Re: [EM] Voting chaos

2007-05-09 Thread Brian Olson
Too many more stories like this and I'll have to write up my own software and go into business selling election counting systems. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Thu, 10 May 2007, Gervase Lam wrote: Oops: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/6622963.stm Review under way on voting chaos

Re: [EM] Approval-Sorted Margins(Ranking) Elimination

2007-04-17 Thread Brian Olson
I'm trying to understand the details of this procedure. On Apr 16, 2007, at 12:03 PM, Chris Benham wrote: My current favourite plain ranked-ballot method is Approval- Sorted Margins(Ranking) Elimination: 1. Voters rank candidates, truncation and equal-ranking allowed. 2. Interpreting

[EM] New PR method, IRNRP

2007-04-17 Thread Brian Olson
of redistributed to their other choices. Alternate name Continuous Transferrable Vote? * In practice, to make up for a modern computer's floating point arithmetic roundoff error, this will be (sum quota + epsilon) where epsilon will be about (total vote/100). Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election

[EM] A really simple, stupid usability point for 0..99

2007-02-06 Thread Brian Olson
someone didn't see the hyphen and asked how they vote on a 10 to 10 scale. is 10 good or is 10 bad? Doh! Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] CORRECTING Black box voting repost re how HAVA imploded

2007-02-01 Thread Brian Olson
+ units, and it's manageable. Oh wait, except that I don't believe in voting machines because they're all a waste of money and I think we should have hand counted paper ballots. But, if society insists on voting machines then I'm going to insist we have good ones. Brian Olson http://bolson.org

Re: [EM] CORRECTING Black box voting repost re how HAVA imploded

2007-02-01 Thread Brian Olson
But the problem is you didn't count the million lines of python interpreter or the millions of lines of X11 or Linux you might run it on. If you're going to claim verification, you need verified building blocks or build the whole thing yourself. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Thu, 1 Feb

Re: [EM] CORRECTING Black box voting repost re how HAVA imploded

2007-02-01 Thread Brian Olson
into the computer and let it sort out the counting. IRV especially needs a computer count, otherwise w need to physically move potentially huge piles of ballots. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Thu, 1 Feb 2007, Ka-Ping Yee wrote: On Thu, 1 Feb 2007, Brian Olson wrote: But the problem is you

Re: [EM] CORRECTING Black box voting repost re how HAVA imploded

2007-02-01 Thread Brian Olson
the tradeoffs and costs of that good cause as its being implemented are winding up being really bad. Perhaps the evil lead the good down the road to hell by paving it with good intentions. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Thu, 1 Feb 2007, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote: I've made the following

Re: [EM] Noise (Was: Credentials?)

2007-01-18 Thread Brian Olson
wars are stupid, as are all participants therein (though they may yet be lucid and interesting at other times). Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Thu, 18 Jan 2007, Nathan Herring wrote: On 1/17/07 8:30 PM, Kevin Venzke [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: --- Brandon J. Van Every [EMAIL PROTECTED

[EM] 10 choice sim plots

2007-01-03 Thread Brian Olson
(zero info), Vote For and Against, Maximized Ratings all show different patterns of squeezing out centrists or other choices. Borda bulges in its odd way. IRV gets horribly fractured. IRNR flakes out at corners. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http

Re: [EM] RE : Re: Clone proofing Copeland

2007-01-03 Thread Brian Olson
It then becomes Instant Runoff by Schwartz Set. Nothing wrong with that except as with all instant runoff methods it is no longer summable and requires multiple passes through the whole set of votes. In this case two passes. First pass, find the Schwartz set, second pass find the highest

Re: [EM] Clone proofing Copeland

2007-01-02 Thread Brian Olson
If I understand this, it's a Condorcet cycle resolution system based purely on who was 1st pick on each ballot. So, count up the virtual round robin matrix, and count 1st place votes separately for later if needed. It's incomplete. A Condorcet method can elect someone no one put in for

[EM] LA Times article

2006-12-27 Thread Brian Olson
Here's a sample of what the rest of the world is hearing about proportional representation and other election methods. http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-voting25dec25,1,404720.story This little bit got me really annoyed: Bob Mulholland, political director for the California Democratic

