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[Via Communist Internet... http://www.egroups.com/group/Communist-Internet ]
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----- Original Message ----- 
From: Downwithcapitalism <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, June 21, 2001 1:51 AM
Subject: [downwithcapitalism] Recession forecast for Germany



Scotsman. 20 June 2001. Recession fears loom over Germany.


Germany is gripped by fears of a recession after leading economic
institutes further downgraded growth potentials for the worlds third
largest economy for the third time this year.

A business slump just months before the introduction of the common
currency would spell disaster for the euro on e-day come 1 January 2002.

The headline on the front page of the Bild Zeitung, Germanys
biggest-selling newspaper, said it all: "Banks worried about Germanys
economy - is a recession on the way?"

These fears are being fuelled by eminent financial minds such as Hans
Reckers, president of the state bank of Hessen, who said: "We certainly
cannot rule out a recession."

Business analyst, Paul Hoffmann, from Berlin, said: "A recession before
e-day would be the financial equivalent of the D-Day invasion being
stopped on the beaches - and just as bloody."

Germany experienced a 3.6 per cent inflation hike in May, some of it
directly attributable to the euro as unscrupulous retailers and
wholesalers used the dual marks-euro pricing system to swindle
consumers.

But the damaging data from leading economic institutes that further
downgraded Germanys ability to grow is far more worrying.

This means Chancellor Schrders bid to get unemployment down by 500,000
to 3,500,000 before the years end will be an impossibility.

Unemployment expert Joachim Scheide, of the Institute for Economics,
said: "The government will almost certainly not attain its target of
substantially cutting the jobless queues."

Sluggish consumer demand and pressures from the US, where interest rates
have been cut five times this year, are stoking the concerns that
slowdown could eventually translate into a damaging recession.

"Recession looks more and more likely with every new round of downward
revisions in the economic growth forecasts," said a pessimistic report
in the influential Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
















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