-------------------------
Via Workers World News Service
Reprinted from the Dec. 13, 2001
issue of Workers World newspaper
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HAWKS AND VULTURES: 
DANGER OF U.S. WAR AGAINST IRAQ GROWS

By John Catalinotto

The Bush administration is closer to moving aggressively 
against Iraq, according to many reports. The anti-war 
movement here needs to be alert to the danger of a new war 
against Iraq.

Such a war would undoubtedly involve large numbers of U.S. 
ground forces and the potential for heavy U.S. casualties, 
which could arouse strong anti-war sentiment in this 
country. And even if Washington failed in its objective to 
overthrow the Baghdad government and replace it with a 
client regime, such a war would inflict additional horrors 
on the already suffering Iraqi people.

The latest round of Iraq baiting began Nov. 26, when 
President George W. Bush told reporters, "Afghanistan is 
still just the beginning." He demanded that Iraq allow 
"inspectors" into the country--or else.

The last time these inspectors were inside Iraq they 
conducted military spying for the United States. Former 
inspection leader Scott Ritter has publicly admitted this 
many times.

Bush could point to no connection between Iraq and the Sept. 
11 attacks. Nor could he tie Iraq to the anthrax threat. But 
none of that mattered. The president said, "If you develop 
weapons of mass destruction that you want to terrorize the 
world, you'll be held accountable."

U.S. imperialists--who wield the mightiest weapons of mass 
destruction on the planet-- use the phrase "weapons of mass 
destruction" to make it seem as though Iraq is the 
oppressor, not the Pentagon.

HAWKS AND VULTURES

The Dec. 3 New York Times reported that a grouping "inside 
and outside the administration" is leading the drive toward 
war with Iraq. They include old Cold War figures like 
Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, Deputy Defense Secretary 
Paul Wolfowitz, retired Gen. Wayne Downing--the president's 
counter-terrorism chief--and I. Lewis Libby, the vice 
president's chief of staff.

This group wants to use U.S. force to put a puppet Iraqi 
grouping in power.

Also included in the grouping are Henry Kissinger, former 
Vice President Dan Quayle and former CIA head James Woolsey--
all part of the 18-member Defense Policy Board.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is part of this gang. As 
far as Gingrich is concerned, "the 'Saddam is evil and 
dangerous' side seems to be winning." In other words, 
Gingrich thinks his more aggressive grouping has the 
initiative.

The opponents of this group are not exactly doves. Secretary 
of State Colin Powell and retired Gen. Anthony Zinni are 
among them. They are for aggressively pursuing the war 
against Afghanistan. However, they believe that Washington 
and the Pentagon will overreach themselves if they try to 
take on a new war against Iraq at this time.

WILL U.S. BE ISOLATED?

They also know that this war has little support among many 
of the forces in Europe that support the United States in 
Afghanistan, and that Washington may find itself fighting 
Iraq alone.

The real debate about whether to wage war on Iraq is carried 
out behind closed doors, with no pretense of an open 
discussion that includes the mass of the U.S. population. 
Meanwhile, both sides of this ruling-class debate try to 
keep the country on a war footing.

Many British newspapers report that French President Jacques 
Chirac, German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder and even British 
Prime Minister Tony Blair have let Washington know they 
oppose an attack on Iraq at this time.

Whether this will turn into real resistance to U.S. plans, 
however, is doubtful. During NATO's war against Yugoslavia, 
for example, the United States was able to impose its 
strategy of bombing civilian targets in Serbia despite some 
objections from its European imperialist allies.

EUROPEANS SEE SHIFT IN U.S. POLICY

The Dec. 2 issue of the British newspaper The Observer was 
headlined "Secret U.S. Plan for Iraq War." The paper 
reported that the United States "intends to depose Saddam 
Hussein by giving armed support to Iraqi opposition forces 
across the country."

According to this article, the U.S. plan "envisages a 
combined operation with U.S. bombers targeting key military 
installations while U.S. forces assist opposition groups in 
the North and South of the country in a stage-managed 
uprising. One version of the plan would have U.S. forces 
fighting on the ground."

While this scenario is still in the planning stage, people 
like Denis Halliday and Hans von Sponek--both former heads 
of the United Nations-run "Oil for Peace" program for Iraq--
take the threat to Iraq seriously.

Halliday and von Sponek wrote an article in the Nov. 29 
issue of the British newspaper The Guardian that began: "A 
major shift is occurring in U.S. policy on Iraq. It is 
obvious that Washington wants to end 11 years of a self-
serving policy of containment of the Iraqi regime and change 
to a policy of replacing, by force, Saddam Hussein and his 
government.

"The current policy of economic sanctions has destroyed 
society in Iraq and caused the death of thousands, young and 
old. There is evidence of that daily in reports from 
reputable international organizations such as Caritas, 
Unicef and Save the Children. A change to a policy of 
replacement by force will increase that suffering."

The two also noted that "the U.S. Defense Department, and 
Richard Butler, former head of the UN arms inspection team 
in Baghdad, would prefer Iraq to have been behind the 
anthrax scare. But they had to recognize that it had its 
origin within the U.S."

They added, "British and U.S. intelligence agencies know 
well that Iraq is qualitatively disarmed," thereby answering 
Bush's charge of "weapons of mass destruction" as an excuse 
for waging aggressive war on Iraq.

If the administration makes up its mind to go to war, 
however, it will manufacture the excuse. The anti-war 
movement here will have to be on guard to expose the lies 
and stop the imperialist war.

- END -

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