Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-19 Thread Jim Devine
Awhile back, Charles Brown wrote: Doesn't it seem likely that [the lack of] depressions (in the US) since the 30's is due to government application of economic science ? I said: A little. But mostly it was a passive matter: it was the balance wheel on the economy that the large government

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-14 Thread Charles Brown
Jim Devine Thanks for your reply ^^^ A little. But mostly it was a passive matter: it was the balance wheel on the economy that the large government budget (warfare/welfare state) creates. In addition, financial reforms such as the creation of bank deposit insurance (along with strict banking

[PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-14 Thread Charles Brown
Let's hypothesize that a Depression were reasonably probable in, say, 2010. How would it affect organizing activity? What sort of skills should local groups try to develop? What sort of speculations ought left economists and sociologists engage in? Should we start incorporating such a prediction

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-13 Thread Jim Devine
CB: Until the 30's and 40's isn't it true that the government didn't solve recessions , rather they were resolved by the businesses themselves ? True, except that military spending rose during wars, encouraging economic booms (e.g., WWI). The Fed didn't really have the power to do anything

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-13 Thread Carrol Cox
Jim Devine wrote: Or is there really a lot of forest fire fuel piling up somewhere so that there will be a really big one ? it's mostly in the form of excessive and shaky consumer debt and bank assets that turn out (or will turn out) to be bad. Ordinary recessions do not, I think, have

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-13 Thread Michael Perelman
You can look to California to see one kind of response to ordinary recessions. Arnold is planning to make massive cuts, concentrated on k-14 education, Medi-Cal, and welfare. Almost everything will hit the poor especially hard. And the Dems have protested, but cannot raise taxes without 2/3

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-13 Thread Jim Devine
Michael Perelman wrote: You can look to California to see one kind of response to ordinary recessions. Arnold is planning to make massive cuts, concentrated on k-14 education, Medi-Cal, and welfare. Almost everything will hit the poor especially hard. And the Dems have protested, but

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-13 Thread Michael Perelman
All repub. legislators signed a no-tax pledge. On Sun, Jan 13, 2008 at 06:07:39PM -0800, Jim Devine wrote: the question is whether some of the GOPniks can be dislodged from their absolute Rejectionism, their opposition to any and all tax increases. Some, more charitable, observers think that

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-13 Thread Jim Devine
Michael Perelman wrote: All repub. legislators signed a no-tax pledge. hey, if Mitt Romney can be an opportunist, so can they. -- Jim Devine / Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti. (Go your own way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-12 Thread Jayson Funke
- From: PEN-L list [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Michael Perelman Sent: Friday, January 11, 2008 10:52 PM To: PEN-L@SUS.CSUCHICO.EDU Subject: Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions I believe that your first question is correct. According to Marx, recession/depressions shock the system

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-12 Thread Michael Perelman
One minor amplification of Jim Devine's excellent note. He wrote: A key problem is that the Greenspan years involved not solving recessions as much as delaying them. Marx was probably correct in saying that delays -- in effect, trying to resolve one concrete contradiction -- only makes the

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-12 Thread Charles Brown
Michael Perelman One minor amplification of Jim Devine's excellent note. He wrote: A key problem is that the Greenspan years involved not solving recessions as much as delaying them. Marx was probably correct in saying that delays -- in effect, trying to resolve one concrete contradiction --

[PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-11 Thread Carrol Cox
Is it not correct that fairly frequent recessions are a necessity of the capitalist system? And certainly, in practice, they have been happening every five to ten years for a couple of centuries. But both on this list and in the financial columns of the media everyone is fussing about whether or

Re: [PEN-L] Query on Recessions

2008-01-11 Thread Michael Perelman
I believe that your first question is correct. According to Marx, recession/depressions shock the system, generally making it stronger, but when then contradictions become too extreme, then even a small shock can be fatal. On Fri, Jan 11, 2008 at 09:37:34PM -0600, Carrol Cox wrote: Is it not