Hi, Tipsters!
I have been looking at the "unofficial" results of the Florida recount, and
they seem odd from a statistical point of view. But, I typically don't do
statistical analyses on political data, so perhaps someone can tell me
where my reasoning is wrong (if indeed it is).
The total
James D.Dougan
Because the statewide Bush/Gore split is essentially even,
then one would expect that the undercounted ballots would be evenly split
between Bush and Gore. Thus, our expected number of undercounted ballots
would be about 1750 for each candidate.
Only if the undercount
To add to that question, it should be noted that the "swing" resulting from
the recount was not uniform across counties. Here are the numbers (change in
votes from count1 -- count2, with one county yet to report):
Towards Gore: Bush:
Alachua + 65+ 62
Well, Paul statistics never say anything, only people do. There are white
lies, lies, biggies, whoopers, and then statistics.
Personally, I think people have to take responsibility for their actions.
If they voted quickly rather than deliberately, they're paying the
consequences; if they were
I am in the process of developing an NSF grant to build a behavioral
neuroscience laboratory. Do any of you currently teach these classes with
laboratories? I need to find programs that include exercises that I may
adapt. I am particularly interested in knowing if any of you use:
1.
My admittedly limited understanding of this process is that some of the
older technology like punch cards are unreliable but not predictable. In
other words, if you do a recount using the same set of ballots and the same
machine to count them, you will likely get a different count but it is not
Louis:
In general, I stay out of any threads mentioning politics or religion (they
only get messy), but I must admit some degree of surprise, Louis. Your
assertion of people taking responsibility for their actions and the need
for the individuals in West Palm to be responsible enough to ASK
how does regression towards the mean figure out in all this?
Michael Sylvester,PhD
Daytona Beach,Florida
One of the issues raised in Palm Beach County voting is how
did Buchanan get about 3500 votes in a county that is predominantly
elderly,Jewish and black.
Some think that there must be an error.
Is it fair to assume that Jewish and Black folks won't vote for Buchanan?
Well we know that black
Michael asked: how does regression towards the mean figure out in all
this?
As the years go by, the quality of our presidential candidates regresses
towards mediocrity. grin
+
Karl L. Wuensch, Department of Psychology,
East Carolina University,
Those of our American friends, such as Louis Schmier, who are
already congratulating themselves at having avoided tanks and
blood in the streets over the election results may be a bit
premature in their assessment.
I understand that an American President still governs, and will
continue to for a
I have no idea about how regression to the mean figures into the voting
issue - but I do know a little about regression the mean. It refers to
the fact that when predicting one thing (Y) from another (X), and the
correlation between X and Y drops, predictions of Y from X converge on
the mean of
Tipsters: If you have not seen this yet, here is a snapshot of the Palm
Beach "outlier"
http://madison.hss.cmu.edu/
--
---
John W. Kulig[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Department of Psychology
At 10:35 AM -0500 11/10/00, Michael Sylvester wrote:
One of the issues raised in Palm Beach County voting is how
did Buchanan get about 3500 votes in a county that is predominantly
elderly,Jewish and black.
Some think that there must be an error.
Is it fair to assume that Jewish and Black folks
http://www.newscientist.com/conferences/confarticle.jsp?conf=soneu200011id=
ns149
The lemon odor only phase shifts the neuromodulation of the brain away from
a current oscillon of pain. Pain is two or more incongruent stimulation
interacting relative to the current learned neurological
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
My admittedly limited understanding of this process is that some of the
older technology like punch cards are unreliable but not predictable. In
other words, if you do a recount using the same set of ballots and the same
machine to count them, you will likely get
What bothers me is the way its done around here. At my voting place, we face
a liquid crystal display with "touch" technology. You touch the name of the
person that you want to vote for. There is no receipt, punch card,or record
of who you voted, for so a recount is impossible. I don't like
with Missouri's "show me" motto,can they really distinguish between the
dead and the alive?
what if the day before an election a Presidential candidate dies,
will his /her name still remain on the ballot?
Michael Sylvester,PhD
Daytona Beach,Florida
Okay, I've kept quiet but I feel compelled to mention a few things.
First, the US national election of our president has little to do with the
teaching of psychology as I see it. I would ask that those who continue to
feel compelled to debate this issue, please let us know how we can
integrate
Dear Tipsters,
I find the voting thread very relevant to psychology and the case
can serve in the classroom. I refer to the issue of standardization
in testing - i.e., the requirement that when people answer a
questionnaire, they should do so under conditions that are as
uniform as possible.
