<http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-26/solar-may-be-cheaper-than-fossil-power-in-five-years-ge-says.html>

GE Sees Solar Cheaper Than Fossil Power in Five Years

By Brian Wingfield -

Solar power may be cheaper than electricity generated by fossil fuels 
and nuclear reactors within three to five years because of 
innovations, said Mark M. Little, the global research director for 
General Electric Co. (GE)

"If we can get solar at 15 cents a kilowatt-hour or lower, which I'm 
hopeful that we will do, you're going to have a lot of people that 
are going to want to have solar at home," Little said yesterday in an 
interview in Bloomberg's Washington office. The 2009 average U.S. 
retail rate per kilowatt-hour for electricity ranges from 6.1 cents 
in Wyoming to 18.1 cents in Connecticut, according to Energy 
Information Administration data released in April.

GE, based in Fairfield, Connecticut, announced in April that it had 
boosted the efficiency of thin-film solar panels to a record 12.8 
percent. Improving efficiency, or the amount of sunlight converted to 
electricity, would help reduce the costs without relying on subsidies.

The thin-film panels will be manufactured at a plant that GE intends 
to open in 2013. The company said in April that the factory will have 
about 400 employees and make enough panels each year to power about 
80,000 homes.

Solar-panel makers from Arizona to Shanghai are expanding factories 
to add more cost savings that analysts say will sustain the 
industry's expansion. Installations may increase by as much as 50 
percent in 2011, worth about $140 billion, as cheaper panels and thin 
film make developers less dependent on government subsidies, 
Bloomberg New Energy Finance forecast.

Solar Costs Dive

The cost of solar cells, the main component in standard panels, has 
fallen 21 percent so far this year, and the cost of solar power is 
now about the same as the rate utilities charge for conventional 
power in the sunniest parts of California, Italy and Turkey, the 
London-based research company said.

Most solar panels use silicon-based photovoltaic cells to transform 
sunlight into electricity. The thin-film versions, made of glass or 
other material coated with cadmium telluride or copper indium gallium 
selenide alloys, account for about 15 percent of the $28 billion in 
worldwide solar-panel sales.

First Solar Inc. (FSLR), based in Tempe, Arizona, is the world's 
largest producer of thin-film panels, with $2.6 billion in yearly 
revenue.

Smart Grid

Little also said the U.S. transition to a full smart grid will take 
"many, many years" to develop.

A complete smart grid would consist of millions of next- generation 
meters installed in businesses and homes, appliances that adjust 
their energy use when prices change, and advanced software to help 
utilities control electricity flows, he said.

"I think it's going to be a long time before we can realize the full 
potential of the smart grid," he said. "But it is coming."

GE this year plans to introduce the "Nucleus," a device that will let 
consumers track their household electricity use with personal 
computers and smart phones. The company also is investing in its 
appliance and lighting unit, including $432 million for U.S. 
refrigeration and design centers announced in October.

Utilities need to have incentives to put in place devices that save 
energy, and Congress needs to provide greater certainty on tax policy 
surrounding renewable energy, Little said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Wingfield in Washington 
at [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Larry Liebert at 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]




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