Somehow I'm reminded of how the Illinois tollways were supposed to be free
in 1973.

(Google "free in '73")

 

From: AF <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Chuck McCown
Sent: Monday, December 8, 2025 10:24 PM
To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <[email protected]>
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] price war

 

We will get miles of fiber for free, actually at negative expense due to the
arbitrage of the deal.  So in 5 years I will pass 800 homes, it will not
have cost me a dime, actually I should have made a ton of money off if it.
Now, who will be in a position to price war clear to the bottom.

 

From: AF [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ken Hohhof
Sent: Monday, December 8, 2025 9:06 PM
To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> >
Subject: [AFMUG] price war

 

I lost a customer today to $30 AT&T 5G Home Internet.  Starlink has 100 Mbps
at $40 with $0 equipment, and that is without competition yet from Amazon
Leo.

 

All the companies looking to deploy BEAD fiber, I'm guessing they are
counting on around $55 for their base tier, and something like 80% take
rate.  But it looks like we are already into a price war.  Are they going to
be disappointed at the revenue?

 

We could say the price war will end and prices will rise, but how will that
happen unless some of the competitors drop out or consolidate?  In the case
of the big 3 mobile carriers, that's not going to happen (although DISH is
probably a goner).  They could become less aggressive about FWA pricing
though if they use up all their excess 5G capacity and don't get more
spectrum.  Yeah, right.

 

Convince me I'm wrong.

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