Regarding the alcohol-breast cancer finding: this is what I actually wrote back on 25 Feb:
> For instance, the [BBC] article [sensationally entitled "Drink a day > increases cancer risk"] says that 5,000 of the > 45,000 annual cases of breast cancer are due to alcohol -- an increase > of 11% they say. The population of the UK is about 60 million. Half of > the those are female -- 30 million. About 20% of those are children -- > leaving 24 million. (see > http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?ID=6). 45,000 out of 24 > million = .0019: 19 in ten thousand women are diagnosed with breast > cancer in any given year. Even if the alcohol-cancer causal link were, > in fact true, the number of cancer cases would drop to 40,000 which, > against a vulnerable population of 24 million is .0017: 17 in ten > thousand. Now ask yourself the question: Would you change you lifestyle > dramatically to reduce a risk by 2 in 10,000? And that's if the causal > link had been established, which it hasn't been. Regards, Chris -- Christopher D. Green Department of Psychology York University Toronto, ON M3J 1P3 Canada 416-736-2100 ex. 66164 chri...@yorku.ca http://www.yorku.ca/christo/ ========================== --- To make changes to your subscription contact: Bill Southerly (bsouthe...@frostburg.edu)