[EM] updated sims

2006-12-25 Thread Brian Olson
://bolson.org:9080/voting/voting/sim_one_seat/ Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] RE : Comments on the Yee/Bolson/et.al. pictures

2006-12-22 Thread Brian Olson
On Fri, 22 Dec 2006, Warren Smith wrote: Approval with mean-as-threshold seemed to look bad in the sense that it could prevent some candidates from ever winning, and make their winning regions lie far away from them if they existed. (This is assuming I believe the pictures I saw, which

Re: [EM] RE : RE : Comments on the Yee/Bolson/et.al. pictures

2006-12-22 Thread Brian Olson
In the outlying areas of two or more color fuzz the mixed colors are effectively getting tied all the time and a random winner among the tied winners chosen, thus random fuzz. These areas usually occur when the center of the population is more than one standard deviation away from all of

[EM] simulation graphs, zoomed out

2006-12-20 Thread Brian Olson
Zoomed out a factor of ten, some odd results show up far from the grouping of candidates: http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/zoomout/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] simulation graphs, zoomed out

2006-12-20 Thread Brian Olson
? If the strategy is to vote yes for the top half and no for the bottom half, then it makes sense to try and split the middle choice in half that way. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Wed, 20 Dec 2006, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I slightly modified the ApprovalNoInfo code and re-ran

[EM] Simulator source package available

2006-12-18 Thread Brian Olson
http://bolson.org/voting/sim_one_seat/dist/ I also have 3 computers running these things and I'll post the results as available, as Kevin noted, some of the newest addditons are already up. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list

Re: [EM] simulator code for 2 Approval methods

2006-12-15 Thread Brian Olson
A BIG thank you to Raphfrk and Kevin Venzke! I've integrated the code they posted and I'm running the simulations currently, results to be posted in 1-3 days of compute time... Here's a first one to whet your appetite, ApprovalNoInfo with three candidates showing a perhaps odd consequence

Re: [EM] Simulation of political identity space in voting

2006-12-12 Thread Brian Olson
On Dec 12, 2006, at 9:55 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Mostly I've independently verified the results, but I've added my favorite pet method, Instant Runoff Normalized Ratings (IRNR) into the mix. When you say you average results, does that mean you mix the colour ?

[EM] Simulation of political identity space in voting

2006-12-11 Thread Brian Olson
in _some_ language, C, C++, java, javascript, perl, python, heck I'll even accept PHP, LISP or FORTRAN, I'll translate it and fit it into the test harness. Anyway, mostly I wanted to share the pretty graphs I made of simulated elections. An ounce of data is worth a pound of theorizing? Brian

Re: [EM] 3ballot - revolutionary new protocol for secure secret ballot elections

2006-10-01 Thread Brian Olson
attempts t give reasons to prefer 0-99, http://rangevoting.org/Why99.html Yeah, selectable range is I think top on the to-do list of new features coming. (Right after making no-vote different from the neutral-vote, which is implemented but not published yet.) Brian Olson http://bolson.org

Re: [EM] 3ballot - revolutionary new protocol for secure secret ballot elections

2006-09-29 Thread Brian Olson
Sounds interesting, can you post a link to Rivest's original paper on this? Or at least a Bibliographical entry on what journal it was published in? Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] 3ballot - revolutionary new protocol for secure secret ballot elections

2006-09-29 Thread Brian Olson
Nevermind, google shall provide, this must be it: http://theory.csail.mit.edu/~rivest/Rivest-TheThreeBallotVotingSystem.pdf Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] 3ballot - revolutionary new protocol for secure secret ballot elections

2006-09-29 Thread Brian Olson
summation of the ratings, per-ballot-rating methods such as IRNR and raking-derivation to Borda or Condorcet/VRR are not possible. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Fri, 29 Sep 2006, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Very interesting method. Just a quick question. The article mentions that rank-order

[EM] zohopolls, web poll tech

2006-09-25 Thread Brian Olson
/andru/civs.html ) or my site, but maybe that's just groundless paranoia. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] A horrible thing we need to crush: Fusion Voting

2006-09-02 Thread Brian Olson
or ratings ballots and all that. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Convex districts: a simple mathematical solution to gerrymandering?

