http://www.tpmcafe.com/story/2006/1/5/11510/30624
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Foreign Affairs

The Cost of The War

By Pascal Riche | bio

From: Foreign Affairs

Nobel Laureate Joseph E. Stiglitz and Harvard budget expert Linda 
Bilmes plan to present this week a paper  estimating the cost of the 
Iraq War at between $1-2 trillion. This is far higher than earlier 
estimates of $100-200 billion.

Here is their statement:

Jan 05, 2006 -- 11:05:10 AM EST

NEW STUDY SUGGESTS ECONOMIC COST OF IRAQ WAR MUCH LARGER THAN 
PREVIOUSLY RECOGNIZED

A new study by two leading academic experts suggests that the costs 
of the Iraq war will be substantially higher than previously 
reckoned. In a paper presented to this week's Allied Social Sciences 
Association annual meeting in Boston MA., Harvard budget expert Linda 
Bilmes and Columbia University Professor and Nobel Laureate Joseph E. 
Stiglitz calculate that the war is likely to cost the United States a 
minimum of nearly one trillion dollars and potentially over $2 
trillion.

The study expands on traditional budgetary estimates by including 
costs such as lifetime disability and health care for the over 16,000 
injured, one fifth of whom have serious brain or spinal injuries. It 
then goes on to analyze the costs to the economy, including the 
economic value of lives lost and the impact of factors such as higher 
oil prices that can be partly attributed to the conflict in Iraq. The 
paper also calculates the impact on the economy if a proportion of 
the money spent on the Iraq war were spent in other ways, including 
on investments in the United States

"Shortly before the war, when Administration economist Larry Lindsey 
suggested that the costs might range between $100 and $200 billion, 
Administration spokesmen quickly distanced themselves from those 
numbers," points out Professor Stiglitz. "But in retrospect, it 
appears that Lindsey's numbers represented a gross underestimate of 
the actual costs." 

The Allied Social Sciences Association meeting is attended by the 
nation's leading economists and social scientists. It is sponsored 
jointly by the American Economic Association and the Economists for 
Peace and Security.

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