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t should be remembered that after the First Budget  and Shorten's
triumphant reply, there was something of a potential chiasmus in Australian
politics.  Had the Labor Party turned anti-Austerity? Was it going to
reverse the terms of the Government's policies? If it had done so it could
have swept the Liberal Party out of office at the state and eventually at
the federal level.

Shorten alarmed at his own popularity hastened to reassure the bosses that
he was still 'pro-reform'.

John is right. Shorten's backtracking and compromising and weasel words
might smooth the way for a return of an Abbott government in 2016. But I am
inclined to think not.  The economy is probably going into a recession. And
the international slump that Michael Roberts et al are forecasting for
2016, might eventuate and then all bets would be off.
The truth is as Bill Mitchell as argued, Labor Parties and social
democratic formations have lost their *raison d'etre*, when they abandoned
Keynesianism in the mid 70s. The British Labour Prime Minister, Jim
Callaghan's words at the 1976 Labour Party conference, marked the turn to
neo-classical "solutions". He said
"We used to think you could spend your way out of recession and increase
employment by boosting government spending. “I tell you, in all candour
that that option no longer exists. And in so far as it ever did exist, it
only worked on each occasion… by injecting a bigger dose of inflation into
the economy, followed by a higher level of unemployment as the next step."
The Whitlam government in Australia had capitulated earlier with
a conservative budget in 1975.

So that is where we are today. We have a public that longs for an
anti-austerity party and three big parties (Liberals, Labor and Greens),
that are wedded to neo-liberalism.  It is impossible to say what will break
the log jam. Another crisis on the level of 2009, might do it. Events in
Southern Europe will also have an impact. The combined fates of Sinn Fein,
the SNP, Podemos and Syriza will all have a role to play, I believe (hope?).

We should also note that there is something of a crisis among the
intelligentsia. Krugman, Stiglitz, Wolf and Galbraith have all in their
differing ways helped Keynesian ideas re-emerge from exile.But I wold not
put too much hope in that lot.  We will see what the people have to offer.

ae

Gary

On Wed, Jun 3, 2015 at 8:33 AM, John Passant via Marxism <
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu> wrote:

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>
> How did Tony Abbott end up as Australia's Prime Minister?
>
> There is a continuity in our politics. We have two parties of
> neoliberalism who argue over the detail.  The first and arguably most
> successful governments of neoliberalism (most successful from the point of
> view of the bosses) were the Hawke and Keating Labor governments. Hawke and
> Keating and their neoliberalism made Howard acceptable. Rudd and Gillard
> and their neoliberalism made Abbott acceptable. Shorten and co and their
> neoliberalism are making Abbott potentially re-electable.
>
>
> http://enpassant.com.au/2015/06/02/how-did-tony-abbott-end-up-as-australias-prime-minister/
>
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