2006-09-01 Thread Brian Olson
pushing for minimize the average distance of each person to the center of their district. I have a solver and some results here: http://bolson.org/dist/ Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ On Fri, 1 Sep 2006, Steve Barney wrote: It seems to me that a requirement that districts have to be convex may

Re: [EM] IRV in the news

2006-07-21 Thread Brian Olson
First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they attack you. Then you win. If this is somewhere between laughing at us and attacking us, we should be on schedule to get better election methods around here in the next couple years. :-) Also, I really hope this is reporter error and

Re: [EM] IRV in the news

2006-07-21 Thread Brian Olson
:40 PM, Jonathan Lundell wrote: At 3:28 PM -0700 7/21/06, Brian Olson wrote: Also, I really hope this is reporter error and they're not actually implementing the broken bizarro-IRV described in the article. Worse, actually. Check out their multi-seat variation. http://www.ncleg.net/sessions

Re: [EM] Competitive Districting Rule

2006-07-08 Thread Brian Olson
What's a district for? Districts achieve geographic representation on the theory that some region of people will share some concerns, or simply on the practical matter that it's administratively convenient and efficient to divvy up representatives that way.Districts have sometimes been contorted

Re: [EM] Competitive Districting Rule

2006-07-08 Thread Brian Olson
On Jul 8, 2006, at 9:26 AM, James Gilmour wrote:Brian Olson Sent: Saturday, July 08, 2006 8:53 AM I still think I want a bicameral legislature with one  districted body and one PR/proxy/asset body. If you want a bicameral legislature, why would you want one chamber elected so that it is

Re: [EM] voting reform effort in DENVER - PLEASE HELP

2006-06-11 Thread Brian Olson
Condorcet. with CSSD) Single Transferrable Vote (with droop quota and meek reweighting. for multi-seat elections) Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Real IRV Election, Disputable Result

2006-03-14 Thread Brian Olson
On Mar 12, 2006, at 8:28 AM, radio deli wrote: Dear Jan,   I saw your post on the Elections Methods List.  As a Vermont legislator, we may have to decide the issue of IRV on a statewide basis.  To be honest, I'm not very enthusiastic about IRV.  I would prefer to support the candidate (not plural)

Re: [EM] Real IRV Election, Disputable Result

2006-03-14 Thread Brian Olson
Brian Olson posted and ended up with a slightly different pairwise table: (0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (0)- 5545 6747 3991 6790 7336 (1) 3556- 5165 3397 5136 5875 (2) 1161 1289- 804 2028 3290 (3) 4763 5730 6961- 7027 7351 (4) 987 1318 1869 603- 3094 (5) 323

Re: [EM] Election Methods Web software: which ones do you know?

2005-11-23 Thread Brian Olson
Count this too: http://bolson.org/voting/vote_util/ Java, C++ and perl implementation of a bunch of methods. On Nov 23, 2005, at 6:55 AM, Anguo wrote: Hello, I'm trying to compile a small list of election methods software. I'm particularly interested in php software for the web, but

Re: [EM] Unifying behind range is tactically necessary (including for AV Condorcet advocates)

2005-08-15 Thread Brian Olson
How about this, I'm going for writing the law such that the elections official in charge can choose from a few approved, good enough, election methods. So, you pass this law once, and various places try Condorcet, IRNR, even IRV, and it's a simple thing for state or county elections

Re: [EM] exposure of flaws in voting machines

2005-07-15 Thread Brian Olson
On Jul 15, 2005, at 9:52 AM, Stephen Turner wrote:Mostly, but not only about Diebold.  I wonder how these companies stay in business.HAVA, the Help Americans Vote Act, ensures that there will be nice shiny new voting machines in every precinct in the US by November 2006. That's a few billion

Re: [EM] How to break this tie?

