There was a pretty good discussion of this the other day on PBS.

Every producer has a profit point, and older traditional wells need to keep producing until they are done. Stop pumping on one of those wells, and it apparently will kill the well without a huge expense in re-starting.

Fracking wells are different, they are generally short-term, and if the profit is too low, they simply stop drilling new wells until the prices recover.

One guy mentioned that the big expense is starting the well. Once it's producing, the cost per barrel is next to nothing.

--
bp
<part {dash} 15 {at} SkylineBroadbandService {dot} com>

On 12/24/2014 8:20 AM, Ken Hohhof via Af wrote:
It’s also an economics lesson for any of us who think about starting a price war with the industry cost leader, like the cable companies. I keep hearing the Saudis need oil to be $100, but I don’t see why. They just pump the stuff, the other guys are drilling and fracking. They probably need it to be $100 to support their economy and lifestyle since they don’t produce anything but oil, but they are probably profitable at $10.
*From:* Mark Radabaugh via Af <mailto:[email protected]>
*Sent:* Wednesday, December 24, 2014 10:04 AM
*To:* [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown here...
It's just a little geopolitical Christmas present.

The old joke - what's the best price of oil for OPEC? $100, $100, $100, $50, $100.

When the price drops to $50 it kills all of the speculative drilling and investment in alternative energy, and then OPEC raises the price back and ensures they stay relevant.

The low oil price also punishes a variety of political enemies - Russia, ISIS, Iran, and a couple of South American countries.

The low price won't last, but it's nice for a while and plays into a number of political battles.

Mark


On 12/24/14 10:58 AM, Bill Prince via Af wrote:
Wonder what the play is there. How long will gas prices stay this low? And how low will they go? Saudi Arabia is in the drivers seat for now. Russia and a few of the OPEC nations are getting it in the shorts.

Someone will blink.  I'm betting that gas will turn around in 3-6 months.

--
bp
<part {dash} 15 {at} SkylineBroadbandService {dot} com>

On 12/24/2014 7:11 AM, Chuck McCown via Af wrote:
Yep:
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/refined-products/rbob-gasoline.html
*From:* Chuck McCown <mailto:[email protected]>
*Sent:* Wednesday, December 24, 2014 8:10 AM
*To:* [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown here...
I wonder if you can purchase gasoline futures?
*From:* Josh Luthman via Af <mailto:[email protected]>
*Sent:* Wednesday, December 24, 2014 7:59 AM
*To:* [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown here...

Get a few 55 gallon drums. That's what we did around 2006.

Josh Luthman
Office: 937-552-2340
Direct: 937-552-2343
1100 Wayne St
Suite 1337
Troy, OH 45373

On Dec 24, 2014 9:44 AM, "Chuck McCown via Af" <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

I wish I had a 50,000 gallon tank and I wish that gas did not have a shelf life.
    *From:* Jaime Solorza via Af <mailto:[email protected]>
    *Sent:* Tuesday, December 23, 2014 9:51 PM
    *To:* Animal Farm <mailto:[email protected]>
    *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown here...

    Gas at 1.87 a gallon today

    Jaime Solorza

    On Dec 23, 2014 4:20 PM, "Jaime Solorza via Af" <[email protected]
    <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

        As long as they leave my shrubbery  alone.

        Jaime Solorza

        On Dec 23, 2014 1:21 PM, "Chuck McCown via Af" <[email protected]
        <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

            I think we still have a citadel or two, don’t we?
            *From:* Ken Hohhof via Af <mailto:[email protected]>
            *Sent:* Tuesday, December 23, 2014 1:12 PM
            *To:* [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
            *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown here...
            Well, North Korea threatened to blow up our “citadels”
            in retaliation.
            “Tragedy is when I cut my finger. Comedy is when you
            fall into an open sewer and die.”
            - Mel Brooks
            *From:* Jaime Solorza via Af <mailto:[email protected]>
            *Sent:* Tuesday, December 23, 2014 1:48 PM
            *To:* Animal Farm <mailto:[email protected]>
            *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown here...

            Polemic movie.  I thought it was a comedy

            Jaime Solorza

            On Dec 23, 2014 12:34 PM, "Gino Villarini via Af"
            <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

                Yes, it is the top local newspaper

                Gino A. Villarini
                @gvillarini

                On Dec 23, 2014, at 3:12 PM, Mike Hammett via Af
                <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:

                Legit news source?



                -----
                Mike Hammett
                Intelligent Computing Solutions
                http://www.ics-il.com

                
<https://www.facebook.com/ICSIL><https://plus.google.com/+IntelligentComputingSolutionsDeKalb><https://www.linkedin.com/company/intelligent-computing-solutions><https://twitter.com/ICSIL>

                
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                *From: *"Gino Villarini via Af" <[email protected]
                <mailto:[email protected]>>
                *To: *[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
                *Sent: *Tuesday, December 23, 2014 1:09:13 PM
                *Subject: *[AFMUG] OT: The Interview to be shown
                here...

                
http://www.elnuevodia.com/puertoricoestrenaralapolemicapeliculatheinterview-1915932.html
                News in spanish, but local chain to screen the
                Movie… who gots the cojo… now??
                Gino A. Villarini
                President
                Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
                www.aeronetpr.com <http://www.aeronetpr.com>
                @aeronetpr




--
Mark Radabaugh
Amplex

[email protected]   419.837.5015 x 1021

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