Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-02-02 Thread Bill Stewart
At 12:16 PM 01/30/2003 -0600, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 08:05:46AM -0800, Mike Rosing wrote: That's a pretty easy decision to make, eh? Ethanol is renewable, oil isn't. Ethanol doesn't pollute, oil does. Ethanol doesn't require troops in the Middle East, wars, and

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-02-02 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Sun, Feb 02, 2003 at 11:32:08AM +0100, Eugen Leitl wrote: On Sat, 1 Feb 2003, Bill Stewart wrote: The big pollution issues with ethanol are in growing the corn, sugar, etc. that's used to brew the stuff, fermenting it, and distilling it. There's no *real* pollution (toxic

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-02-02 Thread Eugen Leitl
On Sat, 1 Feb 2003, Bill Stewart wrote: The big pollution issues with ethanol are in growing the corn, sugar, etc. that's used to brew the stuff, fermenting it, and distilling it. Ethanol from biomass is complete nonsense. So is biodiesel, given what fuel yield/m^2 is (can make sense for you

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-31 Thread Neil Johnson
On Thursday 30 January 2003 03:25 am, Bill Stewart wrote: Remember the Synfuel boondoggles under Jimmy Carter? Cracking otherwise-uneconomical oil shale might have been a useful technology if the price of oil were $50-100/barrel. (Meanwhile, we can feel nice and liberal about leaving all this

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-31 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 11:24:13AM -0800, James A. Donald wrote: -- On 30 Jan 2003 at 12:16, Harmon Seaver wrote: I'll have to find the studies, but it was the same oil geologists (not enviros) who used the same model to accurately predict the peak of US oil production who did the

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-31 Thread James A. Donald
-- These geologists very accurately predicted the peaking of oil production in the US, Completely false. These geologists are not Hubbert, nor did they very accurately predict the peaking of oil in the US, nor do they use Hubbert's methodology, though they claim to. Rather, they are

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 07:59 PM, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 06:38:11PM -0800, Tim May wrote: (snip) Since my life and my safety is vastly more valuable to me than saving $350-$600 a year in gas, I'll be keeping my 3500-pound S-Class. Ah, yes, the old big

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Bill Stewart
At 07:52 PM 01/29/2003 -0800, Tim May wrote: On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 06:33 PM, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 07:53:21PM -0500, Jamie Lawrence wrote: One of the problems I think is rampant with, for instance, getting alternate fuel sources off the ground is that

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Declan McCullagh
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 04:08:08PM -0800, Tim May wrote: Really, Eugene, you need to think deeply about this issue. Ask your lab associate, A. G., about why learning and success/failure is so important for so many industries. Read some Hayek, some von Mises, some Milton Friedman. And even

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 06:33 PM, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 07:53:21PM -0500, Jamie Lawrence wrote: One of the problems I think is rampant with, for instance, getting alternate fuel sources off the ground is that government subsidies are ensuring they don't

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 06:38:11PM -0800, Tim May wrote: (snip) Since my life and my safety is vastly more valuable to me than saving $350-$600 a year in gas, I'll be keeping my 3500-pound S-Class. Ah, yes, the old big cars are safer arguement. I've seen studies that went both ways, yes,

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Bill Stewart
When Bush is talking about a hydrogen economy, remember that he's really referring to Orion-engine cars... At 06:38 PM 01/29/2003 -0800, Tim May wrote: It's why I'll be safer when I run into Harmon on the freeways. His heirs will appreciate his savings in gasoline for the time he owned his

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 07:53:21PM -0500, Jamie Lawrence wrote: One of the problems I think is rampant with, for instance, getting alternate fuel sources off the ground is that government subsidies are ensuring they don't happen by distorting the market for fossil fuels. More than that,

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread David Howe
at Wednesday, January 29, 2003 11:18 PM, Bill Frantz [EMAIL PROTECTED] was seen to say: Back a few years ago, probably back during the great gas crisis (i.e. OPEC) years, there were a lot of small companies working on solar power. As far as I know, they were all bought up by oil companies. Of

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 04:23 PM, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 03:36:20PM -0800, Mike Rosing wrote: On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Harmon Seaver wrote: Although canola oil is a much better source for fuel. And diesels a much better IC engine for hybrids. Even in

