Jim Dougan wrote: 

> One of my favorites is the negative correlation between socioeconomic 
> status and diagnosis with mental illness, with the conclusion that being 
> poor causes mental illness.  Or, better yet, that the correlation is 
> evidence of discrimination against the poor (i.e., it is easier to put them 
> in a mental institution than to deal with poverty).  Way back when I was an 
> undergrad, I had a sociology professor actually make that claim.  Even at 
> that tender age, I was able to put together various reasonable alternative, 
> such as:
> 
> -- higher stress associated with poverty

I know this isn't what Jim meant, but it illustrates something I see regularly 
from students, and am struggling to understand. I might say in class 

"There is a negative correlation between socioeconomic status and diagnosis 
with mental illness. You might assume that means that being poor causes mental 
illness. Can you think of any alternative explanations?"

and a student eagerly responds, 

"Maybe it's because of the high stress of being in poverty". 

Now, in my book, that's not an alternative explanation to the "being poor 
causes mental illness" cause-and-effect claim, but rather an explanation of how 
that very real cause-and-effect relationship works (assuming that the "high 
stress" is not accidental to "being in poverty", but is actually caused by the 
poverty, of course). An alternative would be something like "being mentally ill 
causes you to be poor" (the directionality thing, as Jim suggested) or the 
reporting bias he mentioned, or a true "third variable". 

I find that in general students find it easier to generate explanations of how 
a cause-and-effect claim works than to come up with real alternative 
explanations, particularly of the "third variable" type. For example, I ask 
students to imagine that they've found that a group of cat owners has higher 
blood pressure, on the average, than a group of dog owners, and ask for 
alternatives to the "Owning a cat raises your blood pressure and owning a dog 
lowers it" explanation. While some students talk about "third variable" things 
like differences in where the owners live (city/country), many of them come up 
with things like "Maybe it's because if you own a dog you have to walk it" or 
even "It could be because petting a loyal dog lowers your blood pressure"*. I 
guess there's a grey area there, and maybe these DO look to you like 
alternative explanations to the cause-and-effect claim. I think the acid test 
is this: under these "alternative" explanations, if we take away the original 
purported cause - the dog or cat - the effect disappears. Not so with real 
third variable explanations, like the classic "toasters and birth rate" one. 

I think that identifying "third variable" explanations is a relatively 
difficult thing, especially when you're dealing with negative correlations, for 
which the relationships between the third variable and the other two have to be 
in opposite directions from each other. Yet it's clearly a basic skill without 
which you cannot understand behavior. I wonder how much detail and how much 
practice instructors go into on this. Certainly the brief illustration with a 
couple of boxes and arrows in the book is FAR from sufficient. 


* This one is also an example of another general tendency I've noticed in 
research methods courses at all levels: when you use meaningful examples, the 
students want to talk about the content - about cats and dogs, in this case - 
and not about the methodological principles you're trying to illustrate. 

Paul Smith
Alverno College
Milwaukee

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