2005-02-10 Thread Brian Olson
%0AC%3EA3%3EA1%3EA2%3EBsystems=all Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Re: electionmethods website is cancelled

2005-01-16 Thread Brian Olson
for the proposal. Assuming the Committee found something like this acceptable, there might be little more for them to do, beyond existing. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] my 2¢ on range voting (and other pseudomajority methods)

2005-01-07 Thread Brian Olson
non-deterministic method and I'll back it up with rhetoric like people should vote, not random number generators. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Random thought on Range Voting

2005-01-03 Thread Brian Olson
) ballots. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] non-deterministic methods

2004-12-28 Thread Brian Olson
probable winner. If you've gone and added non-determinism to some method, we've now wasted a million minus one election calculations. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Re: Range Voting and Cardinal Ratings Runoff

2004-12-18 Thread Brian Olson
free, strategy free election method. I'm going to implement Gradual Approval and add it to my Election Calculator soon. Then we'll see what kind of puzzles we can dream up for it. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Range Voting and Cardinal Ratings Runoff

2004-12-16 Thread Brian Olson
: Date: Wed, 15 Dec 2004 20:30:19 -0800 From: Brian Olson [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: [EM] Is range voting the panacea we need? Straight rating summation is vulnerable to strategic voting. Perhaps in this study people voted honestly because it obviously didn't matter and so there was no incentive

Re: [EM] Is range voting the panacea we need?

2004-12-15 Thread Brian Olson
list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] IRNR slide show

2004-11-20 Thread Brian Olson
Since its my pet method, I made a slideshow explaining Instant Runoff Normalized Ratings. PDF (219KB) http://bolson.org/voting/IRNR_explaination.pdf QuickTime (2.3MB) http://bolson.org/voting/IRNR_explaination.mov Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http

[EM] San Francisco Mini-ranked vote

2004-11-14 Thread Brian Olson
counts, or whatever, here are the results: http://bolson.org/voting/sf2004/ Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] IRV in San Francisco

2004-11-11 Thread Brian Olson
=/chronicle/archive/2004/ 11/06/BAG9G9MO0L34.DTL the biggest race had 32144 votes. Between this story and all of the snafu going on with the DRE voting machines, my appraisal of the quality of software engineering in this country is going down. Even Microsoft could do better. Brian Olson http

Re: [EM] Approval vs. IRV

2004-10-18 Thread Brian Olson
On Oct 18, 2004, at 7:09 AM, Bill Clark wrote: On Fri, 15 Oct 2004 11:03:28 -0700, Brian Olson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I think I'm allergic to the use of randomness in election methods, so I don't plan on implementing such an option. The unique appealing feature of random methods

Re: [EM] Approval vs. IRV

2004-10-17 Thread Brian Olson
need some convincing of other variations. I think I'm allergic to the use of randomness in election methods, so I don't plan on implementing such an option. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Approval vs. IRV

2004-10-15 Thread Brian Olson
need some convincing of other variations. I think I'm allergic to the use of randomness in election methods, so I don't plan on implementing such an option. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Approval vs. IRV

2004-10-14 Thread Brian Olson
that this reform will involve a lot of discussions with citizens about what fairness means in a single-winner election. I naturally gravitate towards a Utilitarian measure of fairness which is make the most people the happiest or maximize social utility. I based Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election

[EM] Know Java?

2004-10-11 Thread Brian Olson
and would like your election method added, there's a pretty simple abstract class with just a couple methods to implement. See the javadoc: http://bolson.org/voting/vote_util/doc/org/bolson/vote/VotingSystem.html Happy Hacking! Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see

Re: [EM] cyclic ballots

2004-09-10 Thread Brian Olson
would guess that IRV is a good fit to Kislanko's desires from a voting system. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Why bicameralism ?

