A snapshot of middle class India

By Vir Sanghvi, The Hindustan Times, March 4, 2006

http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_1642308,00300001.htm

For the last couple of months, I have spent very little time in
Delhi or, for that matter, in Bombay. A succession of conferences,
engagements and the shooting schedule for a new television programme
have kept me on the road. I have visited parts of south India I had
not seen for a decade; have driven through chunks of western India;
spent much of the last week in north Bengal; and travelled through
cities and small towns that have changed dramatically over the last
ten or fifteen years.

Admittedly, my approach is that of the standard journalistic
paratrooper who lands in a new place without bothering to learn the
background to the situations he encounters and then moves on without
fully understanding the people he has met. And yes, the vast
majority of those I met were middle class or very nearly middle-
class — I didn't meet any landless labourers or poor farmers.

But, from my perspective, despite these obvious shortcomings, the
experience was valuable because it got me out of Delhi and its pre-
occupations. And it afforded me an opportunity to listen to people
elsewhere in India.

In the ten years since I last travelled so widely, India has been
transformed. Integral to this transformation has been the growth of
Big Media. A decade ago, you relied on the local paper in each town
(The Deccan Herald in Bangalore, The Telegraph in Calcutta, The
Tribune in Chandigarh etc) to judge popular sentiment. Now, while
the local papers still survive, they are being increasingly
challenged by new editions of the national dailies.

Then, there are the TV channels. We live in an era when the news
channels dictate the immediate responses of the middle classes (and
the political elite). A case in point is the way in which educated
Indians reacted to the verdict in the Jessica Lall murder case. When
Manu Sharma and Vikas Yadav murdered Jessica seven years ago, it was
essentially a Delhi story. But when a court let them walk a
fortnight ago, all of middle class India was outraged. It was the
news channels that took the case national.

But I wondered if the public mood outside of Delhi mirrored the pre-
occupations of the nation's capital. Had Big Media succeeded in
forging a national consensus? Or were there trends bubbling under
the surface that we had missed?

Here, for what it is worth, is a snapshot of the middle class India
I encountered on my travels.

• The first and most obvious change I noticed was that politics
obsesses people much less than it used to. A decade ago, when people
found out I was a journalist, they wanted to know about the
government. What was the Prime Minister like? How stable was his
ministry? Or, they would want to discuss the latest political
scandal.

The big change, this time around, was that few people wanted to talk
about politics. There was widespread, if muted, approval of Manmohan
Singh and Sonia Gandhi's aura has yet to fade. But nobody seemed
particularly interested in either of them. Nobody asked the great
Indian political question of the last two decades: "Will the
government last?"

When political issues were discussed, they tended to be local (I was
in small-town Karnataka when the state government fell) and nobody
cared about national political scandals. A decade ago, I was always
asked about hawala, Bofors, corruption etc. Even a few years ago,
Tehelka would crop up. But this time nobody asked about Quattrochhi
or Natwar Singh or, even, cash-for-questions.

The only scandal that ever cropped up in the conversation concerned
the Amar Singh tapes. And even then, all people wanted to know was:
who were the actresses involved? And were the conversations really
naughty? When I responded that I had heard the tapes and that there
was nothing remotely salacious in Amar Singh's conversations, they
immediately lost interest.

• Logic suggests that if people have tired of politics, they should
care about economics. But in the run-up to the Budget, not one
person — not even a businessman in some aircraft cabin — asked about
the Budget, before proceeding to favour me with his own thoughts.
Once upon a time, this was the Big Subject. Flying back to Delhi, a
day after this Budget, I began to wonder if all of us in the media
had got the public mood badly wrong with our back-to-back TV
coverage and excessive newspaper focus on the concessions offered to
the ice-cream sector.

My guess is that Indians don't really give a damn about the Budget
any longer — unless there are huge increases in taxation. And that
we in the media should rethink our outdated obsession with Budget
news.

• It is a truism within Big Media to say that the people of India
want peace with Pakistan. My sense, however, was that while nobody
wants another war, outside of Delhi and parts of the Punjab perhaps
there was no great warmth towards Pakistan. Most of India is young,
does not care about Partition and sees Pakistan as just another
foreign country — and a hostile one at that.

When peace with Pakistan came up, every single person I met was
clear: there could only be peace on our terms. And this meant not
giving up an inch of Kashmir. Nor was there any support for the idea
of more autonomy for Kashmir.

So, let us treat all this liberal rhetoric about how Indians long
for peace with scepticism. Our idea of peace is: Pakistan should
shut up and behave itself or we will retaliate.

It is not a public mood that will lead to any lasting settlement of
this long-running conflict. And I think that the challenge before
politicians is to shift the consensus. Big Media has tried. And I
think it has failed.

• The general view in Delhi is that the BJP is floundering, that it
is a party without an issue. Judging by my travels, this view could
be seriously mistaken.

There is a massive Hindu backlash building up. The public mood
reminded me of the late 1980s, when such issues as Shah Bano and The
Satanic Verses so upset moderate Hindus that they turned against
Congress-style secularism.

The provocation, this time around, is the attitude of the Muslim
political leadership to foreign Islamic issues. No Hindu I met
thought it was right for a Danish paper to carry cartoons of the
Prophet. But why, they all asked, did Indians Muslims have to get so
agitated? What did it have to do with us? Why should a minister in
the UP government announce a bounty on the head of the Danish
cartoonist? Why should Indian Muslims demand the recall of the
Danish ambassador?

I have written about the shameful cop-out by liberal Muslims over
these issues before so I will not labour the point. But the Hindu
backlash is a perfect issue waiting for a BJP initiative. This time
around, the BJP need not focus on how Indian secularism makes Hindus
second-class citizens in their own country.

(Nobody buys that line any longer.) All it needs to do is to portray
Indian Muslims as unreasonable fanatics obsessed with global Muslim
issues and argue that they subscribe to some international pan-
Islamic identity that could easily conflict with Indian nationalism.

My feeling is that if liberal Muslims continue to react as
pathetically as they have over the last few months and if liberal
Hindus do not make it clear that genuine secularism means that we
fight all kinds of fanaticism — both Hindu and Muslim — a new
generation of BJP leaders will ride this backlash to return to
power. By ignoring the Hindu sentiment, Big Media is making a big
mistake.

• So, finally, how powerful is the influence of Big Media? If you
treat the national media as a force for homogenisation, then there
is no doubt that they have enormous influence. I found fewer
regional variations in sentiment than a decade or so ago. Even the
reach of the media is astonishing: who would have heard about the
Amar Singh tapes fifteen years ago?

But the old divide between the Delhi-Bombay mindset and the rest of
India remains. Much of what Big Media believes (on the Budget, on
relations with Pakistan, on the future of the BJP etc) seems to me
to be out of step with the public mood that I encountered on my
travels.

For instance, this is the age of the TV sting. But while the
original Tehelka stings (on defence purchases and cricket fixing)
got the country talking, the new stings are viewed as TV reality
shows — as paler versions of the drama on Sa Re Ga Ma. People may
watch them. But they don't care very much. And each sting is quickly
forgotten.

And as for all the little issues and scoops that we in the Delhi
media care so much about (did Natwar Singh's son go to Iraq, does
Quattrochhi have access to his back accounts, do ministers listen to
the PMO? etc), no matter how valid and important they are as news
stories — and it is not my intention to play down their
significance — the truth is that they have lost their resonance with
Middle India.

Big Media has the influence. But all too often we focus on things
that nobody cares. 








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