Jobs surge in April, unemployment rate falls to the lowest since 1969

Published Fri, May 3 2019 • 8:30 AM EDT Updated Fri, May 3 2019 • 1:42 PM
EDT

Jeff Cox <https://www.cnbc.com/jeff-cox/> @JeffCoxCNBCcom
<https://twitter.com/JeffCoxCNBCcom> 

                                        

*       The U.S. added 263,000 new hires in April, easily beating Wall
Street expectations of 190,000.
*       The unemployment rate fell to 3.6% vs. 3.8% expected and the lowest
since December 1969.

Unemployment numbers lowest since 1969–Four experts on what the numbers mean

The U.S. jobs machine kept humming along in April, adding a robust 263,000
new hires while the unemployment rate fell to 3.6%, the lowest in a
generation, the Labor Department reported Friday.

Nonfarm payroll growth easily beat Wall Street expectations of 190,000 and a
3.8% jobless rate.

Average hourly earnings growth held at 3.2% over the past year, a notch
below Dow Jones estimates of 3.3%. The monthly gain was 0.2%, below the
expected 0.3% increase, bringing the average to $27.77. The average work
week also dropped 0.1 hours to 34.4 hours.

Unemployment was last this low in December 1969 when it hit 3.5%. At a time
when many economists see a tight labor market, big job growth continues as
the economic expansion is just a few months away from being the longest in
history.



The unemployment rate for Asians fell sharply, plunging from 3.1% to 2.2%.

While last month’s slump in the jobless rate came with strong increase in
hiring, it also was helped along by a sharp decline in the labor force of
490,000. That brought the labor force participation rate down to 62.8%,
exactly where it was a year ago.

A broader unemployment gauge that includes those who have quit looking for
jobs as well as the underemployed held at 7.3%, where it has been since
February.

Those counted as not in the labor force surged by 646,000 to a fresh high of
96.2 million.

“Leaving aside month-to-month fluctuations, the labor market is still very
strong, adding almost double the number of workers needed to keep pace with
new entrants to the labor force in any given month,” said Eric Winograd,
AllianceBernstein’s senior economist. “Wages may have been slightly tepid
this month relative to expectations but are still growing at just about the
highest rate this cycle, and the unemployment rate is at multi-generational
lows.”

The level of unemployed people plunged by 387,000 in April, bringing the
total level to 5.8 million. However, the ranks of the employed also declined
by 103,000, according to the Labor Department’s household survey.

Professional and business services led job creation with 76,000 new
positions. Construction added 33,000, bringing to 256,000 the total new jobs
created in the field over the past year.

Health care rose by 27,000, bringing its 12-month total to 404,000, while
financial positions increased by 12,000, rounding out an increase of 111,000
in the 12-month period thanks largely to growth in real estate and rental
and leasing.

Social assistance increased by 26,000, while manufacturing added 4,000.

Retail, whose fortunes have fluctuated in recent months, saw a loss of
12,000 jobs.

Previous months saw net upward revisions, with February going from a scant
33,000 growth to 56,000, though March’s total was reduced to 189,000 from
196,000, for a net gain of 16,000. Year to date, job gains have averaged
205,000 a month.

Created with Highcharts 7.1.1Employment report: payrollsMonthly change,
seasonally adjusted, in thousandsJan ’18Apr ’18Jul ’18Oct ’18Jan ’19Apr
’19050100150200250300350Source:BLS

April’s big increase comes amid a mostly positive backdrop of economic data.

GDP increased 3.2% during the first quarter, far exceeding expectations,
while productivity during the quarter jumped 3.6% for its best gain in five
years. Pending home sales rose 3.8% in March, providing some hope in the
real estate market so long as rates are held in check.

Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve held the line on its benchmark
interest rate, characterizing economic growth as solid even as inflation
remains tame. The central bank watches metrics like the nonfarm payrolls
report closely for clues both on job creation and wage pressures.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said current indications point to a prolonged
period of holding pat on increases or decreases in rates. President Donald
Trump has said he wants the Fed to cut rates by a full percentage point.

Correction: An initial headline misstated the number of jobs that the Labor
Department said was created in April. It was 263,000. EM         -> { Trump
for 2020 }

On the 49th Parallel          

                 Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
                    Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko" 

 

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