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Eugen Leitl
On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Declan McCullagh wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 04:08:08PM -0800, Tim May wrote: Really, Eugene, you need to think deeply about this issue. Ask your lab associate, A. G., about why learning and success/failure is so important for so many industries. Read some Hayek,

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Jim Choate
On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Eric Cordian wrote: Ovshinsky, the amorphous semiconductor guy, developed a relatively efficient photovoltaic film that could be manufactured by continuous extrusion by a simple machine. For some reason, that never hit the big time either. He had several problems in

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Mike Rosing
On Thu, 30 Jan 2003, Harmon Seaver wrote: Actually, VW has a plant making synfuel out of biomass. And we won't have to wait long before oil is $50-100 a barrel, it's at $35 right now and world oil production will peak this decade. In the '80's it was obvious that oil production would peak

RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread B Peterson
-Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] On Behalf Of Tim May Sent: Wednesday, January 29, 2003 9:52 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 06:33 PM, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 09:46:00AM -0800, Steve Schear wrote: At 09:59 PM 1/29/2003 -0600, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 06:38:11PM -0800, Tim May wrote: Diesel, Tim, they run on diesel. Too bad MB won't import any of those hi-tech diesel they make to the US because of the

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Thu, Jan 30, 2003 at 08:05:46AM -0800, Mike Rosing wrote: On Thu, 30 Jan 2003, Harmon Seaver wrote: Actually, VW has a plant making synfuel out of biomass. And we won't have to wait long before oil is $50-100 a barrel, it's at $35 right now and world oil production will peak this

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Steve Schear
At 09:59 PM 1/29/2003 -0600, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 06:38:11PM -0800, Tim May wrote: Diesel, Tim, they run on diesel. Too bad MB won't import any of those hi-tech diesel they make to the US because of the crummy fuel here. I had an '87 MB 300D terrible-diesel for about

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread James A. Donald
-- On 30 Jan 2003 at 11:31, Eugen Leitl wrote: I'm not arguing pro strong state. I'm merely saying that the tax funded ivory tower RD is complementary in scope to privately funded research. If 95% of it is wasted (and lacking libertarian drive in Euland it's bound to stay that way for

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread James A. Donald
-- On 30 Jan 2003 at 12:16, Harmon Seaver wrote: I'll have to find the studies, but it was the same oil geologists (not enviros) who used the same model to accurately predict the peak of US oil production who did the one on world oil production. Not true. Rather, what happened is that

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Howie Goodell
Tim May wrote: For example, the space program. The Moon Flag Planting cost about 100,000 slave-lives (about $125 thousand milliion in today's dollars) to finance. It distorted the market for things like single stage to orbit, which might have happened otherwise. And it created a bureaucracy

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Jim Choate
On Thu, 30 Jan 2003, James A. Donald wrote: -- On 30 Jan 2003 at 11:31, Eugen Leitl wrote: I'm not arguing pro strong state. I'm merely saying that the tax funded ivory tower RD is complementary in scope to privately funded research. If 95% of it is wasted (and lacking libertarian

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Jim Choate
On Thu, 30 Jan 2003, Howie Goodell wrote: Tim May wrote: For example, the space program. The Moon Flag Planting cost about 100,000 slave-lives (about $125 thousand milliion in today's dollars) to finance. It distorted the market for things like single stage to orbit, which might have

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Steve Schear
At 09:08 PM 1/29/2003 -0500, Tyler Durden [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Tim May wrote... Ask why the U.S.S.R., which depended essentially solely on federal funding, failed so completely. Hint: it wasn't just because of repression. It was largely because picking winners doesn't work, and command

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Steve Schear
At 06:23 PM 1/29/2003 -0600, Harmon Seaver wrote: On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 03:36:20PM -0800, Mike Rosing wrote: On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Harmon Seaver wrote: Although canola oil is a much better source for fuel. And diesels a much better IC engine for hybrids. Even in non-hybrids, VW builds

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 11:14:56PM -0800, James A. Donald wrote: (snip) Tyler said: and the buying up (and subsequent dismantling) of lite rail systems in the LA basin in the 30s and 40s apparently had a major impact on the rollout of vehicles Might we have seen much better public

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-30 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 08:55:55PM -0800, Steve Schear wrote: If they intend to sell thin in the US they would be advised to have one 3 wheels instead of an apparent 4. In many states (incl. California) 3-wheeled vehicles are considered motorcycles and get to use the diamond lanes even

