Re: Alternative Investment Code

1998-01-27 Thread Ed Weick



Thomas Lunde said:

I agree with your exposition that the net flow of capital outside of
communities destroys those very communities and it is with great sadness
that I and many others who had that type of childhood feel when we stop
chasing the buck for awhile and think of the childhood we had as compared
to the childhood we are currently giving our children.  My girls, know more
about the Spice Girls than they do about their great grandparents and the
50 years of community living, friendships and relationships that were
developed when small local communities existed.  If I find any consolation
in the current world situation, it is that capitalism may self destruct on
the global level and that electronic technology may destroy those great
capitalistic sumps that suck the life out of the country into cities.  The
land of my childhood is a wasteland of specialized people growing
specialized crops that are determined by the need to generate income so
they can farm larger so they can make more income.  Their life is no
different except that their "job" is in the country.  Their lifestyle is as
empty as it is for the rest of us living in the suburbs and fighting the
morning rush hour. This is all rationalized under the concepts of
opportunity - but from my standpoint, this is a word from George Orwell. 
Well, enough of my morning rant, I get frustrated with words.

The land of your childhood does sound rather wonderful.  Even though I grew
up in much the same area - all over the western provinces - mine was quite
different.  My parents were immigrants who came from eastern Europe just
before the Great Depression.  They tried to farm in Saskatchewan, but could
never quite get themselves established.  My Dad, like so many other would-be
farmers and farmers' sons of the time, rode the rods and became an itinerant
farm hand just to provide some money to keep us alive.  We followed him
around and lived wherever there was a job for a few months.  There may have
been country dances wherever we lived, but I don't remember ever attending
them.  There were undoubtedly some wealthy farmers around too, but the ones
I remember were dirt poor, so poor that they could not afford to pay my Dad
wages for the work he did, which meant we had to move on again.  Many of
them were indebted; that is, they relied on capital borrowed from others,
and since there was very little capital in the area, it must have been
imported from elsewhere.

Things changed after the war.  Farms became much more prosperous, but they
also became more mechanized and efficient.  They did not need many people.
Fortunately, capital was moving into the cities at the time, urban
population was growing, and there were plenty of jobs.  When my father
returned from overseas, we moved from a small town in rural Saskatchewan to
Winnipeg where he found employment as a carpenter.

I'm not saying that the world of your childhood was imaginary, but it was
probably quite exceptional, doomed to last for only a brief period until
economic and technological change did away with it.  You appear to view
yours with nostalgia; I would not want to relive mine.  And I'm very
thankful that I did not have to raise my children in the wretchedness of the
prairies of the 1930s.

I have not read Douthwaite, but if he is making the point that capital
should be used only where it is being generated, then I would strongly
disagree.  Capital spells opportunity for a better life.  If capital does
not move to where it is needed, people will move to where the capital is
located.  And it is very difficult to prevent them from moving.  The media
are full of stories of Mexicans trying to get into the US and of the
Americans trying to keep them out.  The same thing is going on in many other
parts of the world.  In my view it is much more humane to move capital from
surplus to deficit areas than to expect people to uproot themselves and
participate in the perils of migration.

Ed Weick





Re: Alternative Investment Code

1998-01-27 Thread Thomas Lunde


In reply to Ed:

Well, I can certainly appreciate your experience and to a large degree it
was reflected in my family as well, but you are talking about the
experiences of the depression and I was referring to the experiences of the
50's.  That two decade difference is a big difference.

I guess the personal story I was trying to tell Douthwaite was based on the
complaints I heard from my grandfather as he watched his 5 sons leave the
farm.  He maintained that it was the price the cities were willing to pay
for farm production and that because they controlled the market and the
capital, the farmer was forced to take what he could get.  Grain in a
granary has no value, so withholding his production from the market and
waiting for a better price wasn't an option.  This transfer of wealth from
primary industries in local areas is the "profit" that makes cities
possible.  Cities on their own cannot build without wood, manufacture
without metals, eat without large agriculture and that is not to say that
cities provide no benefits - it is to say that miners and loggers and
farmers don't set the price - the markets of the cities do.  And there in
lies the distortion.  People will stay on the farm or in the bush if they
can make a decent living.  That means that those small communities with
their required infrastructure create a lifestyle that is equal to the city
lifestyle and many would choose it.  The economics of capitalism and power
reduce the amount of money in the countryside while the rich in the cities
grow richer.

Now we talk of the global economy.  This idea is driven by the myth of
lower prices.  The idea as I understand it is that business should be
allowed to produce where costs are lowest and sell in markets where they
can receive the most and that this differential will provide them with a
higher rate of return on invested capital.  The glitch in this scenario is
the found through one of our fellow posters, Jay Hanson.  A global market
only works when the cost of transportation is low.  Once the true price of
gas and oil comes into effect, there will be a huge surge of capital to
local markets because goods that are carrying the price of high
transportation costs will be more expensive than goods created for local
(and by local I would generally mean within a radius of 100 miles) markets.

