It is not about predicting. It is more if you can check your position 
periodicly, you can react as fast as you can. With a good home made sofware 
using the API to update bid, it is not so hard !! 
For the average position at 0, I agree, that might be considering as 
predicting but it is not. More you check your position, faster you can 
react.
However, as you said in previous message, competitors can use bid modifiers 
with time / day / gender / ... But, with good datas, good historics datas, 
good software and a way to check anytime you want, I think you can predict 
when some competitors starting their campaign. Anyway, it is an another 
subject.

In a period where markets act really fast, I don't understand why we do not 
have any tools (or the possibiliy to make one) who can 'analyse' and react 
as fast as possible ??!!! 

I agree with your exemple but, and it is certainly because my english is 
really bad, there is no targeting at all inside...
Take 'property sale', in Paris on one spécific district, targeting end user 
inside this location and those who make interest for this location, + 10% 
bid on smartphone, and of course the money... Et Voila !!! You are first 
and it's working.

Obviously, we don't have the same method to work with AdWords. I'm sure 
your method works but mine too. 
So yes, I want to be #1 the most of time (again, with a good and specific 
targeting) and if I can have a tool or a way to check my positions in real 
time, I'm pretty sure to reach my goal.

However, we are moving away from the original topic : 
- Datas from MCM and API are wrong (delayed time and, for example, 
estimated cost for top positions totaly wrong) and not accurate (average)
- Adpreview which is working fine but, it's humainly impossible to check 
all your keywords and your IP get blocked after, more or less, 60 calls 
more or less
- No way to control where your money go

Thank you,
Regards

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