(The Devine) Jim responded to my comments about the illogicality
of heterodox economists even accepting NRU OR Nairu as the basis
of macroeconomic debate by talking about shifts in the institutions
governing the labour market and the effect that this can have on
the trade-off between inflational and unemployment.  Now, of
course, no one can deny that institution change can improve or
reduce the efficiency of the trade-off i.e. can shift the
Phillips curve (though I reject the sexist and classist explanations
for the shift offered by orthodox economists as explained in my
last post).

But Jim seems to ignore the whole point I was trying to make.
Whether one is talking Nairu or NRU, you have to accept a
VERTICAL PHILLIPS CURVE by definition.  There is no trade-off.
Nairu stands for Non-accellerating inflation rate of unemployment.
i.e. below that unemployment rate inflation must continue to
accelerate so that attempting to reduce that level of unemployment
will automatically accelerate into runaway inflation until that
Nairu rate of unem. is reestablished at which the rate of
inflation will stabilize.  That means you can not reduce
unemployment through macro policy without first changing the
institutions (destroying unions, capping wages, reducing minimum
wages, UI payments, deregulating labour markets, etc., all the
elements of the neo-con agenda.)

This is what is so dangerous in accepting this approach.  Now with
Bill M's, my own, and someone else on the list that posted on this
the "class stuggle rate of unemployment", this problem is averted
because it isn't the rate of unemployment that is the determinant,
but rather the rate of inflation acceptable to the capos which
is also compable with the minimum rate of profits acceptable to the
capos.  It forces the debate onto not why wages and employment must
be contained, but why profits and rentier income have accelerated
to the point where unemployment has had to rise to keep wages down
so that productivity gains can be expropriated virtually entirely
by property.

Paul Phillips,
economics,
University of Manitoba


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