Top 1% earn as much as the poorest 57%

Larry Elliott and Charlotte Denny
Friday January 18, 2002
The Guardian

The world's richest 50m people earn as much as the poorest
2.7bn and may soon be forced to live in heavily protected
gated communities to escape the resentment of the billions
living below the poverty line, a senior World Bank
economist warns today.

Research from Branko Milanovic, published today in the
Economic Journal, shows a staggering increase in global
inequality, which has been rising as rapidly
internationally as in Britain under Mrs Thatcher.

In a wide ranging study covering 85% of the world's
population from 91 countries, Mr Milanovic has found that
the richest 1% of the world have income equivalent to the
poorest 57%.

Four fifths of the world's population live below what
countries in North America and Europe consider the poverty
line. The poorest 10% of Americans are still better off
than two-thirds of the world population.

"We can wonder how long such huge inequalities may persist
in the face of ever closer contacts, not least through
television and movies, where opulent lifestyles of the rich
influence expectations and often breed resentment among the
poor," said Mr Milanovic.

"Should it be of concern to the rich? Perhaps, if we
believe that wide income gaps lead to immigration and
resentment breeds terrorism. For ultimately, the rich may
have to live in gated communities while the poor roam the
world outside those few enclaves."

Mr Milanovic said there were three main reasons for the
increase in global inequality. Firstly there has been a
growing gulf between sluggish rural incomes in Africa and
several populous Asian countries such as India and
Bangladesh compared with the rich west.

Secondly the shock treatment administered to the former
Soviet Union and its satellites in eastern Europe emptied
out the global "middle class". Before the fall of the
Berlin wall, most citizens in socialist countries had
incomes between those in the rich west and the impoverished
south.

Finally, China's embrace of the market economy has opened
up a divide between more affluent urban dwellers and poor
farmers in the world's most populous country.

Mr Milanovic's research compares inequality in 1988 with
the position five years later. However, he has since used
1998 data to check his findings and said that the level of
inequality globally has remained the same.

The study used a measure of inequality known as the Gini
coefficient which uses a scale from zero to 100 where zero
is a completely equal country and 100 is a country where
one person has all the money.

Mr Milanovic said that the world's Gini coefficient was
66 - double that in Britain - and equivalent to 66% of
people having zero income and the remaining 34% dividing
the entire world among themselves equally.




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