Jim D writes:

(2) if the long-term growth rate of labor productivity accelerates, 
then a constant growth rate of real GDP can be associated with a falling 
growth rate of employment (labor-power demand). The growth rate of 
employment may fall below that of the labor force, causing unemployment to rise; 
more likely, unemployment won't fall. 

The possibility of the latter type of "jobless growth" might be 
happening now in the US as, to paraphrase the hype, "the information revolution 
is finally paying off as companies are finally figuring out how to use 
those PCs."  However, the solution to this kind of "jg" would simply be to 
have faster growth of real GDP (ignoring the environmental effects of 
such acceleration).

COMMENT: This explains why productivity growth which was faster than 
employment growth didn't produce unemployment in Doug H's historical 
examples.  Consumption increased correspondingly.  I'm surprised that 
Tom W. hasn't pointed out that the alternative to the increase in 
consumption is the contraction in the work week (the alternative 
pursued at the turn of the century in response to rising 
productivity).  The implication here is that in the absence of a 
declining work week or rising standards of material consumption ANY 
productivity growth, accelerating or not, (even decelerating), will 
be jobless growth.

Terry McDonough


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