This is the de-massifying effect predicted by Alvin Toffler and Marshal
McLuhan.  I might add that the increase in communication technologies
assists this reversal by bringing all the advantages of the city to the
rural.  Douthwaite and I observed in our lifetime the denuding of our
respective rural communities and the massive increase of our cities.  Now,
with large hydro companies being forced to allow local generation, we can
begin to see the start of this trend.  It will happen in monoculture
agriculture as farmers find that tomatoes from Florida and California can't
compete because the cost of transportation has risen past the point of
greenhouse and hydroponic gardening using waste heat from local
co-generation.  Even things like coffee will be grown locally once the cost
of fuel rises sufficiently.

So why is all the smart money betting on globalization.  While fuel prices
are cheap, the most capital can be accumulated with a global strategy. 
When fuel prices rise, the ones with capital will be able to invest in and
dominate local economies.  For a capitalist, the strategy is always
remarkable simple - to keep your eye on the ball - always invest where the
rate of return is the largest.  These guys will have no trouble getting out
before the global collapse of trading because they are all drinking the
same brandy as the oil producers and will have advance warning on when to
convert investments into capital and re-invest locally.  The oil producers
don't care, we are a petroleum economy and we will need petroleum for local
rural communities as long as it lasts.

So, why MAI, NAFTA and other international treaty's.  If I am right, they
won't be worth the paper they are written on in 10 years as their will be
little or no global economy.  However, until then, let's weight the
roulette wheels for the highest rate of return and besides it sets up all
the investors not in the know as they see the big guys trying to protect
themselves, not realizing it is feint.

So, Ed, even though we had slightly similar experiences we have drawn
totally different conclusions.  I think that as we de-massify, which is
happening in Canada with Quebec leading the way and the rest of the
Provinces demanding more rights and more local taxes, that when the fuel
prices go up, the governmental infrastructure will be in place.  Even those
capitalists who make it into rural economies are going to have to change,
because as Douthwaite pointed out, local owners have to invest in their
community rather than taking capital out.

Respectfully,

Thomas Lunde



Re: Alternative Investment Code

1998-01-26 Thread Thomas Lunde


Dear Mr. Douthwaite:

First, let me say with unabashed admiration that I found your book "The
Growth Illusion" to be seminal in my thinking.  Second, let me apologize
for using extensive quotes from your book to post on FutureWork some of the
ideas that you have so elegantly outlined.  Third, I would ask that you
share with me any list addresses on which you post regularly as I would
like to continue to monitor and learn from the clarity of your writing.

Now, in response to your answer which was posted on FutureWork in response
to Colin and Ward, (who I do not know) regarding the ideas of external
investment.  Canada, is currently the largest country in the world with a
tiny population of less than 30 million people - it has jokingly been
referred to having a Canadian Passport as belonging to the cult of Canada,
so small is our population in regards to the 6 Billion currently in the
world.  In my case, I grew up partially on a farm in Alberta which had been
homesteaded out of wilderness by my grandfather in the 1920's.  A thriving
community with churches, community halls, schools every ten miles and small
towns of only 50 or 60 people existing for most within that 10 mile radius.
 I can clearly see them know in my mind's eye as they were in the 50's as I
traveled with Grandpa on Sunday outings, neighbor visits and purchasing
expeditions and group work projects.  In this area, from 1910 to 1950 the
small mixed farmer had opened up virgin land and built a community with
roads and services. Family's became known through several generations and
it was expected that many would stay in the area, taking over farms or
developing small businesses to serve the agricultural community and for a
mere 40 years this was true.

Now, when I go back, many of the farms have only deserted houses, there are
no local schools, the school buses take kids for a radius of over 30 miles
to what was once a village but has now grown into a small town.  The other
small towns have disappeared, often without even a sign telling where the
were.  Farmers now think nothing of hopping into the big V-8 pickup truck
to drive 20 miles to pick up a couple of pounds of nails.  Women who once
cooked meals from farm produce, now drive up to 50 miles to go shopping for
food in a supermarket and in the process they have lost the basic skills of
food preservation and food preparation.  Children do not know their
neighbors and those wonderful old country dances were the kids and
grandparents all went are things of the past, the churches have closed down
and the kids stay at home with the TV.  In fact most of them don't even
learn the farming skills of their fathers as it is accepted that an
education will lead to a good job in the city and that Dad and Mom will
sell the family farm to provide for their retirement - usually in the city.

I agree with your exposition that the net flow of capital outside of
communities destroys those very communities and it is with great sadness
that I and many others who had that type of childhood feel when we stop
chasing the buck for awhile and think of the childhood we had as compared
to the childhood we are currently giving our children.  My girls, know more
about the Spice Girls than they do about their great grandparents and the
50 years of community living, friendships and relationships that were
developed when small local communities existed.  If I find any consolation
in the current world situation, it is that capitalism may self destruct on
the global level and that electronic technology may destroy those great
capitalistic sumps that suck the life out of the country into cities.  The
land of my childhood is a wasteland of specialized people growing
specialized crops that are determined by the need to generate income so
they can farm larger so they can make more income.  Their life is no
different except that their "job" is in the country.  Their lifestyle is as
empty as it is for the rest of us living in the suburbs and fighting the
morning rush hour. This is all rationalized under the concepts of
opportunity - but from my standpoint, this is a word from George Orwell. 
Well, enough of my morning rant, I get frustrated with words.

Respectfully,

Thomas Lunde