http://www.ncpa.org/iss/reg/2003/pd042303e.html
NCPA

Japanese Gas Guzzlers

Daily Policy Digest

Regulatory Issues / Regulatory Issues (Auto Travel)

Wednesday, April 23, 2003
As the Ford Motor Company scaled back expectations this month for its 
first hybrid-powered vehicle and backpedaled on a pledge to improve 
the fuel economy of its sport utility vehicles, Toyota was 
introducing its latest Prius, which will get about 55 miles a gallon 
and be the first midsize vehicle with hybrid technology.

For environmentalists, the contrasting developments reinforced the 
sense that only foreign carmakers care about curbing America's 
swelling appetite for oil. But the picture is also more complicated 
-- and bleak, from the perspective of reducing oil consumption:

* Toyota, Honda and Nissan are flooding the American market with 
sport utility vehicles of all sizes.

* Toyota and Nissan are redoubling efforts to take on the last 
largely unchallenged stronghold of Detroit, the pickup truck.

* Sales of new-model S.U.V.s from Japan far outnumber gas-sipping 
hybrids, which supplement the internal combustion engine with 
electric power.
A recent report by Environmental Defense found that General Motor's 
automotive fleet produced the most climate-warming carbon in the 
1990s -- a function of its rank as the largest automaker. But 
Toyota's carbon emissions grew the fastest, by 72 percent, compared 
with 33 percent for the market, a function of a product mix that is 
approaching the truck-heavy tilt of the Big Three.

"They're getting all this great green press over the Prius," said 
John DeCicco, a senior analyst with Environmental Defense, "but their 
product strategy has moved into trucks big time."

Source: Danny Hakim, "Cloaked in Green, but Guzzling Gas," New York 
Times, April 19, 2003.


http://www.nytimes.com/2003/04/19/automobiles/19AUTO.html?ei=1&en=7910 
4eddb30e30ee&ex=1051749040&pagewanted=print&position=
Cloaked in Green, but Guzzling Gas

April 19, 2003

Cloaked in Green, but Guzzling Gas
By DANNY HAKIM

DETROIT, April 18 - As the Ford Motor Company scaled back 
expectations this week for its first hybrid-powered vehicle and 
backpedaled on a pledge to improve the fuel economy of its sport 
utility vehicles, Toyota was introducing its latest Prius, which will 
get about 55 miles a gallon and be the first midsize vehicle with 
hybrid technology.

For environmentalists, the contrasting developments reinforced the 
sense that only foreign carmakers care about curbing America's 
swelling appetite for oil.

"The Japanese are where you go if you want good technology, and 
Detroit is where you go if you don't," said Daniel Becker, the top 
global warming expert at the Sierra Club.

But the picture is also more complicated - and bleak, from the 
perspective of reducing oil consumption. Toyota, Honda and Nissan are 
flooding the American market with S.U.V.'s of all sizes; Toyota and 
Nissan are redoubling efforts to take on the last largely 
unchallenged stronghold of Detroit, the pickup truck. And sales of 
new- model S.U.V.'s from Japan far outnumber gas-sipping hybrids, 
which supplement the internal combustion engine with electric power.

"They're getting all this great green press over the Prius," said 
John DeCicco, a senior analyst with Environmental Defense, "but their 
product strategy has moved into trucks big time."

As Toyota was promoting the Prius this week at the press preview of 
the New York International Auto Show, in another corner, Nissan 
introduced the Pathfinder Armada, its first full-size S.U.V., which 
is due later in the year. The Armada is as heavy as the Chevrolet 
Suburban, equipped with up to 14 cupholders and can tow four and a 
half tons.

With a new crop of vehicles named Sequoia, Titan, Tundra and Armada - 
can Godzilla be far behind? - Toyota and Nissan are making a 
statement that they will build light trucks as big as Detroit. Honda 
is also increasing production, but not of the largest pickuplike 
models.

The influx of competition is forcing United States automakers to 
lower their own prices on sport utility vehicles and pickups and 
improve their own vehicles to stay competitive.

Since 1999, Toyota, Nissan and Honda have introduced 10 new pickup 
trucks and S.U.V.'s, compared with 3 small hybrid cars from Toyota 
and Honda; last year, the Japanese Big Three sold about 471,000 of 
these 10 vehicles in the United States, while Toyota and Honda sold 
about 35,000 hybrids, according to Ward's AutoInfoBank.

