Apakah evolusi sudah menjadi sebuah kenyataan -'natural fact' ?
Paleontologist menyatakan faunal/fossil succession sebagai 'fact' karena
'kasat' mata. Nah sekarang evolusi apakah sudah bisa dianggap sebagai fakta
alam ?

RDP
Dari US News terbaru - Cover Story 7/29/02
http://www.usnews.com/usnews/issue/020729/misc/29evo.htm
========================
A theory evolves
How evolution really works, and why it matters more than ever
By Thomas Hayden

When scientists introduced the world to humankind's earliest known ancestor
two weeks ago, they showed us more than a mere museum piece. Peering at the
7 million-year-old skull is almost like seeing a reflection of our earlier
selves. And yet that fossil represents only a recent chapter in a grander
story, beginning with the first single-celled life that arose and began
evolving some 3.8 billion years ago. Now, as the science of evolution moves
beyond guesswork, we are learning something even more remarkable: how that
tale unfolded.

Scientists are uncovering the step-by-step changes in form and function that
ultimately produced humanity and the diversity of life surrounding us. By
now, scientists say, evolution is no long-er "just a theory." It's an
everyday phenomenon, a fundamental fact of biology as real as hunger and as
unavoidable as death.
Darwin proposed his theory of evolution based on extensive observations and
cast-iron logic. Organisms produce more young than can survive, he noted,
and when random changes create slight differences between offspring,
"natural selection" tends to kill off those that are less well suited to the
environment. But Darwin's evidence was fragmentary, and with the science of
genetics yet to be invented, he was left without an explanation for how life
might actually change.
The "modern synthesis" of genetics and evolutionary theory in the 1940s
began to fill that gap. But until recently, much of evolution still felt to
nonscientists like abstract theory, often presented in ponderous tomes like
paleontologist Stephen Jay Gould's 1,464-page Structure of Evolutionary
Theory, published shortly before his death this spring. As theorists argued
over arcane points and creationists stressed uncertainties to challenge
evolution's very reality, many people were left confused, unsure what to
believe.
Nuts and bolts. But away from heated debates in schools and legislatures, a
new generation of scientists has been systematically probing the fossil
record, deciphering genomes, and scrutinizing the details of plant and
animal development. They are documenting how evolution actually worked, how
it continues to transform our world, and even how we can put it to work to
fight disease and analyze the wealth of data from genome-sequencing
projects. "The big story," says evolutionary biologist E. O. Wilson of
Harvard University, "is not in overarching, top-down theory now, but in the
details of research in the lab and in the field."
Scientists have confirmed virtually all of Darwin's postulates. For example,
Ward Watt of Stanford University has demonstrated natural selection in
action. In a hot environment, he found, butterflies with a heat-stable form
of a metabolic gene outreproduced their cousins with a form that works well
only at lower temperatures. "Darwin was more right than he knew," says Watt.
Darwin also held that new species evolve slowly, the result of countless
small changes over many generations, and he attributed the lack of
transitional forms-missing links-to the spotty nature of the fossil record.
By now many gaps have been filled. Dinosaur researchers can join hands with
bird experts, for example, their once disparate fields linked by a series of
fossils that show dinosaurs evolving feathers and giving rise to modern
birds. And last year, paleontologists announced that they had recovered
fossils from the hills of Pakistan showing, step by step, how hairy, doglike
creatures took to the sea and became the first whales.
But new research also shows that evolution works in ways Darwin did not
imagine. Many creatures still appear quite suddenly in the fossil record,
and the growing suspicion is that evolution sometimes leaps, rather than
crawls. For example, the first complex animals, including worms, mollusks,
and shrimplike arthropods, show up some 545 million years ago;
paleontologists have searched far and wide for fossil evidence of gradual
progress toward these advanced creatures but have come up empty.
"Paleontologists have the best eyes in the world," says Whitey Hagadorn of
Amherst College, who has scoured the rocks of the Southwest and California
for signs of the earliest animal life. "If we can't find the fossils,
sometimes you have to think that they just weren't there."
A new understanding of Earth's history helps explain why. Scientists have
learned that our planet has been rocked periodically by catastrophes:
enormous volcanic eruptions that belched carbon dioxide, creating a super
greenhouse effect; severe cold spells that left much of the planet enveloped
in ice; collisions with asteroids. These convulsions killed off much of
life's diversity. Once conditions improved, says Harvard paleontologist Andy
Knoll, the survivors found a world of new opportunities. They were freed to
fill new roles, "experimenting" with new body plans and evolving too rapidly
to leave a record in the fossils.