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Mike Rosing
On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Major Variola (ret) wrote: Oh come on. Its all economics. (With tech changing the params) Fuel cells for cars are too expensive today. There is not enough methanol production/distrib infrastructure, which costs to create. [insert Metcalfe's law (aka fax or network

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 10:53 AM, Eugen Leitl wrote: On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Tyler Durden wrote: And don't forget his promise that we'll all be able to buy Hydrogen-powered cars by 2020 or so. Guess that's how long he thinks this war on terrorism Don't get it: onboard fuel

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Eugen Leitl
On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Tim May wrote: Nonsense. What political science do you think was stopping Ford or Honda or Volvo or GM from introducing a hydrogen fuel cell car by 1980? What I meant is lack of lots of fat federal grants for research on fuel reformers, hydrogen separation, proton

RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Eugen Leitl
On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Tyler Durden wrote: And don't forget his promise that we'll all be able to buy Hydrogen-powered cars by 2020 or so. Guess that's how long he thinks this war on terrorism Don't get it: onboard fuel reforming with methanol is almost done, fuel cells with polymer proton

RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Tyler Durden
And don't forget his promise that we'll all be able to buy Hydrogen-powered cars by 2020 or so. Guess that's how long he thinks this war on terrorism will last (and its probability for ending!). -TD _ Tired of spam? Get advanced

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 05:05:22PM -0500, Tyler Durden wrote: Mike Rossing wrote... Just gotta kill off a few more arabs to extend the time when that happens is all. That gives me a damned good idea. Perhaps we can use Camp XRay to do some research on how to melt down Muslims and convert

Re: [DIGRESSION] RE: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Tyler Durden
Mike Rossing wrote... Just gotta kill off a few more arabs to extend the time when that happens is all. That gives me a damned good idea. Perhaps we can use Camp XRay to do some research on how to melt down Muslims and convert then directly into fossil fuels, bypassing all the

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Bill Frantz
At 3:43 PM -0800 1/29/03, Tim May wrote: On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 03:18 PM, Bill Frantz wrote: Back a few years ago, probably back during the great gas crisis (i.e. OPEC) years, there were a lot of small companies working on solar power. As far as I know, they were all bought up

Re: CDR: Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Jamie Lawrence
On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Tim May wrote: The 2-4 year payback cycle in the electronics industry, from roughly 1955 to the present, was terribly important. Each generation of technology paid for the next generation, and costly mistakes resulted in companies ceasing to exist (Shockley Transistor,

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 03:18 PM, Bill Frantz wrote: At 2:24 PM -0800 1/29/03, Eugen Leitl wrote: Feds are sure inefficient, but the random dispersal of funds does tend to hit the far shots now and then. The private sector tends to ruthlessly optimize on the short run (because the

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 02:24 PM, Eugen Leitl wrote: Feds are sure inefficient, but the random dispersal of funds does tend to hit the far shots now and then. The private sector tends to ruthlessly optimize on the short run (because the long shot doesn't pay if you go broke before

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Harmon Seaver
On Wed, Jan 29, 2003 at 03:18:44PM -0800, Bill Frantz wrote: At 2:24 PM -0800 1/29/03, Eugen Leitl wrote: Feds are sure inefficient, but the random dispersal of funds does tend to hit the far shots now and then. The private sector tends to ruthlessly optimize on the short run (because the long

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Bill Frantz
At 2:24 PM -0800 1/29/03, Eugen Leitl wrote: Feds are sure inefficient, but the random dispersal of funds does tend to hit the far shots now and then. The private sector tends to ruthlessly optimize on the short run (because the long shot doesn't pay if you go broke before you can reap the

Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Tim May
On Wednesday, January 29, 2003, at 02:24 PM, Eugen Leitl wrote: On Wed, 29 Jan 2003, Tim May wrote: Nonsense. What political science do you think was stopping Ford or Honda or Volvo or GM from introducing a hydrogen fuel cell car by 1980? What I meant is lack of lots of fat federal grants

Re: CDR: Re: the news from bush's speech...H-power

2003-01-29 Thread Eric Cordian
Tim writes: There is no way to control fundamental breakthroughs, whether PV conversion or caburetors that violate the laws of physics!. Any of the above non-oil companies (and one can add Texas Instruments and others to the list) which develops a more efficient, cheaper to manufacture