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YURICA REPORT:

How Bush Pushed Gasoline Prices Sky High

By Katherine Yurica

On March 5, 2003, Senator Carl Levin, the Ranking Minority Member of 
the Senate's Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, released a 
report prepared by the minority staff that reveals why gasoline 
prices soared under the Bush administration. It has to do with the 
nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) and some odd decisions by 
the Department of Energy (DOE) after consulting with White House 
officials.

According to the Senate Report, the Bush administration added forty 
million barrels of oil to the nation's reserves in 2002. That 
wouldn't be a problem in and of itself. But the purchases represented 
an extreme change in energy policy; they were made in a strong 
market, with a tight supply of oil, which increased demand, which in 
turn pushed up the gasoline prices to their highest levels in twelve 
years.

The Senate report said in a one-month period in mid 2002 the Bush 
administration purchases caused crude oil prices to soar, raising the 
cost of heating oil by 13%, jet fuel by 10% and diesel fuel by 8%. 
The bottom line was the Bush policy change cost citizens between $500 
million and $1 billion.

When crude oil jumps from $20 a barrel to $30, the Senate report 
says, the costs to U.S. taxpayers are an additional $1 million per 
day. "Over three months, the additional cost of filling the SPR 
approached $100 million," which will ultimately be borne by U.S. 
taxpayers.

Why did Bush do it? For one thing, he was advised to do it. It has to 
do with the secret National Energy Policy advisory group headed by 
Vice President Dick Cheney. Cheney has steadfastly refused to release 
the names of those who advised the administration on energy matters. 
However, according to an article published in the Sunday Herald in 
Scotland (October 6, 2002), by Neil Mackay, it was former Secretary 
of State, James Baker who personally carried an advisory report to 
Cheney in April of 2001. Assembled at the James A. Baker Institute 
for Public Policy of Rice University, the task force consisted of oil 
and energy executives. The report, Strategic Energy Policy Challenges 
for the 21st Century is referred to simply as the "Baker Report" or 
"report" below.

The report advised the new president, "At a minimum the government 
should aim to fill all of the nearly 700 million barrels of [reserve] 
capacity it currently has available." Later, the National Energy 
Policy report recommended that the President wait until exchanged SPR 
barrels were returned and then he should determine whether offshore 
Gulf of Mexico royalty oil deposits to the SPR should be resumed. So 
after September 11, 2001, George W. Bush vowed to fill the Strategic 
Petroleum Reserves (SPR) to capacity.

The Baker report was not irresponsible, it also warned the president, 
"One problem with trying to refill the reserve at this time when 
markets are strong is that any purchases made by the U.S. government 
would add to the current tight supply." In other words, prices would 
go up!

At one point, the Baker report recommended that purchases of reserve 
additions be accomplished through direct "budgetary allocations."

Trying to teach a new president the facts on SPR oil rights and 
wrongs must have been a heady proposition. There were many object 
lessons in which to point. The Baker report singled President Bill 
Clinton's use of his "discretionary authority to lease oil to the 
market on a time-swap or exchange basis" as an example of a 
no-no. First, according to the Baker experts, Clinton's exchanges 
reduced the size of the SPR at a time when more oil might have been 
needed. Next, the report chided, a president must not earn "far less 
in interest" than he could have, by using better methods. Perhaps 
Clinton's biggest faux pas according to the Baker experts is that he 
used the drain-down of the reserves "to address winter heating-oil 
inventory concerns," which indeed reduced heating oil from $37 to $31 
per barrel. That was a big no-no. The Baker report advises a 
president must not use the SPR as "a market buffer stock to damp 
prices and price volatility." (Translation: A president must not help 
the poor to heat their homes at a reasonable price at the expense of 
oil company profit taking.)

Hence in the National Energy Policy report, the NEPD Group 
"recommends that the President reaffirm that the SPR is designed for 
addressing an imminent or actual disruption in oil supplies, and not 
for managing prices." (At page 8-17.)

That recommendation signaled a significant policy change: it denied 
the president the right to withdraw oil at times when prices are 
unusually high due to manipulation of the market.

What were the superior choices left for the President? The report 
advises taking advantage of "the market's forward price structureŠif 
the market structure were backwardated, with future prices lower than 
current prices, the government would be able to replenish the reserve 
with more oil than it had leased on an auction basis. If the market 
structure were in contango, with future prices higher than prompt 
prices, the government could lease its cheaper spare storage capacity 
to industry, thereby also providing revenue to build government-owned 
reserves at a later time."

But the method the Bush administration chose was to fill the SPR 
without regard to crude oil prices at all but simply at a constant 
rate of speed. The result was extremely high prices for gasoline and 
increased charges to be born by the taxpayers. The Bush 
administration denies this. But the method they chose did not add any 
additional reserve oil to the nation's strategic supply. So why do 
it? Oil companies were happy, after all oilmen contributed $26.7 
million to Bush's campaign in 2000 and another $18 million for the 
2002 election.

Another possible reason is this: The only way to get oil companies 
willing to make investments in drilling new sources of oil is to keep 
oil prices high. The nice thing about this methodology is that 
criticism can be so easily deflected as a White House spokesman did 
in a recent interview, by claiming the "purchases were for national 
security reasons."

Whatever the motivation, this much is clear: American citizens had to 
pay and are still paying a hefty price for gasoline and home heating 
oil. In the end, regardless of the lip service Mr. Bush may offer to 
the American people on how he is benefiting all citizens, the facts 
show he benefits those corporations who made large contributions to 
his campaigns.

Documentation & Links

1. Neil Mackay's article in the Sunday Herald, October 6, 2002,
http://www.sundayherald.com/print28285
Official: US oil at the heart of Iraq crisis

2.  U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve: Recent Policy Has Increased 
Costs to Consumers But Not Overall U.S. Energy Security by Minority 
Staff of the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.
http://www.senate.gov/~gov_affairs/psi.htm

3. The Baker Report, Strategic Energy Policy Challenges for the 21st Century.
http://www.rice.edu/projects/baker/Pubs/workingpapers/cfrbipp_energy/e 
nergytf.htm

4.  National Energy Policy report:
http://www.whitehouse.gov/energy/

 


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