Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-23 Thread Mark Jones
valis wrote: Is this comment (and I agree with the part about America) meant to support orthodox revolution as an option, or does it intend something else? I don't believe in the permanence of capitalism, if that's what you mean. But I do not know, and I don't think anyone does, how things

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-23 Thread valis
Quoth Mark Jones, in conclusion: The plain fact is that the German/Japanese mercantilist model has failed. These countries are going to approximate more to the Anglo-Saxon model. The idea that America can on the contrary be pushed in the direction of socially-inclusive 'welfareist'

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-18 Thread Wojtek Sokolowski
At 07:44 PM 3/17/98 +, Mark Jones wrote: You need a long spoon to sup with the IBRD, it's true. However, propaganda which relies upon publicly abandoning the most significant indicator of market-driven progress is pretty double-edged. It's tacitly abandoning the capitalist dream

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread Rosser Jr, John Barkley
Doug, Would you say the same critical things about the UN's Quality of Life Index (QLI)? BTW, those have generally shown pretty good conditions for officially socialist countries. Cuba does pretty well compared with other Latin American nations. They even had North Korea about even

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread Mark Jones
You need a long spoon to sup with the IBRD, it's true. However, propaganda which relies upon publicly abandoning the most significant indicator of market-driven progress is pretty double-edged. It's tacitly abandoning the capitalist dream altogether. Doug, do you know any insiders at

Re: UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread PJM0930
In a message dated 98-03-17 05:07:29 EST, you write: definitely was going to sink? However, if you consult the archives of Marxism-International, you will see that the alternatives are what we talk about all the time. M Good, I am glad someone has it all worked out then.

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: Would you say the same critical things about the UN's Quality of Life Index (QLI)? BTW, those have generally shown pretty good conditions for officially socialist countries. Cuba does pretty well compared with other Latin American nations. They even had

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: The fact is that GDP does not correlate in any definite way to welfare. Even the World Bank recognises this, since it doesn't rely on GDP figures any more as an idnex of client welfare. The trend to replace GDP with GPI (Genuine Progress Indicator) ... You've got to be

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread Anthony D'costa
One of my reservations about the PPP technique is that I'm convinced that the IMF and such use it to make global comparisons less embarrassing. Zimbabwe's PPP at $2,030 sounds a lot better than its cash income at $540 (World Bank figures). Even so, Zim's PPP income was 8.6% of the US's in 1987,

Re: UK Decay

1998-03-17 Thread Mark Jones
I know this is going to sound hackneyed, but isn't 'And your alternative?' more or less what Ismay asked the captain when told the Titanic definitely was going to sink? However, if you consult the archives of Marxism-International, you will see that the alternatives are what we talk about all

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-16 Thread Mark Jones
Doug Henwood wrote: One of my reservations about the PPP technique is that I'm convinced that the IMF and such use it to make global comparisons less embarrassing. Zimbabwe's PPP at $2,030 sounds a lot better than its cash income at $540 (World Bank figures). Even so, Zim's PPP income was

Re: UK Decay

1998-03-16 Thread PJM0930
In a message dated 98-03-16 15:05:29 EST, you write: Of course, the social market economy, like all the social-democratic fantasies which Dennis seems to share, are forms of accommodation by corrupted proletariats to big capital, and are therefore obstacles to achieving socialism and nto

Re: UK Decay

1998-03-16 Thread Mark Jones
Some posts of mine are slow getting thru, but I've already now commented at length on the PPP question. However: Dennis R Redmond wrote: As Doug's post pointed out, the market GDP of Germany is, in per capita terms, indeed much higher than that of the UK. Less than $3k pa is so marginal as

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-16 Thread Doug Henwood
Rakesh Bhandari wrote: In terms of those figures does the Japanese GDP per capita income on the basis of PPP remain almost 20% lower than the US? Yes. US at $26,438, Japan at $21,795. At any rate, it is a bit obscene that the focus remains almost solely on such comparisons within the imperial

Re: UK Decay

1998-03-16 Thread Dennis R Redmond
On Sun, 15 Mar 1998, Mark Jones wrote: The CIA world factbook (1995 figs which do not reflect recent devaluation of the DM, appreciation of sterling) tells the following story: GDP: Germany: purchasing power parity - $1.4522 trillion (1995 est.) western: purchasing power parity - $1.3318

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-15 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
Western German unemployment would be roughly 7%, if not for the annexation of the former GDR. Oh, one would have thought that as a result of the annexation growing numbers of people, engaged in a more intensive division of labor, would have have faciliated a growth in productivity which would

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-15 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
take on the ex-Axis powers is way too optimistic, but we have the OECD's latest estimates of market and PPP figures, as well as the IMF's latest, contradicting you. Has something happened in the last 6 months to turn this all upside down? In terms of those figures does the Japanese GDP per

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: And the IMF has yet another set of data (more favourable to the UK, too). Not sure what the point of this is except to show that figures can vary. Yes, obviously, UK pc GDP is now higher than FRG, by ANY test, and 10 yrs after absorbing GDR, maybe it's not just tongue

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-15 Thread Mark Jones
.And the IMF has yet another set of data (more favourable to the UK, too). Not sure what the point of this is except to show that figures can vary. Yes, obviously, UK pc GDP is now higher than FRG, by ANY test, and 10 yrs after absorbing GDR, maybe it's not just tongue in cheek of me to

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: Western German unemployment would be roughly 7%, if not for the annexation of the former GDR. Britain's low unemployment is due to sleazy Tory redefinitions of the unemployed and a vicious war on the poor, which have driven people off the welfare rolls and into the nether

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-15 Thread Mark Jones
Dennis R Redmond wrote: according to the official OECD statistics -- about as mainstream as you'll ever find -- the index of UK growth from 1989-96 was around 106 (meaning, the economy was 6% larger in 1996 than in 1989) while the index of German growth was around 112. Per capita GDP

UK Decay

1998-03-14 Thread Dennis R Redmond
On Sat, 14 Mar 1998, Mark Jones wrote: Between 1995 2nd qtr and 1997 2nd qtr (IMF figs) UK interest rates remained at 108-110 basis points above German long-term rates. In the same period the pound rose from an average 2.20 DM to peak at 3.04 DM. The Italian lira in the same period

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-14 Thread Mark Jones
Dennis wrote: Markets can be pretty irrational, not just for months but for years. This is a cop-out. Markets are neither rational nor irrational. They exist and what occurs is susceptible of explanation. Short-term bobs in interest rates aren't the same thing as long-term trends. The

Re: social-democratic illusions/ was UK Decay

1998-03-14 Thread Dennis R Redmond
On Sat, 14 Mar 1998, Mark Jones wrote: Germany is now a balance of payments deficit country with high unemployment and low growth. The UK by contrast recorded growth above trendline and a $6bn balance of payments SURPLUS in 1997. The UK has the lowest unemployment rate in Europe and the