I have been analyzing the latest design by Dr. Parkhomov and suspect that the 
new plan will demonstrate difficult stability problems.  I understand that his 
latest model of Hotcat replication is much easier to measure and build, but 
there may be a major trade off with respect to COP and stability that will 
eventually force a return to the older version.

The inner core of the new system that contains the fuel is more isolated from 
the outer heater coil which will result in an increase in the thermal 
resistance from the core to ambient.  Thermal power originating within the core 
will have to cross through a greater amount of thermal impedance before it 
escapes and will therefore cause a greater temperature drop between the core 
and the heater.

The positive feedback will also increase due to the larger impedance and the 
onset of a negative resistance region due to that feedback will happen earlier. 
 It is going to be difficult to operate in a stable fashion within the negative 
resistance region and entry into this mode of operation will likely result in 
thermal destruction without a lot of intervention.  And, with the additional 
isolation between the core and the heater that needed intervention will be much 
more difficult to achieve.

I suspect that the ideal design will be achieved with the heater coil tightly 
coupled to the fuel charge.  In that case the thermal mass of the coil wire, 
fuel, and the ceramic components will behave more like one total item.  That 
would allow the power modulation applied to the heater coil to have a more 
immediate effect upon any heat entering the net thermal mass.   When the drive 
power is interrupted by the controller the entire system thermal mass begins to 
cool quickly and with the least amount of lag possible.

The application of a PWM (pulse width modulated) drive could then be used to 
pull the system back toward stability assuming that the fuel response does not 
have too much lag.   Rossi has long endorsed the use of a PWM drive waveform 
and there must be a good reason.  The independent testers used static DC drive 
without witnessing a major stability issue which leads me to believe that Rossi 
adjusted the fuel charge to be somewhat less active than normal.   The reduced 
fuel activity immediately resulted in a lower COP since there was no region of 
negative resistance observed, which multiplies that parameter.

With these considerations I suspect that we are going to witness plenty of 
systems that exhibit thermal run away until we modify the device plan back to 
one that is more like the original Parkhomov device.   With the latest design 
we should be able to reduce the fuel loading until stabile operation is 
obtained, but the COP will be too low to be practical.   The good news is that 
it will be easy to build additional test samples since burned out cores are 
simple to replace.  The bad news is that we might spend a great deal of time 
melting cores for that very reason.

My opinion of the most recent Parkhomov design has changed dramatically since I 
have taken time to consider the thermal effects.  At this point all we can do 
is to speculate about how our model system will perform and change should be 
expected when new ideas arise.   The latest concepts will likely be replaced 
once proper measurements are obtained.  We should all attempt to keep an open 
mind.

Dave

Reply via email to