i.e. Google.  Wait till AT*T gets their fingers into the pie...

On 03/05/2019 04:11 PM, Bill Prince wrote:
And if they think they can do it in a year, bet that it will take them at least 3 years.

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part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com


On Tue, Mar 5, 2019 at 3:50 PM Lewis Bergman <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

    And even worse trying run then one they are substantially complete.

    On Tue, Mar 5, 2019, 5:39 PM <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

        Muni fiber has a lousy track record of actually completing
        functional networks.
        *From:* Christopher Gray
        *Sent:* Tuesday, March 5, 2019 4:26 PM
        *To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group'
        *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] Examples of Proposals to Sell WISP Network?

        I’ve made several inquiries. Originally, I was on the bid list
        to actually be the ISP on the network, but they went municipal
        to skip the bidding process (the committee decided it would be
        easier to do, and I understand their perspective). They are not
        allowing any other interaction with outside companies, but the
        committee says after the first contract is up they may make it
        open… which is 3 years out.____

        ____

        I’ll I hadn’t thought about how long it will take relative to
        losing customers, thank you for pointing that out. They’re
        currently estimating almost a year to get the whole town
        connected. I’m seeing some good ideas to share as part of a
        proposal. ____

        ____

        *From:* AF <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> *On Behalf Of *Ken Hohhof
        *Sent:* Tuesday, March 5, 2019 5:39 PM
        *To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>>
        *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] Examples of Proposals to Sell WISP
        Network?____

        ____

        Would it make more sense to inquire about an arrangement where
        you could resell the FTTH service to your current customers?
        Assumption being that you would get a lower wholesale price that
        you  could mark up to the same retail price, also probably some
        arrangement where you would do part of the installation work and
        handle first level tech support, let customers keep their email
        addresses, etc.?____

        ____

        I assume they won’t complete the FTTH build overnight, so this
        would allow for a gradual transition.  You could migrate
        customers to FTTH as it passed their house, and eventually
        decommission your WISP gear in that area.____

        ____

        If you can’t sell and instead decide to just turn off the lights
        and close the door behind you, but then it takes the FTTH build
another 6 months to reach all the customers, there are going to be a bunch of pissed off residents.____

        ____

        If they expect you to keep serving fewer and fewer customers as
        they deploy their fiber, it’s like expecting you to dig your own
        grave. Yes, some customers may not switch (depending on
        comparative pricing), and perhaps they would buy you out (I’m
        skeptical).  But you’ve probably done the math.  Would you be
        profitable with half as many customers?  A quarter?  At some
        point it just doesn’t make sense to stick around in that area.____

        ____

        *From:* AF <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Lewis Bergman
        *Sent:* Tuesday, March 5, 2019 4:20 PM
        *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <[email protected]>
        *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] Examples of Proposals to Sell WISP
        Network?____

        ____

        I'm with Matt. I don't know what your projections are based on
        but when I did research to replace my WISP network with a fiber
        one in a small town the take rate as expressed by existing
        customers was so low it didn't make sense. Maybe 5% expressed a
        desire to switch regardless of price and only about half would
        switch if the price was the same. Speed was a concern for about
        25%. Of course that is purely anecdotal not to mention old.____

        ____

        Anyway, a large percentage are very price sensative. That isn't
        to say the muni won't do it way below cost. That seems to be how
        most of them think.____

        ____

        On the valuation, I don't know anyone that nows what they are
        doing that pays per sub anymore. Again, the muni probably
        doesn't know what they are doing so you might get lucky. All
        purchases I have seen in the last few tyears are all revenue
        based of some sort. EBIDTA, Gross, Net. Really just however the
        buyer wants to see it. The numbers always seem to work out
        pretty close. But you never know, maybe they want it as a warm
        boot to their FTTH plans. ____

        ____

        ____

        ____

        On Tue, Mar 5, 2019 at 2:29 PM Matt Hoppes
        <[email protected]> wrote:____

            Devils advocate. Why would they buy it if all the customers
            will just move over?____

            ____

            I wouldn’t be so sure they will all leave. If you treat them
            right and aren’t gouging them on price many will probably
            lot stay. ____


            On Mar 5, 2019, at 3:19 PM, <[email protected]>
            <[email protected]> wrote:____

                So much per customer.  I would say $500-$2000 depending
                on the number of subs, the type of equipment and the
                part of the country.  $1000/ sub is a low starting
                point. ____

                ____

                *From:*Christopher Gray ____

                *Sent:*Tuesday, March 5, 2019 1:11 PM____

                *To:*AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group ____

                *Subject:*[AFMUG] Examples of Proposals to Sell WISP
                Network?____

                ____

                Does anyone here have an example of a proposal used to
                sell your network or part of your network? You can
                provide it offline if necessary.____

                ____

                [I'm in a position where the local government is
                actually overbuilding my WISP network with a FTTH
                network. My projections show I'm going to lose the
                business in the particular area entirely, so I want to
                offer to sell it to the town. I will be keeping the rest
                of my system, and just selling this section.] ____

                ____

                Thank you, Chris____

                
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