We may owe our own dominance to the asteroid impact that killed the
dinosaurs 65 million years ago. As mammals, we like to think that we're
pretty darned superior. The sad truth: "Mammals coexisted with dinosaurs for
150 million years but were never able to get beyond little ratlike things,"
says Knoll. "It was only when the dinosaurs were removed that mammals had
the ecological freedom to evolve new features."
Whether evolution worked fast or slow, theorists labored to explain how it
could produce dramatic changes in body structure through incremental steps.
Half an eye would be worse than none at all, creationists were fond of
arguing. But "partial" eyes turn out to be common in nature, and biologists
can trace eye evolution from the lensless flatworm eyespot to the complex
geometry of vertebrate eyes. Now "evo-devo" biologists, who study how
fertilized egg cells develop into adults, are discovering powerful new ways
evolution can transform organisms. They are finding that changes in a
handful of key genes that control development can be enough to drastically
reshape an animal.
Master switches. The central discovery of evo-devo is that the development
and ultimate shape of animal bodies are orchestrated by a small set of genes
called homeotic genes. These regulatory genes make proteins that act as
master switches. By binding to DNA, they turn on or shut down other genes
that actually make tissues. All but the simplest animals are built in
segments (most obvious in creatures like centipedes, but also apparent in
human vertebrae), and the Hox family of homeotic genes interacts to
determine what each segment will look like. By simple genetic tinkering,
evo-devo biologists can tweak the controls, making flies with legs where
their antennae should be, or eyeballs on their knees.
This might seem like little more than a cruel parlor trick, and the
resulting monstrosities would never survive in nature. But small changes in
these master-switch genes may help explain some major changes in
evolutionary history. This past winter, evo-devo biologists showed that an
important animal transition 400 million years ago, when many-legged
arthropods (think lobsters) gave rise to six-legged insects, was due to just
a few mutations in a Hox gene. In the past few months, researchers have
found that a change in the regulation of a growth- factor gene could have
resulted in the first vertebrate jaw. And, incredibly, researchers reported
in the journal Science last week that a single mutation in a regulatory gene
was enough to produce mice with brains that had an unusually large, wrinkled
cerebral cortex resembling our own. (No word, though, on whether the mutant
mice gained smarts.)
Some critics of evolution argue that animals are so complex and their parts
so interconnected that any change big enough to produce a new species would
cause fatal failures. Call it the Microsoft conundrum. But just as Judge
Thomas Penfield Jackson managed to delete that company's Web browser on his
own computer without crashing the operating system, evo-devo biologists are
learning how evolution can tweak one part of an animal while leaving
everything else alone. The key to modifying the machine of life while it's
running, says biologist Sean Carroll of the University of Wisconsin-
Madison, is mutations in the stretches of DNA that homeotic proteins bind
to.
"If you change a Hox protein, you might mess up the whole body," says
Carroll. "But if you change a control element, you can change a part as
small as a bristle or a fingernail." He explains that genetic accidents can
set the stage by duplicating segments, creating spares that are free to
evolve while the other segments carry on with their original function.
Biologists now believe that appendages like insect wings and the proboscis a
mosquito jabs you with evolved from spare leg segments.
Making do. This process may be rapid, but it's not elegant. Instead of
inventing new features from scratch, evolution works with what it has,
modifying existing structures by trial and error. The result is a messy
legacy of complicated biochemical pathways and body parts that are more
serviceable than sleekly designed. Although proponents of intelligent design
hold that organisms are too "perfect" to have arisen by chance, science
shows that organisms don't work perfectly at all; they just work.
While many scientists busy themselves figuring out the history and mechanics
of evolution, others are already putting it to use. Jonathan Eisen of the
Institute for Genomic Research in Rockville, Md., deciphers the information
stored in organisms' genomes for clues to their ancestry and how they
function. For him, evolution is as critical a tool as DNA-sequencing
machines and supercomputers. "If I didn't approach everything with an
evolutionary perspective," says Eisen, "I'd miss out on most of the
information."
That's because genomes are the handiwork of evolution, and their origin can
be key to making sense of them. Researchers analyzing the human genome, for
example, reported finding a series of human genes that were also common in
bacteria but absent from invertebrates like fruit flies. They concluded that
bacterial genes had infiltrated vertebrate animals, helping to shape our
genetic identity. But the explanation turned out to be more mundane. Knowing
how evolution often prunes away unneeded genes, Eisen and several others
showed most of the suspect genes had simply been dropped during the
evolutionary history of flies. The moral of the story: "I'm begging people
to treat evolution as a science and not just tack it on as an explanation
afterwards," says Eisen.
