressive message. Packaged in 
hoarse-throated, folksy homilies and plain, colloquial language, it can easily float 
past the British ear: we tend to expect harder nouns
 and more "-isms" in our radical politics. But progressive it is. Clinton is calling 
for a collective offensive by the rich world on poverty, Aids and the environment. He 
wants nations like his own to pay up for schools,
healthcare and, as he told the Jewish National Fund in London last week, "the little, 
biddy kids who never get to drink a clean glass of water".

For him, as it was for Blair, this is not just do-gooding for do-gooding's sake: it is 
a matter of international security. Global warming is worth defeating because, if we 
don't defeat it, we will lose land to flooding, "
there will be millions of food refugees created... more terror".

Being Clinton, he finds fresh, accessible ways to make the case. So Aids should be 
conquered because, if it isn't, the future will look like a Mad Max movie: "A whole 
lot of young people around the world will say, 'Well,
I'm HIV positive, I've got a year or two to live, why shouldn't I go out and shoot up 
a bunch of other people?' " (Can't quite hear Blair saying that.) But the core 
argument is that used by left liberals since September 1
1: "We in the wealthy countries have to spread the benefits of the 21st century, and 
reduce the risks, so we can make more partners and fewer terrorists in the future."

But Clinton does not leave it there. He pushes his audiences further, asking them to 
look beyond the "little boxes" of their own identity or ethnicity, and to appreciate 
the variety and difference that makes the human rac
e such a joy. "Think about how we all organise our lives in little boxes - man, woman; 
British, American; Muslim, Christian, Jew; Tory, Labour; New Labour, Old Labour; but 
somewhere along the way, we finally come to under
stand that our life is more than all these boxes we're in. And that if we can't reach 
beyond that, we'll never have a fuller life."

It is a powerful idea, simply expressed - and it takes Bill Clinton into a new, 
unfamiliar realm. These are less the words of a politician than a would-be moral 
leader: that's how high he is reaching. This elevated qualit
y gives the current Clinton speech its stirring strength. But it also points to his 
greatest weakness. He holds no office and therefore has no immediate power. That is 
the brute truth of politics and Clinton knows it. He
can give a great speech, but there is no force behind his words: no army to despatch, 
no vast bureaucracy to deploy. And so there is a wistful cast to the former 
president's eye. He misses his job. As one ex-aide sighs, "
He's lost." But perhaps the big man also regrets all the big, global moves that he 
didn't make when he had the chance.

Still, Clinton's problem is more than a classic case of ex-president syndrome. Even if 
he were not the messenger, his message would find no mainstream constituency in 
America right now. Tune in to the US conservative pund
itocracy and you'll hear people high on military victory in Afghanistan and in no mood 
for pinko talk about underlying causes. For the hawks, terrorism has a simple cause - 
evil people - and an even simpler solution: anni
hilation by force. Why would anyone want to listen to Clinton on Aids when 15,000- 
pound daisycutters have done the trick instead?

Tony Blair is in the same hole. Yes, he was awarded garlands in America for acting as 
evangelist-in-chief in the war against terror; yes, even loyal Republicans ranked his 
rhetorical gifts above George W's. But that was a
ll they wanted to hear from Britain's prime minister. He was allowed to be America's 
cheerleader in its hour of need; we were allowed to play the Star Spangled Banner at 
Buckingham Palace. But the rest of Blair's message
- the Brighton speech calling for a reordering of the world, spreading hope from the 
camps of Gaza to the mountains of Afghanistan - all that was dismissed as 
hand-wringing nonsense. The Bush administration is no more wil
ling to hear it from Blair than it is from Clinton; when al-Qaida's complete surrender 
is within the US's grasp, why fret about clean water for Africa or the need for a 
democratic breeze to blow through the cobwebs of the
 Muslim world?

One last factor hampers Blair. His attempts to graduate from spokesman to statesman 
have not gone well. His Middle East tour at the end of October brought consecutive 
humiliations from Syria's President Assad and Israel's
 Ariel Sharon, while British pride was dented when the US and Northern Alliance 
jointly denied our troops entry into Kabul. The result is a fall in Blair's stock, 
with even Britain's military brass muttering that the PM n
eeds to stop and think before committing our troops to serve as a glorified aid agency.

The harsh fact is that the hawks are in the ascendant just now,
utterly vindicated in their own eyes by the Afghan triumph. At
present they see no reason to heed the long-range warnings of Blair
and Clinton: only another atrocity might make them do that. So the PM
and the former president will just have to keep on making speeches,
and growing hoarse in the task.

[EMAIL PROTECTED]

Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2001
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