At 6:44 PM + 11/10/00, Richard Pisacreta wrote:
What bothers me is the way its done around here. At my voting place, we face
a liquid crystal display with "touch" technology. You touch the name of the
person that you want to vote for. There is no receipt, punch card,or record
of who you
G. Marc Turner wrote:
Okay, I've kept quiet but I feel compelled to mention a few things.
First, the US national election of our president has little to do with the
teaching of psychology as I see it. I would ask that those who continue to
feel compelled to debate this issue, please let us
Stephen Black wrote:
Those of our American friends, such as Louis Schmier, who are
already congratulating themselves at having avoided tanks and
blood in the streets over the election results may be a bit
premature in their assessment.
My concern is that other countries may take advantage
(I hope Marc Turner approves of my header)
We seem to be having a Bishop's moment on TIPS, as I reply to the
comments of my colleague, Stuart Mckelvie, who wrote:
I find the voting thread very relevant to psychology and the case
can serve in the classroom. I refer to the issue of
On Fri, 10 Nov 2000, Mike Scoles wrote:
Stephen Black wrote:
Those of our American friends, such as Louis Schmier, who are
already congratulating themselves at having avoided tanks and
blood in the streets over the election results may be a bit
premature in their assessment.
My
Dear Tipsters,
Steve is right. Funnily enough, I was going to allude to this event
in my earllier post, but decided to stick the the issue of
uniformity of content, particularly since I was speaking about
elections at the Federal level. Steve's post refers to a vote in
Quebec only.
But they are there to keep the Americans from running away from the United
States
Gary J. Klatsky, Ph.D.
Department of Psychology[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Oswego State University of NY http://www.oswego.edu/~klatsky
Oswego, NY 13126Voice: (315) 312 3474
The ballot is the first thing my students will see in my human factors class
next semester
Gary J. Klatsky, Ph.D.
Department of Psychology[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Oswego State University of NY http://www.oswego.edu/~klatsky
Oswego, NY 13126Voice: (315)
HI
On Fri, 10 Nov 2000, Stephen Black wrote:
On Fri, 10 Nov 2000, Mike Scoles wrote:
My concern is that other countries may take advantage of our confusion. For
example, Canada already has amassed its population along the border.
Hey, that's not warmongering. We only do it to keep warm.
At 2:28 PM -0600 11/10/00, Mike Scoles wrote:
Stephen Black wrote:
Those of our American friends, such as Louis Schmier, who are
already congratulating themselves at having avoided tanks and
blood in the streets over the election results may be a bit
premature in their assessment.
My
At 12:54 PM 11/10/00 -0600, G. Marc Turner wrote:
Okay, I've kept quiet but I feel compelled to mention a few things.
First, the US national election of our president has little to do with the
teaching of psychology as I see it.
I apologize for bringing this up in the first place. I saw it
I did not mean to imply that the election events were not related to
psychology. In fact, I agree with many of the posts pointing out issues of
ballot design, test standardization, etc. as well as integrating current
events into our lectures. However, I also feel that some of the posts
strayed
At 3:25 PM -0600 11/10/00, jim clark wrote:
HI
On Fri, 10 Nov 2000, Stephen Black wrote:
On Fri, 10 Nov 2000, Mike Scoles wrote:
My concern is that other countries may take advantage of our
confusion. For
example, Canada already has amassed its population along the border.
Hey, that's
I received this attachment in an e-mail today. I just thought ya'll should
see what the fuss is all about. ;-)
George
Floridaballot.jpg
George D. Goedel
Professor Chairperson
Department of Psychology
Northern Kentucky University
Highland Hts., KY 41099-2000
(859) 572-5574
fax (859) 572-6085
Paul Brandon wrote:
pop quiz:
What is the biggest US city on the Canadian border?
Which direction do you go from it to get to Canada?
Off the top of my head, and at the risk of confirming the notorious US
ignorance about geography...
Detroit MI, and you travel north from Windsor Ont.
I have a sad story that is related to this. One day, I was talking to the chair
of our department about Detroit and Windsor (for reasons that I probably shouldn't
go into). A student walked by, and he asked her, "Hey, if you leave the U.S. by
driving directly south from Detroit, what country
I would like to broaden this thread a bit by posing several related
questions. UWF has a Master's program in counseling psychology, places
students in supervised practica, and requires an internship experience in a
counseling setting as part of the degree requirements. The questions about
Ahhh how sweet it is - Type I or Type II?
Diana Kyle
- Original Message -
From: Gerald Peterson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: tips [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Friday, November 10, 2000 12:22 PM
Subject: relev to psych teaching
I agree that the thread seems to wander a bit. I find however,
Perhaps I differ from the majority (which has never stopped me before), but
I find everything about the U.S. Presidential election relates to the
teaching of psychology. If one accepts that psychology connects to the
behavior and mental processes of all persons, then I think the relevance is
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