2004-09-01 Thread Brian Olson
behind-the-scene deals. As far as I can tell, the best fix is a responsive participatory democracy where people at whatever level (voter, representative) are paying some attention to what goes on in the parts they have a vote over and they vote the bums out as needed. Brian Olson http

Re: [EM] California Dreamin', Take 2

2004-08-29 Thread Brian Olson
only be workable for PR, districts have to be worked out in advance.) What if PR was such that any 200,000 votes elected a candidate? That number would have to be tuned based on expected turn out, and desired size of legislative body. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing

[EM] Fractional STV for PR

2004-08-29 Thread Brian Olson
/vote_form.html ). Although, I'll also have a similar Instant Runoff Normalized Ratings for PR there. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] RE: Definition of preferential voting

2004-08-20 Thread Brian Olson
for the same party. Or at least, So it is defined in California elections code (a pedantic document full of gaps and yet taking up over two megabytes of plain text). Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] California Proposition 62

2004-08-03 Thread Brian Olson
!). Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

[EM] Election Calculator additions: equal rankings IRV

2004-06-23 Thread Brian Olson
again. I included it for some sort of completeness, and because my front end makes no enforcement against casting tied-ranking ballots. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] proposal: weighted pairwise comparison

2004-06-11 Thread Brian Olson
around zero to use the fixed approval cutoff. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] IMHO, IRV superior to approval

2004-06-05 Thread Brian Olson
important to get one of those I approve (and not get one of those I don't approve) than to distinguish within them. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Re: Approval is not one person one vote

2004-06-05 Thread Brian Olson
think I've seen more usage of 1p1v as equal voting power. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Pseudo-election reform in California

2004-06-01 Thread Brian Olson
. Now you can have (ta dah!) Instant Runoff! Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] The new poll

2004-05-25 Thread Brian Olson
about the candidate by placing a lower and higher rating. So, on a scale of 0 to 10, I'm pretty unsure about Ralph Nader though he seems pretty good, so I'll give him a [4,8]. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Gervase Lam, ratings reply

2004-05-22 Thread Brian Olson
Rankings (no shifting, no scaling, simple summing) is equivalent (psychological/anthropological effects aside) no matter what the scale. Some rated systems behave differently if signed numbers are used or if positive-only numbers are used. OK so far? Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election

Re: [EM] difficulty of interpersonal comparisons in utility

2004-05-22 Thread Brian Olson
On May 22, 2004, at 9:54 AM, Kevin Venzke wrote: --- Brian Olson [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : Well said. This argument goes back at least as far as the canonical work by Kenneth Arrow. In laying the axioms on which his conclusions lay, he argued that you can't compare utility _between_ people. I

Re: [EM] Gervase Lam, ratings reply

2004-05-22 Thread Brian Olson
sized chunks and each uses a different strategy to modify their votes. I count an Election Method as good when the group that votes honestly has the highest average happiness (over several thousand simulated elections). Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-21 Thread Brian Olson
. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] difficulty of interpersonal comparisons in utility

2004-05-21 Thread Brian Olson
people. We declare them all to be equal. That's why the ideal has been One Man, One Vote. (Unless you're a shareholder where the system is 'one share, one vote') Given that we _can_ compare utilities between people, Rating systems become the natural basis, rather than Ranking systems. Brian

Re: [EM] Re: Efforts to Improve on CR's Strategy

2004-05-20 Thread Brian Olson
of fairness. This particular variation can still be taken advantage of. The proper vote is 1.0 for all choices with positive utility and -1.0 for all others. That maximizes my expected utility. But, the experiment as I understand it was applying various voting systems to honest preferences. Brian

Re: [EM] Efforts to improve on CR's strategy

2004-05-20 Thread Brian Olson
better)Reliability Std.(lower better)Consensus Std.(lower better) I suppose it's similar overall, but I think I see more variation in the primary statistic Average Happiness, which makes me wonder if there's some artifact in your simulator. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/

Re: [EM] IRV's majority winner. What if we let the people choose?

2004-05-19 Thread Brian Olson
should any of you like it? Breakfast for thought, good day. :-) (results calculated with http://bolson.org/voting/vote_form.html ) Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] Proxy - bicameral

2004-05-18 Thread Brian Olson
, they can speak all they want, and they'll have their vote in their own house. That's enough influence. Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info

Re: [EM] IRV's majority winner. What if we let the people choose?

2004-05-17 Thread Brian Olson
-at-the-time. (Never mind that IRV might miss the compromise choice and jump straight to what some opposing faction prefers.) Brian Olson http://bolson.org/ Election-methods mailing list - see http://electorama.com/em for list info