Dear MARMAM colleagues,

On behalf of my co-authors, I am pleased to share our new publication
in Aquatic
Conservation - Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems:

Looking for reliable Species Distribution Models for low-density cetacean
species: compared effectiveness of SDMs for *G.griseus, G.melas,
Z.cavirostris* in the Mediterranean Sea based on long-term fixed-transect
data.

The EU regulative framework for the protection of marine biodiversity and
habitats requires the assessment of species' conservation status and the
identification of core habitats to design adequate conservation and
management plans. However, the identification of distribution range and
habitat-use of pelagic large-range, migratory species, such as cetaceans,
is challenging.

Species distribution models (SDMs) are increasingly used in conservation
planning to identify species priority areas. However, the quality of SDMs
varies widely depending on the representativeness of data and the
appropriateness of the modelling techniques.

Since 2007, the Fixed Line Transect Mediterranean Monitoring Network (FLT
Med Net) has been continuously monitoring cetaceans throughout the year in
the Mediterranean basin using passenger ferries as observation platforms
that perform repetitive surveys along fixed trans-border transects. 4. With
the aim of defining a standard analytical approach, the data collected by
the FLT Med Net on rarer Mediterranean cetacean species (i.e., *Grampus
griseus*, *Globicephala melas*, *Ziphius cavirostris*) are used here to
assess the performance of commonly used SDMs, including GLM, GAM,
GAM-Negative Binomial, GAM tweedy, MaxEnt and Random Forest. Models were
built and evaluated using a total of 296 FLT Med Net sighting data and
cross-validated using 145 independent data points.

Under testing conditions, almost all methods exhibited good performance,
with Random Forest being the best model in several cases. However, when
evaluated with the independent dataset, many models yielded inconsistent
results or notably low performance. Only MaxEnt demonstrated consistent
efficiency and reliability in both cases, showing results less affected by
unequal sampling or small sample size.

Arcangeli A., Azzolin M., Babey L., David L., Garcia-Garin O., Moulin A.,
Rosso M., Scuderi A., Tepsich P., Vighi and Orasi A. (2024) Looking for
reliable Species Distribution Models for low-density cetacean species:
compared effectiveness of SDMs for *G.griseus, G.melas, Z.cavirostris* in
the Mediterranean Sea based on long-term fixed-transect data. Aquatic
Conservation: Marine and Freshwater Ecosystems. DOI:10.1002/aqc.4115



Please, feel free to ask for a copy to me at
antonella.arcang...@isprambiente.it or through ResearchGate.



All the best,

Antonella, Marta, Lucy, Lea, Odey, Aurelie, Massimiliano, Alessia, Paola,
Morgana, and Arianna
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