Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-13 Thread Brandon Butterworth
So assuming router state based multicast, how do you bill on that if the stream is exploded on the opposite end of, or in the middle of, a transit network? You're likely getting it from a settlement free peer at the request of your customer who has paid for you to deliver it to them. You can

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Gadi Evron
On Mon, 12 Feb 2007, Hank Nussbacher wrote: At 10:02 PM 11-02-07 -0500, Daniel Senie wrote: IP Multicast as a solution to video distribution is a non-starter. IP Multicast for the wide area is a failure. It assumes large numbers of people will watch the same content at the same

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Brandon Butterworth
IP Multicast as a solution to video distribution is a non-starter. IP Multicast for the wide area is a failure. It assumes large numbers of people will watch the same content at the same time. They do. Sure it degrades to effective unicast if too few people watch the same channel in the

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Geo.
a point in the technology relatively soon where a movie can be shipped across the net for about the same cost as postage today. You mean like fileshare networks have been doing for years now? The delivery model is already functional. Geo.

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Geo.
10 or 1000 channels it's going to be better than not using it. I don't see the logic in using it for nothing because it's not good for some things. Multicast isn't going to help the phoneco atm network. Whatever model emerges will only work if it works all the way to the end user. If you

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Brandon Butterworth
Multicast isn't going to help the phoneco atm network. Indeed, people keep quoting that but it's a bogus argument as nothing will help the phoneco atm network running out of bandwidth other than upgrading it That is happening, unicast/p2p/multicast/whatever, as all this content is raising

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Joe Abley
On 12-Feb-2007, at 09:23, Brandon Butterworth wrote: Sure it degrades to effective unicast if too few people watch the same channel in the same area (so just use unicast for those channels), that doesn't mean it's no use for the popular channels that have millions of viewers. I think

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Brandon Butterworth
I think you're presupposing that the concept of channels is something that will persist. For some time. There's quite an industry with an interest in maintaining that. It probably won't vanish until the current generations die. Channel based and discrete delivery of content (radio vs

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread bmanning
On Mon, Feb 12, 2007 at 06:42:06AM -0500, Joe Abley wrote: On 12-Feb-2007, at 09:23, Brandon Butterworth wrote: Sure it degrades to effective unicast if too few people watch the same channel in the same area (so just use unicast for those channels), that doesn't mean it's no use for

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Joel Jaeggli
Paul Vixie wrote: (i'm guessing kc will be on the phone soon, to get from them their data?) While I'm sure people were looking for headlines, I think the broader implication in the report was current pricing power not supporting new investment. ... A recent report from Deloitte said 2007

RE: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread michael.dillon
[Perhaps my viewpoint is skewed because channel-delivered TV content in Canada is horrible; it's almost as bad as American TV. I seem to think that broadcast TV in the UK more tolerable, although I haven't really seen it since I left the UK in the mid 90s so perhaps I'm just

Fwd: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Alexander Harrowell
-- Forwarded message -- From: Alexander Harrowell [EMAIL PROTECTED] Date: Feb 12, 2007 4:13 PM Subject: Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11 To: Paul Vixie [EMAIL PROTECTED] Paul, that's very interesting. A query: AMT Site: A multicast-enabled network not

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Marshall Eubanks
Hello; On Feb 12, 2007, at 11:15 AM, Alexander Harrowell wrote: -- Forwarded message -- From: Alexander Harrowell [EMAIL PROTECTED] Date: Feb 12, 2007 4:13 PM Subject: Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11 To: Paul Vixie [EMAIL PROTECTED] Paul, that's

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Paul Vixie
[EMAIL PROTECTED] (Geo.) writes: Multicast isn't going to help the phoneco atm network. ... nothing can help, or for that matter save, the phoneco atm network. -- Paul Vixie

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Randy Bush
nothing can help, or for that matter save, the phoneco atm network. atm and frame relay do not need saving. they tend to be profitable. but the everything over mpls folk are managing to save them anyway, turning operating profit into capital expense to the vendors. brilliant. randy

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Peter Beckman
On Mon, 12 Feb 2007, Paul Vixie wrote: I never quite understood why layered multicast never took off which would solved the problems you state above. There have been so many research papers on the subject from the late 90s that I would have thought that by now IPmc would be the silver bullet

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Scott Weeks
--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: ... A recent report from Deloitte said 2007 could be the year the internet approaches capacity, with demand outstripping supply. It predicted bottlenecks in some of the net's backbones as the amount of data overwhelms the size of the pipes. ... Beware, the end is

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Hank Nussbacher
On Mon, 12 Feb 2007, Peter Beckman wrote: NBC can now stream their shows to me as a .mp4 and I could grab them as fast as they could send it, rather than in realtime. They might offer the same stream at different data rates: 1mbps, 5mbps, 10mbps, 30mbps (for those of us lucky enough to have

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-12 Thread Todd Vierling
On 2/13/07, Hank Nussbacher [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I've seen this in action as far back as 1998 and just don't quite grok why it never took off. Let me paraphrase a couple folks who summed it all up very nicely: So assuming router state based multicast, how do you bill on that if the

death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Paul Vixie
(i'm guessing kc will be on the phone soon, to get from them their data?) ... A recent report from Deloitte said 2007 could be the year the internet approaches capacity, with demand outstripping supply. It predicted bottlenecks in some of the net's backbones as the amount of data overwhelms the