Arms race. For microbiologist Richard Lenski, evolution is an obvious
reality. Since 1988, the Michigan State University professor has been
following 12 populations of the bacterium E. coli. With a new generation
every 3.5 hours or so, this is evolution on fast-forward. The populations
were once genetically identical, but each has adapted in its own way to the
conditions in its test-tube home. The same speedy adaptation, unfortunately,
can be readily seen in hospitals, where powerful antibiotics provide a major
selective advantage for bacteria that evolve resistance. As bacterial
evolution outwits one antibiotic after another, notes Harvard evolutionary
biologist Stephen Palumbi, treating infections has become an evolutionary
arms race. "It's a cycle of escalation, and the entity that can make the
last turn of the cycle wins," says Palumbi. "So far, there's no indication
that it's going to be us." The answer, he says, is not just new antibiotics
but new strategies based on evolution.
"The key is to tip the balance of selection in favor of mild organisms,"
says evolutionary biologist Paul Ewald of Amherst College. That can mean
measures as simple as having doctors scrub their hands to prevent the spread
of the dangerous, antibiotic-resistant strains from their sickest patients.
Making life difficult for virulent microbes can actually guide the species'
evolution, weeding out the most harmful variants. In the case of malaria,
the trick is keeping mosquitoes away from people bedridden with virulent
strains. "If you mosquito-proof the houses," says Ewald, "then only people
walking around outside can spread the disease, and that will be a mild
form."
Evolutionary theorists may be able to guess how specific microbes will
evolve, but not the fate of the whole panoply of life. "You can't predict
what organisms will look like millions of years from now," says Knoll.
Chance events, small and large, make all the difference, as mutations arise
at random and unpredictable mass extinctions set life on a new course.
One mass extinction is easy to foresee: the one already underway because of
our logging and paving and polluting. Things don't look good for most large
mammals-they can't compete with us for space and resources. The outlook is
brighter for species that depend on humans, like farm animals and crop
plants, as well as rats and cockroaches. But this mass extinction is
different from the last, 65 million years ago. "The day after the meteorite
hit," says Knoll, "the planet started to heal. The problem now doesn't go
away. It gets bad and it stays bad as long as our evolutionary history
continues."
God and man. Which brings us to one final result of evolution, the odd,
upright, and curiously self-obsessed ape in the mirror. We've turned the
tables on evolution, curing diseases and changing our environment to suit
us, rather than the other way around. But don't think that frees us from
further evolutionary changes. Incurable epidemics that strike the young are
still a powerful selective force. A mutation that boosted resistance to HIV,
for example, could spread quickly by allowing those who have it to survive
and have children. "We continue to accumulate mutations," says Sarah
Tishkoff, a geneticist at the University of Maryland. "But we're altering
evolution." Assisted reproduction allows some people to beat natural
selection, she notes, while birth control gives an evolutionary leg up to
those who don't use it.
A quick survey of the human condition reveals any number of desirable
improvements-surely evolution could take care of hernias and osteoporosis
and the appendix, which serves no greater purpose than to become inflamed?
But those annoyances usually don't keep the annoyed from passing on their
genes. And with precious little geographic isolation-one of the main drivers
of speciation-left in our global village, we'll probably have to wait until
a space colony gets cut off for several thousand generations before a new
human species evolves.
Of course, it's the idea that human beings themselves are products of
evolution that provokes most of the attacks on evolution. Such rejections
leave most scientists mystified."The scientific narrative of the history of
life is as exciting and imbued with mystery as any other telling of that
story," says Knoll. The evidence against evolution amounts to little more
than "I can't imagine it," Ewald adds. "That's not evidence. That's just
giving up."
Many researchers simply ignore the debates and press on with their work. But
as evolution becomes an applied science, others say it's more urgent than
ever to defend its place in the schools. "HIV is one of the world's most
aggressively evolving organisms," says Palumbi. If it weren't for the
virus's adaptability, which helps it foil the body's defenses and many
drugs, "we would have kicked HIV in the teeth 15 years ago." But doctors
don't learn about evolution in medical school, he says, leaving them about
as well prepared to combat HIV as a flat-Earth astronomer would be to plan a
moon shot.
"Somewhere in high school in this country is a student who's going to cure
AIDS," Palumbi says. "That student is going to have to understand
evolution."
With Jessica Ruvinsky, Dan Gilgoff, and Rachel K. Sobel


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