This will be the last forward this month. It is VACATION TIME! Dave Richardson ---------- BLS DAILY REPORT, TUESDAY, AUGUST 13, 1996 RELEASED TODAY: CONSUMER PRICE INDEX -- On a seasonally adjusted basis, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 0.3 percent in July, following a 0.1 percent increase in June. The energy index, which turned down in June after increasing 9.4 percent in the preceding 6-month period, declined 0.4 percent in July ....The food index rose 0.5 percent in July, reflecting, in part, another sharp increase in prices for dairy products. Excluding food and energy, the CPI rose 0.3 percent, following a 0.2 percent increase in June. The slightly larger advance in July was due to a jump in shelter costs, which partially resulted from a rise in the cost of lodging while out of town .... REAL EARNINGS -- Real average weekly earnings fell by 1.5 percent from June to July after seasonal adjustment. This decrease followed a sharp increase in June (2.2 percent). The large decrease in July resulted from declines in both average weekly hours and average hourly earnings, coupled with a rise in the CPI-W ....Real average weekly earnings fell by 0.4 percent from July 1995 to July 1996 .... Three years ago, more than a dozen big brand-name drug companies issued a joint pledge: We will hold "price increases at or below the consumer price index," they said, in a formal statement (The Washington Post, page D1). They made the promise during a national debate over escalating health care costs ....A survey of current pricing of all drugs, brand name and generic, suggests that the pledge has been kept, though in large part because, on average, generic drug prices have been falling. Still, some consumer groups and drug stores are unhappy, because prices of some categories of drugs, including many of the most popular prescription products, have risen much faster than inflation ....The article uses numbers calculated by IMS America Inc., a pharmaceutical market research firm that is viewed by many on both sides of the debate as having the best price data, for comparisons with the CPI. A controversial new paper suggesting that a little bit of inflation may be good for the economy has people talking at the Federal Reserve (The Wall Street Journal, page A2). The Brookings Institution paper, which says the economy wouldn't function efficiently at zero inflation, adds fuel to a debate both inside and outside the Fed over whether policy makers should drive inflation even lower than it is now. The paper suggests the economic and social costs of getting to zero inflation, or "price stability," would be far higher than most economists believe .... DUE OUT TOMORROW: Productivity and Costs: Second Quarter 1996