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Chris L. Morrow
On Sun, 11 Feb 2007, Paul Vixie wrote: (i'm guessing kc will be on the phone soon, to get from them their data?) ... A recent report from Deloitte said 2007 could be the year the internet approaches capacity, with demand outstripping supply. It predicted bottlenecks in some of the

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread brett watson
On Feb 11, 2007, at 10:58 AM, Chris L. Morrow wrote: perhaps next time the news folks could ask someone who runs a network what the problems are that face network operators? they did ask one, you must have missed this from the article: Verisign, the American firm which provides the

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Paul Vixie
-Chris, still-waiting-for-the-rapture, wrote as follows: (or did I miss the hue and cry on nanog-l about full pipes and no more fiber to push traffic over? wasn't there in fact a hue and cry about a 1) fiber glut, 2) only 4% of all fiber actually lit?) :-). however, you did seem to miss the

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Jim Mercer
On Sun, Feb 11, 2007 at 11:14:49AM -0700, brett watson wrote: On Feb 11, 2007, at 10:58 AM, Chris L. Morrow wrote: perhaps next time the news folks could ask someone who runs a network what the problems are that face network operators? they did ask one, you must have missed this from the

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Gadi Evron
On Sun, 11 Feb 2007, Paul Vixie wrote: (i'm guessing kc will be on the phone soon, to get from them their data?) Any of us with any sense know the Internet could potentially die tomorrow morning. Any of us with any sense know it could be done in any number of ways, ranging from relatively

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Gadi Evron
On Sun, 11 Feb 2007, Chris L. Morrow wrote: because people can't get more pipe? perhaps next time the news folks could ask someone who runs a network what the problems are that face network operators? (or did I miss the hue and cry on nanog-l about full pipes and no more fiber to push

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Geo.
:-). however, you did seem to miss the hue and cry about how ALL YOUR BASE ARE BELONG TO GOOGLE now. a smattering of this can be found at: Has anyone considered that perhaps google is not looking at beating Microsoft but instead at beating TIVO, ABC, CBS, Warner Cable, etc? You can't

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Chris L. Morrow
On Sun, 11 Feb 2007, brett watson wrote: they did ask one, you must have missed this from the article: Verisign, the American firm which provides the backbone for much of the net, including domain names .com and .net,... I forgot that new IP over POS over DNS over IP over POS

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Paul Vixie
Has anyone considered that perhaps google is not looking at beating Microsoft but instead at beating TIVO, ABC, CBS, Warner Cable, etc? sure, but... You can't possibly believe that there is enough bandwidth to stream HD video to everyone, that's just not going to happen any time soon.

RE: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Joseph Jackson
I didn't know verisign was a transit provider. Anyone use em? -Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of brett watson Sent: Sunday, February 11, 2007 10:15 AM To: nanog@merit.edu Subject: Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at

RE: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Joseph Jackson
My CIO is convinced that Google is going to take over the internet and everyone will pay google for access. He also believes that google will release their own protocol some sort of Google IP which everyone will have to pay for also. -Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Mark Newton
On Sun, Feb 11, 2007 at 02:39:04PM -0800, Joseph Jackson wrote: My CIO is convinced that Google is going to take over the internet and everyone will pay google for access. He also believes that google will release their own protocol some sort of Google IP which everyone will have to pay

RE: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread william(at)elan.net
On Sun, 11 Feb 2007, Joseph Jackson wrote: My CIO is convinced that Google is going to take over the internet and everyone will pay google for access. He also believes that google will release their own protocol some sort of Google IP which everyone will have to pay for also. You mean like

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread David W. Hankins
On Sun, Feb 11, 2007 at 11:14:49AM -0700, brett watson wrote: Verisign, the American firm which provides the backbone for much of the net, including domain names .com and .net,... IP over domain name registration? -- David W. HankinsIf you don't do it right the first time,

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Geo.
do what google is presumably doing (lots of fiber), or would they put some capital and preorder into IDMR? IDMR is great if you're a broadcaster or a backbone, but how does it help the last 2 miles, the phoneco ATM network or the ISP network where you have 10k different users watching 10k

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Frank Coluccio
I believe that the element that has been missing in this discussion thus far has been the source (content) players, and where they are hiding. CDNs, a la Akamai, Limelight, etc., will take up some of the slack and mitigate much of the backbone burden where legitimate ISPs are concerned, as will

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Gadi Evron
On Mon, 12 Feb 2007, David W. Hankins wrote: On Sun, Feb 11, 2007 at 11:14:49AM -0700, brett watson wrote: Verisign, the American firm which provides the backbone for much of the net, including domain names .com and .net,... IP over domain name registration? We already had Video

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Stephen Sprunk
Thus spake Daniel Senie [EMAIL PROTECTED] At 02:57 PM 2/11/2007, Paul Vixie wrote: ...wouldn't there be, if interdomain multicast existed and had a billing model that could lead to a compelling business model? right now, to the best of my knowledge, all large multicast flows are still

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Matthew Sullivan
Owen DeLong wrote: Today IPTV is in its infancy and is strictly a novelty for early adopters. As the technology matures and as the market develops an understanding of the possibilities creating pressure on manufacturers and content providers to offer better, it will gradually become

Re: death of the net predicted by deloitte -- film at 11

2007-02-11 Thread Paul Vixie
[EMAIL PROTECTED] (Geo.) writes: IDMR is great if you're a broadcaster or a backbone, but how does it help the last 2 miles, the phoneco ATM network or the ISP network where you have 10k different users watching 10k different channels?