And that does not count huge sales of existing S.U.V.'s like the 
RX-300 from the Toyota Lexus division or the Nissan Pathfinder, to 
name a few.

Mr. DeCicco said that Asian automakers generally performed better, 
segment by segment, in the environmental ratings that he compiles, 
but by no means across the board.

A recent report by Environmental Defense found that G.M.'s automotive 
fleet produced the most climate-warming carbon in the 1990's - a 
function of its rank as the largest automaker. But Toyota's carbon 
emissions grew the fastest, by 72 percent, compared with 33 percent 
for the market, a function of a product mix that is approaching the 
truck-heavy tilt of the Big Three.

"In addition to addressing environmental concerns, we have to balance 
what customers want, and many of them want S.U.V.'s," said Donald V. 
Esmond, group vice president and general manager of the Toyota 
Division in the United States. Toyota executives have said they plan 
to sell 300,000 hybrids a year worldwide by the middle of the decade.

"As we introduce more and more hybrid vehicles, Toyota will continue 
to develop new, efficient and environmentally friendly internal 
combustion engines," Mr. Esmond added.

These market dynamics help explain the regulatory knot in Washington. 
The current corporate average fuel economy system requires each 
automaker's annual fleet of passenger cars to average 27.5 miles a 
gallon. Light trucks, which include sport utility vehicles, pickups 
and minivans, are required to average 20.7 miles a gallon; the Bush 
administration is raising that requirement to 22.2 miles a gallon by 
the 2007 model year.

Detroit says the Japanese benefit from the current fuel-economy rules 
because companies like Nissan have until now built mostly smaller 
light trucks, so the average miles per gallon for their fleets is 
above the required average, giving them more flexibility to further 
increase their advance into larger light trucks. Executives want the 
regulations revamped to give them more flexibility to build even more 
light trucks, and the Bush administration is considering such a 
proposal. The administration has also said it intends to improve 
overall fuel economy in the years beyond 2007. Environmentalists 
worry that the upshot will be little progress on reducing pollution 
or fuel consumption.

Further complicating matters is Ford's loss of $5.5 billion over the 
last nine quarters. DaimlerChrysler is trying to restore Chrysler's 
profitability. While General Motors has been profitable, its margins 
are dwarfed by Honda and Toyota, and it has enormous pension and 
health care obligations that sap its competitiveness while providing 
benefits to hundreds of thousands of Americans.

Consumers favor bigger engines and vehicles than fuel efficiency, 
"and clearly Asian manufacturers have been on that trend line just 
like the domestics have," said Christopher Preuss, a spokesman for 
G.M., whose overall fuel economy performance is the best of the Big 
Three.

The company has committed itself to trying its hand at hybrids, but 
Mr. Preuss said that thus far "hybrids are inconsequential because 
their volumes do not approach a significant amount."

But for many environmental groups, Toyota and Honda are at least 
actively selling fuel-saving technologies, while any dialogue with 
Detroit has been largely abandoned. The Sierra Club, which sees G.M. 
and its Hummers as a hopeless case because of the company's hard-line 
stance on fuel regulations, was bullish on William Clay Ford Jr.

But trust in Mr. Ford, Ford's chairman and chief executive for the 
last year and a half, is fading. This week, the company backed away 
from its commitment to raise its S.U.V. fuel economy 25 percent by 
2005 and declined to specify a new timetable. Development problems 
have also emerged in Ford's first planned hybrid, a version of its 
Escape S.U.V.

When Ford made its much publicized pledge three years ago, G.M. and 
Chrysler executives said they would outperform Ford but pointedly did 
not specify a commitment of their own. Mr. Preuss declined to comment 
on Ford's action, and Stuart Schorr, a Chrysler spokesman, would not 
address it directly. He said "we have a commitment to increase light 
truck fuel economy and will continue along that path."

Environmental groups say the industry cannot be trusted to regulate 
itself. Despite technological advances, the rise of S.U.V.'s has 
pushed the fuel economy of the average new American vehicle to its 
lowest point in two decades, according to the most recent data from 
the Environmental Protection Agency.

"The Japanese automakers have better fuel economy, but it's unclear 
if they're going to increase the fuel economy of their overall fleets 
without the government stepping in," said David Friedman, a senior 
analyst at the Union of Concerned Scientists.

Mr. Becker of the Sierra Club said, "Japanese manufacturers are going 
to force the Big Three to compete because they're increasing their 
market share with better technology."

"I work on global warming," he added. "I can't lose hope."


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