Posted by Jonathan Adler:
Is This the "Most Conservative Court Since the Mid-1930s"?
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2008_11_30-2008_12_06.shtml#1227981714


   In a [1]forthcoming essay in the Wayne Law Review, "The Roberts Court
   at Age Three," Dean Erwin Chemerinsky makes the fantastic claim that
   the Roberts Court "is the most conservative Court since the
   mid-1930s." In the paper, he explains what he means:

     What does it mean to say that the Court is more conservative than
     its predecessor Courts, the Rehnquist, Burger, and Warren Courts?
     It is notably more conservative on the issues that in our society
     today are often the litmus tests for ideology: abortion and race. I
     also believe that it will be much more conservative on issues of
     separation of church and state, but they have not yet been
     presented to the Roberts Court. Also, it is a Court that, overall,
     is very pro-business. The one area where the Roberts Court has not
     been conservative is in its rulings against the Bush
     administration�s actions as to the Guantanamo detainees. But this
     is because Justice Kennedy has joined Justices Stevens, Souter,
     Ginsburg, and Breyer in these cases.

   I believe Chemerinsky is wrong in nearly every particular. The Court's
   alleged rightward shift resulting from the confirmations of Chief
   Justice Roberts and Justice Alito has been greatly overstated, as
   decisions like Boumediene, Kennedy v. Louisiana, and Massachusetts v.
   EPA make clear. Even the claim that the Court is particularly
   "pro-business" is problematic, as we've [2]discussed on this blog
   before.

   The editors of the Wayne Law Review asked me (and others) to respond
   to Chemerinsky's essay. [3]My contribution, "Getting the Roberts Court
   Right: A Response to Chemerinsky" is now on SSRN. While I think
   Chemerinsky makes some interesting observations, as in his discussion
   of the Court's shrunken docket and the role of Justice Kennedy, his
   "most conservative" claim is completely unsustainable. The Roberts
   Court is moderately more conservative than some of its recent
   predecessors on some issues, but it remains quite "liberal" on others.
   Particularly because Justice Kennedy is the swing vote on so-many
   ideologically charged cases, the Court's conservatism is quite
   inconsistent. I further note that any assessment of the Roberts Court,
   at this point, is necessarily tentative, as the current roster of
   justices has not yet sat together for even three full terms.

References

   1. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1280276
   2. http://volokh.com/posts/chain_1205805605.shtml
   3. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1307177

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