I wonder how snow on the cpe antenna will affect things.

From: Bill Prince 
Sent: Monday, June 3, 2019 12:16 PM
To: [email protected] 
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] SpaceX Says Its 60 Starlink Satellites Are All Phoning 
Home (and Fading Out) | Space

That would be per satellite. So it doesn't really tell us what the system 
capacity is. Don't forget there will be ~ 600 satellites per ring, and (I 
think) 24 rings.



bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 6/3/2019 10:18 AM, Adam Moffett wrote:

  People always ask about system capacity, but it's simpler than that.  Their 
FCC filings show 2ghz of spectrum for the downlink from satellite to user 
terminal.  They have two polarities, not unlike us.  We could generously assume 
they'll get 10 bits/hz.  That's 20gbps in a given geographic area.  It doesn't 
matter how many satellites there are, or what the capacity of a given satellite 
is.  I don't know how big that geographic area will be exactly.

  -Adam



  On 6/2/2019 6:15 PM, Bill Prince wrote:

    There are whole bunches of risk factors. 


    Assuming the satellite-mesh system works (and that is still an if; note 
that this first batch does not include the sat-sat laser link capability), I 
have not seen a real estimate of the system capacity. I would presume there 
would be separate earth stations for each orbital plane. There could even 
conceivably be multiple earth stations for each orbital plane, which would make 
the system capacity flexible.

    IDK if they're making money or not, but they are serving body blows to the 
competition.

    There was open speculation that the Falcon heavy was going into a limited 
demand situation, but now that it seems to be working (so far), that market 
opportunity may be shifting as well.



bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

On 6/2/2019 12:52 PM, Ken Hohhof wrote:

      You’d think that SpaceX is highly profitable and is using those profits 
to expand into the satellite Internet business.  But actually there is debate 
whether SpaceX is profitable without accounting tricks, and even if it is 
profitable, the margins are very thin.  Reportedly the geostationary launch 
business is softening, and SpaceX is actually looking to Starlink for profits.  
No doubt it helps if you can launch your own satellites, maybe even having them 
ride along while you get paid to launch stuff for paying customers.  But this 
sounds like a pretty risky venture, paid for with borrowed money.  If it wasn’t 
risky, it wouldn’t be Elon, right?

       

       

      From: AF mailto:[email protected] On Behalf Of Mike Hammett
      Sent: Sunday, June 2, 2019 12:04 PM
      To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group mailto:[email protected]
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] SpaceX Says Its 60 Starlink Satellites Are All 
Phoning Home (and Fading Out) | Space

       

      I would suspect they are going to have hundreds of earth stations as 
opposed to one or two earth stations that legacy platforms have. Up to the 
bird, maybe across one or two birds, and back down to the fiber-fed earth 
stations. I've seen the numbers, but I forgot the numbers. It's real bandwidth 
at each one.



      -----
      Mike Hammett
      Intelligent Computing Solutions

      Midwest Internet Exchange

      The Brothers WISP






--------------------------------------------------------------------------

      From: "Tim Withrow via AF" <[email protected]>
      To: [email protected]
      Cc: "Tim Withrow" <[email protected]>
      Sent: Saturday, June 1, 2019 4:43:01 PM
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] SpaceX Says Its 60 Starlink Satellites Are All 
Phoning Home (and Fading Out) | Space

      What kind of bandwidth  capacity could each satellite have  at any given 
point? 
      What is the usable bandwidth of their system?  Who makes a radio that big 
to carry/transmit such  capacity or is it an 
      aggregate of small radio's?

       


--------------------------------------------------------------------------

      On Saturday, June 1, 2019 Bill Prince <[email protected]> wrote:

      Naturally, we're all thinking about what effect this will have in rural 
America, but I am also wondering if this would have some effect on China's 
"great firewall"?

       

bp<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com> On 6/1/2019 1:47 PM, Ken Hohhof wrote:

      I think one factor advocacy groups and govt critters need to keep in mind 
is that instead of robust competition, what could occur is “disruptive” 
pricing, having the effect of discouraging or bankrupting the competition.  And 
now some new entrant is the only game in town.  And if it turns out to be 
unreliable, or not to  have enough capacity,  or their speeds are actually best 
effort, or their satellites start dropping out of the sky, or whatever, people 
can’t switch back to their old provider.  Like being dissatisfied with online 
stores and assuming you can always switch back to the old brick and mortar 
store, from Uber and Lyft back to taxis and limos.  Sorry, they don’t exist 
anymore.

       

      This is unlikely to happen in big cities, I doubt Comcast will go 
bankrupt because of Starlink.  But to just assume there will be lots of choices 
out in the middle of nowhere driving the price down without any of them turning 
off the lights, seems a little naïve.

       

      And to assume big megacorps like SpaceX, Amazon, Googe,  Facebook, etc. 
would never price below cost to be “disruptive” also seems naïve.

       

       

      From: AF mailto:[email protected] On Behalf Of Bill Prince
      Sent: Saturday, June 1, 2019 3:20 PM
      To: [email protected]
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] SpaceX Says Its 60 Starlink Satellites Are All 
Phoning Home (and Fading Out) | Space

       

      Sure. But after the clouds, geostationary still needs to go another 
23,000 miles. LEO only has to go a few hundred.

       

bp<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>  On 6/1/2019 10:47 AM, Mathew Howard wrote:

        Clouds are generally a lot lower than a couple hundred miles... 

         

        On Sat, Jun 1, 2019, 10:58 AM Bill Prince <[email protected]> wrote:

          Maybe at geostationary distances, but these are only a few hundred 
miles up.

          bp
          <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

          On 6/1/2019 8:56 AM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
          > Don't those bands have significant attenuation issues with like... 
          > clouds?
          >
          > On 6/1/19 10:55 AM, Bill Prince wrote:
          >> According to Wikipedia, they will be on Ku, Ka, and V bands.
          >>
          >> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink_(satellite_constellation)
          >>
          >> bp
          >> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
          >>
          >> On 6/1/2019 7:46 AM, Jaime Solorza wrote:
          >>> Wonder what frequencies they will use?
          >>>
          >>> 
https://www.space.com/spacex-starlink-satellites-phone-home-dimming.html 
          >>>
          >>>
          >>

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